Independent research on the U.S. markets, Baptista Research

Baptista Research

Independent research on the U.S. markets

Baptista Research is an independent financial research house focused on the U.S. markets. We provide equity research as well as credit research reports on the top-listed U.S. companies with most of our focus on technology, consumer goods and services, automobiles, industrials, oil and gas, pharma, and healthcare. Our research has served more than 3000 institutional investors including mutual funds, hedge funds, banks, family offices, and various buy-side firms. We operate a research subscription service where institutions, as well as retail investors, can have priority access to all our research. We also have a wide distribution of our research reports across some of the top global financial platforms. Apart from equity research and credit research, we also provide advisory services with respect to mergers & acquisitions (M&A), private equity/ venture capital fundraising, valuation reports, and investment management services for corporates.
Baptista Research is owned and managed by Ishan Majumdar, an ex-Venture Capitalist/ Investment Banker, a Chartered Accountant, and a Masters’ degree holder in Management from HEC Paris. Ishan has nearly a decade of experience in Mergers and Acquisitions, Leveraged Buyouts (LBOs), Venture Capital Investing, Corporate Strategy, and Valuation in front-office roles at the likes of BNP Paribas CIB, Credit Agricole CIB, Groupe Danone, and TIW Private Equity. He has worked on and closed multiple acquisition deals, leveraged buyouts, and start-up investment transactions.

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul><li>Shopify's second quarter 2025 results demonstrate a strong blend of growth and expansion across key business areas, maintaining its position as a leading e-commerce platform.</li><li>The company reported significant achievements in both financial metrics and strategic initiatives, reflecting past investments that are now yielding substantial returns.</li><li>On the financial front, Shopify achieved a 31% year-over-year increase in revenue, amounting to $2.7 billion, largely driven by a 31% growth in Gross Merchandise Volume (GMV) to $88 billion.</li></ul>

Shopify's second quarter 2025 results demonstrate a strong blend of growth and expansion across key business areas, maintaining its position as a leading e-commerce platform.The company reported significant achievements in both financial metrics and strategic initiatives, reflecting past investments that are now yielding substantial returns.On the financial front, Shopify achieved a 31% year-over-year increase in revenue, amounting to $2.7 billion, largely driven by a 31% growth in Gross Merchandise Volume (GMV) to $88 billion.

Shopify Inc: How They Are Blending AI & Agentic Commerce To Up The Ante!

Covering IPOs, Healthcare and Technology Stocks

Andrei Zakharov

Equity Capital Markets

Geekplus Technology / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>Geek+, global technology company and provider of scalable and flexible highly efficient solutions for warehouses, aims to raise ~$300M in Hong Kong IPO.</li>
<li>The company is expected to IPO next week and offer price of HK$16.80 implies a market cap of HK$22B (~$2.8B). Geek+ is set to start trading on July 9, 2025.</li>
<li>I believe that Geek+ has a large runway for growth in the global AMR solution market, but valuation keeps me from being positive on the name.</li>
</ul>


Geek+, global technology company and provider of scalable and flexible highly efficient solutions for warehouses, aims to raise ~$300M in Hong Kong IPO.
The company is expected to IPO next week and offer price of HK$16.80 implies a market cap of HK$22B (~$2.8B). Geek+ is set to start trading on July 9, 2025.
I believe that Geek+ has a large runway for growth in the global AMR solution market, but valuation keeps me from being positive on the name.


Geek+ IPO (2590.HK): Long-Term, Warehouse Automation Story, But IPO Valuation Is Not Cheap

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/xero-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:390:1" rel="noopener">Xero Ltd (XRO AU)</a>  plans to raise around US$1.2bn via an institutional placement to partly fund the US$2.5bn acquisition for Melio.</li>
<li>The US market has been a growth dampener for Xero for a while. The acquisition is large but might not be a game changer.</li>
<li>In this note, we will talk about the deal dynamics and run the deal through our ECM framework.</li>
</ul>



Xero Ltd (XRO AU)  plans to raise around US$1.2bn via an institutional placement to partly fund the US$2.5bn acquisition for Melio.
The US market has been a growth dampener for Xero for a while. The acquisition is large but might not be a game changer.
In this note, we will talk about the deal dynamics and run the deal through our ECM framework.


Xero US1.2bn Placement - Trying to Jump Start US, Again. Might Not Be a Game Changer.

<ul><li>Shopify's first-quarter 2025 earnings reveal a resilient and adaptable company poised to navigate an uncertain global trade environment.</li><li>The company reported a 27% increase in revenue, bolstered by strong growth across various geographic markets and product segments.</li><li>Shopify's business model emphasizes agility and innovation, enabling merchants to rapidly adapt to changing market conditions.</li></ul>

Shopify's first-quarter 2025 earnings reveal a resilient and adaptable company poised to navigate an uncertain global trade environment.The company reported a 27% increase in revenue, bolstered by strong growth across various geographic markets and product segments.Shopify's business model emphasizes agility and innovation, enabling merchants to rapidly adapt to changing market conditions.

Shopify Was Dominating E-Commerce with Unmatched Platform Diversification & Resilient GMV; But Is The Competition Catching Up?

<ul>
<li>Klarna, a leading BNPL player in Europe, will try to push ahead with IPO in the second half of the year. The fintech unicorn plans to raise up to ~$1B.</li>
<li>Klarna picked a not great time to take the company public, keeping in mind negative impact of Trump’s tariffs on BNPL players in the U.S. and European Union.</li>
<li>I believe the company may price its IPO above last round valuation of ~$6.7B led by Sequoia Capital, Silver Lake, CPPIB, and Mubadala Investment Company, among others.</li>
</ul>


Klarna, a leading BNPL player in Europe, will try to push ahead with IPO in the second half of the year. The fintech unicorn plans to raise up to ~$1B.
Klarna picked a not great time to take the company public, keeping in mind negative impact of Trump’s tariffs on BNPL players in the U.S. and European Union.
I believe the company may price its IPO above last round valuation of ~$6.7B led by Sequoia Capital, Silver Lake, CPPIB, and Mubadala Investment Company, among others.


Klarna IPO Valuation Analysis: Don’t Expect a Premium Multiple Relative to Affirm Holdings

Canada

Shopify Inc. provides a cloud-based commerce platform. The Company offers a platform for merchants to create an omni-channel experience that helps showcase the merchant's brand. Shopify serves customers in Canada.

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Shopify (SHOP US)

Shopify Inc: How They Are Blending AI & Agentic Commerce To Up The Ante!

Shopify's second quarter 2025 results demonstrate a strong blend of growth and expansion across key business areas, maintaining its position as a...

Baptista Research

Geek+ IPO (2590.HK): Long-Term, Warehouse Automation Story, But IPO Valuation Is Not Cheap

Geek+ plans to raise ~$300M in Hong Kong IPO, set to start trading on July 9 with a market cap of ~$2.8B. IPO valuation is not cheap with no major...

Andrei Zakharov

Xero US1.2bn Placement - Trying to Jump Start US, Again. Might Not Be a Game Changer.

Xero Ltd (XRO AU) plans to raise around US$1.2bn via an institutional placement to partly fund the US$2.5bn acquisition for Melio.

Sumeet Singh

Shopify Was Dominating E-Commerce with Unmatched Platform Diversification & Resilient GMV; But Is The Competition Catching Up?

Shopify's first-quarter 2025 earnings reveal a resilient and adaptable company poised to navigate an uncertain global trade environment. The...

Baptista Research

Klarna IPO Valuation Analysis: Don’t Expect a Premium Multiple Relative to Affirm Holdings

Klarna plans to move forward with IPO despite potential challenges from Trump's tariffs, aiming to raise up to ~$1B and possibly price the...

Andrei Zakharov

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Shopify Inc: How They Are Blending AI & Agentic Commerce To Up The Ante!

Shopify's second quarter 2025 results demonstrate a strong blend of growth and expansion across key business areas, maintaining its position as a...

Baptista Research

Geek+ IPO (2590.HK): Long-Term, Warehouse Automation Story, But IPO Valuation Is Not Cheap

​Geek+ plans to raise ~$300M in Hong Kong IPO, set to start trading on July 9 with a market cap of ~$2.8B. IPO valuation is not cheap with no major...

Andrei Zakharov

Xero US1.2bn Placement - Trying to Jump Start US, Again. Might Not Be a Game Changer.

Xero Ltd (XRO AU) plans to raise around US$1.2bn via an institutional placement to partly fund the US$2.5bn acquisition for Melio.

Sumeet Singh

Shopify Was Dominating E-Commerce with Unmatched Platform Diversification & Resilient GMV; But Is The Competition Catching Up?

Shopify's first-quarter 2025 earnings reveal a resilient and adaptable company poised to navigate an uncertain global trade environment. The...

Baptista Research

Klarna IPO Valuation Analysis: Don’t Expect a Premium Multiple Relative to Affirm Holdings

​Klarna plans to move forward with IPO despite potential challenges from Trump's tariffs, aiming to raise up to ~$1B and possibly price the...

Andrei Zakharov

Geek+ plans to raise ~$300M in Hong Kong IPO, set to start trading on July 9 with a market cap of ~$2.8B. IPO valuation is not cheap with no major...

Klarna plans to move forward with IPO despite potential challenges from Trump's tariffs, aiming to raise up to ~$1B and possibly price the...