Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

Travis Lundy

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>Five weeks ago, JIC announced a delay in the commencement of the Tender Offer to buy <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/jsr-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:17620:1" rel="noopener">JSR Corp (4185 JP)</a>, originally scheduled to start by end-December 2023. </li>
<li>In the <a href="https://www.j-ic.co.jp/en/news/pdf/E_20231219_JIC_JICC_PressRelease.pdf" target="_blank" rel="noopener">announcement</a>, they said they expected the deal to start by end-February. In the press conference afterwards, JIC CEO Yokoo <a href="https://www.reuters.com/world/asia-pacific/jic-chief-says-no-issues-with-chinese-antitrust-regulator-over-jsr-buyout-2023-12-20/" target="_blank" rel="noopener">said</a> "no particular issues with the Chinese regulator." </li>
<li>He then added he expected the deal to be done by March-end. Language is vague. I expect that means to start by then, but even then, annualised is now 30%.</li>
</ul>


Five weeks ago, JIC announced a delay in the commencement of the Tender Offer to buy JSR Corp (4185 JP), originally scheduled to start by end-December 2023. 
In the announcement, they said they expected the deal to start by end-February. In the press conference afterwards, JIC CEO Yokoo said "no particular issues with the Chinese regulator." 
He then added he expected the deal to be done by March-end. Language is vague. I expect that means to start by then, but even then, annualised is now 30%.


JSR (4185) - Very Juicy Arb Return At Expected Timeline

<ul>
<li>The <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ntt-data-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:11232:1" rel="noopener">NTT Data Corp (9613 JP)</a> Tender Offer closed today. Results will come out tomorrow. I expect it will have been successful. </li>
<li>That will mean some US$8bn+ of passive tracking flows to sell and $8bn+ to buy related to this event alone in the next 3 months. </li>
<li>And there are some very interesting dynamics to consider in the meantime. </li>
</ul>


The NTT Data Corp (9613 JP) Tender Offer closed today. Results will come out tomorrow. I expect it will have been successful. 
That will mean some US$8bn+ of passive tracking flows to sell and $8bn+ to buy related to this event alone in the next 3 months. 
And there are some very interesting dynamics to consider in the meantime. 


[Japan Event] Potentially Interesting Dynamics of Post-Tender NTT Data (9613) Trading. $8bn+ One Way

Index Rebal Trades & Special Situations, Quiddity Advisors

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Index Rebal Trades & Special Situations

Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>JPX-Nikkei 400 is composed of common stocks listed on the Tokyo Stock Exchange. It is a free-float-adjusted capped index composed of 400 constituents.</li>
<li>The annual index review takes place in August every year. We look at the latest rankings of potential ADDs/DELs every month.</li>
<li>Below is a look at the rankings of potential ADDs/DELs for the JPX-Nikkei 400 August 2025 rebalance based on trading data as of end-May 2025.</li>
</ul>


JPX-Nikkei 400 is composed of common stocks listed on the Tokyo Stock Exchange. It is a free-float-adjusted capped index composed of 400 constituents.
The annual index review takes place in August every year. We look at the latest rankings of potential ADDs/DELs every month.
Below is a look at the rankings of potential ADDs/DELs for the JPX-Nikkei 400 August 2025 rebalance based on trading data as of end-May 2025.


Quiddity JPX-Nikkei 400 Rebal 2025: End-May 2025 Ranks

Japanese Equity Specialist, Ortus Advisors

Andrew Jackson

Japanese Equity Specialist

Ortus Advisors

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>Intel jumping on plans to cut its bloated workforce and streamline management.</li>
<li>EV plays should pick up after Tesla held after mkt gains from yesterday.</li>
<li>Boeing numbers will help the heavies with better FCF and production outlooks.</li>
</ul>


Intel jumping on plans to cut its bloated workforce and streamline management.
EV plays should pick up after Tesla held after mkt gains from yesterday.
Boeing numbers will help the heavies with better FCF and production outlooks.


Japan Morning Connction: Tech Surging with Trump Signalling Zero China Tariffs on a Trade Deal

<ul>
<li>This year there are 10 Free Float Weight Changes for April. There are 20 Liquidity Factor Changes, 2 Inclusions, and 3 M&amp;A-related downweights. There are 90+ Share Count Change Downweights.</li>
<li>This is a bigger Big April Basket than normally comes around. And there are some big flows. All trades are 28 April at the close.</li>
<li>Total flow is ~US$2.1bn a side. 64 trades of &gt;2 days of ADV, and of those, 27 with &gt;US$10mm to trade (7 of US$50mm+). Top 20 in USD average 5dADV.</li>
</ul>


This year there are 10 Free Float Weight Changes for April. There are 20 Liquidity Factor Changes, 2 Inclusions, and 3 M&amp;A-related downweights. There are 90+ Share Count Change Downweights.
This is a bigger Big April Basket than normally comes around. And there are some big flows. All trades are 28 April at the close.
Total flow is ~US$2.1bn a side. 64 trades of &gt;2 days of ADV, and of those, 27 with &gt;US$10mm to trade (7 of US$50mm+). Top 20 in USD average 5dADV.


The End-April TOPIX Rebalance - US$2.1bn a Side

Japan

SHINKO ELECTRIC INDUSTRIES CO., LTD. designs, manufactures, and markets advanced electronic materials, such as semiconductor packages, including leadframes, and PLP(Plastics Laminated Packages).  The Company markets its products worldwide through a network of sales offices in such places as the Philippines, Germany, and Hong Kong.

Price Gauge
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Shinko Electric Industries (6967 JP)

JSR (4185) - Very Juicy Arb Return At Expected Timeline

JSR was a long-dated risk arb. People got tired of FUD and Flows, and sold. Now time is shorter and it offers a 24% yield to mid-May cashout of...

Travis Lundy

[Japan Event] Potentially Interesting Dynamics of Post-Tender NTT Data (9613) Trading. $8bn+ One Way

The NTT Data TOB closed today. Results out tomorrow should trigger index downweights/deletions from next week to end-Sep, every 4 weeks. Depending...

Travis Lundy

Quiddity JPX-Nikkei 400 Rebal 2025: End-May 2025 Ranks

In total, there are 53 Potential ADDs and 47 Potential DELs (unique names) presented in the current Quiddity Leaderboard. The HIGH & MED Exp ADDs...

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Japan Morning Connction: Tech Surging with Trump Signalling Zero China Tariffs on a Trade Deal

Intel plans to cut workforce and streamline management, EV plays may continue to rise after Tesla's gains, Boeing's improved numbers to benefit...

Andrew Jackson

The End-April TOPIX Rebalance - US$2.1bn a Side

There is US$2bn a side to trade on 28 April at the close for a variety of reasons. It is a big month of events with a long list of trades which...

Travis Lundy

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

JSR (4185) - Very Juicy Arb Return At Expected Timeline

JSR was a long-dated risk arb. People got tired of FUD and Flows, and sold. Now time is shorter and it offers a 24% yield to mid-May cashout of...

Travis Lundy

[Japan Event] Potentially Interesting Dynamics of Post-Tender NTT Data (9613) Trading. $8bn+ One Way

The NTT Data TOB closed today. Results out tomorrow should trigger index downweights/deletions from next week to end-Sep, every 4 weeks. Depending...

Travis Lundy

Quiddity JPX-Nikkei 400 Rebal 2025: End-May 2025 Ranks

In total, there are 53 Potential ADDs and 47 Potential DELs (unique names) presented in the current Quiddity Leaderboard. The HIGH & MED Exp ADDs...

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Japan Morning Connction: Tech Surging with Trump Signalling Zero China Tariffs on a Trade Deal

​Intel plans to cut workforce and streamline management, EV plays may continue to rise after Tesla's gains, Boeing's improved numbers to benefit...

Andrew Jackson

The End-April TOPIX Rebalance - US$2.1bn a Side

There is US$2bn a side to trade on 28 April at the close for a variety of reasons. It is a big month of events with a long list of trades which...

Travis Lundy

Intel plans to cut workforce and streamline management, EV plays may continue to rise after Tesla's gains, Boeing's improved numbers to benefit...