HK/China Equity Long-Short

Osbert Tang, CFA

Equity Capital Markets

Wuxi Lead Intelligent Equipmen / Equity Capital Markets

Wuxi Lead Intelligent Equipmen (300450 CH)

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/wuxi-lead-intelligent-equipmen" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27971:1" rel="noopener">Wuxi Lead Intelligent Equipment (470 HK)</a> has a lukewarm H-share IPO response, but is still priced at the maximum of HK$45.80. This places it on 29.2x PER for FY26F.</li>
<li>We consider an appropriate HA discount to be roughly 25-30%, implying a fair value of HK$45.6-48.8, or 6.6% downside/upside, and it is almost fairly-valued. </li>
<li>At the top-end of our estimated fair value, its multiples do not appear attractive against the A-share and other global peers, so HK$48.8 is the ceiling. </li>
</ul>



Wuxi Lead Intelligent Equipment (470 HK) has a lukewarm H-share IPO response, but is still priced at the maximum of HK$45.80. This places it on 29.2x PER for FY26F.
We consider an appropriate HA discount to be roughly 25-30%, implying a fair value of HK$45.6-48.8, or 6.6% downside/upside, and it is almost fairly-valued. 
At the top-end of our estimated fair value, its multiples do not appear attractive against the A-share and other global peers, so HK$48.8 is the ceiling. 


Wuxi Lead Equipment (470 HK): Almost Fair

Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal, Shenton Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China Biotech

DZT Research

DZT Research is an independent Asia Pacific equity specialist. Our quantitative research covers index rebalancing flows, alongside exchange data analytics accross Asia Pacific. On the equity capital markets side, we focus on Asia Pacific ECM, especially biotech and TMT. Our lead analyst is frequently cited by international media.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyse the changes of A-H premium on 170 stocks over the last week. The average A-H premium was 68.0% as of Feb 6th.</li>
<li>The average A-H premium changed by 1.6ppt week-on-week, led by utilities, information technology, industrials and offset by consumer staples, energy, communication services.</li>
<li>We highlight weekly changes in A-H premium for China Oilfield Services, Huaxin Building Materials, Cngr Advanced Material, China Suntien Green Energy, Cgn Power, BYD.</li>
</ul>


We analyse the changes of A-H premium on 170 stocks over the last week. The average A-H premium was 68.0% as of Feb 6th.
The average A-H premium changed by 1.6ppt week-on-week, led by utilities, information technology, industrials and offset by consumer staples, energy, communication services.
We highlight weekly changes in A-H premium for China Oilfield Services, Huaxin Building Materials, Cngr Advanced Material, China Suntien Green Energy, Cgn Power, BYD.


A-H Premium Weekly (Feb 6th): China Oilfield Services, Huaxin Building Materials

Montage Technology / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>As a global leader in fabless IC design, focusing on interconnect solutions for cloud computing and AI infrastructure, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/montage-technology-co-ltd-c827a672-7027-4114-b744-0fc66a5d1d98" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:46333:1" rel="noopener">Montage Technology (6809 HK)</a>'s 3-year EPS CAGR will reach 43.2%.</li>
<li>We assess a fair price at HK$147.4, or 45.8x FY26 PER, a 20% premium over <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/rambus-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:7214:1" rel="noopener">Rambus (RMBS US)</a>, the third-largest player globally. <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/montage-technology-co-ltd-c827a672-7027-4114-b744-0fc66a5d1d98" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:46333:1" rel="noopener"></a>
</li>
<li>This represents a 37.9% upside, also putting it in line with the average of 28% discount of the H-share IPOs to A-shares since 2025.</li>
</ul>


As a global leader in fabless IC design, focusing on interconnect solutions for cloud computing and AI infrastructure, Montage Technology (6809 HK)'s 3-year EPS CAGR will reach 43.2%.
We assess a fair price at HK$147.4, or 45.8x FY26 PER, a 20% premium over Rambus (RMBS US), the third-largest player globally. 

This represents a 37.9% upside, also putting it in line with the average of 28% discount of the H-share IPOs to A-shares since 2025.


Montage Technology (6809 HK) IPO: Decent Upside Potential

<ul>
<li>We analyse the changes of A-H premium on 170 stocks over the last week. The average A-H premium was 59.2% as of Jan 30th.</li>
<li>The average A-H premium changed by 0.7ppt week-on-week, led by consumer discretionary, utilities, industrials and offset by energy, real estate, financials.</li>
<li>We highlight weekly changes in A-H premium for China Railway, CNOOC, Ningbo Joyson Electronic, YOFC, Tianqi Lithium, Foshan Haitian Flavouring And Food.</li>
</ul>


We analyse the changes of A-H premium on 170 stocks over the last week. The average A-H premium was 59.2% as of Jan 30th.
The average A-H premium changed by 0.7ppt week-on-week, led by consumer discretionary, utilities, industrials and offset by energy, real estate, financials.
We highlight weekly changes in A-H premium for China Railway, CNOOC, Ningbo Joyson Electronic, YOFC, Tianqi Lithium, Foshan Haitian Flavouring And Food.


A-H Premium Weekly (Jan 30th): China Railway, CNOOC, Ningbo Joyson Electronic, YOFC, Tianqi Lithium

<ul>
<li>The H-share IPO of <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/muyuan-foods-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:3705:1" rel="noopener">Muyuan Foods Co (2714 HK)</a> should draw good interest given its position as the world's largest hog farming company by capacity. </li>
<li>Its IPO price of HK$39 equals 8.8x FY26F PER, which is 10% below <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/wh-group-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:13200:1" rel="noopener">WH Group (288 HK)</a>. It is relatively cheap vs. the global peers' average of 11.3x.</li>
<li>Based on 10% discount to its A-share, the IPO's fair value is assessed at HK$46.90, 20.2% upside; and the floor is HK$41.70, being 20% discount.</li>
</ul>


The H-share IPO of Muyuan Foods Co (2714 HK) should draw good interest given its position as the world's largest hog farming company by capacity. 
Its IPO price of HK$39 equals 8.8x FY26F PER, which is 10% below WH Group (288 HK). It is relatively cheap vs. the global peers' average of 11.3x.
Based on 10% discount to its A-share, the IPO's fair value is assessed at HK$46.90, 20.2% upside; and the floor is HK$41.70, being 20% discount.


Muyuan Foods (2714 HK) IPO: Inexpensively Priced

China

Suzhou Novosense Microelectronics Co., Ltd. specializes in the research, development, design, and sale of high-performance analog and mixed-signal integrated circuits. The company offers a comprehensive portfolio of products including sensors, signal chain chips, isolation and interface products, power and driver ICs, and power management solutions. These products are widely applied in the automotive, industrial, information communication, and consumer electronics sectors. Headquartered in Suzhou, China, the company was founded in 2013.

Suzhou Novosense Microelectronics (2676 HK)

Price Gauge
52-week Range	0.00 - 0.00
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Suzhou Novosense Microelectronics (2676 HK)

Wuxi Lead Equipment (470 HK): Almost Fair

Wuxi Lead Intelligent Equipment's lukewarm IPO response leads to a fair value estimate of HK$45.6-48.8, suggesting it is almost fairly-valued with...

Osbert Tang, CFA

A-H Premium Weekly (Feb 6th): China Oilfield Services, Huaxin Building Materials

We analyzed A-H premium changes in the past week and highlight A-H premium changes for China Oilfield Services, Huaxin Building Materials, Cngr...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Montage Technology (6809 HK) IPO: Decent Upside Potential

Montage Technology's 3-year EPS CAGR is projected to be 43.2%, with a fair price estimated at HK$147.4, a 20% premium over Rambus. This offers a...

Osbert Tang, CFA

A-H Premium Weekly (Jan 30th): China Railway, CNOOC, Ningbo Joyson Electronic, YOFC, Tianqi Lithium

We analyzed A-H premium changes in the past week and highlight A-H premium changes for China Railway, CNOOC, Ningbo Joyson Electronic, YOFC, Tianqi...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Muyuan Foods (2714 HK) IPO: Inexpensively Priced

Muyuan's IPO offers good value due to its position as the world's largest hog farming company by capacity. It is valued at HK$46.90, with a floor...

Osbert Tang, CFA

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Wuxi Lead Equipment (470 HK): Almost Fair

​Wuxi Lead Intelligent Equipment's lukewarm IPO response leads to a fair value estimate of HK$45.6-48.8, suggesting it is almost fairly-valued with...

Osbert Tang, CFA

A-H Premium Weekly (Feb 6th): China Oilfield Services, Huaxin Building Materials

We analyzed A-H premium changes in the past week and highlight A-H premium changes for China Oilfield Services, Huaxin Building Materials, Cngr...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Montage Technology (6809 HK) IPO: Decent Upside Potential

​Montage Technology's 3-year EPS CAGR is projected to be 43.2%, with a fair price estimated at HK$147.4, a 20% premium over Rambus. This offers a...

Osbert Tang, CFA

A-H Premium Weekly (Jan 30th): China Railway, CNOOC, Ningbo Joyson Electronic, YOFC, Tianqi Lithium

We analyzed A-H premium changes in the past week and highlight A-H premium changes for China Railway, CNOOC, Ningbo Joyson Electronic, YOFC, Tianqi...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Muyuan Foods (2714 HK) IPO: Inexpensively Priced

​Muyuan's IPO offers good value due to its position as the world's largest hog farming company by capacity. It is valued at HK$46.90, with a floor...

Osbert Tang, CFA

Wuxi Lead Intelligent Equipment's lukewarm IPO response leads to a fair value estimate of HK$45.6-48.8, suggesting it is almost fairly-valued with...

Montage Technology's 3-year EPS CAGR is projected to be 43.2%, with a fair price estimated at HK$147.4, a 20% premium over Rambus. This offers a...

Muyuan's IPO offers good value due to its position as the world's largest hog farming company by capacity. It is valued at HK$46.90, with a floor...