Global Mobility/Transport, Equity Long-Short

Mohshin Aziz

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/fedex-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:14577:1" rel="noopener">FedEx Corp (FDX US)</a> (FedEx) will release its 2QFY24 results on 19 Dec after market close. Closely watched as it is the bellwether for global trade and commerce  </li>
<li>Cost reduction initiatives has delivered, and resurgence in e-commerce activities across Asia Pacific could potentially provide positive earnings surprise    </li>
<li>Target price US$299 (7% UPSIDE) based on 15x CY2024 PE (FedEx's historical mean). Our recommendation is to give FedEx a miss, too little upside for the risk </li>
</ul>



FedEx Corp (FDX US) (FedEx) will release its 2QFY24 results on 19 Dec after market close. Closely watched as it is the bellwether for global trade and commerce  
Cost reduction initiatives has delivered, and resurgence in e-commerce activities across Asia Pacific could potentially provide positive earnings surprise    
Target price US$299 (7% UPSIDE) based on 15x CY2024 PE (FedEx's historical mean). Our recommendation is to give FedEx a miss, too little upside for the risk 


FedEx (FDX US, BUY, TP:$299): 2QFY24 Will Shed Light on E-Commerce Resurgence

Asian Equities Analyst, Logistics & Transport, Tracking Traffic

Daniel Hellberg

Asian Equities Analyst, Logistics & Transport

Tracking Traffic

Focusing on Asian logistics, transportation, and travel companies

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>In early December 2022, Chinese authorities relaxed many Covid-19 restrictions</li>
<li>A year in, the recovery in Chinese tourism activity has disappointed, so far</li>
<li>Similarly, most Chinese tourism stocks have performed poorly over the last year</li>
</ul>


In early December 2022, Chinese authorities relaxed many Covid-19 restrictions
A year in, the recovery in Chinese tourism activity has disappointed, so far
Similarly, most Chinese tourism stocks have performed poorly over the last year


12 Months In, China's Tourism Recovery & Performance of China Tourism Shares Have Both Disappointed

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/japan-airlines-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:1184:1" rel="noopener">Japan Airlines (9201 JP)</a> (JAL) is making a positive recovery on strong domestic and international demand</li>
<li>Weak JPY is a big headwind and so is its 40% fuel hedge cover locked in at higher than-market price. These factors should reverse and unwind next year </li>
<li>Target price JPY3,150 based on 1.65x FY24 P/BV - one standard deviation above its mean. Borderline attractive with 12% UPSIDE, and 2.3% dividend yield  </li>
</ul>



Japan Airlines (9201 JP) (JAL) is making a positive recovery on strong domestic and international demand
Weak JPY is a big headwind and so is its 40% fuel hedge cover locked in at higher than-market price. These factors should reverse and unwind next year 
Target price JPY3,150 based on 1.65x FY24 P/BV - one standard deviation above its mean. Borderline attractive with 12% UPSIDE, and 2.3% dividend yield  


Japan Airlines (9201 JP, BUY, TP: JPY3150): Slow, Steady, Stable Recovery

CEO, A. Stotz Investment Research

Dr. Andrew Stotz, CFA

Quantamental Investing to beat Benchmarks

A. Stotz Investment Research

We pick stocks. We construct portfolios. All our effort is focused on how to better pick stocks and construct portfolios. We serve fund management companies, family offices, and high net worth individuals.

<ul>
<li>We highlight 14 stocks in Asia that look interesting to us based on our FVMR methodology</li>
<li>Portfolio changes: Three stock remains, 11 stocks added to our portfolio</li>
<li>Since its inception, it has generated a before-fee total return of 128% versus the MSCI Asia ex Japan of 59%</li>
</ul>


We highlight 14 stocks in Asia that look interesting to us based on our FVMR methodology
Portfolio changes: Three stock remains, 11 stocks added to our portfolio
Since its inception, it has generated a before-fee total return of 128% versus the MSCI Asia ex Japan of 59%


<ul>
<li>Taiwanese air cargo rates soared during the pandemic, and remain high today</li>
<li>Taiwan's carriers also benefited from an early recovery in outbound tourism</li>
<li>Investors seem to be pricing in a '24 earnings collapse that probably won't happen</li>
</ul>


Taiwanese air cargo rates soared during the pandemic, and remain high today
Taiwan's carriers also benefited from an early recovery in outbound tourism
Investors seem to be pricing in a '24 earnings collapse that probably won't happen


Thanks to High Cargo Yields & Early Tourism Rebound, EVA & CAL Remain Highly Profitable in H223

Singapore

Singapore Airlines Limited provides air transportation, engineering, pilot training, air charter, and tour wholesaling services. The Company's airline operation covers Asia, Europe, the Americas, South West Pacific, and Africa.

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Singapore Airlines (SIA SP)

FedEx (FDX US, BUY, TP:$299): 2QFY24 Will Shed Light on E-Commerce Resurgence

FedEx's 2QFY24 results will be released on Dec 19. The company's cost reduction efforts have been successful, and a boost in e-commerce in Asia...

Mohshin Aziz

12 Months In, China's Tourism Recovery & Performance of China Tourism Shares Have Both Disappointed

A year after most of China's pandemic-related travel restrictions were eased, we look back at the recovery in Chinese tourism activity in 2023.

Tracking Traffic

Japan Airlines (9201 JP, BUY, TP: JPY3150): Slow, Steady, Stable Recovery

Japan Airlines is recovering with steady domestic and international demand despite headwinds from a weak JPY against the USD. the company is...

Mohshin Aziz

The Stocks to Own in Asia – Vol. 43

We highlight 14 stocks in Asia that look interesting to us based on our FVMR methodology. Portfolio changes: Three stock remains, 11 stocks added.

A. Stotz Investment Research

Thanks to High Cargo Yields & Early Tourism Rebound, EVA & CAL Remain Highly Profitable in H223

Air cargo rates at EVA remain high, and a strong recovery in Taiwanese tourism demand is lifting passenger yields, too. Investors are pricing in a...

Tracking Traffic

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

FedEx (FDX US, BUY, TP:$299): 2QFY24 Will Shed Light on E-Commerce Resurgence

​FedEx's 2QFY24 results will be released on Dec 19. The company's cost reduction efforts have been successful, and a boost in e-commerce in Asia...

Mohshin Aziz

12 Months In, China's Tourism Recovery & Performance of China Tourism Shares Have Both Disappointed

A year after most of China's pandemic-related travel restrictions were eased, we look back at the recovery in Chinese tourism activity in 2023.

Tracking Traffic

Japan Airlines (9201 JP, BUY, TP: JPY3150): Slow, Steady, Stable Recovery

​Japan Airlines is recovering with steady domestic and international demand despite headwinds from a weak JPY against the USD. the company is...

Mohshin Aziz

The Stocks to Own in Asia – Vol. 43

We highlight 14 stocks in Asia that look interesting to us based on our FVMR methodology. Portfolio changes: Three stock remains, 11 stocks added.

A. Stotz Investment Research

Thanks to High Cargo Yields & Early Tourism Rebound, EVA & CAL Remain Highly Profitable in H223

Air cargo rates at EVA remain high, and a strong recovery in Taiwanese tourism demand is lifting passenger yields, too. Investors are pricing in a...

Tracking Traffic

FedEx's 2QFY24 results will be released on Dec 19. The company's cost reduction efforts have been successful, and a boost in e-commerce in Asia...

Japan Airlines is recovering with steady domestic and international demand despite headwinds from a weak JPY against the USD. the company is...