Director, Head of Research, Smartkarma

Pranav Rao

Director, Head of Research

Smartkarma

Smartkarma unites the fragmented investment industry, connecting institutional investors, independent research providers, and corporates within a single network.

Research Reinvented

Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>Welcome to Curator’s Cut - a fortnightly roundup of standout themes from the 1,600+ insights shared on Smartkarma.</li>
<li>In this cut, we go looking for value in Korea beyond memory, weigh SHEIN's long-awaited IPO, and trace how TOPIX's reshuffle could lift small-cap Japanese banks.</li>
<li>Want to dig deeper? Comment or message with the themes you'd like to see highlighted next.</li>
</ul>


Welcome to Curator’s Cut - a fortnightly roundup of standout themes from the 1,600+ insights shared on Smartkarma.
In this cut, we go looking for value in Korea beyond memory, weigh SHEIN's long-awaited IPO, and trace how TOPIX's reshuffle could lift small-cap Japanese banks.
Want to dig deeper? Comment or message with the themes you'd like to see highlighted next.


Curator's Cut: Korea Beyond Memory, SHEIN's Hong Kong Bow & TOPIX's Tailwind for Banks

HK/China Equity Long-Short

Osbert Tang, CFA

Equity Capital Markets

SHEIN Global Holdings / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/shein-global-holdings-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:55372:1" rel="noopener">SHEIN Global Holdings (625 HK)</a> has an ambitious IPO plan to raise HK$13.1bn. However, the volatile earnings record and challenging environment require a sizeable safety margin.</li>
<li>We project a 3-year EPS CAGR of -5.3% as profitability will only slightly recover next year. Yet, our forecasts may still be optimistic.</li>
<li>The maximum IPO price (HK$49.50) implies a FY16 PER of 18.5x, but its small size and volatile growth are negatives. We will only be involved at the low end.</li>
</ul>



SHEIN Global Holdings (625 HK) has an ambitious IPO plan to raise HK$13.1bn. However, the volatile earnings record and challenging environment require a sizeable safety margin.
We project a 3-year EPS CAGR of -5.3% as profitability will only slightly recover next year. Yet, our forecasts may still be optimistic.
The maximum IPO price (HK$49.50) implies a FY16 PER of 18.5x, but its small size and volatile growth are negatives. We will only be involved at the low end.


SHEIN Global (625 HK) IPO: Cheap for Some Reason

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/shein-global-holdings-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:55372:1" rel="noopener">SHEIN Global Holdings (625 HK)</a> could raise up to US$2bn in its IPO if the overallotment option is exercised, valuing the company at HK$212bn (US$27bn).</li>
<li>Cornerstone investors will take up between 21.7-22.6% of the base offering and those shares will be locked up for 6 months from listing date.</li>
<li>Fast Entry inclusion in the HSCI is likely but Southbound Stock Connect could take over a year from listing date. Earliest global index inclusion in March.</li>
</ul>



SHEIN Global Holdings (625 HK) could raise up to US$2bn in its IPO if the overallotment option is exercised, valuing the company at HK$212bn (US$27bn).
Cornerstone investors will take up between 21.7-22.6% of the base offering and those shares will be locked up for 6 months from listing date.
Fast Entry inclusion in the HSCI is likely but Southbound Stock Connect could take over a year from listing date. Earliest global index inclusion in March.


SHEIN Global (625 HK): Delayed Index Inclusions; Stock Connect Next September

Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs, Douglas Research Advisory

Douglas Kim

Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs

Douglas Research Advisory

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>I discuss a trading strategy for Shein which starts trading in Hong Kong on 1 September. My base case valuation of Shein is target price of HK48.2 per share.</li>
<li>I think its share price needs to decline another 25% or more for the valuation of the company to be more compelling.</li>
<li>That would mean its share price would need to decline to about HK36.2 per share. </li>
</ul>


I discuss a trading strategy for Shein which starts trading in Hong Kong on 1 September. My base case valuation of Shein is target price of HK48.2 per share.
I think its share price needs to decline another 25% or more for the valuation of the company to be more compelling.
That would mean its share price would need to decline to about HK36.2 per share. 


Trading Strategy of Shein on the First Day of IPO

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/shein-global-holdings-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:55372:1" rel="noopener">SHEIN Global Holdings (625 HK)</a>, a global online fashion and lifestyle company, aims to raise up to US$1.8bn in its Hong Kong listing.</li>
<li>Shein is a global online fashion and lifestyle company serving approximately 273m active customers in approximately 160 markets in 2025.</li>
<li>We have looked at the company’s past performance and provided our thoughts on valuations in our previous notes. In this note, we talk about the IPO pricing.</li>
</ul>



SHEIN Global Holdings (625 HK), a global online fashion and lifestyle company, aims to raise up to US$1.8bn in its Hong Kong listing.
Shein is a global online fashion and lifestyle company serving approximately 273m active customers in approximately 160 markets in 2025.
We have looked at the company’s past performance and provided our thoughts on valuations in our previous notes. In this note, we talk about the IPO pricing.


Aequitas: Shein Global Holdings IPO - Thoughts on Valuation- Just like Its Wares, It Is Cheap But...

Hong Kong

SHEIN Global Holdings Limited manufactures and distributes apparel products. The Company produces casual wear, loungewear, swimwear, sports apparel, and formal dress products. SHEIN Global Holdings conducts businesses in Mainland China and Hong Kong.

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SHEIN Global Holdings (625 HK)

Curator's Cut: Korea Beyond Memory, SHEIN's Hong Kong Bow & TOPIX's Tailwind for Banks

Discover names outside memory in Korea, review SHEIN's IPO, and understand TOPIX's impact on small-cap Japanese banks in this fortnightly...

Pranav Rao

SHEIN Global (625 HK) IPO: Cheap for Some Reason

SHEIN's plan to raise HK$13.1bn is aggressive, as the 3-year EPS CAGR will only be -5.3%. We need a sizeable safety margin to cover the risks and...

Osbert Tang, CFA

SHEIN Global (625 HK): Delayed Index Inclusions; Stock Connect Next September

SHEIN could raise up to US$2bn in its IPO, valuing the company at US$27bn. Likely HSCI Fast Entry but Stock Connect only next Sept. One global...

Brian Freitas

Trading Strategy of Shein on the First Day of IPO

I think Shein's share price needs to drop another 25% or more for the valuation of the company to be more compelling. That would mean its share...

Douglas Kim

Aequitas: Shein Global Holdings IPO - Thoughts on Valuation- Just like Its Wares, It Is Cheap But...

SHEIN Global Holdings (625 HK), a global online fashion and lifestyle company, aims to raise up to US$1.8bn in its Hong Kong listing. In this note,...

Sumeet Singh

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Curator's Cut: Korea Beyond Memory, SHEIN's Hong Kong Bow & TOPIX's Tailwind for Banks

​Discover names outside memory in Korea, review SHEIN's IPO, and understand TOPIX's impact on small-cap Japanese banks in this fortnightly...

Pranav Rao

SHEIN Global (625 HK) IPO: Cheap for Some Reason

SHEIN's plan to raise HK$13.1bn is aggressive, as the 3-year EPS CAGR will only be -5.3%. We need a sizeable safety margin to cover the risks and...

Osbert Tang, CFA

SHEIN Global (625 HK): Delayed Index Inclusions; Stock Connect Next September

SHEIN could raise up to US$2bn in its IPO, valuing the company at US$27bn. Likely HSCI Fast Entry but Stock Connect only next Sept. One global...

Brian Freitas

Trading Strategy of Shein on the First Day of IPO

I think Shein's share price needs to drop another 25% or more for the valuation of the company to be more compelling. That would mean its share...

Douglas Kim

Aequitas: Shein Global Holdings IPO - Thoughts on Valuation- Just like Its Wares, It Is Cheap But...

SHEIN Global Holdings (625 HK), a global online fashion and lifestyle company, aims to raise up to US$1.8bn in its Hong Kong listing. In this note,...

Sumeet Singh

Discover names outside memory in Korea, review SHEIN's IPO, and understand TOPIX's impact on small-cap Japanese banks in this fortnightly...