Technical Analyst, Vermilion Research

Joe Jasper

Technical Analyst

Technical and Quantitative Research

Vermilion Research

Vermilion’s objective is to deliver timely, actionable, and unique technical research to professional investors through the application of our various technical indicators.

Our research strategists seek to highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various technical and quantitative indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. Our unique research methodology, centered on relative strength, enables our strategists to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing the universe of actively traded stocks into discrete sectors, then into industry groups. We then apply our technical and quantitative tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sector or group, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. We provide a historical perspective that often reveals, through our long-term charts, how price patterns often repeat themselves over time.

Technical Analysis

<ul>
<li>We remain near-term bullish since our 4/22/25 Compass, and our intermediate-term outlook remains bullish as well (as of our 5/14/25 Compass), with Int’l Compass reports all echoing this sentiment.</li>
<li>We will maintain our bullish intermediate-term view as long as market dynamics remain healthy and the SPX and ACWI-US are above 6028-6059 (up from 5700-5785) and $119-$121.</li>
<li>$128, $125-$126, and $123-$123.50 are short-term supports to watch on ACWI-US; we will maintain our near-term bullish outlook as long as $123 support holds.</li>
</ul>


We remain near-term bullish since our 4/22/25 Compass, and our intermediate-term outlook remains bullish as well (as of our 5/14/25 Compass), with Int’l Compass reports all echoing this sentiment.
We will maintain our bullish intermediate-term view as long as market dynamics remain healthy and the SPX and ACWI-US are above 6028-6059 (up from 5700-5785) and $119-$121.
$128, $125-$126, and $123-$123.50 are short-term supports to watch on ACWI-US; we will maintain our near-term bullish outlook as long as $123 support holds.


Continue Adding Exposure to China; Short-Term Supports to for This ACWI-US Pullback

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

David Blennerhassett

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>When property advisors (JLL, Knight Frank, CBRE etc) debate the bottom of Hong Kong's office/retail market, such commentary is often infused with cautious optimism. </li>
<li>And for good reason, as vacancies increase, and rents soften.</li>
<li>Recent press articles and anecdotal evidence suggests market uncertainty lingers, prompting  landlords to (further) assess their stance on rents.</li>
</ul>


When property advisors (JLL, Knight Frank, CBRE etc) debate the bottom of Hong Kong's office/retail market, such commentary is often infused with cautious optimism. 
And for good reason, as vacancies increase, and rents soften.
Recent press articles and anecdotal evidence suggests market uncertainty lingers, prompting  landlords to (further) assess their stance on rents.


Hong Kong Property: In Need Of A Good Story

Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal, Shenton Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China Biotech

Shenton Research

Shenton Research is an independent Asia Pacific equity specialist. Our quantitative research covers index rebalancing flows, alongside exchange data analytics accross Asia Pacific. On the equity capital markets side, we focus on Asia Pacific ECM, especially biotech and TMT. Our lead analyst is frequently cited by international media.

Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>We screen the Hong Kong-listed mainland stocks ahead of the HSCEI August 2026 review.</li>
<li>The screen produces one ADD and one DELETE, and the DELETE fires only if the ADD lands.</li>
<li>We note that the committee skipped the same ADD candidate last review but re-iterate our call.</li>
</ul>


We screen the Hong Kong-listed mainland stocks ahead of the HSCEI August 2026 review.
The screen produces one ADD and one DELETE, and the DELETE fires only if the ADD lands.
We note that the committee skipped the same ADD candidate last review but re-iterate our call.


Zijin Gold International / Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>We review the HSLMI universe for potential candidates for the upcoming HSI August 2026 review.</li>
<li>Three stocks stand out as ADD candidates this cycle, one of them high conviction.</li>
<li>We also highlight substantial FF and weight changes for CATL.</li>
</ul>


We review the HSLMI universe for potential candidates for the upcoming HSI August 2026 review.
Three stocks stand out as ADD candidates this cycle, one of them high conviction.
We also highlight substantial FF and weight changes for CATL.


Asia L/S Equity PM/Macro/Thematic Idea Generation

Rikki Malik

Equity Bottom-Up

Sun Hung Kai Properties / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Rising real rates and fears of China's cross-border crackdown have hurt the stock price</li>
<li>In the short-term, we are anticipating a decline in both nominal and real yields</li>
<li>Longer-Term, this quality developer is geared to the cyclical upswing in Hong Kong residential property, which is in its early days </li>
</ul>


Rising real rates and fears of China's cross-border crackdown have hurt the stock price
In the short-term, we are anticipating a decline in both nominal and real yields
Longer-Term, this quality developer is geared to the cyclical upswing in Hong Kong residential property, which is in its early days 


Tactical Trading -Sun Hung Kai Properties 16.HK - Waiting for the Pendulum to Swing Back

Hong Kong

Sino Land is a leading property developer that invests in, develops, manages, and trades residential, office, industrial, and retail properties, as well as hotels. The company also provides a full spectrum of property services, including property management, security, and car park operations. Sino Land was incorporated in 1971 and is headquartered in Tsim Sha Tsui, Hong Kong.

Price Gauge
52-week Range	0.00 - 0.00
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Sino Land (83 HK)

Continue Adding Exposure to China; Short-Term Supports to for This ACWI-US Pullback

Continue Adding Exposure to China; $ACWI Short-Term Supports for this pullback: $128, $125-$126, and $123-$123.50. Pullbacks = buy opportunities,...

Vermilion Research

Hong Kong Property: In Need Of A Good Story

Upgrading and flight-to-quality in the office space has the affect of lifting occupancy in new projects; however such activity largely foreshadows...

David Blennerhassett

HSCEI Sep 2026 Index Rebalance Forecast

We pair a WuXi Bio ADD with a Shenzhou DELETE at mid conviction. The committee skipped WuXi Bio last review, but this time we would not rule the...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

HSI Sep 2026 Index Rebalance Forecast

We reviewed the HSLMI candidates for the upcoming HSI index review and expect three possible ADDs and no DELETE. We also highlight FF changes in CATL.

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Tactical Trading -Sun Hung Kai Properties 16.HK - Waiting for the Pendulum to Swing Back

Stock has been hurt by rising real rates and China crackdown fears, but we anticipate a decline in yields in the short term, while longer-term it...

Rikki Malik

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Continue Adding Exposure to China; Short-Term Supports to for This ACWI-US Pullback

Continue Adding Exposure to China; $ACWI Short-Term Supports for this pullback: $128, $125-$126, and $123-$123.50. Pullbacks = buy opportunities,...

Vermilion Research

Hong Kong Property: In Need Of A Good Story

Upgrading and flight-to-quality in the office space has the affect of lifting occupancy in new projects; however such activity largely foreshadows...

David Blennerhassett

HSCEI Sep 2026 Index Rebalance Forecast

We pair a WuXi Bio ADD with a Shenzhou DELETE at mid conviction. The committee skipped WuXi Bio last review, but this time we would not rule the...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

HSI Sep 2026 Index Rebalance Forecast

We reviewed the HSLMI candidates for the upcoming HSI index review and expect three possible ADDs and no DELETE. We also highlight FF changes in CATL.

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Tactical Trading -Sun Hung Kai Properties 16.HK - Waiting for the Pendulum to Swing Back

​Stock has been hurt by rising real rates and China crackdown fears, but we anticipate a decline in yields in the short term, while longer-term it...

Rikki Malik

Stock has been hurt by rising real rates and China crackdown fears, but we anticipate a decline in yields in the short term, while longer-term it...