Asian Hedge Fund Manager, Long Short Equity, Macro

David Mudd

Cross Asset Strategy

<ul>
<li>The Hong Kong Alpha portfolio's March performance was -11.25%, compared with -7.75% for the benchmark index.  The Hang Seng Index lost 6.92% for the month.</li>
<li>Performance was hurt by its exposure to the oil equipment and fertilizer sectors, which normally benefit from higher energy prices. China imposed price and export restrictions in the energy sector.</li>
<li>At the end of March, we positioned the portfolio to better cope with the difficulties in China's economy and in the global market due to persistently high energy prices.</li>
</ul>


The Hong Kong Alpha portfolio's March performance was -11.25%, compared with -7.75% for the benchmark index.  The Hang Seng Index lost 6.92% for the month.
Performance was hurt by its exposure to the oil equipment and fertilizer sectors, which normally benefit from higher energy prices. China imposed price and export restrictions in the energy sector.
At the end of March, we positioned the portfolio to better cope with the difficulties in China's economy and in the global market due to persistently high energy prices.


Asia Real Estate News Tracker, Asia Real Estate Tracker

Asia Real Estate Tracker

Asia Real Estate News Tracker

Tracking developments across Asia's regional real estate markets

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>China Evergrande's former boss has pleaded guilty to fraud in a Shenzhen court, highlighting ongoing legal issues in the real estate sector.</li>
<li>Far East has successfully sold its Tuas warehouses for $253 million, indicating strong demand in the APAC real estate market.</li>
<li>KKR predicts that Japanese corporations will divest around $2.8 trillion in assets, reflecting significant shifts in the APAC real estate landscape.</li>
</ul>


China Evergrande's former boss has pleaded guilty to fraud in a Shenzhen court, highlighting ongoing legal issues in the real estate sector.
Far East has successfully sold its Tuas warehouses for $253 million, indicating strong demand in the APAC real estate market.
KKR predicts that Japanese corporations will divest around $2.8 trillion in assets, reflecting significant shifts in the APAC real estate landscape.


Asia Real Estate Tracker (14-Apr-2026): China Evergrande boss pleads guilty to fraud.

Technical Analyst, Vermilion Research

Joe Jasper

Technical Analyst

Technical and Quantitative Research

Vermilion Research

Vermilion’s objective is to deliver timely, actionable, and unique technical research to professional investors through the application of our various technical indicators.

Our research strategists seek to highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various technical and quantitative indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. Our unique research methodology, centered on relative strength, enables our strategists to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing the universe of actively traded stocks into discrete sectors, then into industry groups. We then apply our technical and quantitative tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sector or group, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. We provide a historical perspective that often reveals, through our long-term charts, how price patterns often repeat themselves over time.

Technical Analysis

<ul>
<li>We downgraded our global (MSCI ACWI) near-term outlook to neutral in our 3/17/26 Int'l Macro Vision, following ACWI-US breaking below $141.50 support.</li>
<li>The bottom line is that we do not see the S&amp;P 500 (SPX) or MSCI ACWI breaking out to new highs –at least not until we see more downside first.</li>
<li>The growing list of concerns that we have discussed since early-February remains a problem for global equities. Crucial <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ishares-msci-acwi-etf" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:24402:1" rel="noopener">iShares MSCI ACWI ETF (ACWI US)</a>  support at $134-$135.70 testing now.</li>
</ul>


We downgraded our global (MSCI ACWI) near-term outlook to neutral in our 3/17/26 Int'l Macro Vision, following ACWI-US breaking below $141.50 support.
The bottom line is that we do not see the S&amp;P 500 (SPX) or MSCI ACWI breaking out to new highs –at least not until we see more downside first.
The growing list of concerns that we have discussed since early-February remains a problem for global equities. Crucial iShares MSCI ACWI ETF (ACWI US)  support at $134-$135.70 testing now.


Stay Defensive. Buys in Global Energy, Materials, Transports, Communications, Utilities, Staples

<ul>
<li>Hong Kong Alpha portfolio gained 0.46 % in February resulting in a 2.99% underperformance to its benchmark. The portfolio has outperformed HK indexes by 53% to 75% since inception 10/1/24.</li>
<li>Hong Kong Alpha has generated 63% of its return from alpha and has a Sharpe ratio of 1.71 since inception. The portfolio's annualized mean excess return is 24%.</li>
<li>At the end of February, we reduced positions in the technology sector and added positions in the energy and building materials sectors.</li>
</ul>


Hong Kong Alpha portfolio gained 0.46 % in February resulting in a 2.99% underperformance to its benchmark. The portfolio has outperformed HK indexes by 53% to 75% since inception 10/1/24.
Hong Kong Alpha has generated 63% of its return from alpha and has a Sharpe ratio of 1.71 since inception. The portfolio's annualized mean excess return is 24%.
At the end of February, we reduced positions in the technology sector and added positions in the energy and building materials sectors.


HONG KONG ALPHA PORTFOLIO: (February 2026)

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

David Blennerhassett

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>A consortium comprising <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/csi-properties-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:13028:1" rel="noopener">CSI Properties (497 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/asia-standard-international-group-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:17128:1" rel="noopener">Asia Standard International Group (129 HK)</a>, and Cheung Chung-kiu, applied to the Town Planning Board to redevelop “Harbourside HQ”  into two residential towers.</li>
<li>The Planning Department previously indicated no objection to the application. However, Hong Kong's Town Planning Board rejected the proposal last Friday.</li>
<li>Vacancy rates for HK commercial properties remain elevated. 25% for Harbourside HQ. Yet, rezoning sets a precedent that cannot easily be reversed (as and) when economic conditions rebound.</li>
</ul>


A consortium comprising CSI Properties (497 HK), Asia Standard International Group (129 HK), and Cheung Chung-kiu, applied to the Town Planning Board to redevelop “Harbourside HQ”  into two residential towers.
The Planning Department previously indicated no objection to the application. However, Hong Kong's Town Planning Board rejected the proposal last Friday.
Vacancy rates for HK commercial properties remain elevated. 25% for Harbourside HQ. Yet, rezoning sets a precedent that cannot easily be reversed (as and) when economic conditions rebound.


Town Planning Board's Rezoning Rejection Is The Right Call

Hong Kong

Swire Pacific is a diversified global conglomerate with core businesses in property, aviation, beverages, healthcare, and trading & industrial. It holds interests in property development and investment through Swire Properties, airline operations via Cathay Pacific, and is a major Coca-Cola bottler. Swire Pacific Limited was incorporated in 1974 and is headquartered in Hong Kong.

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Swire Pacific (87 HK)

HONG KONG ALPHA PORTFOLIO: (March 2026)

Guoquan Food announced that management sold a 4.74% stake at a discounted price of $3.8 to boost the liquidity of the shares. We viewed the move...

David Mudd

Asia Real Estate Tracker (14-Apr-2026): China Evergrande boss pleads guilty to fraud.

In APAC real estate news, Evergrande's ex-boss pleads guilty to fraud, Far East sells warehouses for $253M, CapitaLand secures $320M, and the...

Asia Real Estate Tracker

Stay Defensive. Buys in Global Energy, Materials, Transports, Communications, Utilities, Staples

Thursday's International Compass: Stay Defensive. Actionable Global Sectors: Energy, Materials, Transportation, Communications, Utilities, and...

Vermilion Research

HONG KONG ALPHA PORTFOLIO: (February 2026)

The war, which launched at the beginning of the month, is now into its second week and its economic effects are being reflected in global markets....

David Mudd

Town Planning Board's Rezoning Rejection Is The Right Call

Vacancy rates for HK commercial properties remain elevated. Yet, rezoning sets a precedent that cannot easily be reversed (as and) when economic...

David Blennerhassett

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