Telco/Internet specialist

Kirk Boodry

Redex Research

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Vision Fund's public portfolio dropped $18.6bn (-24%) in Q4. China concerns grabbed headlines but it was Asian names (Coupang, Grab) that drove losses</li>
<li>Public investments held at the parent level fell 41% (-$1.3bn), led by SoFi (-$862mn), Lemonade (-$189mn) and THG (-$147mn) </li>
<li>We expect that Softbank will also need to write down private investments although it is not clear just how far private valuations have tracked public changes</li>
</ul>


Vision Fund's public portfolio dropped $18.6bn (-24%) in Q4. China concerns grabbed headlines but it was Asian names (Coupang, Grab) that drove losses
Public investments held at the parent level fell 41% (-$1.3bn), led by SoFi (-$862mn), Lemonade (-$189mn) and THG (-$147mn) 
We expect that Softbank will also need to write down private investments although it is not clear just how far private valuations have tracked public changes


Softbank Group - Early Read on Q4 Portfolio Performance

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

David Blennerhassett

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/razer-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:24380:1" rel="noopener">Razer Inc (1337 HK)</a>'s Scheme Document flags the abolishment of the headcount test may become law ahead of the shareholder meeting. That is a game-changer. If true.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/daiho-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:19647:1" rel="noopener">Daiho Corp (1822 JP)</a> has announced a deal which is not quite what it looks like. This situation is kind of a governance disaster.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/uniti-group-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29042:1" rel="noopener">Uniti Group Ltd (UWL AU)</a> backs the revised Morrison/Brookfield tilt and severs ties with Macquarie</li>
</ul>



Razer Inc (1337 HK)'s Scheme Document flags the abolishment of the headcount test may become law ahead of the shareholder meeting. That is a game-changer. If true.

Daiho Corp (1822 JP) has announced a deal which is not quite what it looks like. This situation is kind of a governance disaster.

Uniti Group Ltd (UWL AU) backs the revised Morrison/Brookfield tilt and severs ties with Macquarie


Last Week in Event SPACE: Razer, Daiho, Uniti Group, Toshiba, Tabcorp, China Conch

Senior Credit Analyst, Lucror Analytics

Leonard Law, CFA

Senior Credit Analyst

High Yield Experts

Lucror Analytics

Lucror Analytics is a leading credit and ESG research specialist and a provider of technology solutions for differentiated fixed income strategies. Our roots are in bottom-up fundamental credit analysis with a specialization in high yield corporate credits from Europe, Asia and Latin America. We are one of few research specialists integrating ESG considerations with fundamental credit research through a dedicated ESG platform. Our ESG assessment covers five key criteria: Disclosure, E,S, & G Pillars, Controversies, ESG Impact on Credit and ESG Momentum.

Recognizing the importance and value-add of Factor Investing in fixed income, Lucror developed the Smart Quant Navigator (SQN), an intuitive platform that helps clients devise and implement factor-based strategies ranging from pure quant to active fundamental, with integrated ESG.

Our company has been at the forefront of developments in the fixed income markets, identifying opportunities and consistently delivering new products and value-adding solutions to clients. Lucror has close relationships with the largest and most reputable asset managers, family offices, hedge funds, investment and wealth managers globally.

Credit

Lucror Analytics Weekly Wraps provide an overview of all Morning Views comments and reports published by our analyst team in the past week, and also showcase a list of the most-read reports.In this Insight:<ol><li><a href='/entities/first-pacific-co-ltd' target='_blank' rel='noopener'>First Pacific Co</a></li><li><a href='/entities/yanzhou-coal-mining-company-limited-h' target='_blank' rel='noopener'>Yanzhou Coal Mining Company Limited H</a></li><li><a href='/entities/indika-energy-tbk-pt' target='_blank' rel='noopener'>Indika Energy</a></li><li><a href='/entities/lippo-karawaci-tbk-pt' target='_blank' rel='noopener'>Lippo Karawaci</a></li><li><a href='/entities/agile-property-holdings-ltd' target='_blank' rel='noopener'>Agile Property Holdings</a></li></ol>and more...

Lucror Analytics Weekly Wraps provide an overview of all Morning Views comments and reports published by our analyst team in the past week, and also showcase a list of the most-read reports.In this Insight:First Pacific CoYanzhou Coal Mining Company Limited HIndika EnergyLippo KarawaciAgile Property Holdingsand more...

<ul>
<li>Shares are now up 1% in the quarter despite investment losses as 87% of assets are US$-linked</li>
<li>A recovery for Alibaba, reports of ARM monetization and the $2bn sale of its stake in Cruise has eased leverage concerns with LTV back to 22% and CDS prices falling</li>
<li>This report includes detail on Softbank dollar exposure, calculations for LTV on a quarterly and daily basis and updates to our usual NAV discount/VF performance tables</li>
</ul>


Shares are now up 1% in the quarter despite investment losses as 87% of assets are US$-linked
A recovery for Alibaba, reports of ARM monetization and the $2bn sale of its stake in Cruise has eased leverage concerns with LTV back to 22% and CDS prices falling
This report includes detail on Softbank dollar exposure, calculations for LTV on a quarterly and daily basis and updates to our usual NAV discount/VF performance tables


Softbank Group - A Strong Dollar Is Good News with 87% of Assets Overseas

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/toshiba-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:637:1" rel="noopener">Toshiba (6502 JP)</a>'s activists are stuck. So are management. 3+ years since the last big buyback, 3 new CEOs and we are back to the drawing board for both management/activists. </li>
<li>Quarz and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/mapletree-north-asia-commercial-trust" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:5127:1" rel="noopener">Mapletree North Asia Commercial Trust (MAGIC SP)</a> holders "win" to get a Cash-Only Consideration bump to 1.0x Price/Sep2021 NAV at S$1.1949/unit. This gets them out at NAV.</li>
<li>Regulatory overhang sees <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/link-administration-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:970:1" rel="noopener">Link Administration Holdings (LNK AU)</a>'s spread to terms trading wide. </li>
</ul>



Toshiba (6502 JP)'s activists are stuck. So are management. 3+ years since the last big buyback, 3 new CEOs and we are back to the drawing board for both management/activists. 
Quarz and Mapletree North Asia Commercial Trust (MAGIC SP) holders "win" to get a Cash-Only Consideration bump to 1.0x Price/Sep2021 NAV at S$1.1949/unit. This gets them out at NAV.
Regulatory overhang sees Link Administration Holdings (LNK AU)'s spread to terms trading wide. 


Last Week in Event SPACE: Toshiba, Mapletree, Link Admin, Cayman's Headcount, Razer, Crown Resorts

Japan

SoftBank Group Corp. provides telecommunication services. The Company also operates ADSL (Asymmetric Digital Subscriber Line) and fiber optic high-speed Internet connection, e-Commerce businesses, and Internet based advertising and auction businesses.

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Softbank Group (9984 JP)

Softbank Group - Early Read on Q4 Portfolio Performance

Portfolio losses were steep and may very well exceed the record quarterly erosion set in Q2 as well-known public losses are matched with private...

Kirk Boodry

Last Week in Event SPACE: Razer, Daiho, Uniti Group, Toshiba, Tabcorp, China Conch

The weekend is here! Pour yourself a coffee, grab a comfortable seat, and sift through a brief summary of insights on various events discussed...

David Blennerhassett

Weekly Wrap - 01 Apr 2022

Lucror Analytics Weekly Wraps provide an overview of all Morning Views comments and reports published by our analyst team in the past week, and...

Lucror Analytics

Softbank Group - A Strong Dollar Is Good News with 87% of Assets Overseas

With 87% of assets dollar-linked, Softbank benefits from a strong dollar and the latter's recent move to six-year highs leaves SB up QTD. Leverage...

Kirk Boodry

Last Week in Event SPACE: Toshiba, Mapletree, Link Admin, Cayman's Headcount, Razer, Crown Resorts

The weekend is here! Pour yourself a coffee, grab a comfortable seat, and sift through a brief summary of insights on various events discussed...

David Blennerhassett

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