Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal, Shenton Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China Biotech

Shenton Research

Shenton Research is an independent Asia Pacific equity specialist. Our quantitative research covers index rebalancing flows, alongside exchange data analytics accross Asia Pacific. On the equity capital markets side, we focus on Asia Pacific ECM, especially biotech and TMT. Our lead analyst is frequently cited by international media.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the latest HK SFC report for aggregate short position as of Sep 11th.</li>
<li>Top short increases and decreases were tabulated for one week and four week period.</li>
<li>We highlight short changes in Tencent, Sun Hung Kai Properties, Ntes, CCB, Minimax, Zj Innolight, China Mobile, CNOOC.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the latest HK SFC report for aggregate short position as of Sep 11th.
Top short increases and decreases were tabulated for one week and four week period.
We highlight short changes in Tencent, Sun Hung Kai Properties, Ntes, CCB, Minimax, Zj Innolight, China Mobile, CNOOC.


HK Short Interest Weekly: Tencent, Sun Hung Kai Properties, Ntes, CCB, Minimax, Zj Innolight, CNOOC

HK/China Equity Long-Short

Osbert Tang, CFA

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>With the US interest rate heading lower, the HSI constituent companies with the highest gearing levels are the prime beneficiaries as their interest burden will lessen.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sands-china-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:182:1" rel="noopener">Sands China (1928 HK)</a>, while it has the highest leverage, is not a near-term gain. This is because its debt structure with 100% fixed rate borrowings. </li>
<li>Based on the gearing level, floating rate proportion, and YTD performance, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/new-world-development" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:7037:1" rel="noopener">New World Development (17 HK)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hang-lung-properties-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:49:1" rel="noopener">Hang Lung Properties (101 HK)</a> are the two potential best bets.</li>
</ul>


With the US interest rate heading lower, the HSI constituent companies with the highest gearing levels are the prime beneficiaries as their interest burden will lessen.

Sands China (1928 HK), while it has the highest leverage, is not a near-term gain. This is because its debt structure with 100% fixed rate borrowings. 
Based on the gearing level, floating rate proportion, and YTD performance, New World Development (17 HK) and Hang Lung Properties (101 HK) are the two potential best bets.


HK Strategy: Rate Cut Beneficiaries - Fixed & Floating Rate Debt Analysis

Listed Real Estate Asia, KT Capital Group

Jacob Cheng

Listed Real Estate Asia

KT Capital Group

Principal investments and advisory firm that focuses on connecting the CIS countries with East Asia.

Principal investments and advisory firm

<ul>
<li>Next week is going to be huge due to US election taking place on November 5 and China’s NPC standing committee meeting from Nov 4- Nov 8</li>
<li>This will have huge implications on the global financial markets access all asset classes</li>
<li>We think Hong Kong and China property will benefit from these events and the risk reward profile is attractive</li>
</ul>


Next week is going to be huge due to US election taking place on November 5 and China’s NPC standing committee meeting from Nov 4- Nov 8
This will have huge implications on the global financial markets access all asset classes
We think Hong Kong and China property will benefit from these events and the risk reward profile is attractive


Short Note: Position for Trump Trade and China Stimulus – Buckle up for Next Week

<ul>
<li>After Fed initiated a rate cut cycle in September, we expect the Fed will cut another 25bps in November meeting</li>
<li>Hong Kong CE John Lee delivered his policy address, and the pro-growth measures will support property market recovery</li>
<li>Industry fundamentals are improving and real estate stocks remain attractive in terms of valuation</li>
</ul>


After Fed initiated a rate cut cycle in September, we expect the Fed will cut another 25bps in November meeting
Hong Kong CE John Lee delivered his policy address, and the pro-growth measures will support property market recovery
Industry fundamentals are improving and real estate stocks remain attractive in terms of valuation


HK Property Update:  The Fed, the Policy Address and the Physical Market

Technical Analyst, Vermilion Research

Joe Jasper

Technical Analyst

Technical and Quantitative Research

Vermilion Research

Vermilion’s objective is to deliver timely, actionable, and unique technical research to professional investors through the application of our various technical indicators.

Our research strategists seek to highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various technical and quantitative indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. Our unique research methodology, centered on relative strength, enables our strategists to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing the universe of actively traded stocks into discrete sectors, then into industry groups. We then apply our technical and quantitative tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sector or group, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. We provide a historical perspective that often reveals, through our long-term charts, how price patterns often repeat themselves over time.

Technical Analysis

TSE Tokyo Price Index TOPIX / Technical Analysis

<ul>
<li>Major indexes in the three largest global equity markets (U.S., Europe, Japan) all remain below critical resistances of 5783 on SPX, 5000-5120 on EURO STOXX 50, and 2740-2820 on TOPIX</li>
<li>Additionally, broad global MSCI indexes (local currency) including the ACWI, ACWI ex-U.S., and EAFE all remain at/below resistance from their YTD highs; reduce exposure or shift to defensives.</li>
<li>In late-July we discussed expectations for a 1-to 4-month pullback/consolidation period on MSCI ACWI. We believe it seems likely to last closer to four months, and potentially 4- to 6-months</li>
</ul>


Major indexes in the three largest global equity markets (U.S., Europe, Japan) all remain below critical resistances of 5783 on SPX, 5000-5120 on EURO STOXX 50, and 2740-2820 on TOPIX
Additionally, broad global MSCI indexes (local currency) including the ACWI, ACWI ex-U.S., and EAFE all remain at/below resistance from their YTD highs; reduce exposure or shift to defensives.
In late-July we discussed expectations for a 1-to 4-month pullback/consolidation period on MSCI ACWI. We believe it seems likely to last closer to four months, and potentially 4- to 6-months


U.S., Europe, and Japan Still Holding Below Resistance; Favor Defensives

Hong Kong

Sun Hung Kai Properties is a leading diversified real estate developer in Hong Kong, specializing in the development of residential, office, and retail properties for sale and investment. The company also operates in property management, hotels, telecommunications, transport, and infrastructure. Headquartered in Wan Chai, Hong Kong, the group was founded in 1963.

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Sun Hung Kai Properties (16 HK)

HK Short Interest Weekly: Tencent, Sun Hung Kai Properties, Ntes, CCB, Minimax, Zj Innolight, CNOOC

We analyzed the latest HK SFC report for aggregate short position as of Sep 11th and highlight short interest changes in Tencent (700 HK), Sun Hung...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

HK Strategy: Rate Cut Beneficiaries - Fixed & Floating Rate Debt Analysis

With the Fed hinting at a slower rate cut path, the beneficiaries mentioned in this Insight will turn to suffer more. The names with the highest...

Osbert Tang, CFA

Short Note: Position for Trump Trade and China Stimulus – Buckle up for Next Week

Next week is going to be huge with US Presidential election and China's NPC standing committee meeting taking place, both of which will have...

Jacob Cheng

HK Property Update: The Fed, the Policy Address and the Physical Market

On the back of 1) Fed's rate cut cycle, 2) HK Policy Address, and 3) improving industry fundamentals, we remain positive for HK property stocks,...

Jacob Cheng

U.S., Europe, and Japan Still Holding Below Resistance; Favor Defensives

U.S., Europe, and Japan Still Holding Below Resistance; Favor Defensives. Actionable Themes: Real Estate, Utilities, Telecommunications, Energy,...

Vermilion Research

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