Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

David Blennerhassett

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>For the month of July 2024, 11 new transactions (firm and non-binding) were discussed on Smartkarma with an overall announced deal size of ~US$10bn.</li>
<li>The average premium for the new transactions announced (or first discussed) in July was ~31%. The average premium YTD is ~44%.</li>
<li>This compares to the average premium for transactions in 2023 (117 transactions), 2022 (106), 2021 (165), 2020 (158), and 2019 (145 ) of 39%, 41%, 33%, 31%, and 31% respectively.</li>
</ul>


For the month of July 2024, 11 new transactions (firm and non-binding) were discussed on Smartkarma with an overall announced deal size of ~US$10bn.
The average premium for the new transactions announced (or first discussed) in July was ~31%. The average premium YTD is ~44%.
This compares to the average premium for transactions in 2023 (117 transactions), 2022 (106), 2021 (165), 2020 (158), and 2019 (145 ) of 39%, 41%, 33%, 31%, and 31% respectively.


(Mostly) Asia M&A, July 2024: Canvest, Furukawa, Arvida, Advanced Info, Sermsuk, Thaicom

<ul>
<li>Back on the 18th, the Sirivadhanabhakdi family-backed <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/thai-beverage-pcl" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:3656:1" rel="noopener">Thai Beverage (THBEV SP)</a> announced it would <a href="https://links.sgx.com/FileOpen/1.%20SGX_Announcement_Share_Swap.ashx?App=Announcement&amp;FileID=810120" target="_blank" rel="noopener">swap</a> its 28.78% stake in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/frasers-property-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:1670:1" rel="noopener">Frasers Property Ltd (FPL SP)</a> with THBEV-affiliate TCC Assets.</li>
<li>Under the agreement, TCC will transfer a 41.3% stake in food and beverage play <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/fraser-and-neave-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:980:1" rel="noopener">Fraser And Neave (FNN SP)</a> to THBEV, lifting THBEV's holding to 69.61% from 28.31% currently.</li>
<li>The share swap triggers no Offers for either F&amp;N or FPL. THBEV says it has no plans to privatise F&amp;N  ... at the moment.</li>
</ul>


Back on the 18th, the Sirivadhanabhakdi family-backed Thai Beverage (THBEV SP) announced it would swap its 28.78% stake in Frasers Property Ltd (FPL SP) with THBEV-affiliate TCC Assets.
Under the agreement, TCC will transfer a 41.3% stake in food and beverage play Fraser And Neave (FNN SP) to THBEV, lifting THBEV's holding to 69.61% from 28.31% currently.
The share swap triggers no Offers for either F&amp;N or FPL. THBEV says it has no plans to privatise F&amp;N  ... at the moment.


Charoen Rearranges ThaiBev and TCC's Deckchairs

<ul>
<li>I tally 47 - mostly firm, mostly Asia-Pac - transactions currently being discussed and analysed on Smartkarma. Inside is a timetable of upcoming key events for each deal. </li>
<li>Two new deals discussed this week on Smartkarma: <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/furukawa-battery-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:6513:1" rel="noopener">Furukawa Battery (6937 JP)</a>'s TOB, and the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/arvida-group-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:14485:1" rel="noopener">Arvida (ARV NZ)</a>. <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/warehouse-group-limited-the" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:1721:1" rel="noopener">Warehouse Group Limited (WHS NZ)</a>'s co-founder is kicking tyres. </li>
<li>Key updates took place on <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/pacific-smiles-group-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:2891:1" rel="noopener">Pacific Smiles (PSQ AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/canvest-environmental-protection-group-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:100:1" rel="noopener">Canvest Environmental Protection Group (1381 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/cpmc-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:10427:1" rel="noopener">CPMC Holdings (906 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/jeisys-medical-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36766:1" rel="noopener">Jeisys Medical (287410 KS)</a>, and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hollysys-automation-technologies" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26078:1" rel="noopener">Hollysys Automation Technologies (HOLI US)</a>.</li>
</ul>


I tally 47 - mostly firm, mostly Asia-Pac - transactions currently being discussed and analysed on Smartkarma. Inside is a timetable of upcoming key events for each deal. 
Two new deals discussed this week on Smartkarma: Furukawa Battery (6937 JP)'s TOB, and the Arvida (ARV NZ). Warehouse Group Limited (WHS NZ)'s co-founder is kicking tyres. 
Key updates took place on Pacific Smiles (PSQ AU), Canvest Environmental Protection Group (1381 HK), CPMC Holdings (906 HK), Jeisys Medical (287410 KS), and Hollysys Automation Technologies (HOLI US).


(Mostly) Asia-Pac M&A: Furukawa Battery, Arvida, Warehouse Group, Pacific Smiles, Canvest, Jeisys

ASEAN Insight Provider, CrossASEAN Research

Angus Mackintosh

ASEAN Insight Provider

CrossASEAN Research

At CrossASEAN Research we strive to produce unbiased and differentiated on the ground insights on companies across South East Asia. Our Research is produced for the most part after face to face meetings and conversations with company management to dig deep into the long term vision and strategy of the companies we cover. We seek to deliver investable and actionable themes on sectors and markets across SE Asia, often in collaboration with other Insight Providers across the region, pooling the vast experience of the analysts within the Smartkarma Ecosystem. We also offer bespoke work and tailor made trips for our clients. 

Insights across South East Asia

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/thai-beverage-pcl" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:3656:1" rel="noopener">Thai Beverage</a> will offload its entire stake in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/frasers-property-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:1670:1" rel="noopener">Frasers Property Ltd</a> to TCC Assets in a share swap for an increased share in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/fraser-and-neave-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:980:1" rel="noopener">Fraser And Neave</a> streamlining its business focus.</li>
<li>The share swap values <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/fraser-and-neave-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:980:1" rel="noopener">Fraser And Neave</a> on a par with peers which is at a significant premium to the share price but <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/fraser-and-neave-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:980:1" rel="noopener">Fraser And Neave</a> was excessively undervalued.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/thai-beverage-pcl" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:3656:1" rel="noopener">Thai Beverage</a> deserves to trade on a higher multiple given its pure-play status and a succession of recent restructurings including Serm Suk and Oishi Holdings. </li>
</ul>



Thai Beverage will offload its entire stake in Frasers Property Ltd to TCC Assets in a share swap for an increased share in Fraser And Neave streamlining its business focus.
The share swap values Fraser And Neave on a par with peers which is at a significant premium to the share price but Fraser And Neave was excessively undervalued.

Thai Beverage deserves to trade on a higher multiple given its pure-play status and a succession of recent restructurings including Serm Suk and Oishi Holdings. 


Thai Beverage (THBEV SP) - Increasingly Streamlined SEA F&B Play

<ul>
<li>I tally 49 - mostly firm, mostly Asia-Pac - transactions currently being discussed and analysed on Smartkarma. Inside is a timetable of upcoming key events for each deal.</li>
<li>Three new deals discussed this week on Smartkarma: <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/samson-holding-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:2767:1" rel="noopener">Samson Holding (531 HK)</a>'s Scheme, and VTOs for <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/advanced-info-service-pcl" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:947:1" rel="noopener">Advanced Info Service (ADVANC TB)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/thaicom-pcl" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:18019:1" rel="noopener">Thaicom Pcl (THCOM TB)</a>.</li>
<li>Key updates took place on <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/capitol-health-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:14504:1" rel="noopener">Capitol Health (CAJ AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/alumina-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:939:1" rel="noopener">Alumina (AWC AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ansarada-group-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:30718:1" rel="noopener">Ansarada (AND AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/china-traditional-chinese-medicine" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:351:1" rel="noopener">TCM (570 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/cpmc-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:10427:1" rel="noopener">CPMC  (906 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/fancl-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:15862:1" rel="noopener">Fancl (4921 JP)</a>,and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hollysys-automation-technologies" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26078:1" rel="noopener">Hollysys Automation Technologies (HOLI US)</a>.</li>
</ul>


I tally 49 - mostly firm, mostly Asia-Pac - transactions currently being discussed and analysed on Smartkarma. Inside is a timetable of upcoming key events for each deal.
Three new deals discussed this week on Smartkarma: Samson Holding (531 HK)'s Scheme, and VTOs for Advanced Info Service (ADVANC TB) and Thaicom Pcl (THCOM TB).
Key updates took place on Capitol Health (CAJ AU), Alumina (AWC AU), Ansarada (AND AU), TCM (570 HK), CPMC  (906 HK), Fancl (4921 JP),and Hollysys Automation Technologies (HOLI US).


(Mostly) Asia-Pac M&A: AIS/Thaicom, Capitol Health, Alumina, Ansarada, TCM, CPMC, Fancl, Hollysys

Thailand

Sermsuk Public Company Limited is a Thailand-based beverage company that manufactures and distributes carbonated soft drinks, drinking water, sports drinks, energy drinks, and ready-to-drink tea. Key brands include est cola, Crystal drinking water, and Oishi ready-to-drink tea. The company is headquartered in Bangkok, Thailand, and was founded in 1952.

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Sermsuk (SSC TB)

(Mostly) Asia M&A, July 2024: Canvest, Furukawa, Arvida, Advanced Info, Sermsuk, Thaicom

The average premium for the new transactions announced (or first discussed) in July was ~31%. The average premium YTD is ~44%.

David Blennerhassett

Charoen Rearranges ThaiBev and TCC's Deckchairs

I can see the Sirivadhanabhakdi family taking out F&N down the road. Buy on any significant dips from here if illiquid value names are your bent.

David Blennerhassett

(Mostly) Asia-Pac M&A: Furukawa Battery, Arvida, Warehouse Group, Pacific Smiles, Canvest, Jeisys

This insight provides a summary of gross/annualised spreads (on deals discussed on Smartkarma) across Asia-Pacific as at the last trading date, and...

David Blennerhassett

Thai Beverage (THBEV SP) - Increasingly Streamlined SEA F&B Play

Thai Bev deserves to trade on a higher multiple given its pure-play status and a succession of recent restructurings including Serm Suk, Oishi...

Angus Mackintosh

(Mostly) Asia-Pac M&A: AIS/Thaicom, Capitol Health, Alumina, Ansarada, TCM, CPMC, Fancl, Hollysys

This insight provides a summary of gross/annualised spreads (on deals discussed on Smartkarma) across Asia-Pacific as at the last trading date, and...

David Blennerhassett

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