External broker reports(aggregated public sources), Axis Direct

Axis Direct

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

Axis Direct is the flagship brand under Axis Securities Limited, a subsidiary of Axis Bank in India. 

Content available is external broker reports authored by a third party outside the Smartkarma network and has been aggregated by an online aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed by Smartkarma in this format for user's convenience and general informational purposes only. Content does not constitute investment or financial advice and Smartkarma makes no representation or warranty regarding its accuracy or contents. Original third party author retains all copyright and other proprietary rights in the content. Access or use of third party links not controlled by Smartkarma are at the user's own risk.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

A Vote-of-Account-Budget sets the Narrative of “Viksit Bharat”: We believe that the Budget has proactively set the tone for economic development in the upcoming years. It envisions a "Viksit Bharat" by 2047, following a transformation similar to the one witnessed in the last decade. The market borrowing is projected to be ~11.75 Lc Cr for FY25, and the bond market responded positively to this budgeted figure. Our key takeaways from the Interim Budget are as follows: 1) Reasonable Fiscal Math; 2) Significant positive for infrastructure; 3) Enhanced allocation to the PM AwasYojana; 4) Rooftop solarization (SuryodayaYojna), and 5) Boost to Nano DAP and Aquaculture Production.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

A Vote-of-Account-Budget sets the Narrative of “Viksit Bharat”: We believe that the Budget has proactively set the tone for economic development in the upcoming years. It envisions a "Viksit Bharat" by 2047, following a transformation similar to the one witnessed in the last decade. The market borrowing is projected to be ~11.75 Lc Cr for FY25, and the bond market responded positively to this budgeted figure. Our key takeaways from the Interim Budget are as follows: 1) Reasonable Fiscal Math; 2) Significant positive for infrastructure; 3) Enhanced allocation to the PM AwasYojana; 4) Rooftop solarization (SuryodayaYojna), and 5) Boost to Nano DAP and Aquaculture Production.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Pan-Asia Tactical Market Calls (Quant-Driven), MRM Research

Nico Rosti

Pan-Asia Tactical Market Calls (Quant-Driven)

MRM Research

Quantitative Research

Equity Derivatives

<ul>
<li>The <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/s-p-500-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22886:1" rel="noopener">SPX </a> has been rallying for 4 months, rising &gt;+24%, is is OVERBOUGHT but we see the current pullback as a BUY opportunity.</li>
<li>The index could pullback another 1-2 weeks before it restarts the rally.</li>
<li>Price areas to buy are between 5069 and 5000, lower prices may indicate a deeper correction is unfolding (lasting up to 3 weeks down in total).</li>
</ul>


The SPX  has been rallying for 4 months, rising &gt;+24%, is is OVERBOUGHT but we see the current pullback as a BUY opportunity.
The index could pullback another 1-2 weeks before it restarts the rally.
Price areas to buy are between 5069 and 5000, lower prices may indicate a deeper correction is unfolding (lasting up to 3 weeks down in total).


EQD | S&P500 WEEKLY Pull Back: BUY the Dip

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>There were a few rebalance announcements in the last week and the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sse-science-and-technology-innovation-board-50-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29279:1" rel="noopener">SSE STAR50 (STAR50 INDEX)</a> and STAR100 Index rebalances were implemented at the close on Friday.</li>
<li>There are a lot of rebalances that will be implemented at the close on the coming Thursday and Friday.</li>
<li>Another big week of inflows for onshore China ETFs with Central Huijin likely behind the big flows to ETFs tracking the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/shanghai-shenzhen-csi-300-inde" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22906:1" rel="noopener">Shanghai Shenzhen CSI 300 Inde (SHSZ300 INDEX)</a>. </li>
</ul>


There were a few rebalance announcements in the last week and the SSE STAR50 (STAR50 INDEX) and STAR100 Index rebalances were implemented at the close on Friday.
There are a lot of rebalances that will be implemented at the close on the coming Thursday and Friday.
Another big week of inflows for onshore China ETFs with Central Huijin likely behind the big flows to ETFs tracking the Shanghai Shenzhen CSI 300 Inde (SHSZ300 INDEX). 


Index Rebalance & ETF Flow Recap: NKY, ASX, CSI300, A50, STTF, LowVol30, Value Up

Global Multi-Asset Investment Strategist, True Insights

Jeroen Blokland

Global Multi-Asset Investment Strategist

Build Well-Diversified Multi-Asset Portfolios

True Insights

Our research helps investors build well-diversified multi-asset portfolios and profit from market developments. In addition, our unique and proven Macro – Sentiment – Valuation (MSV) investment framework ensures a consistent flow of new investment opportunities. Together with our market views, these opportunities will be reflected in our live ETF-based Global Multi-Asset Portfolios.

Cross Asset Strategy

<ul>
<li>Bitcoin AND gold made new all-time highs, which is by no means a coincidence. Gold’s market cap is now over USD 16 trillion, which is important for two reasons.</li>
<li>The Fed has multiple reasons to cut rates even though GDP growth is resilient, including bank defaults, the commercial real estate crisis, and evaporating liquidity.</li>
<li>The ECB should cut rates, too; it runs the risk of getting in on the action too late.</li>
</ul>


Bitcoin AND gold made new all-time highs, which is by no means a coincidence. Gold’s market cap is now over USD 16 trillion, which is important for two reasons.
The Fed has multiple reasons to cut rates even though GDP growth is resilient, including bank defaults, the commercial real estate crisis, and evaporating liquidity.
The ECB should cut rates, too; it runs the risk of getting in on the action too late.


The Weekly Market Monitor – These Two All-Time Highs Are No Coincidence!

Technical Analyst, Vermilion Research

Joe Jasper

Technical Analyst

Technical and Quantitative Research

Vermilion Research

Vermilion’s objective is to deliver timely, actionable, and unique technical research to professional investors through the application of our various technical indicators.

Our research strategists seek to highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various technical and quantitative indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. Our unique research methodology, centered on relative strength, enables our strategists to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing the universe of actively traded stocks into discrete sectors, then into industry groups. We then apply our technical and quantitative tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sector or group, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. We provide a historical perspective that often reveals, through our long-term charts, how price patterns often repeat themselves over time.

Technical Analysis

<ul>
<li>The number of risk-on signals continues to grow, while risk-off signals remain virtually non-existent. We will be sure to point it out when this dynamic starts to change</li>
<li>In the meantime, we want to continue riding this bull market higher, and our bullish outlook on the S&amp;P 500, Russell 2000, and Nasdaq 100 (since early-November 2023) remains intact.</li>
<li>Gold is breaking out of a 3.5-year base to all-time closing highs -- buy. Silver is breaking out above a 3-month base at $23.50. Fueled by toppy DXY and rates</li>
</ul>


The number of risk-on signals continues to grow, while risk-off signals remain virtually non-existent. We will be sure to point it out when this dynamic starts to change
In the meantime, we want to continue riding this bull market higher, and our bullish outlook on the S&amp;P 500, Russell 2000, and Nasdaq 100 (since early-November 2023) remains intact.
Gold is breaking out of a 3.5-year base to all-time closing highs -- buy. Silver is breaking out above a 3-month base at $23.50. Fueled by toppy DXY and rates


Gold Breaking Out Above 3.5-Year Resistance as the U.S. Dollar (DXY) And Treasury Yields Roll Over

United States

The S&P 500® is widely regarded as the best single gauge of large-cap U.S. equities and serves as the foundation for a wide range of investment products. The index includes 500 leading companies and captures approximately 80% coverage of available market capitalization.

S&P 500 INDEX (SPX INDEX)

Multi Asset Strategy - March 2024

A Vote-of-Account-Budget sets the Narrative of “Viksit Bharat”: We believe that the Budget has proactively set the tone for economic development in...

Axis Direct

EQD | S&P500 WEEKLY Pull Back: BUY the Dip

The SPX has been rallying for 4 months, but is now overbought. The current pullback is a buy opportunity, although there is a possibility of a...

Nico Rosti

Index Rebalance & ETF Flow Recap: NKY, ASX, CSI300, A50, STTF, LowVol30, Value Up

This recap highlights Insights covering Asian index rebalances (announcements/ forecasts/ IPO Fast Entry/ M&A driven changes). We also highlight...

Brian Freitas

The Weekly Market Monitor – These Two All-Time Highs Are No Coincidence!

Forget the macro data for a moment. This week was all about central banks opening the door to policy easing and scarce assets recording new all...

Jeroen Blokland

Gold Breaking Out Above 3.5-Year Resistance as the U.S. Dollar (DXY) And Treasury Yields Roll Over

Gold $GLD $GC_F Breaking Out Above 3.5-Year Resistance as $DXY and Treasury Yields Roll Over $TNX $TYX; Seeing More Risk-On Signals, Not Less....

Vermilion Research

Multi Asset Strategy - March 2024

A Vote-of-Account-Budget sets the Narrative of “Viksit Bharat”: We believe that the Budget has proactively set the tone for economic development in...

Axis Direct

EQD | S&P500 WEEKLY Pull Back: BUY the Dip

​The SPX has been rallying for 4 months, but is now overbought. The current pullback is a buy opportunity, although there is a possibility of a...

Nico Rosti

Index Rebalance & ETF Flow Recap: NKY, ASX, CSI300, A50, STTF, LowVol30, Value Up

This recap highlights Insights covering Asian index rebalances (announcements/ forecasts/ IPO Fast Entry/ M&A driven changes). We also highlight...

Brian Freitas

The Weekly Market Monitor – These Two All-Time Highs Are No Coincidence!

Forget the macro data for a moment. This week was all about central banks opening the door to policy easing and scarce assets recording new all...

Jeroen Blokland

Gold Breaking Out Above 3.5-Year Resistance as the U.S. Dollar (DXY) And Treasury Yields Roll Over

Gold $GLD $GC_F Breaking Out Above 3.5-Year Resistance as $DXY and Treasury Yields Roll Over $TNX $TYX; Seeing More Risk-On Signals, Not Less....

Vermilion Research

The SPX has been rallying for 4 months, but is now overbought. The current pullback is a buy opportunity, although there is a possibility of a...