Japanese Equity Specialist, Ortus Advisors

Andrew Jackson

Japanese Equity Specialist

Ortus Advisors

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>Outperforming memory and NVDA takes a break while semi-cap and AMD related surge.</li>
<li>Wafer names continue to rise with Siltronic +9.2% taking gains to 85% since mid-Sep. Sumco, Shin Etsu and maybe even Tokuyama in focus.</li>
<li>EssilorLuxottica took its Nikon stake up to 10.8% yesterday, but now reports it has approval to take this to 20%. Can squeeze a lot more.</li>
</ul>


Outperforming memory and NVDA takes a break while semi-cap and AMD related surge.
Wafer names continue to rise with Siltronic +9.2% taking gains to 85% since mid-Sep. Sumco, Shin Etsu and maybe even Tokuyama in focus.
EssilorLuxottica took its Nikon stake up to 10.8% yesterday, but now reports it has approval to take this to 20%. Can squeeze a lot more.


Japan Morning Connection: AMD Deal News Sends AI Lurching Higher

<ul>
<li>Open AI at $500bn sends the whole AI edifice surging once again.</li>
<li>Siltronic's jumped 12% in EU and the outlook for the likes of Sumco and Shin Estu remains very positive.</li>
<li>Market see record deliveries for Tesla more as front-loading than an increase in overall demand, but robots likely to keep turning heads.</li>
</ul>


Open AI at $500bn sends the whole AI edifice surging once again.
Siltronic's jumped 12% in EU and the outlook for the likes of Sumco and Shin Estu remains very positive.
Market see record deliveries for Tesla more as front-loading than an increase in overall demand, but robots likely to keep turning heads.


Japan Morning Connection: AMAT Expecting Hit from China Export Restrictions May Take Shine off SPE

Technical Analyst, Vermilion Research

Joe Jasper

Technical Analyst

Technical and Quantitative Research

Vermilion Research

Vermilion’s objective is to deliver timely, actionable, and unique technical research to professional investors through the application of our various technical indicators.

Our research strategists seek to highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various technical and quantitative indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. Our unique research methodology, centered on relative strength, enables our strategists to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing the universe of actively traded stocks into discrete sectors, then into industry groups. We then apply our technical and quantitative tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sector or group, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. We provide a historical perspective that often reveals, through our long-term charts, how price patterns often repeat themselves over time.

Technical Analysis

Sunwoda Electronic Co Ltd A / Technical Analysis

<ul>
<li>We remain near-term bullish since our 4/22/25 Compass, and our intermediate-term outlook remains bullish as well (as of our 5/14/25 Compass), with Int’l Compass reports all echoing this sentiment.</li>
<li>Market dynamics remain overwhelmingly risk-on; with plenty of global liquidity, we expect upside to continue into year-end and the early part of 2026.</li>
<li>Remain Overweight Taiwan, China, Korea, U.S., and Greece. Many buys in these countries, and also Europe and Japan. EURO STOXX 50 on the cusp of major breakout above 5500</li>
</ul>


We remain near-term bullish since our 4/22/25 Compass, and our intermediate-term outlook remains bullish as well (as of our 5/14/25 Compass), with Int’l Compass reports all echoing this sentiment.
Market dynamics remain overwhelmingly risk-on; with plenty of global liquidity, we expect upside to continue into year-end and the early part of 2026.
Remain Overweight Taiwan, China, Korea, U.S., and Greece. Many buys in these countries, and also Europe and Japan. EURO STOXX 50 on the cusp of major breakout above 5500


Buys Focused in China, Taiwan, and Korea; Bullish Outlook Intact

<ul>
<li>Semi-Cap higher after positive comments from JPM on ASML that the worst is behind it given strong WFE and memory trends.</li>
<li>Wafer names surging globally as demand for memory outstrips supply, while Wolfspeed announces its has reached 200m SiC capability.</li>
<li>A brave short seller for Coreweave calling it a “debt fuelled GPU rental business with no moat”.</li>
</ul>


Semi-Cap higher after positive comments from JPM on ASML that the worst is behind it given strong WFE and memory trends.
Wafer names surging globally as demand for memory outstrips supply, while Wolfspeed announces its has reached 200m SiC capability.
A brave short seller for Coreweave calling it a “debt fuelled GPU rental business with no moat”.


Japan Morning Connection: Markets Plateauing Ahead of Fed, but Semi's Still Managing to Tick Higher

Semiconductor & Technology Specialist, Ingenuity

William Keating

Semiconductor & Technology Specialist

Ingenuity

Our focus is exclusively on in-depth research & consulting in the broader semiconductor industry. We focus on the key players, namely Intel, Micron, Qualcomm, Apple, Samsung, NVIDIA, AMD, TSMC & Global Foundries - as well as some of the lesser known, but nonetheless critical, companies such as ASML (for EUV), Mellanox, Cavium, Xilinx etc. We specialise in their products, roadmaps, process technologies, competitive advantages & threats etc. We also help our clients understand the implications of new and emerging technologies, e.g. 3D X-Point, 3D NAND, Carbon Nanotubes, Autonomous Driving, Graphene, Silicon Photonics, Wafer-Level Optics, Artificial Intelligence, FPGA, GPU, ASIC etc. 

Semiconductor Analysis & Research

<ul>
<li>Global semiconductor sales for the month of January 2025 hit $56.5 billion, an increase of 17.9% YoY, but down 1.7% MoM</li>
<li>TSMC is also off to an excellent start in 2025. YTD revenues through February are up 39.2%.</li>
<li>2025 Semi forecast? Think 2024 without the memory boom and way more volatility</li>
</ul>


Global semiconductor sales for the month of January 2025 hit $56.5 billion, an increase of 17.9% YoY, but down 1.7% MoM
TSMC is also off to an excellent start in 2025. YTD revenues through February are up 39.2%.
2025 Semi forecast? Think 2024 without the memory boom and way more volatility


Semiconductors. Key Indicator Updates, 2024 In Review, 2025 Forecasts

Japan

SUMCO Corporation manufactures silicon wafers for the semiconductor industry. The Company produces silicon wafers used to produce solar batteries as well as ultra-high purity quartz used to produce vessels for silicon manufacturing process. SUMCO markets its products worldwide.

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SUMCO Corp (3436 JP)

Japan Morning Connection: AMD Deal News Sends AI Lurching Higher

AMD surging higher, keeping focus on AI related names. Continued strength for quantum computing names should push Japan's AI SPE names still higher.

Andrew Jackson

Japan Morning Connection: AMAT Expecting Hit from China Export Restrictions May Take Shine off SPE

AMAT expecting a $710m hit to its revenue from new US export restrictions which may dampen Japan SPE somewhat. Expect another jump higher for...

Andrew Jackson

Buys Focused in China, Taiwan, and Korea; Bullish Outlook Intact

Buys Focused in China, Taiwan, and Korea; Bullish Outlook Intact. Actionable Themes: Communications, Manufacturing (Robotics and Batteries),...

Vermilion Research

Japan Morning Connection: Markets Plateauing Ahead of Fed, but Semi's Still Managing to Tick Higher

Apple suppliers sent higher after announcement of Apple involvement with IC packaging. Power and industrial semi's shaking off China's anti-dumping...

Andrew Jackson

Semiconductors. Key Indicator Updates, 2024 In Review, 2025 Forecasts

2025 Semi forecast? Think 2024 without the memory boom and way more volatility. Chaos will ultimately beget opportunity, just not yet...

William Keating

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