Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>At the December rebalance, there will be one change for the ASX100 while there will be five changes to the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/s-p-asx-200" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22901:1" rel="noopener">S&amp;P/ASX 200 (AS51 INDEX)</a>. All changes were expected.</li>
<li>Nearly all inclusions and exclusions have over 2 days of ADV to trade and that increases significantly on some stocks. The volatility on the inclusions has been extremely high.</li>
<li>There could be another change announced in the coming week depending on results of the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/oil-search-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:773:1" rel="noopener">Oil Search Ltd (OSH AU)</a> Scheme Meeting for the merger with <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/santos-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:711:1" rel="noopener">Santos Ltd (STO AU)</a>.</li>
</ul>


At the December rebalance, there will be one change for the ASX100 while there will be five changes to the S&amp;P/ASX 200 (AS51 INDEX). All changes were expected.
Nearly all inclusions and exclusions have over 2 days of ADV to trade and that increases significantly on some stocks. The volatility on the inclusions has been extremely high.
There could be another change announced in the coming week depending on results of the Oil Search Ltd (OSH AU) Scheme Meeting for the merger with Santos Ltd (STO AU).


ASX100/​200 Dec21 Index Rebalance: Kangaroos Loose in the Top Paddock

<ul>
<li>The review period for the December review ended on 19 November. The announcement of changes will take place on 3 December with implementation at the close on 17 December.</li>
<li>There could be two changes to the ASX100 and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/s-p-asx-200" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22901:1" rel="noopener">S&amp;P/ASX 200 (AS51 INDEX)</a> prior to the regular rebalance if Spark Infrastructure and Oil Search are delisted.</li>
<li>Then there could be another change to the S&amp;P/ASX100 and up to five changes to the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/s-p-asx-200" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22901:1" rel="noopener">S&amp;P/ASX 200 (AS51 INDEX)</a> at the regular review. Some impacts are large.</li>
</ul>


The review period for the December review ended on 19 November. The announcement of changes will take place on 3 December with implementation at the close on 17 December.
There could be two changes to the ASX100 and S&amp;P/ASX 200 (AS51 INDEX) prior to the regular rebalance if Spark Infrastructure and Oil Search are delisted.
Then there could be another change to the S&amp;P/ASX100 and up to five changes to the S&amp;P/ASX 200 (AS51 INDEX) at the regular review. Some impacts are large.


ASX100/200 Index Rebalance Preview: Permutations and Combinations as M&A Activity Booms

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>The National Court of PNG and the independent expert have given the go ahead for <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/oil-search-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:773:1" rel="noopener">Oil Search Ltd (OSH AU)</a> shareholders to vote on the proposed merger with Santos.</li>
<li>If the Oil Search shareholders approve, the stock could be deleted at the close on 10 December. Spark Infrastructure could be deleted at the end of November following its acquisition.</li>
<li>There will be inclusions to the S&amp;P/ASX100 and S&amp;P/ASX 200 ahead of the regular rebalance. Then there will be more changes a couple of weeks later at the regular rebalance.</li>
</ul>


The National Court of PNG and the independent expert have given the go ahead for Oil Search Ltd (OSH AU) shareholders to vote on the proposed merger with Santos.
If the Oil Search shareholders approve, the stock could be deleted at the close on 10 December. Spark Infrastructure could be deleted at the end of November following its acquisition.
There will be inclusions to the S&amp;P/ASX100 and S&amp;P/ASX 200 ahead of the regular rebalance. Then there will be more changes a couple of weeks later at the regular rebalance.


Santos/Oil Search: Expert and Court Thumbs Up; Potential S&P/ASX Changes

S&amp;P Dow Jones Indices will announce changes to the S&amp;P/ASX 100, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/s-p-asx-200" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22901:1" rel="noopener">S&amp;P/ASX 200 (AS51 INDEX)</a> and S&amp;P/ASX300 as part of the September index review on 3 September and the changes will be effective after the close of trading on 17 September.The review period for the rebalance ends on 20 August, so there are only 3 days to go in the review period with 124 days completed.For the ASX100, we see <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/boral-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:1487:1" rel="noopener">Boral Ltd (BLD AU)</a> as a potential deletion following the reduction in its free float following <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/seven-group-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:803:1" rel="noopener">Seven Group Holdings (SVW AU)</a>'s tender offer. This is the possibility of another change with <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/steadfast-group-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:8181:1" rel="noopener">Steadfast (SDF AU)</a> replacing <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/beach-energy-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:795:1" rel="noopener">Beach Energy (BPT AU)</a> in the index.For the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/s-p-asx-200" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22901:1" rel="noopener">S&amp;P/ASX 200 (AS51 INDEX)</a>, we see <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/pinnacle-investment-management" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:20624:1" rel="noopener">Pinnacle Investment Management (PNI AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sealink-travel-group-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:6400:1" rel="noopener">Sealink Travel (SLK AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/de-grey-mining-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:6192:1" rel="noopener">De Grey Mining (DEG AU)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/amalgamated-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:20978:1" rel="noopener">Event Hospitality and Entertainment (EVT AU)</a> as potential inclusions, while <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nuix-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:31040:1" rel="noopener">Nuix Limited (NXL AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nrw-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:9271:1" rel="noopener">NRW Holdings (NWH AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/g8-education-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:581:1" rel="noopener">G8 Education (GEM AU)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/westgold-resources-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:24269:1" rel="noopener">Westgold Resources (WGX AU)</a> are potential deletions.For the ASX300, potential inclusions are <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/paladin-energy-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:10117:1" rel="noopener">Paladin Energy (PDN AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/imugene-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:20276:1" rel="noopener">Imugene Ltd (IMU AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/liontown-resources-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:20488:1" rel="noopener">Liontown Resources (LTR AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/betmakers-technology-group-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:25489:1" rel="noopener">BetMakers Technology Group (BET AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/novonix-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29093:1" rel="noopener">Novonix Ltd (NVX AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/dubber-corp-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:15396:1" rel="noopener">Dubber Corp Ltd (DUB AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/johns-lyng-group-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26649:1" rel="noopener">Johns Lyng (JLG AU)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/strike-energy-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:12473:1" rel="noopener">Strike Energy (STX AU)</a>, while potential deletions are <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/bubs-australia-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:6296:1" rel="noopener">Bubs Australia (BUB AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/synlait-milk-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:16298:1" rel="noopener">Synlait Milk (SML NZ)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/integrated-research-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:6744:1" rel="noopener">Integrated Research (IRI AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/maca-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:11390:1" rel="noopener">Maca Ltd (MLD AU)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/medical-developments-international" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:18644:1" rel="noopener">Medical Developments International (MVP AU)</a>.The impact is quite large on the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/s-p-asx-200" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22901:1" rel="noopener">S&amp;P/ASX 200 (AS51 INDEX)</a> expected changes while there could be a large impact on <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/steadfast-group-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:8181:1" rel="noopener">Steadfast (SDF AU)</a> if it is included in the ASX100.

S&amp;P Dow Jones Indices will announce changes to the S&amp;P/ASX 100, S&amp;P/ASX 200 (AS51 INDEX) and S&amp;P/ASX300 as part of the September index review on 3 September and the changes will be effective after the close of trading on 17 September.The review period for the rebalance ends on 20 August, so there are only 3 days to go in the review period with 124 days completed.For the ASX100, we see Boral Ltd (BLD AU) as a potential deletion following the reduction in its free float following Seven Group Holdings (SVW AU)'s tender offer. This is the possibility of another change with Steadfast (SDF AU) replacing Beach Energy (BPT AU) in the index.For the S&amp;P/ASX 200 (AS51 INDEX), we see Pinnacle Investment Management (PNI AU), Sealink Travel (SLK AU), De Grey Mining (DEG AU) and Event Hospitality and Entertainment (EVT AU) as potential inclusions, while Nuix Limited (NXL AU), NRW Holdings (NWH AU), G8 Education (GEM AU) and Westgold Resources (WGX AU) are potential deletions.For the ASX300, potential inclusions are Paladin Energy (PDN AU), Imugene Ltd (IMU AU), Liontown Resources (LTR AU), BetMakers Technology Group (BET AU), Novonix Ltd (NVX AU), Dubber Corp Ltd (DUB AU), Johns Lyng (JLG AU) and Strike Energy (STX AU), while potential deletions are Bubs Australia (BUB AU), Synlait Milk (SML NZ), Integrated Research (IRI AU), Maca Ltd (MLD AU) and Medical Developments International (MVP AU).The impact is quite large on the S&amp;P/ASX 200 (AS51 INDEX) expected changes while there could be a large impact on Steadfast (SDF AU) if it is included in the ASX100.

ASX100/200/300 Index Rebalance Preview: Big Impact & Large Shorts

APAC IPOs & Placements

Zhen Zhou, Toh

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Equity Capital Markets

<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/steadfast-group-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:8181:1" rel="noopener">Steadfast (SDF AU)</a> is looking to raise AUD200m from its placement to partially fund the acquisition of Coverforce, an insurance brokerage firm. We will look at the acquisition, deal dynamics, and run the deal through our ECM framework.

Steadfast (SDF AU) is looking to raise AUD200m from its placement to partially fund the acquisition of Coverforce, an insurance brokerage firm. We will look at the acquisition, deal dynamics, and run the deal through our ECM framework.

Steadfast Group Placement - An Immediately Accretive Acquisition

Australia

Steadfast Group Ltd is a provider of services to broker businesses across Australia, New Zealand and Singapore. The Company has equity interests in insurance broker businesses, underwriting agencies and other complementary businesses.

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Steadfast (SDF AU)

ASX100/200 Dec21 Index Rebalance: Kangaroos Loose in the Top Paddock

There is 1 change to the ASX100 and 5 changes to the ASX200 index. The adds have outperformed the deletes over the year and are trading at...

Brian Freitas

ASX100/200 Index Rebalance Preview: Permutations and Combinations as M&A Activity Booms

This is going to be a busy rebalance for the ASX100 & ASX200 indices with M&A driven changes followed by changes at the regular review. There is a...

Brian Freitas

Santos/Oil Search: Expert and Court Thumbs Up; Potential S&P/ASX Changes

Spark Infra and Oil Search could be deleted from the ASX100 & ASX200 indices ahead of the regular rebalance. Then there will be more changes at the...

Brian Freitas

ASX100/200/300 Index Rebalance Preview: Big Impact & Large Shorts

There are a lot of changes expected across the ASX100, 200 & 300 indices at the September rebalance. A lot of those stocks will have a large impact...

Brian Freitas

Steadfast Group Placement - An Immediately Accretive Acquisition

Steadfast (SDF AU) is looking to raise AUD200m from its placement to partially fund the acquisition of Coverforce, an insurance brokerage firm.

Zhen Zhou, Toh

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

ASX100/​200 Dec21 Index Rebalance: Kangaroos Loose in the Top Paddock

There is 1 change to the ASX100 and 5 changes to the ASX200 index. The adds have outperformed the deletes over the year and are trading at...

Brian Freitas

ASX100/200 Index Rebalance Preview: Permutations and Combinations as M&A Activity Booms

This is going to be a busy rebalance for the ASX100 & ASX200 indices with M&A driven changes followed by changes at the regular review. There is a...

Brian Freitas

Santos/Oil Search: Expert and Court Thumbs Up; Potential S&P/ASX Changes

Spark Infra and Oil Search could be deleted from the ASX100 & ASX200 indices ahead of the regular rebalance. Then there will be more changes at the...

Brian Freitas

ASX100/200/300 Index Rebalance Preview: Big Impact & Large Shorts

There are a lot of changes expected across the ASX100, 200 & 300 indices at the September rebalance. A lot of those stocks will have a large impact...

Brian Freitas

Steadfast Group Placement - An Immediately Accretive Acquisition

Steadfast (SDF AU) is looking to raise AUD200m from its placement to partially fund the acquisition of Coverforce, an insurance brokerage firm.

Zhen Zhou, Toh

ASX100/200 Dec21 Index Rebalance: Kangaroos Loose in the Top Paddock