Financial News, Analysis and Data, FNArena

FNArena

Financial News, Analysis and Data

Online financial media company focused on Australian equities, with a global perspective

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul><li>A brief look at important company events and economic data releases next week </li></ul>

A brief look at important company events and economic data releases next week 

Xero Ltd - Next Week At A Glance - 30 June-July 4 2025

<ul>
<li>Update on changes to and revisions of analysts' Best Ideas and Conviction Calls, as well as Model Portfolio compositions</li>
</ul>


Update on changes to and revisions of analysts' Best Ideas and Conviction Calls, as well as Model Portfolio compositions


Rudi's View: CBA, Life360, ResMed, Zip & More

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the changes in short interest of ASX Stocks as of Jun 20th (reported today). The aggregated short interest was USD25.9bn.</li>
<li>We tabulate league tables for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases &amp; decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.</li>
<li>We highlight short interest changes in Sigma Pharmaceuticals, Brambles, Cochlear, Yancoal Australia, Evolution Mining, BHP, National Australia Bank, Westpac.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the changes in short interest of ASX Stocks as of Jun 20th (reported today). The aggregated short interest was USD25.9bn.
We tabulate league tables for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases &amp; decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.
We highlight short interest changes in Sigma Pharmaceuticals, Brambles, Cochlear, Yancoal Australia, Evolution Mining, BHP, National Australia Bank, Westpac.


ASX Short Interest Weekly (Jun 20th): Sigma Pharmaceuticals, Brambles, Cochlear, Yancoal Australia

Materials| Industrials |Commodities

Rahul Jain

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>Zinc market tone for 2025 is cautious, with most producers guiding flat to lower volumes as concentrate supply remains tight and benchmark TCs hit 50-year lows.</li>
<li>Glencore, Teck, and South32 are dialing back output, while Korea Zinc is facing margin compression. Boliden is raising output via acquisitions and restarts, but still faces integration and cost risks.</li>
<li>Hindustan Zinc stands apart—delivering growth, industry-best 53% EBITDA margins, and sub-$1,000/t cost targets, making it a margin fortress in a soft market. </li>
</ul>


Zinc market tone for 2025 is cautious, with most producers guiding flat to lower volumes as concentrate supply remains tight and benchmark TCs hit 50-year lows.
Glencore, Teck, and South32 are dialing back output, while Korea Zinc is facing margin compression. Boliden is raising output via acquisitions and restarts, but still faces integration and cost risks.
Hindustan Zinc stands apart—delivering growth, industry-best 53% EBITDA margins, and sub-$1,000/t cost targets, making it a margin fortress in a soft market. 


Zinc’s Cycle Turns: Will Supply Outpace Demand?

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/mineral-resources-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:15103:1" rel="noopener">Mineral Resources (MIN AU)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/pilbara-minerals-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:7460:1" rel="noopener">Pilbara Minerals (PLS AU)</a> will be deleted from the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/vaneck-vectors-australian-equal-weight-etf" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:24297:1" rel="noopener">VanEck Vectors Australian Equal Weight ETF (MVW AU)</a> after the close on 20 June.</li>
<li>The two deletions, capping and float changes result in a one-way turnover of 5.03% at the rebalance. That leads to a round-trip trade of A$294m.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/pilbara-minerals-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:7460:1" rel="noopener">Pilbara Minerals (PLS AU)</a> is also a deletion from the S&amp;P/ASX 50 Index at the same time and there will be more passive selling from those trackers.</li>
</ul>



Mineral Resources (MIN AU) and Pilbara Minerals (PLS AU) will be deleted from the VanEck Vectors Australian Equal Weight ETF (MVW AU) after the close on 20 June.
The two deletions, capping and float changes result in a one-way turnover of 5.03% at the rebalance. That leads to a round-trip trade of A$294m.

Pilbara Minerals (PLS AU) is also a deletion from the S&amp;P/ASX 50 Index at the same time and there will be more passive selling from those trackers.


MV Australia Equal Weight Index Rebalance: MinRes, Pilbara Deleted as Trade Nears A$300m

Australia

South32 Limited operates as a diversified metals and mining company. The Company produces alumina, aluminum, coal, manganese, nickel, silver, lead, and zinc. South32 conducts business globally.

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South32 Ltd (S32 AU)

Xero Ltd - Next Week At A Glance - 30 June-July 4 2025

A brief look at important company events and economic data releases next week

FNArena

Rudi's View: CBA, Life360, ResMed, Zip & More

Update on changes to and revisions of analysts' Best Ideas and Conviction Calls, as well as Model Portfolio compositions

FNArena

ASX Short Interest Weekly (Jun 20th): Sigma Pharmaceuticals, Brambles, Cochlear, Yancoal Australia

We analyzed ASX short interest report for the past week and highlight short interest changes in Sigma Pharmaceuticals (SIG AU), Brambles (BXB AU),...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Zinc’s Cycle Turns: Will Supply Outpace Demand?

2025 zinc market cautious as producers cut output due to tight supply and low benchmark TCs, Hindustan Zinc stands out with strong growth and...

Rahul Jain

MV Australia Equal Weight Index Rebalance: MinRes, Pilbara Deleted as Trade Nears A$300m

MinRes and Pilbara Minerals will be deleted on 20 June. Turnover is estimated at 5.03% and the round-trip trade is A$294m. Short interest is high...

Brian Freitas

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Xero Ltd - Next Week At A Glance - 30 June-July 4 2025

A brief look at important company events and economic data releases next week

FNArena

Rudi's View: CBA, Life360, ResMed, Zip & More

Update on changes to and revisions of analysts' Best Ideas and Conviction Calls, as well as Model Portfolio compositions

FNArena

ASX Short Interest Weekly (Jun 20th): Sigma Pharmaceuticals, Brambles, Cochlear, Yancoal Australia

We analyzed ASX short interest report for the past week and highlight short interest changes in Sigma Pharmaceuticals (SIG AU), Brambles (BXB AU),...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Zinc’s Cycle Turns: Will Supply Outpace Demand?

​2025 zinc market cautious as producers cut output due to tight supply and low benchmark TCs, Hindustan Zinc stands out with strong growth and...

Rahul Jain

MV Australia Equal Weight Index Rebalance: MinRes, Pilbara Deleted as Trade Nears A$300m

MinRes and Pilbara Minerals will be deleted on 20 June. Turnover is estimated at 5.03% and the round-trip trade is A$294m. Short interest is high...

Brian Freitas

2025 zinc market cautious as producers cut output due to tight supply and low benchmark TCs, Hindustan Zinc stands out with strong growth and...