Founder-CEO & Chief Analyst, Real Estate Foresight

Robert Ciemniak

Founder-CEO & Chief Analyst

Real Estate Foresight

Since 2012, REF has been helping investors with market research, project due diligence, and strategy development. This has ranged from detailed assessments and estimates on distressed developers' project portfolios to market due diligence on specific projects to macro-level questions linked to demand for commodities. The unique combination of the housing markets and developer data from data partner China Index Academy in Beijing, primary research, and technology-powered alternative data collection from public sources result in a valuable content set used in REF analytics and reports.

Predictive Analytics for China Property

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

We expect a gradual slowdown for prices and volumes - ending the year slightly negative year-on-year, off a high base, with the selective easing and relatively low land supply cushioning the impact of a cyclical downturn otherwise driven by financing conditions for developers, increased supply of new homes at the time of slowing sales off record volumes in 2018, and broader economic slowdown due to macro factors.

We expect a gradual slowdown for prices and volumes - ending the year slightly negative year-on-year, off a high base, with the selective easing and relatively low land supply cushioning the impact of a cyclical downturn otherwise driven by financing conditions for developers, increased supply of new homes at the time of slowing sales off record volumes in 2018, and broader economic slowdown due to macro factors.

Today's data from the National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) on new home prices for 70 major cities shows on average an accelerating year-on-year price growth and a slower month-on-month increase. This contrasts with a picture of a slowing price growth based on a different index from SouFun-CREIS.

Today's data from the National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) on new home prices for 70 major cities shows on average an accelerating year-on-year price growth and a slower month-on-month increase. This contrasts with a picture of a slowing price growth based on a different index from SouFun-CREIS.

China Housing: Are Prices Rising Faster Or Slower?

The National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) released today the key China data for November, related to property sales and investments by developers at a national level, showing a gradually decelerating growth of new home sales volumes (residential gross floor area for "commercial residential" property) year-to-date year-on-year and the decline on a 3-month year-on-year basis, with a sustained pace of new starts and investments, slightly slower land acquisition growth. In line with our expectations.

The National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) released today the key China data for November, related to property sales and investments by developers at a national level, showing a gradually decelerating growth of new home sales volumes (residential gross floor area for "commercial residential" property) year-to-date year-on-year and the decline on a 3-month year-on-year basis, with a sustained pace of new starts and investments, slightly slower land acquisition growth. In line with our expectations. 

China Housing: November Sales Volume Growth Slower YTD Y/Y, Negative 3M Y/Y (Today's Data From NBS)

When a major property developer in China buys land (use rights), whether via auction or otherwise, such actions reflect primarily a judgment on deal-specific conditions, but they should also indicate the overall view on the future market conditions for the given city. This type of information gets more interesting if we combine the data for a number of major developers and over a period of time. In this short note, we identify the cities that have attracted the strongest interest of the 5 major developers in recent transactions.

When a major property developer in China buys land (use rights), whether via auction or otherwise, such actions reflect primarily a judgment on deal-specific conditions, but they should also indicate the overall view on the future market conditions for the given city. This type of information gets more interesting if we combine the data for a number of major developers and over a period of time. In this short note, we identify the cities that have attracted the strongest interest of the 5 major developers in recent transactions.

China Property: In Which Cities Have The Major Developers Been Buying Land?

The NBS house price growth indices data for 70 major cities in August was released on Saturday. It shows an accelerating month-on-month and year-on-year growth. Such momentum seems contradictory to all the policy restrictions and tighter funding situation for developers. Or is the data not quite what it seems?

The NBS house price growth indices data for 70 major cities in August was released on Saturday. It shows an accelerating month-on-month and year-on-year growth. Such momentum seems contradictory to all the policy restrictions and tighter funding situation for developers. Or is the data not quite what it seems?

China House Price Growth Accelerated In August (NBS Data). How Does It Square Up Vs Sentiment?

China

Sunac China Holdings Ltd. is a major property developer specializing in large-scale, medium to high-end residential and commercial properties. The company also diversifies into cultural tourism, property management, hotels, and ice and snow operations. It was founded in 2003 and is headquartered in Tianjin, China.

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Sunac China (1918 HK)

China Housing: 2019 Forecast

We expect a gradual slowdown for prices and volumes - ending the year slightly negative year-on-year, off a high base, with the selective easing...

Robert Ciemniak

China Housing: Are Prices Rising Faster Or Slower?

Today's data from the National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) on new home prices for 70 major cities shows on average an accelerating year-on-year...

Robert Ciemniak

China Housing: November Sales Volume Growth Slower YTD Y/Y, Negative 3M Y/Y (Today's Data From NBS)

The National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) released today the key China data for November, related to property sales and investments by developers at...

Robert Ciemniak

China Property: In Which Cities Have The Major Developers Been Buying Land?

When a major property developer in China buys land (use rights), whether via auction or otherwise, such actions reflect primarily a judgment on...

Robert Ciemniak

China House Price Growth Accelerated In August (NBS Data). How Does It Square Up Vs Sentiment?

The NBS house price growth indices data for 70 major cities in August was released on Saturday. It shows an accelerating month-on-month and...

Robert Ciemniak

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)