HK/China Healthcare Analyst (ex-Fosun Pharma)

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

Equity Capital Markets

Newtrend Technology / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>Summit's chances of being sold have decreased significantly. Since Summit does not have enough funds to promote multiple large-scale Phase III trials, the outlook of Summit/Akeso will become increasingly passive.</li>
<li>The public statements of Zhao Yan from Bloomage have raised doubts in the market about the prospects of collagen and Giant Biogene. Below, we shared some differentiated views on this.</li>
<li>The IPO pricing of Newtrend is HK$18.9-20.9/share. We think Newtrend is overvalued considering the "price war" and oversupply issue. Reasonable valuation should be lower than <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/anhui-jinhe-industrial-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:4296:1" rel="noopener">Anhui Jinhe Industrial (002597 CH)</a>.</li>
</ul>


Summit's chances of being sold have decreased significantly. Since Summit does not have enough funds to promote multiple large-scale Phase III trials, the outlook of Summit/Akeso will become increasingly passive.
The public statements of Zhao Yan from Bloomage have raised doubts in the market about the prospects of collagen and Giant Biogene. Below, we shared some differentiated views on this.
The IPO pricing of Newtrend is HK$18.9-20.9/share. We think Newtrend is overvalued considering the "price war" and oversupply issue. Reasonable valuation should be lower than Anhui Jinhe Industrial (002597 CH).


China Healthcare Weekly (Jun.8)-Summit/Akeso, Giant Biogene's Trouble, Views on Newtrend IPO Pricing

Research from Water Tower Research, Water Tower Research

Water Tower Research

Research from Water Tower Research

Water Tower Research is a leading equity research firm that provides research on micro, small and mid cap companies.

Water Tower Research was founded by Wall Street veterans after witnessing a fundamental shift in the investment research industry with the result being a declining knowledge base among investors, a lack of awareness and a shrinking pool of fundamental research being conducted on companies across the small-cap and micro-cap spectrum. The same issues are now increasingly occurring in the mid-cap space. This sea change within the investment community is impacting not only the companies themselves but also current shareholders and potential investors. With significantly less active sell-side sponsorship by Wall Street, a substantial information gap has developed between companies and various constituents in the financial community. The net result is fewer channels for insight and information to flow between companies and investors.

Equity Research Firm

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul><li>The holiday-shortened week was fairly quiet on the macro front, as certain vaccine-related actions by health agencies were largely expected.</li><li>Mainly affected was MRNA, which had a new COVID-19 vaccine approved with a restrictive label and HHS funding canceled for pre-pandemic bird flu vaccines.</li><li>Public comments for the Section 232 investigation are rolling out, signaling pharma tariffs could be imminent, with expectations of ~25%.</li></ul>

The holiday-shortened week was fairly quiet on the macro front, as certain vaccine-related actions by health agencies were largely expected.Mainly affected was MRNA, which had a new COVID-19 vaccine approved with a restrictive label and HHS funding canceled for pre-pandemic bird flu vaccines.Public comments for the Section 232 investigation are rolling out, signaling pharma tariffs could be imminent, with expectations of ~25%.

Biopharma Week in Review - Possible Calm Before the Storm; Pharma Tariffs Looming

Sichuan Biokin Pharmaceutical / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>CR Sanjiu plans to transfer 49.8967% equity of Sanjiu (Anguo) and pay more attention to the quality of external M&amp;As. China Resources+Tasly+KPC will be the core drivers of future performance.</li>
<li>Akeso’s first global phase 3 readout for ivonescimab was disappointing, which cast shadow on the final FDA approval. We shared our views on the outlook and valuation ahead.</li>
<li>The failure of HER3-DXd cast shadow over the outlook of HER3. We think Biokin is overvalued. Its valuation should be lower than Akeso and Kelun Bio.</li>
</ul>


CR Sanjiu plans to transfer 49.8967% equity of Sanjiu (Anguo) and pay more attention to the quality of external M&amp;As. China Resources+Tasly+KPC will be the core drivers of future performance.
Akeso’s first global phase 3 readout for ivonescimab was disappointing, which cast shadow on the final FDA approval. We shared our views on the outlook and valuation ahead.
The failure of HER3-DXd cast shadow over the outlook of HER3. We think Biokin is overvalued. Its valuation should be lower than Akeso and Kelun Bio.


China Healthcare Weekly (Jun.1)-Akeso/Summit's Disappointing Ph3 Readout,Valuation Outlook of Biokin

Head of Research, Krungthai XSpring

Waraporn Wiboonkanarak

Head of Research

A full service Thai brokerage

Krungthai XSpring

Krungthai XSpring is a full service broker. The company provides a wide range of investment services such as Securities Brokerage, Derivative Agent Business, Securities Borrowing and Lending, Securities Trading, Underwriting, Financial Advisory, Wealth Advisory, Private Fund Management and International Markets Securities Trading. 

In terms of credibility, Fitch Ratings has assigned Krunghtai XSpring a long-term rating of AA- and a national short-term rating of F1+ with stable outlook.

<ul><li>Vaccine stocks (NVAX, BNTX, PFE, MRNA, PCVX) had a good week, as the FDA provided new regulatory policy for COVID-19 vaccines.</li><li>While more restrictive and unconventionally delivered in a NEJM op-ed, the publication reduced uncertainty for vaccine makers and gave full support for the measles vaccine by FDA heads.</li><li>Biopharma shrugged off MFN pricing targets, as implementation remained unclear. </li></ul>

Vaccine stocks (NVAX, BNTX, PFE, MRNA, PCVX) had a good week, as the FDA provided new regulatory policy for COVID-19 vaccines.While more restrictive and unconventionally delivered in a NEJM op-ed, the publication reduced uncertainty for vaccine makers and gave full support for the measles vaccine by FDA heads.Biopharma shrugged off MFN pricing targets, as implementation remained unclear. 

Biopharma Week in Review - FDA Provides Some Certainty for Vaccines; ASCO Abstracts Snippets

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>The HKD hit its upper limit of 7.75/USD. Capital inflows are expected post–Labor Day, likely boosting Hong Kong stock prices.</li>
<li>Mindray faces headwinds. A turnaround may come in 25Q3–Q4, but the market seeks a new growth story. A 20–25x TTM P/E reflects fair value, not undervaluation.</li>
<li>Akeso’s high valuation leans on HARMONi-3 and HARMONi 7 over HARMONi-2. Final OS data raises concerns, as MRCT is challenging and the safety margin is lower than expected.</li>
</ul>


The HKD hit its upper limit of 7.75/USD. Capital inflows are expected post–Labor Day, likely boosting Hong Kong stock prices.
Mindray faces headwinds. A turnaround may come in 25Q3–Q4, but the market seeks a new growth story. A 20–25x TTM P/E reflects fair value, not undervaluation.
Akeso’s high valuation leans on HARMONi-3 and HARMONi 7 over HARMONi-2. Final OS data raises concerns, as MRCT is challenging and the safety margin is lower than expected.


China Healthcare Weekly (May.4)-HK Stock Is About to Soar, Mindray's Trouble,Views on Akeso's Plunge

United States

Summit Therapeutics Inc. operates as a biopharmaceutical company. The Company focuses on developing new mechanism antibiotics for the treatment of people with infectious diseases. Summit Therapeutics serves customers in the United States and the United Kingdom.

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Summit Therapeutics (SMMT US)

China Healthcare Weekly (Jun.8)-Summit/Akeso, Giant Biogene's Trouble, Views on Newtrend IPO Pricing

Summit's chances of being sold decrease largely, so the outlook of Summit/Akeso is passive. Doubts raised about Giant Biogene's outlook after Zhao...

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

Biopharma Week in Review - Possible Calm Before the Storm; Pharma Tariffs Looming

The holiday-shortened week was fairly quiet on the macro front, as certain vaccine-related actions by health agencies were largely expected.

Water Tower Research

China Healthcare Weekly (Jun.1)-Akeso/Summit's Disappointing Ph3 Readout,Valuation Outlook of Biokin

CR Sanjiu plans to transfer 49.8967% equity of Sanjiu (Anguo).Summit/Akeso's disappointing phase 3 readout raises doubts on FDA approval for...

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

Biopharma Week in Review - FDA Provides Some Certainty for Vaccines; ASCO Abstracts Snippets

Vaccine stocks (NVAX, BNTX, PFE, MRNA, PCVX) had a good week, as the FDA provided new regulatory policy for COVID-19 vaccines.

Krungthai XSpring

China Healthcare Weekly (May.4)-HK Stock Is About to Soar, Mindray's Trouble,Views on Akeso's Plunge

HKD exchange rate at upper limit, capital influx expected post Labor Day. Mindray facing challenges, with turning point in 2026. Akeso's high...

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

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China Healthcare Weekly (Jun.8)-Summit/Akeso, Giant Biogene's Trouble, Views on Newtrend IPO Pricing

​Summit's chances of being sold decrease largely, so the outlook of Summit/Akeso is passive. Doubts raised about Giant Biogene's outlook after Zhao...

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

Biopharma Week in Review - Possible Calm Before the Storm; Pharma Tariffs Looming

The holiday-shortened week was fairly quiet on the macro front, as certain vaccine-related actions by health agencies were largely expected.

Water Tower Research

China Healthcare Weekly (Jun.1)-Akeso/Summit's Disappointing Ph3 Readout,Valuation Outlook of Biokin

​CR Sanjiu plans to transfer 49.8967% equity of Sanjiu (Anguo).Summit/Akeso's disappointing phase 3 readout raises doubts on FDA approval for...

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

Biopharma Week in Review - FDA Provides Some Certainty for Vaccines; ASCO Abstracts Snippets

Vaccine stocks (NVAX, BNTX, PFE, MRNA, PCVX) had a good week, as the FDA provided new regulatory policy for COVID-19 vaccines.

Krungthai XSpring

China Healthcare Weekly (May.4)-HK Stock Is About to Soar, Mindray's Trouble,Views on Akeso's Plunge

​HKD exchange rate at upper limit, capital influx expected post Labor Day. Mindray facing challenges, with turning point in 2026. Akeso's high...

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

Summit's chances of being sold decrease largely, so the outlook of Summit/Akeso is passive. Doubts raised about Giant Biogene's outlook after Zhao...

CR Sanjiu plans to transfer 49.8967% equity of Sanjiu (Anguo).Summit/Akeso's disappointing phase 3 readout raises doubts on FDA approval for...

HKD exchange rate at upper limit, capital influx expected post Labor Day. Mindray facing challenges, with turning point in 2026. Akeso's high...