Technical Analyst, Vermilion Research

Joe Jasper

Technical Analyst

Technical and Quantitative Research

Vermilion Research

Vermilion’s objective is to deliver timely, actionable, and unique technical research to professional investors through the application of our various technical indicators.

Our research strategists seek to highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various technical and quantitative indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. Our unique research methodology, centered on relative strength, enables our strategists to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing the universe of actively traded stocks into discrete sectors, then into industry groups. We then apply our technical and quantitative tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sector or group, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. We provide a historical perspective that often reveals, through our long-term charts, how price patterns often repeat themselves over time.

Technical Analysis

<div>The action we are seeing in broad indexes, Sectors, and in market dynamics continues to support our overall bullish outlook. Additionally, the mild deterioration in market dynamics that we discussed the past two weeks is now much less of a concern. Continue to buy dips. In today’s report we highlight attractive Groups and stocks within Consumer Discretionary, Energy, and Health Care.</div>

The action we are seeing in broad indexes, Sectors, and in market dynamics continues to support our overall bullish outlook. Additionally, the mild deterioration in market dynamics that we discussed the past two weeks is now much less of a concern. Continue to buy dips. In today’s report we highlight attractive Groups and stocks within Consumer Discretionary, Energy, and Health Care.

U.S. Equity Strategy: Bullish Outlook Intact

New and ongoing developments continue to support our bullish outlook. In the “new” column, we have bullish inflections in Treasury yields, the value vs. growth ratio, and broad commodities (Bloomberg Commodity index). These are classic signs that the economy is improving and is historically consistent with prior equity bull markets. Another new development is the market becoming increasingly overbought. As we outline in today's report, being “overbought” is far from a sell signal.  We also highlight attractive Groups and stocks within Energy and Materials: Large-, Mid-, and Small-Cap Domestic Oil &amp; Gas E&amp;P , Chemicals, Diversified, and Specialty Chemicals, Petro/Basic/Commodity.

New and ongoing developments continue to support our bullish outlook. In the “new” column, we have bullish inflections in Treasury yields, the value vs. growth ratio, and broad commodities (Bloomberg Commodity index). These are classic signs that the economy is improving and is historically consistent with prior equity bull markets. Another new development is the market becoming increasingly overbought. As we outline in today's report, being “overbought” is far from a sell signal.  We also highlight attractive Groups and stocks within Energy and Materials: Large-, Mid-, and Small-Cap Domestic Oil &amp; Gas E&amp;P , Chemicals, Diversified, and Specialty Chemicals, Petro/Basic/Commodity.

U.S. Equity Strategy: Value Overtaking Growth; Treasury Yields and Commodities Bottoming

Key Points:<ul>
<li>Consumer Discretionary retailers and restaurants continue to demonstrate leadership characteristics. Many are breaking to new price and RS highs.</li>
<li>A number of small-cap E&amp;P’s have developed bullish bases and continue to have constructive RS trends.</li>
<li>A few semi supplier stocks are breaking price and RS downtrends.</li>
</ul>

Key Points:
Consumer Discretionary retailers and restaurants continue to demonstrate leadership characteristics. Many are breaking to new price and RS highs.
A number of small-cap E&amp;P’s have developed bullish bases and continue to have constructive RS trends.
A few semi supplier stocks are breaking price and RS downtrends.


We are seeing a majority of energy-related equities stage bullish price and RS reversals, emerging from bullish bases and breaking to multi-month highs.In this report we focus on bullish opportunities in E&amp;P companies.  We will continue to monitor the service related names for signs of similar price action.Highlighted and actionable charts: TOT, RDS.A, BP, PBR, EOG, OXY, APC, MRO, MUR, IMO, ECA, CXO, CLR, COG, XEC, PDCE, SRCI and SM.

We are seeing a majority of energy-related equities stage bullish price and RS reversals, emerging from bullish bases and breaking to multi-month highs.In this report we focus on bullish opportunities in E&amp;P companies.  We will continue to monitor the service related names for signs of similar price action.Highlighted and actionable charts: TOT, RDS.A, BP, PBR, EOG, OXY, APC, MRO, MUR, IMO, ECA, CXO, CLR, COG, XEC, PDCE, SRCI and SM.

Short-term rotation is underway. FANG stocks and parts of Tech, both long-term leaders, have become a short-term source of funds. Fortunately, this weakness is confined, resulting in sector and group rotation, not widespread selling. There is still plenty to like about this market, including areas we have shied away from for most of the year, such as energy and retailers.  This report highlights investment opportunities within the energy sector.

Short-term rotation is underway. FANG stocks and parts of Tech, both long-term leaders, have become a short-term source of funds. Fortunately, this weakness is confined, resulting in sector and group rotation, not widespread selling. There is still plenty to like about this market, including areas we have shied away from for most of the year, such as energy and retailers.  This report highlights investment opportunities within the energy sector.

U.S. Equity Strategy: Tactical Shift in Favoring Value over Growth; Buy Energy; Retailers Bottoming

United States

SM Energy Company is an independent energy company that explores for and produces natural gas and crude oil.  The Company's operations are focused on The ArkLaTex, Gulf Coast, Mid-Continent, Rocky Mountains, and Permian Basin regions.

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Sm Energy Co (SM US)

U.S. Equity Strategy: Bullish Outlook Intact

The action we are seeing in broad indexes, Sectors, and in market dynamics continues to support our overall bullish outlook. Continue to buy dips.

Vermilion Research

U.S. Equity Strategy: Value Overtaking Growth; Treasury Yields and Commodities Bottoming

New and ongoing developments continue to support our bullish outlook. In the “new” column, we have bullish inflections in Treasury yields, the...

Vermilion Research

Vital Signs: Actionable U.S. Stocks

Key Points: Consumer Discretionary retailers and restaurants continue to demonstrate leadership characteristics. Many are breaking to new price and...

Vermilion Research

Energy Stocks Bottoming

We are seeing a majority of energy-related equities stage bullish price and RS reversals, emerging from bullish bases and breaking to multi-month...

Vermilion Research

U.S. Equity Strategy: Tactical Shift in Favoring Value over Growth; Buy Energy; Retailers Bottoming

Short-term rotation is underway. FANG stocks and parts of Tech, both long-term leaders, have become a short-term source of funds. Fortunately, this...

Vermilion Research

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