US-EU Index Rebalances / Quantitative Researcher

Dimitris Ioannidis

Global Financial Data and Analytics Platform

ORTEX

ORTEX is a global financial data and analytics platform providing real-time securities lending and short interest data, index rebalance data, holdings and insider transactions, trading signals, corporate actions and news,  stock machine learning and factor scores and other analytics. The majority of the data are downloadable and accessible through APIs.

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>S&amp;P MidCap 400 additions by transition require market cap, float cap, sector balance, liquidity and earnings as parameters for inclusion.</li>
<li>The highest combined score from the parameters is given to <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/carvana-co" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26471:1" rel="noopener">CVNA</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/robinhood-markets-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:33532:1" rel="noopener">HOOD</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/lpl-financial-holdings-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:16363:1" rel="noopener">LPLA</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/entegris-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:12493:1" rel="noopener">ENTG</a> which makes them acceptable candidates for addition. </li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ensign-group-inc-the" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:9297:1" rel="noopener">Ensign Group (ENSG US)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/mueller-industries-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:18247:1" rel="noopener">Mueller Industries (MLI US)</a> have the highest probability of being added out of the migrations. Market cap of migration candidates is estimated to be insufficient.</li>
</ul>


S&amp;P MidCap 400 additions by transition require market cap, float cap, sector balance, liquidity and earnings as parameters for inclusion.
The highest combined score from the parameters is given to CVNA, HOOD, LPLA and ENTG which makes them acceptable candidates for addition. 

Ensign Group (ENSG US) and Mueller Industries (MLI US) have the highest probability of being added out of the migrations. Market cap of migration candidates is estimated to be insufficient.


S&P MidCap 400 September 2024 Forecasts: Highest Score to the HOOD, CVNA, LPLA, ENTG, ENSG and MLI

Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs, Douglas Research Advisory

Douglas Kim

Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs

Equity Bottom-Up

Mirae Asset Securities / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>It has been reported in numerous local media outlets that WeBull is discussing with the local financial authorities to enter the Korean retail stock brokerage market.</li>
<li>If the Korean financial authorities provide a license to WeBull to directly provide stock brokerage services to the Korean retail market, this would be the first case ever.</li>
<li>If FSC grants a full license to WeBull to operate stock brokerage services to retail investors in Korea, this could result in the local brokerages losing market shares to WeBull</li>
</ul>


It has been reported in numerous local media outlets that WeBull is discussing with the local financial authorities to enter the Korean retail stock brokerage market.
If the Korean financial authorities provide a license to WeBull to directly provide stock brokerage services to the Korean retail market, this would be the first case ever.
If FSC grants a full license to WeBull to operate stock brokerage services to retail investors in Korea, this could result in the local brokerages losing market shares to WeBull


WeBull In Discussions With Financial Authorities to Enter the Korean Retail Stock Brokerage Market

Financials & FinTech research, Galliano’s Financials Research

Victor Galliano

Financials & FinTech research

Financials & FinTech, EM & Developed Markets

Galliano’s Financials Research

Galliano's Financials Research provides fundamental research in Emerging Markets financials, including FinTech, as well as financials in select Developed Markets.

The investment style applied is generally value oriented, although Growth At Reasonable Price (GARP) strategies can also be used where appropriate. 

Our investment research approach aim is often contrarian, looking to capitalise on overly sceptical or optimistic consensus views. In terms of valuation techniques, the focus is on PBV ratio to ROE, PE multiples and dividend yield, as well as the application of PEG ratios and, where appropriate, Sum of the Parts (SOTP) valuations.

<ul>
<li>Softbank Vision Funds 1 and 2 were the biggest combined holdings at December 2022, accounting for 30% of group equity value; SVF private companies accounted for 73% of equity value</li>
<li>To December-end 2022, public companies in SVF2 were marked down by 52% versus investment cost, whereas SVF2 private companies were marked down by a more modest 33% versus investment cost</li>
<li>We believe that SVF2 private company valuations are at risk of further markdowns in 4QFY22 results, with many of these investments made close to the period of peak pandemic valuations</li>
</ul>


Softbank Vision Funds 1 and 2 were the biggest combined holdings at December 2022, accounting for 30% of group equity value; SVF private companies accounted for 73% of equity value
To December-end 2022, public companies in SVF2 were marked down by 52% versus investment cost, whereas SVF2 private companies were marked down by a more modest 33% versus investment cost
We believe that SVF2 private company valuations are at risk of further markdowns in 4QFY22 results, with many of these investments made close to the period of peak pandemic valuations


Softbank (9984 JP) – Focus on the SVFs, Are the Private Companies Appropriately Marked?

<ul>
<li>The planned eToro IPO via SPAC merger with FinTech V was terminated in early July, due delayed regulatory process as well as poor market conditions</li>
<li>The now defunct SPAC deal had implied an eToro valuation in excess of USD10bn; post failed SPAC deal, its latest funding round implies a valuation range of USD5bn to USD6bn</li>
<li>Softbank made its eToro investment through the Vision Fund 2 in 4Q 2020; Softbank had been counting on the SPAC deal with FinTech V as its partial eToro exit strategy</li>
</ul>


The planned eToro IPO via SPAC merger with FinTech V was terminated in early July, due delayed regulatory process as well as poor market conditions
The now defunct SPAC deal had implied an eToro valuation in excess of USD10bn; post failed SPAC deal, its latest funding round implies a valuation range of USD5bn to USD6bn
Softbank made its eToro investment through the Vision Fund 2 in 4Q 2020; Softbank had been counting on the SPAC deal with FinTech V as its partial eToro exit strategy


Softbank (9984 JP) – EToro’s Funding “Down Round”

Fundamental Short Selling Research

Eric Fernandez, CFA

TwoRiversAnalytics

<ul>
<li>HOOD’s performance indicators are deteriorating.  Growth in funded accounts is not growing.  Monthly average users are declining, and ARPU is falling.  Margins remain negative and are declining.</li>
<li>The company’s main sources of revenue are from transactions in speculative instruments.  Options and crypto trading represent 80% of transaction revenue... in accounts that average $4,300 in size.</li>
<li>Small scale and lack of diversification leave it disadvantaged.   Further, it generates little fee income, such as asset management fees.  It is nearly entirely reliant on payment for order flow.</li>
</ul>


HOOD’s performance indicators are deteriorating.  Growth in funded accounts is not growing.  Monthly average users are declining, and ARPU is falling.  Margins remain negative and are declining.
The company’s main sources of revenue are from transactions in speculative instruments.  Options and crypto trading represent 80% of transaction revenue... in accounts that average $4,300 in size.
Small scale and lack of diversification leave it disadvantaged.   Further, it generates little fee income, such as asset management fees.  It is nearly entirely reliant on payment for order flow.


Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD):  Sell Short

United States

Robinhood Markets, Inc. operates a financial services platform. The Company offers brokerage and cash management applications such as stocks, exchange-traded funds, options, and cryptocurrency. Robinhood Markets serves clients in the United States.

Price Gauge
52-week Range	0.00 - 0.00
Market Cap (USDm)	0.00
P/E	0.00
Dividend (Yield)	0.00

Robinhood Markets (HOOD US)

S&P MidCap 400 September 2024 Forecasts: Highest Score to the HOOD, CVNA, LPLA, ENTG, ENSG and MLI

Robinhood (HOOD), Entegris (ENTG) and LPL Financial Holdings (LPLA) are amongst the highest scoring addition candidates based on mcap, fcap,...

Dimitris Ioannidis

WeBull In Discussions With Financial Authorities to Enter the Korean Retail Stock Brokerage Market

If the Korean financial authorities provide a license to WeBull to directly provide stock brokerage services to the Korean retail market, this...

Douglas Kim

Softbank (9984 JP) – Focus on the SVFs, Are the Private Companies Appropriately Marked?

The NAV could be 10%-15% lower than stated now at the mid-May results release, due to a further squeeze in private company valuations; this would...

Victor Galliano

Softbank (9984 JP) – EToro’s Funding “Down Round”

Softbank fintech holding eToro had its IPO plans de-railed and now its latest funding efforts point to a "down round"; even at its lower valuation...

Victor Galliano

Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD): Sell Short

We are concerned about HOOD's payment for order flow model, the reliance on speculative trading in small accounts and their lack of...

Eric Fernandez, CFA

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)