Technology / Semiconductor / Internet Research

Nicolas Baratte

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>China represents ~11% of revenues for Cadence and Synopsys. The weight of China has been declining. </li>
<li>China has a number of startup working on replacement software, the leader is Empyrean – good but some years behind Cadence and Synopsys and focused on legacy chip design. </li>
<li>Between this news today and more restrictions on Nvidia’s sales to China, it looks like more US restrictions will come.</li>
</ul>


China represents ~11% of revenues for Cadence and Synopsys. The weight of China has been declining. 
China has a number of startup working on replacement software, the leader is Empyrean – good but some years behind Cadence and Synopsys and focused on legacy chip design. 
Between this news today and more restrictions on Nvidia’s sales to China, it looks like more US restrictions will come.


President Trump “orders US Chip Software Suppliers to Stop Selling to China”

Owner and CEO, GR20 Research

Gregory Ramirez

Owner and CEO

Industry Research and Consulting Services

GR20 Research

GR20 Research provides industry research and consulting services

<ul>
<li>Siemens is acquiring Dotmatics, a SaaS provider for laboratory management, for USD 5.1bn. The acquisition, which is seen as expensive, reflects high multiples of 16.5x EV/sales for FY 2025.  </li>
<li>This acquisition strengthens Siemens' position in life sciences by expanding its industrial software offerings. Dotmatics adds a new USD 5.5bn market opportunity, which could grow to USD 11bn.   </li>
<li>Siemens' entry into life sciences may challenge Dassault Systèmes, which currently leads the market with its Biovia and Medidata platforms. Siemens' growing presence in this sector may intensify competition.</li>
</ul>


Siemens is acquiring Dotmatics, a SaaS provider for laboratory management, for USD 5.1bn. The acquisition, which is seen as expensive, reflects high multiples of 16.5x EV/sales for FY 2025.  
This acquisition strengthens Siemens' position in life sciences by expanding its industrial software offerings. Dotmatics adds a new USD 5.5bn market opportunity, which could grow to USD 11bn.   
Siemens' entry into life sciences may challenge Dassault Systèmes, which currently leads the market with its Biovia and Medidata platforms. Siemens' growing presence in this sector may intensify competition.


Dassault Systèmes (DSY FP): Siemens Finally Moves onto Biovia’s Territory

Chief Economist & Political Strategist, CrossASEAN Research

Prasenjit K. Basu

Chief Economist & Political Strategist

CrossASEAN Research

At CrossASEAN Research we strive to produce unbiased and differentiated on the ground insights on companies across South East Asia. Our Research is produced for the most part after face to face meetings and conversations with company management to dig deep into the long term vision and strategy of the companies we cover. We seek to deliver investable and actionable themes on sectors and markets across SE Asia, often in collaboration with other Insight Providers across the region, pooling the vast experience of the analysts within the Smartkarma Ecosystem. We also offer bespoke work and tailor made trips for our clients. 

Insights across South East Asia

Cross Asset Strategy

<ul>
<li>Conservative (CDU/CSU) chancellor-elect Merz should be able to form a stable coalition with SPD, but his "independence from America" requires massive constitutional amendments by 25Mar'25 allowing huge defense/infrastructure spending boosts. </li>
<li>This is a self-goal: the time for independence from America was 3 years ago, when instead Germany followed Biden's command to self-harm itself with a ban on Russian energy imports. </li>
<li>If Germany successfully leads an EU defense/infrastructure spending boom, Trump would still achieve his goal. But Germany would have missed the easier route to recovery via liberalized Russian energy imports. </li>
</ul>


Conservative (CDU/CSU) chancellor-elect Merz should be able to form a stable coalition with SPD, but his "independence from America" requires massive constitutional amendments by 25Mar'25 allowing huge defense/infrastructure spending boosts. 
This is a self-goal: the time for independence from America was 3 years ago, when instead Germany followed Biden's command to self-harm itself with a ban on Russian energy imports. 
If Germany successfully leads an EU defense/infrastructure spending boom, Trump would still achieve his goal. But Germany would have missed the easier route to recovery via liberalized Russian energy imports. 


Germany: Merz Call for 'independence from America' Could Be Ill-Timed Self-Goal

Technical Analyst, Vermilion Research

Joe Jasper

Technical Analyst

Technical and Quantitative Research

Vermilion Research

Vermilion’s objective is to deliver timely, actionable, and unique technical research to professional investors through the application of our various technical indicators.

Our research strategists seek to highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various technical and quantitative indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. Our unique research methodology, centered on relative strength, enables our strategists to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing the universe of actively traded stocks into discrete sectors, then into industry groups. We then apply our technical and quantitative tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sector or group, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. We provide a historical perspective that often reveals, through our long-term charts, how price patterns often repeat themselves over time.

Technical Analysis

<ul>
<li>Our outlook remains bullish on MSCI ACWI. Discussed in Jan9,2025 report how we viewed the pullback as a buying opportunity and were watching for $116-$117 support to hold on ACWI-US. </li>
<li>$116 support held perfectly, and now both ACWI-US and the S&amp;P 500 are coiling just below all-time highs, likely setting up for major breakouts. ACWI is now breaking out.</li>
<li>DXY and 10-Year Treasury yield are both topping, a crucial risk-on signal for global equities. More and more countries breaking out. Actionable Themes: Technology, Services, Communications, Industrials, Gold Miners, Financials</li>
</ul>


Our outlook remains bullish on MSCI ACWI. Discussed in Jan9,2025 report how we viewed the pullback as a buying opportunity and were watching for $116-$117 support to hold on ACWI-US. 
$116 support held perfectly, and now both ACWI-US and the S&amp;P 500 are coiling just below all-time highs, likely setting up for major breakouts. ACWI is now breaking out.
DXY and 10-Year Treasury yield are both topping, a crucial risk-on signal for global equities. More and more countries breaking out. Actionable Themes: Technology, Services, Communications, Industrials, Gold Miners, Financials


More Countries Breaking Out; Bullish Outlook Intact; Buys in China, Europe, More; DXY & Yields Top

IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

Event-Driven

Hollysys Automation Technologies / Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>Dazheng (without Recco) has returned with <a href="https://www.businesswire.com/news/home/20231224144642/en/Buyer-Consortium-Led-by-Dazheng-Group-Announces-Enhanced-All-Cash-Proposal-of-US29.00-Per-Share-to-Acquire-Hollysys" target="_blank" rel="noopener">a revised US$29.00 offer</a> for <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hollysys-automation-technologies" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26078:1" rel="noopener">Hollysys Automation Technologies (HOLI US)</a>, 9.4% higher than Ascendent Capital’s US$26.50 binding offer.</li>
<li>While Dazheng’s proposal represents an all-time high, it would likely not be a superior proposal based on the Ascendent merger agreement due to the clauses on financing and due diligence.</li>
<li>Nevertheless, to avoid the high risk that shareholders vote down the Ascendent offer and/or there are substantial dissenting shareholders, the Board will likely ask Ascendent to match Dazheng's offer.  </li>
</ul>


Dazheng (without Recco) has returned with a revised US$29.00 offer for Hollysys Automation Technologies (HOLI US), 9.4% higher than Ascendent Capital’s US$26.50 binding offer.
While Dazheng’s proposal represents an all-time high, it would likely not be a superior proposal based on the Ascendent merger agreement due to the clauses on financing and due diligence.
Nevertheless, to avoid the high risk that shareholders vote down the Ascendent offer and/or there are substantial dissenting shareholders, the Board will likely ask Ascendent to match Dazheng's offer.  


Hollysys (HOLI US): Dazheng Ups the Ante with a US$29.00 Competing Offer

Germany

Siemens AG is an engineering and manufacturing company. The Company focuses on areas of electrification, automation, and digitalization. Siemens also provides engineering solutions in automation and control, power, transportation, and medical diagnosis.

Price Gauge
52-week Range	0.00 - 0.00
Market Cap (USDm)	0.00
P/E	0.00
Dividend (Yield)	0.00

Siemens (SIE GR)

President Trump “orders US Chip Software Suppliers to Stop Selling to China”

US could restrict US chip design software vendors to sell to China. China represents 11% of Cadence and Synopsys revenues. Leading Chinese...

Nicolas Baratte

Dassault Systèmes (DSY FP): Siemens Finally Moves onto Biovia’s Territory

Siemens acquires Dotmatics for $5.1bn, expanding into life sciences and challenging industry leaders like Dassault Systèmes.

Gregory Ramirez

Germany: Merz Call for 'independence from America' Could Be Ill-Timed Self-Goal

Chancellor-elect Merz is mounting an improbable bid to achieve 'independence from America', as the requisite boost to defence/infra spending...

Prasenjit K. Basu

More Countries Breaking Out; Bullish Outlook Intact; Buys in China, Europe, More; DXY & Yields Top

More Countries Breaking Out; Bullish Outlook Intact $ACWI $EAFE $EEM. More buys in China; Germany continues to lead Europe higher. Will...

Vermilion Research

Hollysys (HOLI US): Dazheng Ups the Ante with a US$29.00 Competing Offer

While higher, the Board has the basis not to deem Dazheng’s proposal superior. However, due to the risk that shareholders vote down its offer,...

Arun George

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

President Trump “orders US Chip Software Suppliers to Stop Selling to China”

US could restrict US chip design software vendors to sell to China. ​China represents 11% of Cadence and Synopsys revenues. Leading Chinese...

Nicolas Baratte

Dassault Systèmes (DSY FP): Siemens Finally Moves onto Biovia’s Territory

​Siemens acquires Dotmatics for $5.1bn, expanding into life sciences and challenging industry leaders like Dassault Systèmes.

Gregory Ramirez

Germany: Merz Call for 'independence from America' Could Be Ill-Timed Self-Goal

​Chancellor-elect Merz is mounting an improbable bid to achieve 'independence from America', as the requisite boost to defence/infra spending...

Prasenjit K. Basu

More Countries Breaking Out; Bullish Outlook Intact; Buys in China, Europe, More; DXY & Yields Top

More Countries Breaking Out; Bullish Outlook Intact $ACWI $EAFE $EEM. More buys in China; Germany continues to lead Europe higher. Will...

Vermilion Research

Hollysys (HOLI US): Dazheng Ups the Ante with a US$29.00 Competing Offer

While higher, the Board has the basis not to deem Dazheng’s proposal superior. However, due to the risk that shareholders vote down its offer,...

Arun George

US could restrict US chip design software vendors to sell to China. China represents 11% of Cadence and Synopsys revenues. Leading Chinese...

Siemens acquires Dotmatics for $5.1bn, expanding into life sciences and challenging industry leaders like Dassault Systèmes.

Chancellor-elect Merz is mounting an improbable bid to achieve 'independence from America', as the requisite boost to defence/infra spending...