Fundamental Short Selling Research

Eric Fernandez, CFA

TwoRiversAnalytics

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>This model uncovers companies facing recent sharp cuts in estimates. These shorts can have very disparate characteristics.</li>
<li>The key judgement involves whether the negative revisions are temporary or if they are indications of ongoing weakness in the business.  </li>
<li>Breaking Estimates stocks often continue to decline after the cuts.  This week we flag Robinhood Mkts, Seagen, Zimmer Biomet, Cerence</li>
</ul>


This model uncovers companies facing recent sharp cuts in estimates. These shorts can have very disparate characteristics.
The key judgement involves whether the negative revisions are temporary or if they are indications of ongoing weakness in the business.  
Breaking Estimates stocks often continue to decline after the cuts.  This week we flag Robinhood Mkts, Seagen, Zimmer Biomet, Cerence


Breaking Estimates Short Candidates: Robinhood Mkts, Seagen, Zimmer Biomet, Cerence

Fintech & EM-focused Analyst, KT Capital Group

Alec Tseung

Fintech & EM-focused Analyst

KT Capital Group

Principal investments and advisory firm that focuses on connecting the CIS countries with East Asia.

Principal investments and advisory firm

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/coinbase-global-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:32227:1" rel="noopener">Coinbase (COIN US)</a> has significant growth potential in non-transaction revenue with its crypto platform strategy and various initiatives underway.</li>
<li>This would also help the company move away from competing just on fees in the long run, although fee compression is unlikely to materialize in the medium term.</li>
<li>Using P/S ignores the company's profitability. On a P/E basis, the company's valuation looks reasonable compared to other major Fintech/payments peers.  </li>
</ul>



Coinbase (COIN US) has significant growth potential in non-transaction revenue with its crypto platform strategy and various initiatives underway.
This would also help the company move away from competing just on fees in the long run, although fee compression is unlikely to materialize in the medium term.
Using P/S ignores the company's profitability. On a P/E basis, the company's valuation looks reasonable compared to other major Fintech/payments peers.  


2022 High Conviction: Coinbase Is More Than Trading Coins

SPAC Deep Dive, subSPAC

subSPAC

SPAC Deep Dive

Each week we’ll identify and break down for you SPACs that are capturing market share and making an impact.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>We identify and break down for you SPACs that are capturing market share and making an impact.</li>
<li>SPACs have thrived for the better part of the last eighteen months because it has filled a void for both investors and companies looking to raise capital.</li>
<li>Early Stage Companies also benefit from SPAC deals as they have access to a large pool of capital, can accelerate the process of going public, and even provide forward-looking guidance</li>
</ul>


We identify and break down for you SPACs that are capturing market share and making an impact.
SPACs have thrived for the better part of the last eighteen months because it has filled a void for both investors and companies looking to raise capital.
Early Stage Companies also benefit from SPAC deals as they have access to a large pool of capital, can accelerate the process of going public, and even provide forward-looking guidance


China and US Equity Analyst

Roger Xie

Cross Asset Strategy

<ul>
<li>The proposed bank license for stablecoin issuers will be long-term positive to crypto industry and appealing to institutional investors. This is further step for US consumer protection.</li>
<li>For crypto wallet providers, they generally experienced weaker Q3 trading activities but expected strong rebound in Q4.  Coinbase and Robinhood engagement metrics (MAU) have also reflected the greater interest.</li>
<li>The overall outlook for the crypto-ecosystem is getting better as more institutions started to see <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/bitcoin-usd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:25895:1" rel="noopener">Bitcoin (XBTUSD CURNCY)</a>  as more than digital gold and a hedge on fiat inflation. </li>
</ul>


The proposed bank license for stablecoin issuers will be long-term positive to crypto industry and appealing to institutional investors. This is further step for US consumer protection.
For crypto wallet providers, they generally experienced weaker Q3 trading activities but expected strong rebound in Q4.  Coinbase and Robinhood engagement metrics (MAU) have also reflected the greater interest.
The overall outlook for the crypto-ecosystem is getting better as more institutions started to see Bitcoin (XBTUSD CURNCY)  as more than digital gold and a hedge on fiat inflation. 


Crypto: Banking License for Stablecoin Issuers and Better Crypto Trading Volume in Q4

Latest News from the World’s Leading Innovators

Granite Bay Capital

An innovation focussed investment company

Granite Bay Capital is an innovation focussed investment company with a deep focus on the companies at the leading edge of innovation across major themes such as AI, ubiquitous computing, sustainability, automation and longevity.

<h2>Headline Development</h2><p>Hertz (HTZZ) just made the largest EV purchase ever, acquiring 100k Teslas (TLSA) for a reported $4.2b - half of which will go to Uber (UBER) drivers.  On top of this, Hertz will also invest significantly in EV charging infrastructure across its global operations.</p>

Headline DevelopmentHertz (HTZZ) just made the largest EV purchase ever, acquiring 100k Teslas (TLSA) for a reported $4.2b - half of which will go to Uber (UBER) drivers.  On top of this, Hertz will also invest significantly in EV charging infrastructure across its global operations.

United States

Robinhood Markets, Inc. operates a financial services platform. The Company offers brokerage and cash management applications such as stocks, exchange-traded funds, options, and cryptocurrency. Robinhood Markets serves clients in the United States.

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Robinhood Markets (HOOD US)

Breaking Estimates Short Candidates: Robinhood Mkts, Seagen, Zimmer Biomet, Cerence

This model uncovers companies facing recent declines in estimates. This week we flag Robinhood Mkts, Seagen, Zimmer Biomet, Cerence

Eric Fernandez, CFA

2022 High Conviction: Coinbase Is More Than Trading Coins

The fast development in the broader crypto economy could present significant growth potential to Coinbase (non-transaction revenue). This will...

Alec Tseung

Three SPAC Sectors to Look at in 2022

We identify and break down for you SPACs that are capturing market share and making an impact. SPACs have thrived for the better part of the last...

subSPAC

Crypto: Banking License for Stablecoin Issuers and Better Crypto Trading Volume in Q4

The overall outlook for the crypto-ecosystem is getting better as more institutions started to see crypto ($bitcoin) as more than digital gold and...

Roger Xie

Weekly Innovation Review (WIRE) #55

Hertz (HTZZ) just made the largest EV purchase ever, acquiring 100k Teslas (TLSA) for a reported $4.2b - half of which will go...

Granite Bay Capital

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