Oil and Gas, Mint Finance

Suhas Reddy

Oil and Gas

Deep Fundamental Analysis

Mint Finance

Mint Finance's investment research blends deep fundamental analysis with technical & quant insights. Investment strategies straddle across multiple asset classes with risk management embedded into every trade to deliver an outsized reward-to-risk ratio.

Mint Finance's research is centered around three key themes. First, energy transition and climate change. Second, artificial intelligence. Third, shifting world order with its impact across politics and monetary economics.

Macroeconomics

<ul>
<li>China’s GDP growth continues to be driven by government spending while domestic demand and consumer confidence remains weak.</li>
<li>Exports fall in 2023, the first time since 2016 despite industrial production and utilisation rising.</li>
<li>China’s CPI inflation in December comes in at -0.3 % YoY, falls for three consecutive months.</li>
</ul>


China’s GDP growth continues to be driven by government spending while domestic demand and consumer confidence remains weak.
Exports fall in 2023, the first time since 2016 despite industrial production and utilisation rising.
China’s CPI inflation in December comes in at -0.3 % YoY, falls for three consecutive months.


Mint Macro Roundup: Deflation, Anaemic GDP Growth & Falling Exports Amplifies China Headwinds

Pan-Asia Tactical Market Calls (Quant-Driven), MRM Research

Nico Rosti

Pan-Asia Tactical Market Calls (Quant-Driven)

MRM Research

Quantitative Research

Equity Derivatives

<ul>
<li>The <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/s-p-500-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22886:1" rel="noopener">S&amp;P 500 INDEX</a> at the moment has lost its momentum and is pulling back towards the Q2 (4751) and Q3 (4713) support levels, where it would be DAILY OVERSOLD.</li>
<li>A DAILY reversal could happen today or tomorrow from prices between 4750 and 4700.</li>
<li>
<strong>This trade is a quick scalp</strong>, the goal is to profit from a 1-bar reversal, after that we cannot predict the market direction, so caution is advised.</li>
</ul>


The S&amp;P 500 INDEX at the moment has lost its momentum and is pulling back towards the Q2 (4751) and Q3 (4713) support levels, where it would be DAILY OVERSOLD.
A DAILY reversal could happen today or tomorrow from prices between 4750 and 4700.

This trade is a quick scalp, the goal is to profit from a 1-bar reversal, after that we cannot predict the market direction, so caution is advised.


EQD | SPX DAILY LONG Reversal Probability Increasing

<ul>
<li>US inflation rate ticked up to 3.4% in December and came in above analyst expectations. Core inflation remains equally stubborn.</li>
<li>Similar inflationary pressures as November were observed with shelter costs and service index rising and energy prices continuing to fall. Notably, energy prices slowed their pace of monthly decline.</li>
<li>Market impact of the CPI report was muted as initial price action upon release of the report was reversed through the day. </li>
</ul>


US inflation rate ticked up to 3.4% in December and came in above analyst expectations. Core inflation remains equally stubborn.
Similar inflationary pressures as November were observed with shelter costs and service index rising and energy prices continuing to fall. Notably, energy prices slowed their pace of monthly decline.
Market impact of the CPI report was muted as initial price action upon release of the report was reversed through the day. 


Mint Macro Roundup: US Dec CPI up 3.4% Beating Expectations yet Rate Cut Optimism Remains Intact

Chief Economist & Political Strategist, CrossASEAN Research

Prasenjit K. Basu

Chief Economist & Political Strategist

CrossASEAN Research

At CrossASEAN Research we strive to produce unbiased and differentiated on the ground insights on companies across South East Asia. Our Research is produced for the most part after face to face meetings and conversations with company management to dig deep into the long term vision and strategy of the companies we cover. We seek to deliver investable and actionable themes on sectors and markets across SE Asia, often in collaboration with other Insight Providers across the region, pooling the vast experience of the analysts within the Smartkarma Ecosystem. We also offer bespoke work and tailor made trips for our clients. 

Insights across South East Asia

<ul>
<li>Trump is likely to win a substantial victory in the Iowa caucuses, with the real contest being for second place between Haley and DeSantis, with the latter banking on Iowa.</li>
<li>In the New Hampshire primary, Haley has closed the gap with Trump, to near a dead-heat with Christie's withdrawal. A post-Iowa withdrawal by DeSantis would mean "Advantage Haley' in NH. </li>
<li>Haley will likely win at home (South Carolina), with that momentum reducing Trump's huge organizational advantage on Super Tuesday. A 2-horse GOP race is market-positive, promising a less chaotic outcome.  </li>
</ul>


Trump is likely to win a substantial victory in the Iowa caucuses, with the real contest being for second place between Haley and DeSantis, with the latter banking on Iowa.
In the New Hampshire primary, Haley has closed the gap with Trump, to near a dead-heat with Christie's withdrawal. A post-Iowa withdrawal by DeSantis would mean "Advantage Haley' in NH. 
Haley will likely win at home (South Carolina), with that momentum reducing Trump's huge organizational advantage on Super Tuesday. A 2-horse GOP race is market-positive, promising a less chaotic outcome.  


US: Haley Leads Biden by 8pp; Iowa Could Make It a Trump-Haley GOP Contest

Global Multi-Asset Investment Strategist, True Insights

Jeroen Blokland

Global Multi-Asset Investment Strategist

Build Well-Diversified Multi-Asset Portfolios

True Insights

Our research helps investors build well-diversified multi-asset portfolios and profit from market developments. In addition, our unique and proven Macro – Sentiment – Valuation (MSV) investment framework ensures a consistent flow of new investment opportunities. Together with our market views, these opportunities will be reflected in our live ETF-based Global Multi-Asset Portfolios.

Cross Asset Strategy

<ul>
<li>After a ten-year struggle, US spot Bitcoin ETFs have been approved, closing one of the most entertaining and remarkable (what regulator gets hacked in the process) ETF races ever.</li>
<li>US inflation came in hotter than expected, but unlike previous months, underlying data was pretty benign, with one measure of headline CPI dropping below 2% for the first time in 3.5 years.</li>
<li>Chinese equities are out. And not just by sentiment-driven short-term investors. Meanwhile, Japanese stocks are on fire, powering ahead by more than 6% since the start of this year.</li>
</ul>


After a ten-year struggle, US spot Bitcoin ETFs have been approved, closing one of the most entertaining and remarkable (what regulator gets hacked in the process) ETF races ever.
US inflation came in hotter than expected, but unlike previous months, underlying data was pretty benign, with one measure of headline CPI dropping below 2% for the first time in 3.5 years.
Chinese equities are out. And not just by sentiment-driven short-term investors. Meanwhile, Japanese stocks are on fire, powering ahead by more than 6% since the start of this year.


The Weekly Market Monitor – Chinese Equities Out, Bitcoin In!

United States

The S&P 500® is widely regarded as the best single gauge of large-cap U.S. equities and serves as the foundation for a wide range of investment products. The index includes 500 leading companies and captures approximately 80% coverage of available market capitalization.

S&P 500 INDEX (SPX INDEX)

Mint Macro Roundup: Deflation, Anaemic GDP Growth & Falling Exports Amplifies China Headwinds

China's GDP growth largely driven by government spending, fails to impress markets. Domestic consumer demand remains weak and property investment...

Mint Finance

EQD | SPX DAILY LONG Reversal Probability Increasing

The SPX Index's rally is losing momentum, the current pullback could soon reach Q2/Q3 support levels (OVERSOLD). A quick LONG scalp trade is...

Nico Rosti

Mint Macro Roundup: US Dec CPI up 3.4% Beating Expectations yet Rate Cut Optimism Remains Intact

US headline inflation rises to 3.4% YoY in December, higher than estimates. Core CPI inflation falls below 4%, Market expectations of a rate cut in...

Mint Finance

US: Haley Leads Biden by 8pp; Iowa Could Make It a Trump-Haley GOP Contest

DeSantis bet the bank on Iowa. If Haley beats him to 2nd there, he's likely to withdraw. Haley then will likely beat Trump in NH & SC, reducing...

Prasenjit K. Basu

The Weekly Market Monitor – Chinese Equities Out, Bitcoin In!

With hindsight, this week likely marks Bitcoin's 'official' adoption as a new asset class. Meanwhile, investors seem done with China, once the...

Jeroen Blokland

Mint Macro Roundup: Deflation, Anaemic GDP Growth & Falling Exports Amplifies China Headwinds

China's GDP growth largely driven by government spending, fails to impress markets. Domestic consumer demand remains weak and property investment...

Mint Finance

EQD | SPX DAILY LONG Reversal Probability Increasing

​The SPX Index's rally is losing momentum, the current pullback could soon reach Q2/Q3 support levels (OVERSOLD). A quick LONG scalp trade is...

Nico Rosti

Mint Macro Roundup: US Dec CPI up 3.4% Beating Expectations yet Rate Cut Optimism Remains Intact

US headline inflation rises to 3.4% YoY in December, higher than estimates. Core CPI inflation falls below 4%, Market expectations of a rate cut in...

Mint Finance

US: Haley Leads Biden by 8pp; Iowa Could Make It a Trump-Haley GOP Contest

DeSantis bet the bank on Iowa. If Haley beats him to 2nd there, he's likely to withdraw. Haley then will likely beat Trump in NH & SC, reducing...

Prasenjit K. Basu

The Weekly Market Monitor – Chinese Equities Out, Bitcoin In!

With hindsight, this week likely marks Bitcoin's 'official' adoption as a new asset class. Meanwhile, investors seem done with China, once the...

Jeroen Blokland

The SPX Index's rally is losing momentum, the current pullback could soon reach Q2/Q3 support levels (OVERSOLD). A quick LONG scalp trade is...