Technical Analyst, Vermilion Research

Joe Jasper

Technical Analyst

Technical and Quantitative Research

Vermilion Research

Vermilion’s objective is to deliver timely, actionable, and unique technical research to professional investors through the application of our various technical indicators.

Our research strategists seek to highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various technical and quantitative indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. Our unique research methodology, centered on relative strength, enables our strategists to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing the universe of actively traded stocks into discrete sectors, then into industry groups. We then apply our technical and quantitative tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sector or group, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. We provide a historical perspective that often reveals, through our long-term charts, how price patterns often repeat themselves over time.

Technical Analysis

The S&amp;P 500 continues to hover below critical resistance at its 200-day moving average while market participants remain in a wait-and-see mode for new developments on U.S.-China trade and details on the latest border security proposal. At the same time, breadth improvements have extended to our Manufacturing Sector - a welcomed sight given its cyclical nature.  We are Upgrading Manufacturing to market weight from underweight. Our cap-weighted Manufacturing Sector has steadily improved in our RSR ranks due in large part to strength in Aerospace &amp; Defense Groups. In today’s report we highlight attractive Groups within Manufacturing and Technology..

The S&amp;P 500 continues to hover below critical resistance at its 200-day moving average while market participants remain in a wait-and-see mode for new developments on U.S.-China trade and details on the latest border security proposal. At the same time, breadth improvements have extended to our Manufacturing Sector - a welcomed sight given its cyclical nature.  We are Upgrading Manufacturing to market weight from underweight. Our cap-weighted Manufacturing Sector has steadily improved in our RSR ranks due in large part to strength in Aerospace &amp; Defense Groups. In today’s report we highlight attractive Groups within Manufacturing and Technology..

U.S. Equity Strategy: Upgrading Manufacturing Sector

Consumer Analyst / Channel Surveillance Specialist, Trudence Capital Advisors

Pranav Bhavsar

Consumer Analyst / Channel Surveillance Specialist

ASA Capital Management

ASA Capital Management is a boutique Research and Investment Advisory firm focusing on primary research in India. ASA provides bespoke research services to Institutional Clients with a focus on due diligence backed with primary research, Field Trips & Channel Checks.

Last week we attended the AGM of <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/27474" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27474:1">Infibeam Avenues Ltd (INFIBEAM IN)</a>, an India based e-commerce and payments company offering services similar to <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/25906" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:25906:1">Shopify Inc (SHOP US)</a>.  A day before its AGM, Infibeam posted its worst single-day decline of over 70%. Much to our surprise, the AGM proceedings were calm and peaceful. The AGM also gave us an opportunity to interact with some company representatives and understanding their view on allegations made against the company. In this note, we bring you details on two of the alleged accounting irregularities and our view on the same that could help investors objectively evaluate the current situation faced by the company.

Last week we attended the AGM of Infibeam Avenues Ltd (INFIBEAM IN), an India based e-commerce and payments company offering services similar to Shopify Inc (SHOP US).  A day before its AGM, Infibeam posted its worst single-day decline of over 70%. Much to our surprise, the AGM proceedings were calm and peaceful. The AGM also gave us an opportunity to interact with some company representatives and understanding their view on allegations made against the company. In this note, we bring you details on two of the alleged accounting irregularities and our view on the same that could help investors objectively evaluate the current situation faced by the company.

AGM Diaries | Infibeam (INFIBEAM IN) Dubbed India's Shopify Shoplifted

The U.S. has continued to separate itself from broad emerging market and developed international indexes. One positive is that MSCI EM and MSCI EAFE have been able to stabilize from a price perspective in recent weeks despite relative strength weakness vs. MSCI ACWI.  In today’s report we scour the globe for attractive investments, ex-U.S., in an environment where selectivity is key.

The U.S. has continued to separate itself from broad emerging market and developed international indexes. One positive is that MSCI EM and MSCI EAFE have been able to stabilize from a price perspective in recent weeks despite relative strength weakness vs. MSCI ACWI.  In today’s report we scour the globe for attractive investments, ex-U.S., in an environment where selectivity is key.  

Global Equity Strategy: Where to Hide Outside the U.S.

We continue to view the market as healthy in terms of breadth, although rotations are occurring at the margin which warrant minor tweaks to our overall theme of continued consolidation and heightened volatility. Also within our May Equity Strategy, we highlight opportunities within the Technology (Overweight), Financial (Overweight), and Energy (Market weight) Sectors.

We continue to view the market as healthy in terms of breadth, although rotations are occurring at the margin which warrant minor tweaks to our overall theme of continued consolidation and heightened volatility. Also within our May Equity Strategy, we highlight opportunities within the Technology (Overweight), Financial (Overweight), and Energy (Market weight) Sectors.

U.S. Equity Strategy: Upgrading Utilities, Downgrading Manufacturing

India focused: IPO, special situations, Stylus Holdings

Himanshu Dugar

India focused: IPO, special situations

Stylus Holdings

Stylus Holdings is a buy-side equity research firm. We offer bottom-up investment ideas as well as provide on demand equity research and portfolio tracking. 
At Stylus, our focus is to identify market dislocations that can generate 20+% IRR with a reasonable margin of safety. As part of our research process, we do a deep dive into the fundamentals of the company, evaluate their competitive positioning and assess their valuation.
Our investment team is led by Himanshu Dugar. Himanshu is a Chartered Accountant and a CFA charter holder. He has 10+ years of active experience in the stock market with stints at CRISIL Research, a S&P Global copmany and Miras Investments, a single family office based in Dubai.

Equity Research Firm

Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>Meesho has positioned itself as a value-shopping platform catering to rural consumers and small sellers. It charges the seller only for fulfillment and advertising while bringing value deals for consumers</li>
<li>We believe Meesho has a right to win in the value-shopping category ahead of Flipkart/Amazon with its focus on pricing vs quality/convenience. However, it may not attract high-spending aspirational consumers</li>
<li>IPO valuation at $5.6bn(5x FY25 sales) is relatively cheap vs listed e-commerce peers (6-13x). Closest peer Flipkart was most recently valued at $35bn (14x FY25 revenues).</li>
</ul>


Meesho has positioned itself as a value-shopping platform catering to rural consumers and small sellers. It charges the seller only for fulfillment and advertising while bringing value deals for consumers
We believe Meesho has a right to win in the value-shopping category ahead of Flipkart/Amazon with its focus on pricing vs quality/convenience. However, it may not attract high-spending aspirational consumers
IPO valuation at $5.6bn(5x FY25 sales) is relatively cheap vs listed e-commerce peers (6-13x). Closest peer Flipkart was most recently valued at $35bn (14x FY25 revenues).


Meesho - Potential Play on Value E-Commerce

Canada

Shopify Inc. provides a cloud-based commerce platform. The Company offers a platform for merchants to create an omni-channel experience that helps showcase the merchant's brand. Shopify serves customers in Canada.

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Shopify (SHOP US)

U.S. Equity Strategy: Upgrading Manufacturing Sector

The S&P 500 continues to hover below critical resistance at its 200-day moving average while market participants remain in a wait-and-see mode...

Vermilion Research

AGM Diaries | Infibeam (INFIBEAM IN) Dubbed India's Shopify Shoplifted

Last week we attended the AGM of Infibeam Avenues Ltd (INFIBEAM IN), an India based e-commerce and payments company offering services similar to...

Pranav Bhavsar

Global Equity Strategy: Where to Hide Outside the U.S.

The U.S. has continued to separate itself from broad emerging market and developed international indexes. One positive is that MSCI EM and MSCI...

Vermilion Research

U.S. Equity Strategy: Upgrading Utilities, Downgrading Manufacturing

We continue to view the market as healthy in terms of breadth, although rotations are occurring at the margin which warrant minor tweaks to our...

Vermilion Research

Meesho - Potential Play on Value E-Commerce

Meesho has had a stellar listing and is witnessing follow-on buying, up 100% from IPO price. It now trades at 8x FY26 sales with street estimating...

Himanshu Dugar

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