Technical Analyst, Vermilion Research

Joe Jasper

Technical Analyst

Technical and Quantitative Research

Vermilion Research

Vermilion’s objective is to deliver timely, actionable, and unique technical research to professional investors through the application of our various technical indicators.

Our research strategists seek to highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various technical and quantitative indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. Our unique research methodology, centered on relative strength, enables our strategists to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing the universe of actively traded stocks into discrete sectors, then into industry groups. We then apply our technical and quantitative tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sector or group, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. We provide a historical perspective that often reveals, through our long-term charts, how price patterns often repeat themselves over time.

Technical Analysis

<ul>
<li>More restrictive Fed policy than expected is disproportionately hitting small/mid-caps which are more sensitive to higher interest rates. This suggests we could see further consolidation for small- and mid-caps.</li>
<li>Large-Caps (SPX, Nasdaq 100, DJI) remain bullish on continued strength from mega-caps (AMZN, META, NVDA,MSFT). Our bullish outlook remains appropriate, but we discuss what would lead us to get cautious.</li>
<li>1-, 2-, and 10-year Treasury yields testing resistance today and failing. U.S. dollar (DXY) also testing key resistance at $104.60. We also push back on the bad breadth argument (again).</li>
</ul>


More restrictive Fed policy than expected is disproportionately hitting small/mid-caps which are more sensitive to higher interest rates. This suggests we could see further consolidation for small- and mid-caps.
Large-Caps (SPX, Nasdaq 100, DJI) remain bullish on continued strength from mega-caps (AMZN, META, NVDA,MSFT). Our bullish outlook remains appropriate, but we discuss what would lead us to get cautious.
1-, 2-, and 10-year Treasury yields testing resistance today and failing. U.S. dollar (DXY) also testing key resistance at $104.60. We also push back on the bad breadth argument (again).


Monitoring Rising Treasury Yields & U.S. Dollar (DXY); What Would Lead Us to Get Cautious?

Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs, Douglas Research Advisory

Douglas Kim

Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>We discuss how White Castle, which has one of the most loyal customer base for franchise burger chain in the United States, has been using robots to make French fries.</li>
<li>In February 2022, White Castle started to roll out Miso Robotics' Flippy 2 machine robots on about White Castle 100 restaurants in the United States.</li>
<li>In the next several years, there is a real chance for McDonald's, White Castle, and Burger King to replace human workers making French fries and burgers with robots.</li>
</ul>


We discuss how White Castle, which has one of the most loyal customer base for franchise burger chain in the United States, has been using robots to make French fries.
In February 2022, White Castle started to roll out Miso Robotics' Flippy 2 machine robots on about White Castle 100 restaurants in the United States.
In the next several years, there is a real chance for McDonald's, White Castle, and Burger King to replace human workers making French fries and burgers with robots.


White Castles' Kitchen Robots - Impact on McDonald's & Global Fast Food Franchises

<p>Despite the Nasdaq 100 getting quantitatively extended, the weight of the evidence continues to suggest that our bullish outlook remains appropriate. We elaborate below and also highlight some developments we are watching that could alter our outlook. In today’s report we highlight attractive Groups and stocks within Consumer Discretionary &amp; Health Care: Restaurants, Fast Food, Small-Cap, Casual Dining, and Hospitals.</p>

Despite the Nasdaq 100 getting quantitatively extended, the weight of the evidence continues to suggest that our bullish outlook remains appropriate. We elaborate below and also highlight some developments we are watching that could alter our outlook. In today’s report we highlight attractive Groups and stocks within Consumer Discretionary &amp; Health Care: Restaurants, Fast Food, Small-Cap, Casual Dining, and Hospitals.

U. S. Equity Strategy: Still Bullish, But Also Extended Near-Term

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/guzman-y-gomez-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:43656:1" rel="noopener">Guzman Y Gomez (GYG AU)</a> raised around US$221m in its Australian IPO. Its final IPO linked lockup expiry is due soon.</li>
<li>GYG is a quick service restaurant business with more than 200 restaurants globally. It mainly focuses on fresh, made-to-order, Mexican-inspired food.</li>
<li>In this note, we will talk about the lockup dynamics and possible placement.</li>
</ul>



Guzman Y Gomez (GYG AU) raised around US$221m in its Australian IPO. Its final IPO linked lockup expiry is due soon.
GYG is a quick service restaurant business with more than 200 restaurants globally. It mainly focuses on fresh, made-to-order, Mexican-inspired food.
In this note, we will talk about the lockup dynamics and possible placement.


Guzman IPO Lockup - Last of the Lockups for a US$750m+ Release

Independent research on the U.S. markets, Baptista Research

Baptista Research

Independent research on the U.S. markets

Baptista Research is an independent financial research house focused on the U.S. markets. We provide equity research as well as credit research reports on the top-listed U.S. companies with most of our focus on technology, consumer goods and services, automobiles, industrials, oil and gas, pharma, and healthcare. Our research has served more than 3000 institutional investors including mutual funds, hedge funds, banks, family offices, and various buy-side firms. We operate a research subscription service where institutions, as well as retail investors, can have priority access to all our research. We also have a wide distribution of our research reports across some of the top global financial platforms. Apart from equity research and credit research, we also provide advisory services with respect to mergers & acquisitions (M&A), private equity/ venture capital fundraising, valuation reports, and investment management services for corporates.
Baptista Research is owned and managed by Ishan Majumdar, an ex-Venture Capitalist/ Investment Banker, a Chartered Accountant, and a Masters’ degree holder in Management from HEC Paris. Ishan has nearly a decade of experience in Mergers and Acquisitions, Leveraged Buyouts (LBOs), Venture Capital Investing, Corporate Strategy, and Valuation in front-office roles at the likes of BNP Paribas CIB, Credit Agricole CIB, Groupe Danone, and TIW Private Equity. He has worked on and closed multiple acquisition deals, leveraged buyouts, and start-up investment transactions.

Equity Bottom-Up

Shake Shack Inc Class A / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul><li>Shake Shack's recent quarter results indicate a dynamic period for the company, showcasing both substantial progress and areas with potential challenges.</li><li>The company has positioned 2025 as a transformative year, beginning with an ambitious expansion strategy to increase the number of company-operated Shacks to at least 1,500.</li><li>This expansion will demand strong leadership and innovative strategies, with a focus on enhancing the guest experience, operational efficiency, and margin improvements.</li></ul>

Shake Shack's recent quarter results indicate a dynamic period for the company, showcasing both substantial progress and areas with potential challenges.The company has positioned 2025 as a transformative year, beginning with an ambitious expansion strategy to increase the number of company-operated Shacks to at least 1,500.This expansion will demand strong leadership and innovative strategies, with a focus on enhancing the guest experience, operational efficiency, and margin improvements.

Shake Shack: Looking To Redefine Fast-Casual Dining with High-Impact Innovation & Smart Pricing!

United States

Shake Shack Inc is a modern day "roadside" burger stand known for its all-natural burgers. Shake Shack is part of Danny Meyer's Union Square Hospitality Group (USHG).

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Shake Shack Inc Class A (SHAK US)

Monitoring Rising Treasury Yields & U.S. Dollar (DXY); What Would Lead Us to Get Cautious?

Monitoring Rising Treasury Yields & U.S. Dollar. 1-, 2-, and 10-year Treasury yields $TNX failing at shorter-term resistances today; $DXY below...

Vermilion Research

White Castles' Kitchen Robots - Impact on McDonald's & Global Fast Food Franchises

In the next several years, there is a real chance for McDonald's, White Castle, and Burger King to replace human workers making French fries and...

Douglas Kim

U. S. Equity Strategy: Still Bullish, But Also Extended Near-Term

Despite the Nasdaq 100 getting quantitatively extended, the weight of the evidence continues to suggest that our bullish outlook remains...

Vermilion Research

Guzman IPO Lockup - Last of the Lockups for a US$750m+ Release

Guzman Y Gomez (GYG AU) raised around US$221m in its Australian IPO. Its final IPO linked lockup expiry is due soon. In this note we talk about its...

Sumeet Singh

Shake Shack: Looking To Redefine Fast-Casual Dining with High-Impact Innovation & Smart Pricing!

Shake Shack's recent quarter results indicate a dynamic period for the company, showcasing both substantial progress and areas with potential...

Baptista Research

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