Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

Travis Lundy

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>The word floating around late Friday as books closed was that foreigners had bid strongly. More than the entire <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/japan-post-bank-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:838:1" rel="noopener">Japan Post Bank (7182 JP)</a> offering size in fact.</li>
<li>The offering is an interesting problem, as discussed before. Different people are going to buy it for different reasons. </li>
<li>This insight looks at the breakdown of ratios and the resultant foreign ownership, along with post-offer supply/demand balance.</li>
</ul>


The word floating around late Friday as books closed was that foreigners had bid strongly. More than the entire Japan Post Bank (7182 JP) offering size in fact.
The offering is an interesting problem, as discussed before. Different people are going to buy it for different reasons. 
This insight looks at the breakdown of ratios and the resultant foreign ownership, along with post-offer supply/demand balance.


Japan Post Bank - Estimating Foreign Ownership and Deal Flowback

IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>Since the offer announcement, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/japan-post-bank-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:838:1" rel="noopener">Japan Post Bank (7182 JP)</a>/JPB’s shares have risen by 4.4%. On 1 March, JPB completed the ToSTNeT-3 buyback by acquiring 59.5 million shares for JPY70 billion.</li>
<li>To understand JPB's trading pattern, it is instructive to look at <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/japan-post-insurance-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:840:1" rel="noopener">Japan Post Insurance (7181 JP)</a>/JPI’s 2019 offering and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/japan-post-holdings-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:359:1" rel="noopener">Japan Post Holdings (6178 JP)</a>/ JPH’s 2021 offering.</li>
<li>JPB’s shares should follow the trading pattern playbook of JPI’s 2019 and JPH’s 2021 offerings and start trading below the pre-offer last trading price during the subscription period.</li>
</ul>


Since the offer announcement, Japan Post Bank (7182 JP)/JPB’s shares have risen by 4.4%. On 1 March, JPB completed the ToSTNeT-3 buyback by acquiring 59.5 million shares for JPY70 billion.
To understand JPB's trading pattern, it is instructive to look at Japan Post Insurance (7181 JP)/JPI’s 2019 offering and Japan Post Holdings (6178 JP)/ JPH’s 2021 offering.
JPB’s shares should follow the trading pattern playbook of JPI’s 2019 and JPH’s 2021 offerings and start trading below the pre-offer last trading price during the subscription period.


Japan Post Bank (7182 JP): The Current Playbook

SBI Sumishin Net Bank  / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sbi-sumishin-net-bank" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:34572:1" rel="noopener">SBI Sumishin Net Bank (7163 JP)</a>, an online bank in Japan, has revived its listing plans to raise up to US$440 million (vs the 2022 target of US$1 billion).</li>
<li>We previously discussed the IPO in <em><strong><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/sbi-sumishin-net-bank-ipo-the-investment-case" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:96979" rel="noopener">SBI Sumishin Net Bank IPO: The Investment Case</a></strong></em>. The shares will be listed on 29 March.</li>
<li>In this note, we discuss valuation. Our analysis suggests that SBI Sumishin Net Bank is fairly valued at the IPO reference price of JPY1,260. We would participate in the IPO.</li>
</ul>



SBI Sumishin Net Bank (7163 JP), an online bank in Japan, has revived its listing plans to raise up to US$440 million (vs the 2022 target of US$1 billion).
We previously discussed the IPO in SBI Sumishin Net Bank IPO: The Investment Case. The shares will be listed on 29 March.
In this note, we discuss valuation. Our analysis suggests that SBI Sumishin Net Bank is fairly valued at the IPO reference price of JPY1,260. We would participate in the IPO.


SBI Sumishin Net Bank IPO: Valuation Insights

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sbi-sumishin-net-bank" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:34572:1" rel="noopener">SBI Sumishin Net Bank (7163 JP)</a>, an online bank in Japan, has revived its listing plans to raise up to US$440 million (vs the 2022 target of US$1 billion). </li>
<li>Founded in 2007, SBI Sumishin Net Bank is owned 50% by <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sbi-holdings-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:10928:1" rel="noopener">SBI Holdings (8473 JP)</a> and 50% by <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sumitomo-mitsui-trust-holdings-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:19450:1" rel="noopener">Sumitomo Mitsui Trust Holdings (8309 JP)</a>.</li>
<li>The investment case rests on market share gains, the rude health of the digital bank segment, the nascent BaaS segment turning profitable and ambitious medium-term goals. </li>
</ul>



SBI Sumishin Net Bank (7163 JP), an online bank in Japan, has revived its listing plans to raise up to US$440 million (vs the 2022 target of US$1 billion). 
Founded in 2007, SBI Sumishin Net Bank is owned 50% by SBI Holdings (8473 JP) and 50% by Sumitomo Mitsui Trust Holdings (8309 JP).
The investment case rests on market share gains, the rude health of the digital bank segment, the nascent BaaS segment turning profitable and ambitious medium-term goals. 


SBI Sumishin Net Bank IPO: The Investment Case

<ul>
<li>In February 2022, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sbi-holdings-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:10928:1" rel="noopener">SBI Holdings (8473 JP)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sumitomo-mitsui-trust-holdings-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:19450:1" rel="noopener">Sumitomo Mitsui Trust Holdings (8309 JP)</a> announced they would IPO <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sbi-sumishin-net-bank" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:34572:1" rel="noopener">SBI Sumishin Net Bank (7163 JP)</a> but that got cancelled by Ukraine.</li>
<li>Yesterday, they announced they were going to try again. This time, with a reduced price and reduced aspirations. Given the way banks have performed in the last year... 👀</li>
<li>That changes - completely - the picture of index demand. But it also changes the fundamental picture. </li>
</ul>


In February 2022, SBI Holdings (8473 JP) and Sumitomo Mitsui Trust Holdings (8309 JP) announced they would IPO SBI Sumishin Net Bank (7163 JP) but that got cancelled by Ukraine.
Yesterday, they announced they were going to try again. This time, with a reduced price and reduced aspirations. Given the way banks have performed in the last year... 👀
That changes - completely - the picture of index demand. But it also changes the fundamental picture. 


SBI Sumishin NetBank (7163 JP) Re-IPO Details, Fundamentals Tearsheet, Likely Index Treatment

Japan

Sumitomo Mitsui Trust Holdings, Inc. is a holding company established jointly by Chuo Mitsui Trust Holdings and Sumitomo Trust and Banking. As a financial group, the Bank provides trust banking business, as well as securities brokerage, assets management, and related financial services.

Price Gauge
52-week Range	0.00 - 0.00
Market Cap (USDm)	0.00
P/E	0.00
Dividend (Yield)	0.00

Sumitomo Mitsui Trust Holdings (8309 JP)

Japan Post Bank - Estimating Foreign Ownership and Deal Flowback

I expect the JPB deal will price after the close on Monday. Determinants as to success in aftermarket will be foreign active demand (incl...

Travis Lundy

Japan Post Bank (7182 JP): The Current Playbook

JPB’s shares should follow the trading pattern playbook of JPI’s 2019 and JPH’s 2021 offerings and start trading below the pre-offer last trading...

Arun George

SBI Sumishin Net Bank IPO: Valuation Insights

In this note, we discuss valuation. Our analysis suggests that SBI Sumishin Net Bank is fairly valued at the IPO reference price of JPY1,260. We...

Arun George

SBI Sumishin Net Bank IPO: The Investment Case

The investment case rests on market share gains, the rude health of the digital bank segment, the nascent BaaS segment turning profitable and...

Arun George

SBI Sumishin NetBank (7163 JP) Re-IPO Details, Fundamentals Tearsheet, Likely Index Treatment

SBI and Sumi Mitsui Trust are going to try again to IPO SBI Sumishin Netbank (7163 JP). This year they have reduced expectations, despite the bank...

Travis Lundy

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)