IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/techno-associe-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:3893:1" rel="noopener">Techno Associe (8249 JP)</a> has recommended <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sumitomo-electric-industries" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:10496:1" rel="noopener">Sumitomo Electric Industries (5802 JP)</a>’s tender offer of JPY1,695 per share, an 36.9% premium to the undisturbed price (2 February).</li>
<li>The transaction is a two-step acquisition through a cash tender offer and subsequent squeeze-out. The lower limit of the offer has been set to meet the 66.67% ownership ratio.</li>
<li>The tender offer is attractive and represents an all-time share price high. This suggests a done deal. The tender offer period is from 3 February to 22 March.</li>
</ul>



Techno Associe (8249 JP) has recommended Sumitomo Electric Industries (5802 JP)’s tender offer of JPY1,695 per share, an 36.9% premium to the undisturbed price (2 February).
The transaction is a two-step acquisition through a cash tender offer and subsequent squeeze-out. The lower limit of the offer has been set to meet the 66.67% ownership ratio.
The tender offer is attractive and represents an all-time share price high. This suggests a done deal. The tender offer period is from 3 February to 22 March.


Techno Associe (8249 JP): JPY1,695 Tender Offer from Sumitomo Electric

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nissin-electric-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:18567:1" rel="noopener">Nissin Electric (6641 JP)</a> has recommended <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sumitomo-electric-industries" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:10496:1" rel="noopener">Sumitomo Electric Industries (5802 JP)</a>’s tender offer of JPY1,700 per share, an 22.7% premium to the undisturbed price (2 February).</li>
<li>The transaction is a two-step acquisition through a cash tender offer and subsequent squeeze-out. The lower limit of the offer has been set to meet the 66.67% ownership ratio.</li>
<li>The tender offer is attractive in comparison to peer multiples and historical price ranges. Excluding the offeror, there are no substantial shareholders. This suggests a done deal. </li>
</ul>



Nissin Electric (6641 JP) has recommended Sumitomo Electric Industries (5802 JP)’s tender offer of JPY1,700 per share, an 22.7% premium to the undisturbed price (2 February).
The transaction is a two-step acquisition through a cash tender offer and subsequent squeeze-out. The lower limit of the offer has been set to meet the 66.67% ownership ratio.
The tender offer is attractive in comparison to peer multiples and historical price ranges. Excluding the offeror, there are no substantial shareholders. This suggests a done deal. 


Nissin Electric (6641 JP): JPY1,700 Tender Offer from Sumitomo Electric

Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs, Douglas Research Advisory

Douglas Kim

Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Global PMX is an auto parts maker in Taiwan which could be a key beneficiary of a recovery in cars ships shortage. </li>
<li>Volkswagen's CEO Herbert Diess recently mentioned that the worst of the global chip shortage may be in the rear-view mirror.</li>
<li>Our base case valuation of Global PMX is implied price of 250 TWD per share. This represents 39% higher than the current price. </li>
</ul>


Global PMX is an auto parts maker in Taiwan which could be a key beneficiary of a recovery in cars ships shortage. 
Volkswagen's CEO Herbert Diess recently mentioned that the worst of the global chip shortage may be in the rear-view mirror.
Our base case valuation of Global PMX is implied price of 250 TWD per share. This represents 39% higher than the current price. 


Global PMX - A Key Beneficiary in Taiwan of a Recovery in Cars Chips Shortage

'Quantamental' Japan Specialist, LightStream Research

Campbell Gunn

'Quantamental' Japan Specialist

Long-Short Analysis on Japan, Asia and the World

LightStream Research

LightStream conducts quantitatively rigorous and data-driven analysis with a focus on Japan and Asia.

We consistently cover the Tech, Consumer and Industrial sectors, and provide ECM and Events coverage more broadly.

We supplement traditional qualitative insights from company relationships with a robust quantitative foundation that examines as much historical data as is available.
We further refine the accuracy of our insights and calls through the use of alternative data to flesh out current trends, and through a valuation framework that emphasises non-superficial peer group selection and a proper attempt to understand the metrics and changes that have driven security valuations in the past.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<figure class="editor-figure mceNonEditable"><img src="https://static-prod.smartkarma.com/images/media/000/134/507/original/2020-05-20_06-42-32.png?1589924596" class="editor-image img-responsive" data-smartkarma-image-id="134507"></figure><div class="content-caption">Source • Japan Analytics</div><p><strong>STRAGGLERS</strong> - As we wind down this series of Insights, the 'gap' between our proxies for earnings and Total Market Cap is now the largest in fifteen years, courtesy of central bank liquidity injections. Our lagging Results Score has yet to breach the 2016 'low', a creditable outcome but will do so by August. We still await annual results for 'stragglers' <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/recruit-holdings-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:15070:1" rel="noopener">Recruit (6098 JP)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tokio-marine-holdings-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:7591:1" rel="noopener">Tokio Marine (8766 JP)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nissan-motor-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:72:1" rel="noopener">Nissan Motor (7201 JP)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hitachi-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:7797:1" rel="noopener">Hitachi (6501 JP)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/fujifilm-holdings-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:16353:1" rel="noopener">Fujifilm (4901 JP)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/toshiba-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:637:1" rel="noopener">Toshiba (6502 JP)</a>, and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hikari-tsushin-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:4909:1" rel="noopener">Hikari Tsushin (9435 JP)</a>. </p><div><p>in the <strong>DETAIL</strong> below, we shall review Monday's updates:-</p></div><div><ul>
<li>The balance between positive/neutral/negative of the 51 results announcements was 21:3:27. The average change in Results Score was -1.1.</li>
<li>For the 24 revisions/initial forecasts, the split was 8:1:15, and the average Forecast/Revision Score was -5.4. Again less than 50% of companies reporting full-year results chose to make current year forecasts.</li>
</ul></div>

Source • Japan AnalyticsSTRAGGLERS - As we wind down this series of Insights, the 'gap' between our proxies for earnings and Total Market Cap is now the largest in fifteen years, courtesy of central bank liquidity injections. Our lagging Results Score has yet to breach the 2016 'low', a creditable outcome but will do so by August. We still await annual results for 'stragglers' Recruit (6098 JP), Tokio Marine (8766 JP), Nissan Motor (7201 JP), Hitachi (6501 JP), Fujifilm (4901 JP), Toshiba (6502 JP), and Hikari Tsushin (9435 JP). in the DETAIL below, we shall review Monday's updates:-
The balance between positive/neutral/negative of the 51 results announcements was 21:3:27. The average change in Results Score was -1.1.
For the 24 revisions/initial forecasts, the split was 8:1:15, and the average Forecast/Revision Score was -5.4. Again less than 50% of companies reporting full-year results chose to make current year forecasts.


🇯🇵 JAPAN • Results & Revisions 19th May - SEI, Kotobuki Spirits, Autobacs Seven

Asian Insight Provider - Actionable ideas, CrossASEAN Research

Henry Soediarko

Asian Insight Provider - Actionable ideas

CrossASEAN Research

At CrossASEAN Research we strive to produce unbiased and differentiated on the ground insights on companies across South East Asia. Our Research is produced for the most part after face to face meetings and conversations with company management to dig deep into the long term vision and strategy of the companies we cover. We seek to deliver investable and actionable themes on sectors and markets across SE Asia, often in collaboration with other Insight Providers across the region, pooling the vast experience of the analysts within the Smartkarma Ecosystem. We also offer bespoke work and tailor made trips for our clients. 

Insights across South East Asia

<div class="content-highlight"><p>In my last insight on <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nippon-paint-holdings-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:7387:1" rel="noopener">Nippon Paint Holdings (4612 JP)</a> I discussed how the company is dependant on the Chinese auto sector which some may say it's bottoming out and assuming that the Japanese auto industry is just stagnant. </p></div><p>Toyota, Nissan, Honda, Subaru, Suzuki, Mazda, and Mitsubishi have all reported weaker domestic sales in October 2019. This presents an opportunity for shorting auto suppliers whose share price has recently increase despite the somber outlook. </p><p><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sumitomo-electric-industries" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:10496:1" rel="noopener">Sumitomo Electric Industries (5802 JP)</a> , <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/aisin-seiki-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:11809:1" rel="noopener">Aisin Seiki (7259 JP)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/minth-group-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:9232:1" rel="noopener">Minth Group Ltd (425 HK)</a> are the names for shorting. </p>

In my last insight on Nippon Paint Holdings (4612 JP) I discussed how the company is dependant on the Chinese auto sector which some may say it's bottoming out and assuming that the Japanese auto industry is just stagnant. Toyota, Nissan, Honda, Subaru, Suzuki, Mazda, and Mitsubishi have all reported weaker domestic sales in October 2019. This presents an opportunity for shorting auto suppliers whose share price has recently increase despite the somber outlook. Sumitomo Electric Industries (5802 JP) , Aisin Seiki (7259 JP) and Minth Group Ltd (425 HK) are the names for shorting. 

Japan

Sumitomo Electric Industries, Ltd. manufactures electric wires, cables, and their related equipment.  The Company's products include optical fibers, wire harnesses, antennas for broadcasting stations, and electric monitoring systems.  Sumitomo Electric also produces disc brakes and antilock braking systems for automobiles and printed circuit board.

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Sumitomo Electric Industries (5802 JP)

Techno Associe (8249 JP): JPY1,695 Tender Offer from Sumitomo Electric

The tender offer is attractive and represents an all-time share price high. This suggests a done deal. The tender offer period is from 3 February...

Arun George

Nissin Electric (6641 JP): JPY1,700 Tender Offer from Sumitomo Electric

The tender offer is attractive in comparison to peer multiples and historical price ranges. Excluding the offeror, there are no substantial...

Arun George

Global PMX - A Key Beneficiary in Taiwan of a Recovery in Cars Chips Shortage

Global PMX is an auto parts maker in Taiwan which could be a key beneficiary of a recovery in cars ships shortage in 2022.

Douglas Kim

🇯🇵 JAPAN • Results & Revisions 19th May - SEI, Kotobuki Spirits, Autobacs Seven

STRAGGLERS - As we wind down this series of Insights, the 'gap' between our proxies for earnings and Total Market Cap is now the largest in fifteen...

Campbell Gunn

Auto Supplier - New Shorting Opportunity

In my last insight on Nippon Paint Holdings (4612 JP) I discussed how the company is dependant on the Chinese auto sector which some may say it's...

Henry Soediarko

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