Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

David Blennerhassett

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>Australia's ASIC releases the aggregated short position data four business days after the reporting day. Data in this insight is up to 13th July, published on the 17th July.</li>
<li>The largest industry net increase in the past week was A$0.8bn into "Banks"; the largest industry net decrease was A$0.5bn out of "Diversified Metals". Net shorts declined A$0.2bn week-on-week.</li>
<li>Companies mentioned in this regular weekly report include: <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/pls-group-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:7460:1" rel="noopener">PLS Group (PLS AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/lynas-corp-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:20374:1" rel="noopener">Lynas (LYC AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/westpac-banking-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:444:1" rel="noopener">Westpac Banking (WBC AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/iluka-resources-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:10105:1" rel="noopener">Iluka Resources (ILU AU)</a>, and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/commonwealth-bank-of-australia" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:14:1" rel="noopener">Commonwealth Bank of Australia (CBA AU)</a>.</li>
</ul>


Australia's ASIC releases the aggregated short position data four business days after the reporting day. Data in this insight is up to 13th July, published on the 17th July.
The largest industry net increase in the past week was A$0.8bn into "Banks"; the largest industry net decrease was A$0.5bn out of "Diversified Metals". Net shorts declined A$0.2bn week-on-week.
Companies mentioned in this regular weekly report include: PLS Group (PLS AU), Lynas (LYC AU), Westpac Banking (WBC AU), Iluka Resources (ILU AU), and Commonwealth Bank of Australia (CBA AU).


Aussie Shorts [13 July 2026]: PLS, Lynas, Westpac, Iluka Resources, Commonwealth Bank

Derivatives and Quantitative Strategist

Gaudenz Schneider

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>
Context: This Insight follows up on previously highlighted relative value opportunities, using a statistical methodology based on mean-reversion to identify opportunities in paired securities.</li>
<li>
Highlights: Currently eight pair trade opportunities persist across four markets and four sectors.
</li>
<li>
Why read: Statistical analysis offers a unique perspective on relative value. Gain insights into actionable statistical pair trade opportunities and monitor performance of previously highlighted pairs.</li>
</ul>



Context: This Insight follows up on previously highlighted relative value opportunities, using a statistical methodology based on mean-reversion to identify opportunities in paired securities.

Highlights: Currently eight pair trade opportunities persist across four markets and four sectors.


Why read: Statistical analysis offers a unique perspective on relative value. Gain insights into actionable statistical pair trade opportunities and monitor performance of previously highlighted pairs.


Relative Value Opportunities in Asia-Pac, Pair Trade Roundup (20 Jul 2026)

<ul>
<li>
Context: The <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/bhp-group-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:147:1" rel="noopener">BHP (BHP AU)</a> vs. <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/rio-tinto-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:13:1" rel="noopener">Rio Tinto (RIO AU)</a> price ratio has deviated more than two standard deviations from its one-year average, presenting a potential relative value opportunity.</li>
<li>
Highlight: Going long <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/rio-tinto-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:13:1" rel="noopener">Rio Tinto (RIO AU)</a> and short <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/bhp-group-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:147:1" rel="noopener">BHP Group (BHP AU)</a>  targets a 4% return.</li>
<li>
Why Read: Essential for quantitative traders seeking mean-reversion opportunities, with detailed execution framework, risk management protocols, and historical simulation showing the statistical basis for this relative value play.</li>
</ul>



Context: The BHP (BHP AU) vs. Rio Tinto (RIO AU) price ratio has deviated more than two standard deviations from its one-year average, presenting a potential relative value opportunity.

Highlight: Going long Rio Tinto (RIO AU) and short BHP Group (BHP AU)  targets a 4% return.

Why Read: Essential for quantitative traders seeking mean-reversion opportunities, with detailed execution framework, risk management protocols, and historical simulation showing the statistical basis for this relative value play.


Rio Tinto (RIO AU) Vs BHP (BHP AU): Pair Trade Opens Between Mining Leaders

Technical Analyst, Vermilion Research

Joe Jasper

Technical Analyst

Technical and Quantitative Research

Vermilion Research

Vermilion’s objective is to deliver timely, actionable, and unique technical research to professional investors through the application of our various technical indicators.

Our research strategists seek to highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various technical and quantitative indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. Our unique research methodology, centered on relative strength, enables our strategists to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing the universe of actively traded stocks into discrete sectors, then into industry groups. We then apply our technical and quantitative tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sector or group, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. We provide a historical perspective that often reveals, through our long-term charts, how price patterns often repeat themselves over time.

Technical Analysis

The weight of the evidence remains mixed yet constructive overall and suggests pullbacks to the 4000-4040 range on the S&amp;P 500 would be nothing more than a buying opportunity. Therefore, we continue to recommend adding exposure to cyclical value areas (Energy, Financials, Materials, Manufacturing, and Transportation) on pullbacks. Below we explain why we believe value’s outperformance is in its early innings, and the basis for our overall constructive outlook.

The weight of the evidence remains mixed yet constructive overall and suggests pullbacks to the 4000-4040 range on the S&amp;P 500 would be nothing more than a buying opportunity. Therefore, we continue to recommend adding exposure to cyclical value areas (Energy, Financials, Materials, Manufacturing, and Transportation) on pullbacks. Below we explain why we believe value’s outperformance is in its early innings, and the basis for our overall constructive outlook.

U.S. Equity Strategy: Value Is Just Getting Going; S&P 500, Micro-Caps At Support

APAC IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Akshat Shah

APAC IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/mmg-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:13961:1" rel="noopener">MMG (1208 HK)</a> is looking to raise around US$800m from a primary share placement. It also plans to raise another US$800m from a convertible bond offering.</li>
<li>MMG is a base metals miner focused on copper and zinc production, with key assets including Las Bambas (Peru), Khoemacau (Botswana) and Kinsevere in the Democratic Republic of the Congo.</li>
<li>In this note we talk about the deal dynamics and run the deal through our ECM framework.</li>
</ul>



MMG (1208 HK) is looking to raise around US$800m from a primary share placement. It also plans to raise another US$800m from a convertible bond offering.
MMG is a base metals miner focused on copper and zinc production, with key assets including Las Bambas (Peru), Khoemacau (Botswana) and Kinsevere in the Democratic Republic of the Congo.
In this note we talk about the deal dynamics and run the deal through our ECM framework.


Aequitas: MMG Ltd Placement - Expansion Funding Amid Strong Recent Momentum

Australia

Rio Tinto PLC operates as a mining company. The Company focuses on mining for aluminum, borates, copper, gold, iron ore, lead, silver, tin, uranium, zinc, titanium dioxide feedstock, diamonds, salt, and zircon. Rio Tinto serves clients worldwide.

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Rio Tinto (RIO US)

Aussie Shorts [13 July 2026]: PLS, Lynas, Westpac, Iluka Resources, Commonwealth Bank

The largest industry net increase in the past week was A$0.8bn into "Banks"; the largest industry net decrease was A$0.5bn out of "Diversified...

David Blennerhassett

Relative Value Opportunities in Asia-Pac, Pair Trade Roundup (20 Jul 2026)

Discover eight pair trade opportunities across four markets and four sectors using statistical mean-reversion methodology for actionable insights.

Gaudenz Schneider

Rio Tinto (RIO AU) Vs BHP (BHP AU): Pair Trade Opens Between Mining Leaders

4% target return as a statistical divergence emerges between Australia's two largest diversified miners. Essential for quantitative traders seeking...

Gaudenz Schneider

U.S. Equity Strategy: Value Is Just Getting Going; S&P 500, Micro-Caps At Support

The weight of the evidence suggests pullbacks to 4000-4040 on the S&P 500 would be nothing more than a buying opportunity. We also explain why we...

Vermilion Research

Aequitas: MMG Ltd Placement - Expansion Funding Amid Strong Recent Momentum

MMG Ltd (1208.HK) is looking to raise around US$800m from a primary share placement. It also plans to raise another US$800m from a convertible bond...

Akshat Shah

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Aussie Shorts [13 July 2026]: PLS, Lynas, Westpac, Iluka Resources, Commonwealth Bank

The largest industry net increase in the past week was A$0.8bn into "Banks"; the largest industry net decrease was A$0.5bn out of "Diversified...

David Blennerhassett

Relative Value Opportunities in Asia-Pac, Pair Trade Roundup (20 Jul 2026)

​Discover eight pair trade opportunities across four markets and four sectors using statistical mean-reversion methodology for actionable insights.

Gaudenz Schneider

Rio Tinto (RIO AU) Vs BHP (BHP AU): Pair Trade Opens Between Mining Leaders

4% target return as a statistical divergence emerges between Australia's two largest diversified miners. Essential for quantitative traders seeking...

Gaudenz Schneider

U.S. Equity Strategy: Value Is Just Getting Going; S&P 500, Micro-Caps At Support

The weight of the evidence suggests pullbacks to 4000-4040 on the S&P 500 would be nothing more than a buying opportunity. We also explain why we...

Vermilion Research

Aequitas: MMG Ltd Placement - Expansion Funding Amid Strong Recent Momentum

MMG Ltd (1208.HK) is looking to raise around US$800m from a primary share placement. It also plans to raise another US$800m from a convertible bond...

Akshat Shah

Discover eight pair trade opportunities across four markets and four sectors using statistical mean-reversion methodology for actionable insights.