Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal, Shenton Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China Biotech

Shenton Research

Shenton Research is an independent Asia Pacific equity specialist. Our quantitative research covers index rebalancing flows, alongside exchange data analytics accross Asia Pacific. On the equity capital markets side, we focus on Asia Pacific ECM, especially biotech and TMT. Our lead analyst is frequently cited by international media.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyse the changes of A-H premium on 196 stocks over the last week. The average A-H premium was 81.4% as of Aug 28th.</li>
<li>The average A-H premium changed by 1.6ppt week-on-week, led by consumer discretionary, energy, real estate and offset by utilities, financials.</li>
<li>We highlight weekly changes in A-H premium for Gwmotor, China Mobile, Remegen, Fuyao Glass, Minsheng Bank.</li>
</ul>


We analyse the changes of A-H premium on 196 stocks over the last week. The average A-H premium was 81.4% as of Aug 28th.
The average A-H premium changed by 1.6ppt week-on-week, led by consumer discretionary, energy, real estate and offset by utilities, financials.
We highlight weekly changes in A-H premium for Gwmotor, China Mobile, Remegen, Fuyao Glass, Minsheng Bank.


A-H Premium Weekly (Aug 28th): Gwmotor, China Mobile, Remegen, Fuyao Glass, Minsheng Bank

External broker reports(aggregated public sources), CMB International

CMB International

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

Incorporated in Hong Kong, supported by the mainland and targeting in global market, CMB International Capital Corporation Limited (“CMBI”) is an integrated financial institution providing comprehensive and professional services. As a wholly-owned subsidiary of China Merchants Bank ("CMB"), by leveraging on the Group’s synergy and coordination in domestic and overseas markets, as well as CMB’s strong resources and outstanding social reputation, CMBI and its subsidiaries have been actively implementing diversified business strategies and set up an overall layout of main business segments including Corporate Finance, Asset Management, Wealth Management, Global Markets and Structured Finance, etc. Adhering to the philosophy of “being clients oriented and increasing our own values by the way of creating value for clients”, CMBI endeavors to provide quality and integrated financial services to institutional, corporate and individual customers both domestic and overseas including Hong Kong IPO sponsorship and underwriting, share placement and rights issue for listed companies, financial advisors, bonds issuance services, asset management, direct investment, wealth management, equity sales and trading, etc.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul><li>We expect the rally of the construction machinery sector to continue, given more policy details released earlier by the Ministry of Housing and Urban-Rural Development to support the replacement and upgrade of machinery.</li><li>Besides, the NDRC mentioned in a press conference yesterday (17 Apr) that the authority has completed the preliminary screening for the local government special bond projects.</li><li>We believe all these will gradually help improve the domestic machinery demand. Our short-term pecking order in the construction machinery space is Zhejiang Dingli (603338 CH, BUY), Zoomlion (1157 HK/000157 CH, HOLD), Jiangsu Hengli (601100 CH, BUY) and SANY Heavy (600031 CH, HOLD).</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

We expect the rally of the construction machinery sector to continue, given more policy details released earlier by the Ministry of Housing and Urban-Rural Development to support the replacement and upgrade of machinery.Besides, the NDRC mentioned in a press conference yesterday (17 Apr) that the authority has completed the preliminary screening for the local government special bond projects.We believe all these will gradually help improve the domestic machinery demand. Our short-term pecking order in the construction machinery space is Zhejiang Dingli (603338 CH, BUY), Zoomlion (1157 HK/000157 CH, HOLD), Jiangsu Hengli (601100 CH, BUY) and SANY Heavy (600031 CH, HOLD).Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

China Construction Machinery - More Policies to Support Domestic Machinery Demand

<ul><li>China Construction Machinery Association (CCMA) released a full set of construction machinery sales data for Feb 2024.</li><li>Combining the sales figures in 2M24 (to remove the Lunar New Year effect), most of the machines (except forklifts) reported YoY declines.</li><li>Tower cranes/excavators reported a 49%/22% YoY decline in sales volume. Therefore, we are still cautious on SANY Heavy (600031 CH, HOLD) due to its high exposure to excavators and slowing exports. We also maintain our conservative view on Zoomlion (1157 HK/000157 CH, HOLD), as weak property-related machinery demand in China may offset the strong growth in exports. </li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

China Construction Machinery Association (CCMA) released a full set of construction machinery sales data for Feb 2024.Combining the sales figures in 2M24 (to remove the Lunar New Year effect), most of the machines (except forklifts) reported YoY declines.Tower cranes/excavators reported a 49%/22% YoY decline in sales volume. Therefore, we are still cautious on SANY Heavy (600031 CH, HOLD) due to its high exposure to excavators and slowing exports. We also maintain our conservative view on Zoomlion (1157 HK/000157 CH, HOLD), as weak property-related machinery demand in China may offset the strong growth in exports. Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Capital Goods - 2M24: Solid Growth of Forklifts

<ul><li>What is new? On 23 Nov, SANY AWP (三一高空机械) signed an agreement with the municipal government of Huzhou, Zhejiang (source).</li><li>According to the agreement, SANY AWP will spend &gt;RMB10bn to build a production base for aerial work platform (AWP) and research centre in Wuxing District, Huzhou.</li><li>Upon the completion of the construction, the annual capacity of AWP is expected to reach 150k units, covering various types of boom lift, scissors lift and large-size intelligent AWP models.</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

What is new? On 23 Nov, SANY AWP (三一高空机械) signed an agreement with the municipal government of Huzhou, Zhejiang (source).According to the agreement, SANY AWP will spend &gt;RMB10bn to build a production base for aerial work platform (AWP) and research centre in Wuxing District, Huzhou.Upon the completion of the construction, the annual capacity of AWP is expected to reach 150k units, covering various types of boom lift, scissors lift and large-size intelligent AWP models.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Huge AWP Expansion Plan by SANY Points to Deterioration of Competitive Landscape

<ul><li>Four companies reported their 3Q23 results last night. Weichai Power and Zoomlion reported better-than-expected results, while SANY Heavy and Jiangsu Hengli are below expectations.</li><li>All of them reported gross margin expansion but very different revenue growth trends due to different product mixes and geographic focuses.</li><li>All of them reported declines in net finance income due to the volatility of FX rates. Weichai Power and Zhejiang Dingli (reported over the weekend) remain our sector key picks.</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Four companies reported their 3Q23 results last night. Weichai Power and Zoomlion reported better-than-expected results, while SANY Heavy and Jiangsu Hengli are below expectations.All of them reported gross margin expansion but very different revenue growth trends due to different product mixes and geographic focuses.All of them reported declines in net finance income due to the volatility of FX rates. Weichai Power and Zhejiang Dingli (reported over the weekend) remain our sector key picks.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

China Construction Machinery & HDT – 3Q23 Earnings Review

China

SANY Heavy Industry Co., Ltd manufactures and markets construction and engineering machinery and related parts. The Company produces and sells concrete pumps, concrete pump vehicles, road rollers, pavers, and other related products. Sany Heavy Industry markets its products worldwide.

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Sany Heavy Industry (600031 CH)

A-H Premium Weekly (Aug 28th): Gwmotor, China Mobile, Remegen, Fuyao Glass, Minsheng Bank

We analyzed A-H premium changes in the past week and highlight A-H premium changes for Gwmotor, China Mobile, Remegen, Fuyao Glass, Minsheng Bank.

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

China Construction Machinery - More Policies to Support Domestic Machinery Demand

We expect the rally of the construction machinery sector to continue, given more policy details released earlier by the Ministry of Housing and...

CMB International

Capital Goods - 2M24: Solid Growth of Forklifts

Combining the sales figures in 2M24 (to remove the Lunar New Year effect), most of the machines (except forklifts) reported YoY declines.

CMB International

Huge AWP Expansion Plan by SANY Points to Deterioration of Competitive Landscape

What is new? On 23 Nov, SANY AWP (三一高空机械) signed an agreement with the municipal government of Huzhou, Zhejiang (source).

CMB International

China Construction Machinery & HDT – 3Q23 Earnings Review

Four companies reported their 3Q23 results last night. Weichai Power and Zoomlion reported better-than-expected results, while SANY Heavy and...

CMB International

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52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)