Insight Provider, CrossASEAN Research

Nicolas Van Broekhoven

Insight Provider

CrossASEAN Research

At CrossASEAN Research we strive to produce unbiased and differentiated on the ground insights on companies across South East Asia. Our Research is produced for the most part after face to face meetings and conversations with company management to dig deep into the long term vision and strategy of the companies we cover. We seek to deliver investable and actionable themes on sectors and markets across SE Asia, often in collaboration with other Insight Providers across the region, pooling the vast experience of the analysts within the Smartkarma Ecosystem. We also offer bespoke work and tailor made trips for our clients. 

Insights across South East Asia

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>Copper prices started the year roaring: +26% YTD. US futures prices outpaced LME prices.</li>
<li>Much of the trade was driven by re-allocation of copper inventories to beat potential US tariffs. The  White House yesterday exempted copper from any import tariffs.</li>
<li>Copper miners show a mixed bag, our basket of favorites was led by <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/arras-minerals-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:40384:1" rel="noopener">Arras Minerals (ARK V EQUITY)</a> which increased 182% YTD.</li>
</ul>


Copper prices started the year roaring: +26% YTD. US futures prices outpaced LME prices.
Much of the trade was driven by re-allocation of copper inventories to beat potential US tariffs. The  White House yesterday exempted copper from any import tariffs.
Copper miners show a mixed bag, our basket of favorites was led by Arras Minerals (ARK V EQUITY) which increased 182% YTD.


Junior Copper Miners: An Update After 1Q25

<ul>
<li>Copper is trading above 5.05 USD/lbs and has rallied over 29% YTD. Jeff Currie was quoted as saying "<strong>Copper is the New Oil"</strong>
</li>
<li>Sprott launches physical Copper Trust, copying the uranium playbook. Removing physical copper from the market.</li>
<li>Uranium in 2023 and Cacao in 1H24 show what commodity prices can do if investors panic. Is copper making a parabolic move next?</li>
</ul>


Copper is trading above 5.05 USD/lbs and has rallied over 29% YTD. Jeff Currie was quoted as saying "Copper is the New Oil"

Sprott launches physical Copper Trust, copying the uranium playbook. Removing physical copper from the market.
Uranium in 2023 and Cacao in 1H24 show what commodity prices can do if investors panic. Is copper making a parabolic move next?


Materials| Industrials |Commodities

Rahul Jain

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Copper strength continues, driven by the Oyu Tolgoi ramp-up and Arcadium integration, with volumes trending toward the higher end of guidance.</li>
<li>Rio Tinto is gradually shifting its portfolio toward copper and lithium to reduce reliance on iron ore and align with energy transition demand.</li>
<li>FY25 guidance remains intact across key commodities, with improved operating momentum and diversified growth positioning the company for a resilient second half.</li>
</ul>


Copper strength continues, driven by the Oyu Tolgoi ramp-up and Arcadium integration, with volumes trending toward the higher end of guidance.
Rio Tinto is gradually shifting its portfolio toward copper and lithium to reduce reliance on iron ore and align with energy transition demand.
FY25 guidance remains intact across key commodities, with improved operating momentum and diversified growth positioning the company for a resilient second half.


Rio Tinto Q2 2025 Production Update: Copper Leads, Iron Ore Rebounds

Asia L/S Equity PM/Macro/Thematic Idea Generation

Rikki Malik

<ul>
<li>While tariff headlines may dominate, accumulate the miners on weakness</li>
<li>The positive Supply and Demand drivers for copper are  still intact</li>
<li>Latest tariffs add to the continued inflationary pulse around the world</li>
</ul>


While tariff headlines may dominate, accumulate the miners on weakness
The positive Supply and Demand drivers for copper are  still intact
Latest tariffs add to the continued inflationary pulse around the world


Copper Miners Update Post US Tariff Announcement

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/royal-gold-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:11226:1" rel="noopener">Royal Gold Inc (RGLD US)</a> launched a cash takeover bid of 2 CAD/share (85% premium) on Horizon Copper.</li>
<li>Recall, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/horizon-copper-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:42909:1" rel="noopener">Horizon Copper (HCU CN)</a> has a 25% controlling stake in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/entree-resources-ltd-3aeeb68c-80d0-4ada-822e-898883fbb28e" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26727:1" rel="noopener">Entree Resources (ETG CN)</a>. </li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/rio-tinto-plc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22114:1" rel="noopener">Rio Tinto PLC (RIO LN)</a>is too bureaucratic to counterbid as the CEO transition paralyses the organization.</li>
</ul>



Royal Gold Inc (RGLD US) launched a cash takeover bid of 2 CAD/share (85% premium) on Horizon Copper.
Recall, Horizon Copper (HCU CN) has a 25% controlling stake in Entree Resources (ETG CN). 

Rio Tinto PLC (RIO LN)is too bureaucratic to counterbid as the CEO transition paralyses the organization.


Rio Tinto Sees Royal Gold Snap-Up Horizon Copper, Which Has a Controlling 25% Stake in Entree

United Kingdom

Rio Tinto plc is an international mining company. The Company has interests in mining for aluminum, borax, coal, copper, gold, iron ore, lead, silver, tin, uranium, zinc, titanium dioxide feedstock, diamonds, talc and zircon. Dually-listed company with RIO AU.

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Rio Tinto PLC (RIO LN)

Junior Copper Miners: An Update After 1Q25

Copper prices surge 26% YTD, driven by trade war fears and tariff exemptions. Top junior copper miner, Arras Minerals, up 182% YTD.

Nicolas Van Broekhoven

Junior Copper Miners: Time for Lift-Off?

Copper surges as demand increases. Sprott launches physical Copper Trust, potentially impacting market supply. Will copper follow uranium and...

Nicolas Van Broekhoven

Rio Tinto Q2 2025 Production Update: Copper Leads, Iron Ore Rebounds

Rio Tinto's copper strength and diversification strategy position the company for resilient growth in the second half of FY25.

Rahul Jain

Copper Miners Update Post US Tariff Announcement

Despite tariff concerns, investors should buy copper mining stocks on dips as copper supply and demand fundamentals remain strong amid global...

Rikki Malik

Rio Tinto Sees Royal Gold Snap-Up Horizon Copper, Which Has a Controlling 25% Stake in Entree

Royal Gold Inc offers 2 CAD/share (85% premium) in cash takeover bid for Horizon Copper, with Rio Tinto PLC unable to counterbid due to...

Nicolas Van Broekhoven

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Junior Copper Miners: An Update After 1Q25

​Copper prices surge 26% YTD, driven by trade war fears and tariff exemptions. Top junior copper miner, Arras Minerals, up 182% YTD.

Nicolas Van Broekhoven

Junior Copper Miners: Time for Lift-Off?

​Copper surges as demand increases. Sprott launches physical Copper Trust, potentially impacting market supply. Will copper follow uranium and...

Nicolas Van Broekhoven

Rio Tinto Q2 2025 Production Update: Copper Leads, Iron Ore Rebounds

​Rio Tinto's copper strength and diversification strategy position the company for resilient growth in the second half of FY25.

Rahul Jain

Copper Miners Update Post US Tariff Announcement

​Despite tariff concerns, investors should buy copper mining stocks on dips as copper supply and demand fundamentals remain strong amid global...

Rikki Malik

Rio Tinto Sees Royal Gold Snap-Up Horizon Copper, Which Has a Controlling 25% Stake in Entree

​Royal Gold Inc offers 2 CAD/share (85% premium) in cash takeover bid for Horizon Copper, with Rio Tinto PLC unable to counterbid due to...

Nicolas Van Broekhoven

Copper prices surge 26% YTD, driven by trade war fears and tariff exemptions. Top junior copper miner, Arras Minerals, up 182% YTD.

Copper surges as demand increases. Sprott launches physical Copper Trust, potentially impacting market supply. Will copper follow uranium and...

Rio Tinto's copper strength and diversification strategy position the company for resilient growth in the second half of FY25.

Despite tariff concerns, investors should buy copper mining stocks on dips as copper supply and demand fundamentals remain strong amid global...

Royal Gold Inc offers 2 CAD/share (85% premium) in cash takeover bid for Horizon Copper, with Rio Tinto PLC unable to counterbid due to...