Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

David Blennerhassett

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>After rejecting SG Fleet's $3.60/share NBIO, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/element-fleet-management-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:24511:1" rel="noopener">Element Fleet (EFN CN)</a> tabled a A$3.80/share NBIO for <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/fleetpartners-group-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:339:1" rel="noopener">FleetPartners (FPR AU)</a>, increasing to A$4.00/share with exclusive DD. FleetPartners has now rejected that exclusivity.</li>
<li>SG Fleet has returned with a revised A$4/share NBIO (no exclusivity). And now <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/orix-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:9936:1" rel="noopener">ORIX (8591 JP)</a> has thrown its hat into the ring with a A$3.80/share NBIO (also no exclusivity).</li>
<li>FleetPartners is mulling all three proposals. A$4/share is looking full. And fair. </li>
</ul>


After rejecting SG Fleet's $3.60/share NBIO, Element Fleet (EFN CN) tabled a A$3.80/share NBIO for FleetPartners (FPR AU), increasing to A$4.00/share with exclusive DD. FleetPartners has now rejected that exclusivity.
SG Fleet has returned with a revised A$4/share NBIO (no exclusivity). And now ORIX (8591 JP) has thrown its hat into the ring with a A$3.80/share NBIO (also no exclusivity).
FleetPartners is mulling all three proposals. A$4/share is looking full. And fair. 


FleetPartners (FPR AU) Dings Element's Exclusivity. SG Fleet Returns. ORIX Joins The Party

<ul>
<li>I tally 39 - mostly firm, mostly Asia-Pac - arb transactions currently being discussed and analysed on Smartkarma. Those arbs metrics and upcoming events are detailed below.</li>
<li>Five new deals were was discussed on Smartkarma this week: <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/reliance-worldwide-corp-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22690:1" rel="noopener">Reliance Worldwide Corp (RWC AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ausgold-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:19133:1" rel="noopener">Ausgold Ltd (AUC AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/eqt-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:7541:1" rel="noopener">EQT Holdings (EQT AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/refine-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:34857:1" rel="noopener">Refine (377450 KS)</a>, and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/baudroie-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:44459:1" rel="noopener">Baudroie (4413 JP)</a>.</li>
<li>Key updates/news also took place on: <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kakaku-com-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:7408:1" rel="noopener">Kakaku.com Inc (2371 JP)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/steadfast-group-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:8181:1" rel="noopener">Steadfast (SDF AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/fleetpartners-group-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:339:1" rel="noopener">FleetPartners Group (FPR AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/public-financial-holdings-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:9760:1" rel="noopener">Public Financial (626 HK)</a>, and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/european-lithium-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:10716:1" rel="noopener">European Lithium (EUR AU)</a>.</li>
</ul>


I tally 39 - mostly firm, mostly Asia-Pac - arb transactions currently being discussed and analysed on Smartkarma. Those arbs metrics and upcoming events are detailed below.
Five new deals were was discussed on Smartkarma this week: Reliance Worldwide Corp (RWC AU), Ausgold Ltd (AUC AU), EQT Holdings (EQT AU), Refine (377450 KS), and Baudroie (4413 JP).
Key updates/news also took place on: Kakaku.com Inc (2371 JP), Steadfast (SDF AU), FleetPartners Group (FPR AU), Public Financial (626 HK), and European Lithium (EUR AU).


Asia-Pac Weekly Wrap: Kakaku.com, Reliance Worldwide, Ausgold, EQT, Baudroie, Refine, Steadfast

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ck-hutchison-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:132:1" rel="noopener">CK Hutchison (1 HK)</a> initiates a second arbitration against the Republic of Panama after Panama's highest court annulled CKH's port contracts earlier this year. </li>
<li>After falling post-1H26 results,  <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/china-unicom-hong-kong-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:1016:1" rel="noopener">China Unicom (762 HK)</a> is inexpensive to its parent <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/china-united-network-a" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:12620:1" rel="noopener">China United Network A (600050 CH)</a> - its hybrid domestic A-share twin </li>
<li>The "upside-down world" continues as Trump embraces North Korea, and amps up hostility towards it southern neighbour, possibly disrupting Hanwha's acquisition of <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/austal-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:14420:1" rel="noopener">Austal Ltd (ASB AU)</a>'s US ops. </li>
</ul>



CK Hutchison (1 HK) initiates a second arbitration against the Republic of Panama after Panama's highest court annulled CKH's port contracts earlier this year. 
After falling post-1H26 results,  China Unicom (762 HK) is inexpensive to its parent China United Network A (600050 CH) - its hybrid domestic A-share twin 
The "upside-down world" continues as Trump embraces North Korea, and amps up hostility towards it southern neighbour, possibly disrupting Hanwha's acquisition of Austal Ltd (ASB AU)'s US ops. 


Last Week In Event SPACE: CK Hutch, China Unicom, Austal, Steadfast

IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/fleetpartners-group-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:339:1" rel="noopener">FleetPartners Group (FPR AU)</a> has received a non-binding indicative proposal from <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/element-fleet-management-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:24511:1" rel="noopener">Element Fleet Management (EFN CN)</a> at A$3.80 per share, representing a 5.6% premium to <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sg-fleet-group-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:13984:1" rel="noopener">Sg Fleet (SGF AU)</a>'s offer.</li>
<li>Element has also offered an enhanced offer of A$4.00 if the Board grants it a three-week period of hard exclusivity by 11 August. </li>
<li>Element’s offer remains light. While the Board has rejected its offer, SG Fleet is likely to return with a revised offer supported by significant cost synergies.  </li>
</ul>



FleetPartners Group (FPR AU) has received a non-binding indicative proposal from Element Fleet Management (EFN CN) at A$3.80 per share, representing a 5.6% premium to Sg Fleet (SGF AU)'s offer.
Element has also offered an enhanced offer of A$4.00 if the Board grants it a three-week period of hard exclusivity by 11 August. 
Element’s offer remains light. While the Board has rejected its offer, SG Fleet is likely to return with a revised offer supported by significant cost synergies.  


FleetPartners (FPR AU): A Simmering Bidding War as Element Fleet Lobs an Offer

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/fleetpartners-group-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:339:1" rel="noopener">FleetPartners Group (FPR AU)</a> has received a non-binding indicative proposal from <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sg-fleet-group-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:13984:1" rel="noopener">Sg Fleet (SGF AU)</a> at A$3.60 per share, a 27.2% premium to the undisturbed price of A$2.83 (31 July).</li>
<li>The offer is light compared to precedent transactions and peer multiples. The timing is also opportunistic, as the shares have materially underperformed peers YTD. </li>
<li>The shareholder structure necessitates an attractive offer. A bump is likely, particularly as this proposal could catalyse a competing bid from <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/mcmillan-shakespeare-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:3023:1" rel="noopener">Mcmillan Shakespeare (MMS AU)</a> or <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/smartgroup-corp-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:19954:1" rel="noopener">Smartgroup Corp (SIQ AU)</a>. </li>
</ul>



FleetPartners Group (FPR AU) has received a non-binding indicative proposal from Sg Fleet (SGF AU) at A$3.60 per share, a 27.2% premium to the undisturbed price of A$2.83 (31 July).
The offer is light compared to precedent transactions and peer multiples. The timing is also opportunistic, as the shares have materially underperformed peers YTD. 
The shareholder structure necessitates an attractive offer. A bump is likely, particularly as this proposal could catalyse a competing bid from Mcmillan Shakespeare (MMS AU) or Smartgroup Corp (SIQ AU). 


FleetPartners (FPR AU): SG Fleet’s NBIO at A$3.60 Is Light

Australia

SmartGroup Corp Ltd. is an Australian outsourced salary packaging company within the health, not-for-profit, State and Federal Government departments and corporate sectors nationwide.

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Smartgroup Corp (SIQ AU)

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