Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>There will be a bunch of rebalance announcements towards the start and at the end of the coming week. This includes the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hong-kong-hang-seng-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22899:1" rel="noopener">HSI</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hang-seng-china-enterprises-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22900:1" rel="noopener">HSCEI</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hang-seng-tech-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:31367:1" rel="noopener">HSTECH</a>, HSCI, HSIII and global indices.</li>
<li>The review period for the March rebalance of the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/s-p-asx-200" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22901:1" rel="noopener">S&amp;P/ASX 200</a> and related indices ends on 16 February. The announcement of the changes will come couple of weeks later.</li>
<li>There were HUGE inflows to mainland China ETFs for yet another week as Central Huijin indicated that they would continue to buy/create ETFs units.</li>
</ul>


There will be a bunch of rebalance announcements towards the start and at the end of the coming week. This includes the HSI, HSCEI, HSTECH, HSCI, HSIII and global indices.
The review period for the March rebalance of the S&amp;P/ASX 200 and related indices ends on 16 February. The announcement of the changes will come couple of weeks later.
There were HUGE inflows to mainland China ETFs for yet another week as Central Huijin indicated that they would continue to buy/create ETFs units.


Index Rebalance & ETF Flow Recap: STAR100, NEXT50, LowVol30, KOSPI200, TW50, NWD, ITC, India Float

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>Companies in India have disclosed their shareholding pattern as of end-December in January. There are companies with significant float changes from end-September and/or end-December.</li>
<li>The changes in free float could be reflected in domestic and global indices over the next few weeks and months resulting in action from passive trackers.</li>
<li>There are 15 stocks that could have passive inflows from global trackers while 9 could see passive outflows in February.</li>
</ul>


Companies in India have disclosed their shareholding pattern as of end-December in January. There are companies with significant float changes from end-September and/or end-December.
The changes in free float could be reflected in domestic and global indices over the next few weeks and months resulting in action from passive trackers.
There are 15 stocks that could have passive inflows from global trackers while 9 could see passive outflows in February.


India: Free Float Changes & Passive Flows in February

External broker reports(aggregated public sources), HDFC Securities

HDFC Securities

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

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Content available is external broker reports authored by a third party outside the Smartkarma network and has been aggregated by an online aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed by Smartkarma in this format for user's convenience and general informational purposes only. Content does not constitute investment or financial advice and Smartkarma makes no representation or warranty regarding its accuracy or contents. Original third party author retains all copyright and other proprietary rights in the content. Access or use of third party links not controlled by Smartkarma are at the user's own risk.

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul><li>Inventory rationalisation by agrochemical companies owing to rising inventory carrying costs and aggressive product pricing by Chinese manufacturers to regain market share has adversely impacted business from the agrochemical industry</li><li>SRF management does not expect this situation to continue long and believes that customers will restock inventories</li><li>Management expects Q3FY24 to be better than Q2FY24 and Q4FY24 to be better than Q3FY24 as demand for agrochemicals from farmers is still healthy</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Inventory rationalisation by agrochemical companies owing to rising inventory carrying costs and aggressive product pricing by Chinese manufacturers to regain market share has adversely impacted business from the agrochemical industrySRF management does not expect this situation to continue long and believes that customers will restock inventoriesManagement expects Q3FY24 to be better than Q2FY24 and Q4FY24 to be better than Q3FY24 as demand for agrochemicals from farmers is still healthyContent is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

SRF: Better placed to withstand headwinds. Maintain ADD

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul><li>TVS Motor: TVS Motors’ Q2 PAT at INR 5.4bn came in line with our estimates</li><li>The highlight for Q2 was the record-high 11% margin despite the ramp-up of i-Qube to 58k units</li><li>While TVS gained about 300bps market share in motorcycles in H1 to 10.3%, it has maintained its share in scooters</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

TVS Motor: TVS Motors’ Q2 PAT at INR 5.4bn came in line with our estimatesThe highlight for Q2 was the record-high 11% margin despite the ramp-up of i-Qube to 58k unitsWhile TVS gained about 300bps market share in motorcycles in H1 to 10.3%, it has maintained its share in scootersContent is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

HSIE Results Daily: TVS Motor, Macrotech Developers, Marico

<ul><li>Larsen &amp; Toubro: Larsen &amp; Toubro (LT) reported yet another strong quarter, beating our estimates on all fronts, led by robust execution owing to a strong opening order book</li><li>EBITDA margin came in at 10.2% (-87/-155bps YoY/QoQ vs our estimate of 11.3%), impacted by the Covid-era legacy projects nearing completion (Q3FY24 should complete), partly offset by lower employee expenses and better overhead absorption</li><li>The Hyderabad metro saw ridership improving to 422k per day from 408k per day in Q4FY23</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Larsen &amp; Toubro: Larsen &amp; Toubro (LT) reported yet another strong quarter, beating our estimates on all fronts, led by robust execution owing to a strong opening order bookEBITDA margin came in at 10.2% (-87/-155bps YoY/QoQ vs our estimate of 11.3%), impacted by the Covid-era legacy projects nearing completion (Q3FY24 should complete), partly offset by lower employee expenses and better overhead absorptionThe Hyderabad metro saw ridership improving to 422k per day from 408k per day in Q4FY23Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

HSIE Results Daily: Larsen & Toubro, Asian Paints, Tata Motors, Bajaj Auto

India

SRF Limited is a multi-business Indian multinational engaging in the manufacture of chemical based industrial intermediates. The Company has a business portfolio that encompasses technical textiles, chemicals, packaging films and engineering plastics.

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SRF Ltd (SRF IN)

Index Rebalance & ETF Flow Recap: STAR100, NEXT50, LowVol30, KOSPI200, TW50, NWD, ITC, India Float

This recap highlights Insights covering Asian index rebalances (announcements/ forecasts/ IPO Fast Entry/ M&A driven changes). We also highlight...

Brian Freitas

India: Free Float Changes & Passive Flows in February

Changes to shareholding patterns could lead to changes in float for some stocks in local/global indices. Passive trackers will need to trade over 3...

Brian Freitas

SRF: Better placed to withstand headwinds. Maintain ADD

Management expects Q3FY24 to be better than Q2FY24 and Q4FY24 to be better than Q3FY24 as demand for agrochemicals from farmers is still healthy

HDFC Securities

HSIE Results Daily: TVS Motor, Macrotech Developers, Marico

TVS Motor: TVS Motors’ Q2 PAT at INR 5.4bn came in line with our estimates. The highlight for Q2 was the record-high 11% margin despite the ramp-up...

HDFC Securities

HSIE Results Daily: Larsen & Toubro, Asian Paints, Tata Motors, Bajaj Auto

Larsen & Toubro: Larsen & Toubro (LT) reported yet another strong quarter, beating our estimates on all fronts, led by robust execution owing to a...

HDFC Securities

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52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)