IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>A weekly summary of key developments across ECM and Event-Driven names tracked by us across Hong Kong, Australia, New Zealand, Singapore, Japan, Indonesia, Malaysia, Thailand, Korea, India and Chinese ADRs.</li>
<li>ECM developments - <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/rakuten-bank-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:35638:1" rel="noopener">Rakuten Bank (5838 JP)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sbi-sumishin-net-bank" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:34572:1" rel="noopener">SBI Sumishin Net Bank (7163 JP)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/trial-holdings-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36821:1" rel="noopener">Trial Holdings (5882 JP)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/pt-trimegah-bangun-persada-tbk-harita-nickel" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36826:1" rel="noopener">PT Trimegah Bangun Persada Tbk (Harita Nickel) (2230010D IJ)</a> IPOs.</li>
<li>Event-Driven developments - <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/toshiba-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:637:1" rel="noopener">Toshiba Corp (6502 JP)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/toyo-construction-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:1176:1" rel="noopener">Toyo Construction (1890 JP)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/united-fiber-system-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:20826:1" rel="noopener">Golden Energy &amp; Resources (GER SP)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/estia-health-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:77:1" rel="noopener">Estia Health (EHE AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/healius-ltd-6d4d947d-ad32-4aea-b2d8-265f5768b55e" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:14208:1" rel="noopener">Healius (HLS AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/mincor-resources-nl" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:6731:1" rel="noopener">Mincor Resources NL (MCR AU)</a>.</li>
</ul>


A weekly summary of key developments across ECM and Event-Driven names tracked by us across Hong Kong, Australia, New Zealand, Singapore, Japan, Indonesia, Malaysia, Thailand, Korea, India and Chinese ADRs.
ECM developments - Rakuten Bank (5838 JP), SBI Sumishin Net Bank (7163 JP), Trial Holdings (5882 JP) and PT Trimegah Bangun Persada Tbk (Harita Nickel) (2230010D IJ) IPOs.
Event-Driven developments - Toshiba Corp (6502 JP), Toyo Construction (1890 JP), Golden Energy &amp; Resources (GER SP), Estia Health (EHE AU), Healius (HLS AU), Mincor Resources NL (MCR AU).


Weekly Deals Digest (26 Mar) - Toshiba, Toyo, Healius, Mincor, Rakuten Bank, SBI Sumishin, Harita

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/estia-health-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:77:1" rel="noopener">Estia Health (EHE AU)</a> confirmed it has received a non-binding indicative proposal from Bain Capital at A$3.00 per share, a 28.2% premium to the undisturbed price (23 March).</li>
<li>The offer is attractive in comparison to historical share prices and multiples and implies a premium to <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/regis-healthcare-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:2086:1" rel="noopener">Regis Healthcare (REG AU)</a>’s (the key peer) multiples.  </li>
<li>However, the offer is light in comparison to precedent transactions multiples. The largest shareholder has also suggested the terms are light, which suggests a requirement for a bump.</li>
</ul>



Estia Health (EHE AU) confirmed it has received a non-binding indicative proposal from Bain Capital at A$3.00 per share, a 28.2% premium to the undisturbed price (23 March).
The offer is attractive in comparison to historical share prices and multiples and implies a premium to Regis Healthcare (REG AU)’s (the key peer) multiples.  
However, the offer is light in comparison to precedent transactions multiples. The largest shareholder has also suggested the terms are light, which suggests a requirement for a bump.


Estia Health (EHE AU): Bain Capital’s A$3.00 Offer

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

David Blennerhassett

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

<ul>
<li>Hospital operator <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ramsay-health-care-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:673:1" rel="noopener">Ramsay Health Care (RHC AU)</a> has <a href="https://cdn-api.markitdigital.com/apiman-gateway/ASX/asx-research/1.0/file/2924-02511581-2A1369312?access_token=83ff96335c2d45a094df02a206a39ff4" target="_blank" rel="noopener">announced</a> an unsolicited, non-binding Offer from KKR, by way of a Scheme, at A$88.00/share, in cash, a 36.7% premium to last close.</li>
<li>Presumably, Paul Ramsay's Ramsay Foundation, Ramsay's largest shareholder, is supportive, otherwise there is no deal.</li>
<li>Due diligence has been granted. If successful, this would be one of the largest LBOs by a private equity outfit in Australia. </li>
</ul>


Hospital operator Ramsay Health Care (RHC AU) has announced an unsolicited, non-binding Offer from KKR, by way of a Scheme, at A$88.00/share, in cash, a 36.7% premium to last close.
Presumably, Paul Ramsay's Ramsay Foundation, Ramsay's largest shareholder, is supportive, otherwise there is no deal.
Due diligence has been granted. If successful, this would be one of the largest LBOs by a private equity outfit in Australia. 


<ul>
<li>Fertility specialist <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/virtus-health-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:14776:1" rel="noopener">Virtus Health (VRT AU)</a> has received a revised non-binding <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/compose/insight/66126/Vinva%20became%20a%20substantial%20shareholder%20on%20the%2022%20November." target="_blank" rel="noopener">takeover bid</a> from BGH Capital of $7.65/share, less any dividends declared by Virtus. It had previously offered $7.10/share.</li>
<li>BGH also said it would vote its 19.99% stake against CapVest Partners' cash offer of $7.60/share. </li>
<li>Back in CapVest's court. A $0.05/share higher bid is unlikely to see the UK-based player fold its tent.</li>
</ul>


Fertility specialist Virtus Health (VRT AU) has received a revised non-binding takeover bid from BGH Capital of $7.65/share, less any dividends declared by Virtus. It had previously offered $7.10/share.
BGH also said it would vote its 19.99% stake against CapVest Partners' cash offer of $7.60/share. 
Back in CapVest's court. A $0.05/share higher bid is unlikely to see the UK-based player fold its tent.


<ul>
<li>BGH has filed an <a href="https://cdn-api.markitdigital.com/apiman-gateway/ASX/asx-research/1.0/file/2924-02482688_PS-2A1354502?access_token=83ff96335c2d45a094df02a206a39ff4" target="_blank" rel="noopener">application</a> with the Takeover Panel over, inter alia, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/virtus-health-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:14776:1" rel="noopener">Virtus Health (VRT AU)</a> granting exclusivity to CapVest.</li>
<li>This application is similar in nature to the one filed by <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/apa-group" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:18658:1" rel="noopener">APA Group (APA AU)</a> last year after <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ausnet-services" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:10293:1" rel="noopener">AusNet Services (AST AU)</a> granted Brookfield exclusivity in a competitive bidding stoush.</li>
<li>Virtus is currently trading at a gross spread of ~5.0% to the Scheme price, 3.6% to the Alternative Offer, and 1.8% above BGH's terms. </li>
</ul>


BGH has filed an application with the Takeover Panel over, inter alia, Virtus Health (VRT AU) granting exclusivity to CapVest.
This application is similar in nature to the one filed by APA Group (APA AU) last year after AusNet Services (AST AU) granted Brookfield exclusivity in a competitive bidding stoush.
Virtus is currently trading at a gross spread of ~5.0% to the Scheme price, 3.6% to the Alternative Offer, and 1.8% above BGH's terms. 


BGH Lodges Application With The Takeovers Panel Over CapVest's Bid for Virtus

Australia

Regis Healthcare Limited is a treatment program that offers Family Therapy, Clinical Psychology, Education and Occupational Therapy.

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Regis Healthcare (REG AU)

Weekly Deals Digest (26 Mar) - Toshiba, Toyo, Healius, Mincor, Rakuten Bank, SBI Sumishin, Harita

Last week, notable developments occurred in Event-Driven (Essential, Estia, Healius, Mincor, Nitro, Jiangnan, Toshiba, Toyo, Golden Energy) and ECM...

Arun George

Estia Health (EHE AU): Bain Capital’s A$3.00 Offer

The offer is attractive in comparison to historical and peer multiples but light in comparison to precedent transaction multiples. At the last...

Arun George

BGH Ups The Ante For Control Of Virtus

Trading at a reasonably attractive gross spread of ~2.4% to the latest proposal. BGH's Offer adds just A$4mn to the consideration payout versus...

David Blennerhassett

BGH Lodges Application With The Takeovers Panel Over CapVest's Bid for Virtus

Both proposals (BGH and CapVest's) are indicative - for now. Trading at a gross spread of ~5.0% to the Scheme price, 3.6% to the Alternative Offer,...

David Blennerhassett

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Weekly Deals Digest (26 Mar) - Toshiba, Toyo, Healius, Mincor, Rakuten Bank, SBI Sumishin, Harita

Last week, notable developments occurred in Event-Driven (Essential, Estia, Healius, Mincor, Nitro, Jiangnan, Toshiba, Toyo, Golden Energy) and ECM...

Arun George

Estia Health (EHE AU): Bain Capital’s A$3.00 Offer

The offer is attractive in comparison to historical and peer multiples but light in comparison to precedent transaction multiples. At the last...

Arun George

KKR Bids $88/Share For Ramsay Health

The Offer is indicative - for now. Trading at gross/annualised spread of 6.7%/12.6%, assuming early November completion. Not bad. Even better if...

David Blennerhassett

BGH Ups The Ante For Control Of Virtus

Trading at a reasonably attractive gross spread of ~2.4% to the latest proposal. BGH's Offer adds just A$4mn to the consideration payout versus...

David Blennerhassett

BGH Lodges Application With The Takeovers Panel Over CapVest's Bid for Virtus

Both proposals (BGH and CapVest's) are indicative - for now. Trading at a gross spread of ~5.0% to the Scheme price, 3.6% to the Alternative Offer,...

David Blennerhassett