Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

David Blennerhassett

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Event-Driven

RPMGlobal Holdings Limited / Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/rpmglobal-holdings-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:16492:1" rel="noopener">RPMGlobal Holdings Limited (RUL AU)</a>, a mining software technology provider, has entered into a trading halt ahead of a rumoured tilt from <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/caterpillar-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:697:1" rel="noopener">Caterpillar Inc (CAT US)</a>.</li>
<li>No price has been made public; although local media are reporting an Offer Price of $5/share, a 32.6% premium to undisturbed. </li>
<li>Shares will be suspended until the 2nd September. Earlier this year, RPMGlobal transitioned to  a pure-play software company after offloading its advisory division.</li>
</ul>



RPMGlobal Holdings Limited (RUL AU), a mining software technology provider, has entered into a trading halt ahead of a rumoured tilt from Caterpillar Inc (CAT US).
No price has been made public; although local media are reporting an Offer Price of $5/share, a 32.6% premium to undisturbed. 
Shares will be suspended until the 2nd September. Earlier this year, RPMGlobal transitioned to  a pure-play software company after offloading its advisory division.


RPMGlobal (RUL AU) In Caterpillar's Crosshairs

Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal, Shenton Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China Biotech

DZT Research

DZT Research is an independent Asia Pacific equity specialist. Our quantitative research covers index rebalancing flows, alongside exchange data analytics accross Asia Pacific. On the equity capital markets side, we focus on Asia Pacific ECM, especially biotech and TMT. Our lead analyst is frequently cited by international media.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the changes in short interest of ASX Stocks as of Jul 11th (reported today). The aggregated short interest was USD25.3bn.</li>
<li>We tabulate league tables for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases &amp; decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.</li>
<li>We highlight short interest changes in Santos, Northern Star Resources, Technology One, Orora.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the changes in short interest of ASX Stocks as of Jul 11th (reported today). The aggregated short interest was USD25.3bn.
We tabulate league tables for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases &amp; decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.
We highlight short interest changes in Santos, Northern Star Resources, Technology One, Orora.


ASX Short Interest Weekly (Jul 11th): Santos, Northern Star Resources, Technology One, Orora

External broker reports(aggregated public sources), Taylor Collison

Taylor Collison

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

Taylor Collison is a leading financial services firm, providing advice & wealth creation strategies to private & institutional investors and corporate clients throughout Australia. Content available is external broker reports authored by a third party outside the Smartkarma network and has been aggregated by an online aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed by Smartkarma in this format for user's convenience and general informational purposes only. Content does not constitute investment or financial advice and Smartkarma makes no representation or warranty regarding its accuracy or contents. Original third party author retains all copyright and other proprietary rights in the content. Access or use of third party links not controlled by Smartkarma are at the user's own risk.

Equity Bottom-Up

RPMGlobal Holdings Limited / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul><li>1H25 was a pivotal period for RUL. Divestment of the advisory business for AUD$63m marks the end of an era.</li><li>Honing focus on the software business will enhance transparency and enable investors to more directly compare RUL with other ARR centric software companies, thereby aligning the business with investor sentiment.</li><li>Software revenue for the half was lower than expected. </li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

1H25 was a pivotal period for RUL. Divestment of the advisory business for AUD$63m marks the end of an era.Honing focus on the software business will enhance transparency and enable investors to more directly compare RUL with other ARR centric software companies, thereby aligning the business with investor sentiment.Software revenue for the half was lower than expected. Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

RPM Global (RUL) - 1H25 - Product Pilots & GFA’s Driving TCV Growth

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>There are 2 changes for the S&amp;P/ASX100 Index, 3 changes for the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/s-p-asx-200" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22901:1" rel="noopener">S&amp;P/ASX 200 (AS51 INDEX)</a> and 16 adds/ 8 deletes for the S&amp;P/ASX300 Index.</li>
<li>The two big surprises are the inclusion of <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/guzman-y-gomez-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:43656:1" rel="noopener">Guzman Y Gomez (GYG AU)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/yancoal-australia-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:4145:1" rel="noopener">Yancoal Australia (YAL AU)</a> in the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/s-p-asx-200" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22901:1" rel="noopener">S&amp;P/ASX 200 (AS51 INDEX)</a> and S&amp;P/ASX300 Index.</li>
<li>The adds to the indices have outperformed the deletes over the last few months and there could be profit-taking in the next few days.</li>
</ul>


There are 2 changes for the S&amp;P/ASX100 Index, 3 changes for the S&amp;P/ASX 200 (AS51 INDEX) and 16 adds/ 8 deletes for the S&amp;P/ASX300 Index.
The two big surprises are the inclusion of Guzman Y Gomez (GYG AU) and Yancoal Australia (YAL AU) in the S&amp;P/ASX 200 (AS51 INDEX) and S&amp;P/ASX300 Index.
The adds to the indices have outperformed the deletes over the last few months and there could be profit-taking in the next few days.


S&P/​​​​ASX Index Rebalance (Sep 2024): Two Big Surprises; Positioning Is Mixed

<ul>
<li>With 2 trading days left in the review period, there could be 30 adds/deletes across the S&amp;P/ASX family of indices in September.</li>
<li>Passive trackers will need to trade a lot of stock in the forecast changes, with the impact being especially large for the changes to the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/s-p-asx-200" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22901:1" rel="noopener">S&amp;P/ASX 200</a> and S&amp;P/ASX 300.</li>
<li>The forecast adds have hugely outperformed the forecast deletes. Borrow recall on the deletes and increased borrow availability on the adds could result in underperformance following announcement of the changes.</li>
</ul>


With 2 trading days left in the review period, there could be 30 adds/deletes across the S&amp;P/ASX family of indices in September.
Passive trackers will need to trade a lot of stock in the forecast changes, with the impact being especially large for the changes to the S&amp;P/ASX 200 and S&amp;P/ASX 300.
The forecast adds have hugely outperformed the forecast deletes. Borrow recall on the deletes and increased borrow availability on the adds could result in underperformance following announcement of the changes.


S&P/​​​​​​​​​ASX Index Rebalance Preview: Review Period Nearly Done; Big Impact Changes

Australia

RPMGlobal Holdings Limited is a technology company that provides integrated technology services (software), mining consulting and training the area of mining planning.

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RPMGlobal Holdings Limited (RUL AU)

RPMGlobal (RUL AU) In Caterpillar's Crosshairs

RPMGlobal has entered trading halt ahead of a rumoured Offer from Caterpillar. No price has been made public; although local media are reporting a...

David Blennerhassett

ASX Short Interest Weekly (Jul 11th): Santos, Northern Star Resources, Technology One, Orora

We analyzed ASX short interest report for the past week and highlight short interest changes in Santos, Northern Star Resources, Technology One,...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

RPM Global (RUL) - 1H25 - Product Pilots & GFA’s Driving TCV Growth

1H25 was a pivotal period for RUL. Divestment of the advisory business for AUD$63m marks the end of an era. Honing focus on the software business...

Taylor Collison

S&P/ASX Index Rebalance (Sep 2024): Two Big Surprises; Positioning Is Mixed

The index rebalances at the close today. Stocks have moved a lot over the last couple of weeks since announcements and some positioning will be...

Brian Freitas

S&P/ASX Index Rebalance Preview: Review Period Nearly Done; Big Impact Changes

There could be 30 changes for the ASX indices in September with a lot to trade for passive trackers. The adds have outperformed the deletes and...

Brian Freitas

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

RPMGlobal (RUL AU) In Caterpillar's Crosshairs

RPMGlobal has entered trading halt ahead of a rumoured Offer from Caterpillar. No price has been made public; although local media are reporting a...

David Blennerhassett

ASX Short Interest Weekly (Jul 11th): Santos, Northern Star Resources, Technology One, Orora

We analyzed ASX short interest report for the past week and highlight short interest changes in Santos, Northern Star Resources, Technology One,...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

RPM Global (RUL) - 1H25 - Product Pilots & GFA’s Driving TCV Growth

1H25 was a pivotal period for RUL. Divestment of the advisory business for AUD$63m marks the end of an era. Honing focus on the software business...

Taylor Collison

S&P/​​​​ASX Index Rebalance (Sep 2024): Two Big Surprises; Positioning Is Mixed

The index rebalances at the close today. Stocks have moved a lot over the last couple of weeks since announcements and some positioning will be...

Brian Freitas

S&P/​​​​​​​​​ASX Index Rebalance Preview: Review Period Nearly Done; Big Impact Changes

There could be 30 changes for the ASX indices in September with a lot to trade for passive trackers. The adds have outperformed the deletes and...

Brian Freitas

S&P/ASX Index Rebalance (Sep 2024): Two Big Surprises; Positioning Is Mixed

S&P/ASX Index Rebalance Preview: Review Period Nearly Done; Big Impact Changes