Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal, Shenton Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China Biotech

DZT Research

DZT Research is an independent Asia Pacific equity specialist. Our quantitative research covers index rebalancing flows, alongside exchange data analytics accross Asia Pacific. On the equity capital markets side, we focus on Asia Pacific ECM, especially biotech and TMT. Our lead analyst is frequently cited by international media.

Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>CSI announced 19 ADDs and 19 DELETEs effective 15 Jun 2026, the largest cycle in our four-cycle reference set.</li>
<li>We reviewed rebalance stocks against four prior CSI 300 cycles and the completed pre-announcement setup.</li>
<li>The prior forecast captured the four strongest ADDs and six of the seven weakest DELETEs, with misses mainly in buffer-zone ADDs and retained-risk DELETEs.</li>
</ul>


CSI announced 19 ADDs and 19 DELETEs effective 15 Jun 2026, the largest cycle in our four-cycle reference set.
We reviewed rebalance stocks against four prior CSI 300 cycles and the completed pre-announcement setup.
The prior forecast captured the four strongest ADDs and six of the seven weakest DELETEs, with misses mainly in buffer-zone ADDs and retained-risk DELETEs.


CSI 300 June 2026 Rebalance: Post-Announcement Positioning

HK/China Equity Long-Short

Osbert Tang, CFA

Equity Capital Markets

Huaqin Technology / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/huaqin-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:48099:1" rel="noopener">Huaqin (3296 HK)</a>'s leadership position in the smart product ODM platform business is an important strength, with 3-year EPS CAGR forecast at 22.8%.</li>
<li>At a maximum IPO price of HK$77.70, it is priced at 13.7x FY26 PER. Relative to an average of 13.2x for global peers, it is not particularly cheap.</li>
<li>It should trade at a premium to <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/shanghai-longcheer-technology-co-ltd-64676fe9-6624-4553-a2d4-3e9ecf3a5d6e" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:46338:1" rel="noopener">Shanghai Longcheer (9611 HK)</a> though. At a 20-25% discount to A-share, Huaqin's H-share is valued at HK$84.70-90.70 (15-16x FY26 PER).</li>
</ul>



Huaqin (3296 HK)'s leadership position in the smart product ODM platform business is an important strength, with 3-year EPS CAGR forecast at 22.8%.
At a maximum IPO price of HK$77.70, it is priced at 13.7x FY26 PER. Relative to an average of 13.2x for global peers, it is not particularly cheap.
It should trade at a premium to Shanghai Longcheer (9611 HK) though. At a 20-25% discount to A-share, Huaqin's H-share is valued at HK$84.70-90.70 (15-16x FY26 PER).


Huaqin Co., Ltd (3296 HK) IPO: Marginally Attractive, at Best

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Bluefocus Communication Group Co, Ltd. / Index Rebalance

Bluefocus Communication Group Co, Ltd. (300058 CH)

<ul>
<li>There are 8 changes for the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/chinext-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:25483:1" rel="noopener">ChiNext Index (SZ399006 INDEX EQUITY)</a> and 5 changes for the ChiNext 50 Index at the June rebalance.</li>
<li>We correctly forecast 7/8 and 8/8 for the Chinext Index adds/deletes and were 4/5 and 5/5 for the Chinext50 Index adds/deletes.</li>
<li>Based on the estimated passive tracking AUM, the round-trip trade across both indices is estimated to be CNY 9.55bn (US$1.33bn).</li>
</ul>


There are 8 changes for the ChiNext Index (SZ399006 INDEX EQUITY) and 5 changes for the ChiNext 50 Index at the June rebalance.
We correctly forecast 7/8 and 8/8 for the Chinext Index adds/deletes and were 4/5 and 5/5 for the Chinext50 Index adds/deletes.
Based on the estimated passive tracking AUM, the round-trip trade across both indices is estimated to be CNY 9.55bn (US$1.33bn).


ChiNext/​​ChiNext 50 Index Rebalance: US$1.3bn Round-Trip Trade

<ul>
<li>With the review period complete, we forecast 10 changes for the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/chinext-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:25483:1" rel="noopener">ChiNext Index (SZ399006 INDEX EQUITY)</a> and 5 changes for the ChiNext 50 Index in June.</li>
<li>The largest flows will be in stocks that are adds/deletes for both indices - and there are a few of those. Plus there are some overlaps with other indices.</li>
<li>While the forecast adds have outperformed the forecast deletes for both indices since January, near-term performance has not been great. That could change as we near the announcement date.</li>
</ul>


With the review period complete, we forecast 10 changes for the ChiNext Index (SZ399006 INDEX EQUITY) and 5 changes for the ChiNext 50 Index in June.
The largest flows will be in stocks that are adds/deletes for both indices - and there are a few of those. Plus there are some overlaps with other indices.
While the forecast adds have outperformed the forecast deletes for both indices since January, near-term performance has not been great. That could change as we near the announcement date.


ChiNext/​​​ChiNext50 Index Rebalance Preview: Whole Lotta Change

Index Rebal/Special Situations, Quiddity Advisors

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Index Rebal/Special Situations

Quiddity Advisors

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Shandong Weifang Rainbow Chemi / Index Rebalance

Shandong Weifang Rainbow Chemi (301035 CH)

<ul>
<li>The ChiNext index represents the performance of the 100 largest and most liquid A-share stocks listed on the ChiNext Market of the Shenzhen Stock Exchange.</li>
<li>The ChiNext 50 index is a subset of the ChiNext index and it consists of the top 50 names in the ChiNext index with the highest daily average turnover.</li>
<li>We see 9 changes for the ChiNext index and 5 changes for the ChiNext 50 index in the next index rebal event in June 2025.</li>
</ul>


The ChiNext index represents the performance of the 100 largest and most liquid A-share stocks listed on the ChiNext Market of the Shenzhen Stock Exchange.
The ChiNext 50 index is a subset of the ChiNext index and it consists of the top 50 names in the ChiNext index with the highest daily average turnover.
We see 9 changes for the ChiNext index and 5 changes for the ChiNext 50 index in the next index rebal event in June 2025.


Quiddity Leaderboard ChiNext & ChiNext 50 Jun25: US$1.4bn Total One-Way Flows; Basket Trade Idea

China

Ruijie Networks Co., Ltd develops network software products. The Company produces network equipment, network security products, cloud desktop solutions, and other products. Ruijie Networks provides its services throughout China.

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Ruijie Networks (301165 CH)

CSI 300 June 2026 Rebalance: Post-Announcement Positioning

CSI 300 June 2026 post-announcement trading is live. ADD strength is concentrated in a few forecast names. The opening gap should set chase and...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Huaqin Co., Ltd (3296 HK) IPO: Marginally Attractive, at Best

Huaqin is a smart product ODM platform leader with strong EPS growth, but its IPO price is not cheap compared to global peers. At 20-25% discount...

Osbert Tang, CFA

ChiNext/ChiNext 50 Index Rebalance: US$1.3bn Round-Trip Trade

There are 8 changes for the ChiNext Index and 5 changes for the ChiNext 50 Index at the June rebalance. The round-trip trade across both indices is...

Brian Freitas

ChiNext/ChiNext50 Index Rebalance Preview: Whole Lotta Change

There could be 10/5 changes for the Chinext/50 in June with 10 stocks having over 1x ADV to trade from passives. Adds have outperformed the deletes...

Brian Freitas

Quiddity Leaderboard ChiNext & ChiNext 50 Jun25: US$1.4bn Total One-Way Flows; Basket Trade Idea

There could be ~US$1.1bn and ~US$300mn one-way flows for ChiNext and ChiNext 50 respectively. There is one change in the expected ADDs/DELs for...

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

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CSI 300 June 2026 Rebalance: Post-Announcement Positioning

CSI 300 June 2026 post-announcement trading is live. ADD strength is concentrated in a few forecast names. The opening gap should set chase and...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Huaqin Co., Ltd (3296 HK) IPO: Marginally Attractive, at Best

​Huaqin is a smart product ODM platform leader with strong EPS growth, but its IPO price is not cheap compared to global peers. At 20-25% discount...

Osbert Tang, CFA

ChiNext/​​ChiNext 50 Index Rebalance: US$1.3bn Round-Trip Trade

There are 8 changes for the ChiNext Index and 5 changes for the ChiNext 50 Index at the June rebalance. The round-trip trade across both indices is...

Brian Freitas

ChiNext/​​​ChiNext50 Index Rebalance Preview: Whole Lotta Change

There could be 10/5 changes for the Chinext/50 in June with 10 stocks having over 1x ADV to trade from passives. Adds have outperformed the deletes...

Brian Freitas

Quiddity Leaderboard ChiNext & ChiNext 50 Jun25: US$1.4bn Total One-Way Flows; Basket Trade Idea

There could be ~US$1.1bn and ~US$300mn one-way flows for ChiNext and ChiNext 50 respectively. There is one change in the expected ADDs/DELs for...

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Huaqin is a smart product ODM platform leader with strong EPS growth, but its IPO price is not cheap compared to global peers. At 20-25% discount...

ChiNext/ChiNext 50 Index Rebalance: US$1.3bn Round-Trip Trade

ChiNext/ChiNext50 Index Rebalance Preview: Whole Lotta Change