Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>INCJ is selling the last of its stake in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/renesas-electronics-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:15933:1" rel="noopener">Renesas Electronics (6723 JP)</a>. This will remove the overhang but could lead to selling in the short-term.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/renesas-electronics-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:15933:1" rel="noopener">Renesas Electronics (6723 JP)</a> has outperformed its peers over the last couple of years but valuations are in-line with the peer group (or slightly cheaper).</li>
<li>The float increase in global indices will coincide with the offering, but the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tokyo-stock-exchange-tokyo-price-index-topix" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22910:1" rel="noopener">TSE Tokyo Price Index TOPIX (TPX INDEX)</a> float increase will take quite a while.-</li>
</ul>


INCJ is selling the last of its stake in Renesas Electronics (6723 JP). This will remove the overhang but could lead to selling in the short-term.

Renesas Electronics (6723 JP) has outperformed its peers over the last couple of years but valuations are in-line with the peer group (or slightly cheaper).
The float increase in global indices will coincide with the offering, but the TSE Tokyo Price Index TOPIX (TPX INDEX) float increase will take quite a while.-


Renesas Electronics (6723 JP): INCJ Clean Up; Index Buying Smaller than Expected

APAC IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Ethan Aw

APAC IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Equity Capital Markets

Renesas Electronics / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>INCJ aims to raise around US$1.8bn via a secondary sell-down in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/renesas-electronics-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:15933:1" rel="noopener">Renesas Electronics (6723 JP)</a>. This will be a clean-up trade as INCJ has been paring down its stake. </li>
<li>The deal is a slightly large one to digest at 12 days of three month ADV and around 6% of current mcap.</li>
<li>In this note, we will talk about the placement and run the deal through our ECM framework.</li>
</ul>


INCJ aims to raise around US$1.8bn via a secondary sell-down in Renesas Electronics (6723 JP). This will be a clean-up trade as INCJ has been paring down its stake. 
The deal is a slightly large one to digest at 12 days of three month ADV and around 6% of current mcap.
In this note, we will talk about the placement and run the deal through our ECM framework.


Renesas Electronics Placement - Well Flagged US$1.8bn Deal, Accelerated but Index Flows Should Help

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

Travis Lundy

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

<ul>
<li>The Nikkei Index team proposed several changes to the Nikkei 225 Average methodology last week. They include capping, a semi-annual (vs annual) review, and a change in "liquidity" measure.</li>
<li>It helps move membership away from the low price low weight names which populate the bottom of the index. Slowly. 6 names a year. That's not enough.</li>
<li>And it doesn't fix the historical anomalies rendering the index unsuitable as benchmark (and BOJ tool). I propose more changes below. You can submit this or yours in the consultation.</li>
</ul>


The Nikkei Index team proposed several changes to the Nikkei 225 Average methodology last week. They include capping, a semi-annual (vs annual) review, and a change in "liquidity" measure.
It helps move membership away from the low price low weight names which populate the bottom of the index. Slowly. 6 names a year. That's not enough.
And it doesn't fix the historical anomalies rendering the index unsuitable as benchmark (and BOJ tool). I propose more changes below. You can submit this or yours in the consultation.


A Modest Proposal to the Nikkei Index Committee for Nikkei 225 Methodology Change

<ul>
<li>The Nikkei Index Team has suggested a methodology change to the Nikkei 225 Average.</li>
<li>It involves capping stocks, creating a method for re-weighting once capped then stocks fall, and they recommend changing to a semi-annual Periodic Review - twice a year rather than once.</li>
<li>More interestingly, they also change the "High Liquidity" definition to be related to traded value not volume, which starts to favour higher-market cap stocks with more shares out.</li>
</ul>


The Nikkei Index Team has suggested a methodology change to the Nikkei 225 Average.
It involves capping stocks, creating a method for re-weighting once capped then stocks fall, and they recommend changing to a semi-annual Periodic Review - twice a year rather than once.
More interestingly, they also change the "High Liquidity" definition to be related to traded value not volume, which starts to favour higher-market cap stocks with more shares out.


Nikkei 225 Methodology Change. Again. This Time Better But Still Not Good Enough

<ul>
<li>A bit over a year ago <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/renesas-electronics-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:15933:1" rel="noopener">Renesas Electronics (6723 JP)</a> announced its transaction to buy <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/dialog-semiconductor-plc-664a1f83-2a21-4690-a91f-fb971832e7ad" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:21607:1" rel="noopener">Dialog Semiconductor (DLG GR)</a> for €4.8bn (roughly ¥624bn) and the transaction closed end-August 2021.</li>
<li>In September, Renesas announced a "Progress Update" covering various business segments, expectations for supply in the sector, and eventual "shareholder return" policy.</li>
<li>This past week the Nikkei carried an article talking about a possible stock buyback later this year. I explore.</li>
</ul>


A bit over a year ago Renesas Electronics (6723 JP) announced its transaction to buy Dialog Semiconductor (DLG GR) for €4.8bn (roughly ¥624bn) and the transaction closed end-August 2021.
In September, Renesas announced a "Progress Update" covering various business segments, expectations for supply in the sector, and eventual "shareholder return" policy.
This past week the Nikkei carried an article talking about a possible stock buyback later this year. I explore.


Renesas (6723 JP) - On Top of Peer-Beating Growth, and Valuation... Watch for Buybacks

Japan

Renesas Electronics Corporation researches, develops, designs and manufactures electronic components such as semiconductors and integrated devices.

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Renesas Electronics (6723 JP)