Oil and Gas, Mint Finance

Suhas Reddy

Oil and Gas

Deep Fundamental Analysis

Mint Finance

Mint Finance's investment research blends deep fundamental analysis with technical & quant insights. Investment strategies straddle across multiple asset classes with risk management embedded into every trade to deliver an outsized reward-to-risk ratio.

Mint Finance's research is centered around three key themes. First, energy transition and climate change. Second, artificial intelligence. Third, shifting world order with its impact across politics and monetary economics.

Commodities

<ul>
<li>For the week ending 07/Mar, US crude inventories increased by 1.4m barrels, missing expectations of a 2.1m barrel build. Meanwhile, gasoline and distillate stockpiles fell more than expected.</li>
<li>US natural gas inventories fell by 62 Bcf for the week ending 07/Mar, lower than analyst expectations of a 46 Bcf drawdown. Inventories are 11.9% below the 5-year seasonal average.</li>
<li>SNB Capital and United Securities cut Aramco's price targets. TotalEnergies CEO expects LNG prices to decline by decade’s end.</li>
</ul>


For the week ending 07/Mar, US crude inventories increased by 1.4m barrels, missing expectations of a 2.1m barrel build. Meanwhile, gasoline and distillate stockpiles fell more than expected.
US natural gas inventories fell by 62 Bcf for the week ending 07/Mar, lower than analyst expectations of a 46 Bcf drawdown. Inventories are 11.9% below the 5-year seasonal average.
SNB Capital and United Securities cut Aramco's price targets. TotalEnergies CEO expects LNG prices to decline by decade’s end.


[ETP 2025/11] Weak Demand and Trade Tensions Weigh on Crude, Volatile Weather Pressures Henry Hub

Technology / Semiconductor / Internet Research

Nicolas Baratte

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>This article focuses on the S&amp;P. Composition, valuations, technical indicators to watch.</li>
<li>Overall, it looks bad with a strong downward momentum. This market does start to expect a recession. We're at the juncture.</li>
<li>This is part 1. Part 2 on Monday: specific stocks</li>
</ul>


This article focuses on the S&amp;P. Composition, valuations, technical indicators to watch.
Overall, it looks bad with a strong downward momentum. This market does start to expect a recession. We're at the juncture.
This is part 1. Part 2 on Monday: specific stocks


How to Think About the Ongoing Correction? Is It a 10% Correction or a Big Crash?

Market & Forensics Analyst, Beat the Street

Nimish Maheshwari

Market & Forensics Analyst

Beat the Street

Beat The Street was founded by Nimish Maheshwari and Sudarshan Bhandari, both of whom are Chartered Accountants by Profession, known for their expert analysis in the fields of Business, Sectoral analysis, and Corporate governance.

With a strong social media presence of 45,000+ Subscribers across various platforms, they are considered trusted voices in the industry. Their insights and analysis have been featured in some of India’s most prominent publications, including the Economic Times, Dalal Street Investment Journal, The Morning Context, and The Ken.

Their analysis on Bankrupt & Insolvent companies has been instrumental in saving investors from significant losses. They have a keen eye for identifying red flags and has identified exclusive redflags earlier in Vedanta, Nykaa, Dhani Services, Adani and many more.

Read Business Not Stock Prices

<ul>
<li>Indian equities have seen a broad-based correction, with the Nifty-50 down ~16% from its peak, driven by weak earnings, heavy FII outflows, and global uncertainty. </li>
<li>However, multiple indicators—from easing valuations and supportive policies to an expected earnings rebound—suggest the correction may be nearing its end. </li>
<li>This blog explores past correction trends and key signals pointing to a potential market reversal in FY26.</li>
</ul>


Indian equities have seen a broad-based correction, with the Nifty-50 down ~16% from its peak, driven by weak earnings, heavy FII outflows, and global uncertainty. 
However, multiple indicators—from easing valuations and supportive policies to an expected earnings rebound—suggest the correction may be nearing its end. 
This blog explores past correction trends and key signals pointing to a potential market reversal in FY26.


Charted Insights: A Deeper Look into Indian Market’s Historical Corrections

Chief Economist & Political Strategist, CrossASEAN Research

Prasenjit K. Basu

Chief Economist & Political Strategist

CrossASEAN Research

At CrossASEAN Research we strive to produce unbiased and differentiated on the ground insights on companies across South East Asia. Our Research is produced for the most part after face to face meetings and conversations with company management to dig deep into the long term vision and strategy of the companies we cover. We seek to deliver investable and actionable themes on sectors and markets across SE Asia, often in collaboration with other Insight Providers across the region, pooling the vast experience of the analysts within the Smartkarma Ecosystem. We also offer bespoke work and tailor made trips for our clients. 

Insights across South East Asia

Macroeconomics

<ul>
<li>US headline inflation was lower than consensus but in line with our view that Trump's policies will be disinflationary. Core CPI inflation (3.1%YoY in Feb'25) was at a 46-month low. </li>
<li>Trump has kept crude oil prices well contained (near US$70/bbl, down 17%YoY), an important factor helping to lower headline and core inflation. DOGE impact on spending/job cuts will flow in. </li>
<li>Inflationary impact of import-tariff hikes will be modest (imports are only 20% of GDP), with greater disinflation from oil and DOGE. We expect FedFunds to fall to 3.5% by end-2025. </li>
</ul>


US headline inflation was lower than consensus but in line with our view that Trump's policies will be disinflationary. Core CPI inflation (3.1%YoY in Feb'25) was at a 46-month low. 
Trump has kept crude oil prices well contained (near US$70/bbl, down 17%YoY), an important factor helping to lower headline and core inflation. DOGE impact on spending/job cuts will flow in. 
Inflationary impact of import-tariff hikes will be modest (imports are only 20% of GDP), with greater disinflation from oil and DOGE. We expect FedFunds to fall to 3.5% by end-2025. 


US: Trump Disinflation Evident in Feb'25, Likely to Continue as DOGE Cuts Flow In

<ul>
<li>WTI futures fell by 3.9% for the week ending 07/Mar, marking its seventh consecutive weekly drop. Prices fell due to trade tensions, rising U.S. crude inventories, and demand concerns.</li>
<li>The U.S. rig count fell by one to 592, ending a five-week gain streak, with oil rigs unchanged at 486 and gas rigs down by one to 101.</li>
<li>WTI OI PCR fell to 0.91 on 07/Mar from 0.98 on 28/Feb. Call OI increased by 13.1% WoW, while put OI rose by 5.3%.</li>
</ul>


WTI futures fell by 3.9% for the week ending 07/Mar, marking its seventh consecutive weekly drop. Prices fell due to trade tensions, rising U.S. crude inventories, and demand concerns.
The U.S. rig count fell by one to 592, ending a five-week gain streak, with oil rigs unchanged at 486 and gas rigs down by one to 101.
WTI OI PCR fell to 0.91 on 07/Mar from 0.98 on 28/Feb. Call OI increased by 13.1% WoW, while put OI rose by 5.3%.


[US Crude Oil Options Weekly 2025/10] WTI Extends Decline Amid Weak Demand and Trade Uncertainty

United States

The S&P 500® is widely regarded as the best single gauge of large-cap U.S. equities and serves as the foundation for a wide range of investment products. The index includes 500 leading companies and captures approximately 80% coverage of available market capitalization.

S&P 500 INDEX (SPX INDEX)

[ETP 2025/11] Weak Demand and Trade Tensions Weigh on Crude, Volatile Weather Pressures Henry Hub

US crude inventories rise, missing expectations, while gasoline and distillate stockpiles fall. Aramco's price targets cut, TotalEnergies CEO...

Mint Finance

How to Think About the Ongoing Correction? Is It a 10% Correction or a Big Crash?

Article warns of negative outlook for S&P. The market is at the juncture between a small 10% correction and a major crash.

Nicolas Baratte

Charted Insights: A Deeper Look into Indian Market’s Historical Corrections

Indian equities have experienced a significant correction due to weak earnings, FII outflows, and global uncertainty, but indicators suggest a...

Nimish Maheshwari

US: Trump Disinflation Evident in Feb'25, Likely to Continue as DOGE Cuts Flow In

US CPI inflation lower than expected, core inflation at 46-month low. Crude oil prices contained, DOGE impact on spending/job cuts to offset...

Prasenjit K. Basu

[US Crude Oil Options Weekly 2025/10] WTI Extends Decline Amid Weak Demand and Trade Uncertainty

WTI futures continue to drop for the seventh consecutive week due to trade tensions, rising inventories, and demand concerns. U.S. rig count also...

Mint Finance

[ETP 2025/11] Weak Demand and Trade Tensions Weigh on Crude, Volatile Weather Pressures Henry Hub

​US crude inventories rise, missing expectations, while gasoline and distillate stockpiles fall. Aramco's price targets cut, TotalEnergies CEO...

Mint Finance

How to Think About the Ongoing Correction? Is It a 10% Correction or a Big Crash?

​Article warns of negative outlook for S&P. The market is at the juncture between a small 10% correction and a major crash.

Nicolas Baratte

Charted Insights: A Deeper Look into Indian Market’s Historical Corrections

​Indian equities have experienced a significant correction due to weak earnings, FII outflows, and global uncertainty, but indicators suggest a...

Nimish Maheshwari

US: Trump Disinflation Evident in Feb'25, Likely to Continue as DOGE Cuts Flow In

​US CPI inflation lower than expected, core inflation at 46-month low. Crude oil prices contained, DOGE impact on spending/job cuts to offset...

Prasenjit K. Basu

[US Crude Oil Options Weekly 2025/10] WTI Extends Decline Amid Weak Demand and Trade Uncertainty

​WTI futures continue to drop for the seventh consecutive week due to trade tensions, rising inventories, and demand concerns. U.S. rig count also...

Mint Finance

US crude inventories rise, missing expectations, while gasoline and distillate stockpiles fall. Aramco's price targets cut, TotalEnergies CEO...

Article warns of negative outlook for S&P. The market is at the juncture between a small 10% correction and a major crash.

Indian equities have experienced a significant correction due to weak earnings, FII outflows, and global uncertainty, but indicators suggest a...

US CPI inflation lower than expected, core inflation at 46-month low. Crude oil prices contained, DOGE impact on spending/job cuts to offset...

WTI futures continue to drop for the seventh consecutive week due to trade tensions, rising inventories, and demand concerns. U.S. rig count also...