Technical Analyst, Vermilion Research

Joe Jasper

Technical Analyst

Technical and Quantitative Research

Vermilion Research

Vermilion’s objective is to deliver timely, actionable, and unique technical research to professional investors through the application of our various technical indicators.

Our research strategists seek to highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various technical and quantitative indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. Our unique research methodology, centered on relative strength, enables our strategists to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing the universe of actively traded stocks into discrete sectors, then into industry groups. We then apply our technical and quantitative tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sector or group, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. We provide a historical perspective that often reveals, through our long-term charts, how price patterns often repeat themselves over time.

Technical Analysis

Circle Internet Group / Technical Analysis

<ul>
<li>We remain bullish since our 4/22/25 Compass, and we will maintain our bullish outlook as long as market dynamics remain healthy and the S&amp;P 500 (SPX) is above 6028-6059.</li>
<li>For now, we continue to expect support to show up at the 4-month uptrend, which generally coincides with the 20-day MA.</li>
<li>Speculative growth themes (quantum,nuclear, hydrogen, space, robotics, drones, data centers, solar, biotech, WGMI,ARKK,ARKQ,ARKX,ARKW,ARKG, etc.) have been rolling, and we've been recommending them in this section every week for 1+ months.</li>
</ul>


We remain bullish since our 4/22/25 Compass, and we will maintain our bullish outlook as long as market dynamics remain healthy and the S&amp;P 500 (SPX) is above 6028-6059.
For now, we continue to expect support to show up at the 4-month uptrend, which generally coincides with the 20-day MA.
Speculative growth themes (quantum,nuclear, hydrogen, space, robotics, drones, data centers, solar, biotech, WGMI,ARKK,ARKQ,ARKX,ARKW,ARKG, etc.) have been rolling, and we've been recommending them in this section every week for 1+ months.


Downgrading Financials to Underweight; Growth Themes Galore; Health Care Breaking Out

High Quality Stock Setups, Weekly Stock Bull Finder

Weekly Stock Bull Finder

High Quality Stock Setups

Finding high potential stock setups on quality companies

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul><li>In any portfolio, it’s always good to have a listing of up and coming companies on hand which you may be interested in which may have recently IPO’d, did a significant acquisition, or has introduced a new and exciting product or service.</li><li>These companies may also have parabolic forward Wall St. estimates for both revenue and or profits.</li><li>I generally refer to this listing as my “wild broncos” listing and they generally can have wild price and volume swings (based upon earnings releases, press releases, investor day presentations, or analyst upgrades) and sometimes can often come under attack by short seller reports.</li></ul>

In any portfolio, it’s always good to have a listing of up and coming companies on hand which you may be interested in which may have recently IPO’d, did a significant acquisition, or has introduced a new and exciting product or service.These companies may also have parabolic forward Wall St. estimates for both revenue and or profits.I generally refer to this listing as my “wild broncos” listing and they generally can have wild price and volume swings (based upon earnings releases, press releases, investor day presentations, or analyst upgrades) and sometimes can often come under attack by short seller reports.

Research from Water Tower Research, Water Tower Research

Water Tower Research

Research from Water Tower Research

Water Tower Research is a leading equity research firm that provides research on micro, small and mid cap companies.

Water Tower Research was founded by Wall Street veterans after witnessing a fundamental shift in the investment research industry with the result being a declining knowledge base among investors, a lack of awareness and a shrinking pool of fundamental research being conducted on companies across the small-cap and micro-cap spectrum. The same issues are now increasingly occurring in the mid-cap space. This sea change within the investment community is impacting not only the companies themselves but also current shareholders and potential investors. With significantly less active sell-side sponsorship by Wall Street, a substantial information gap has developed between companies and various constituents in the financial community. The net result is fewer channels for insight and information to flow between companies and investors.

Equity Research Firm

<ul><li>There are no new SPAC IPOs to report for month of June so far, nor any new IPO registrations. </li><li>YTD, there have been only 15 IPO pricings, of which six came in February, and only nine new S-1 registrations have been filed thus far. </li><li>The SPAC IPO pipeline stands at just 45 versus a number that peaked at 310 in September 2021.</li></ul>

There are no new SPAC IPOs to report for month of June so far, nor any new IPO registrations. YTD, there have been only 15 IPO pricings, of which six came in February, and only nine new S-1 registrations have been filed thus far. The SPAC IPO pipeline stands at just 45 versus a number that peaked at 310 in September 2021.

<ul><li>According to BeSpoke investment firm research, the top 10% of the most heavily shorted stocks are up an average of 36.3% so far this year.</li><li>This includes troubled retailer Bed Bath &amp; Beyond (BBBY) whose shares surged by more than 18% Thursday, a day after they missed a Feb. 1 interest payment and warned that it might file for bankruptcy within weeks.</li><li>Other stocks like online car dealer Carvana and any company which has anything remotely associated with artificial intelligence (AI) have seen similar spikes.</li></ul>

According to BeSpoke investment firm research, the top 10% of the most heavily shorted stocks are up an average of 36.3% so far this year.This includes troubled retailer Bed Bath &amp; Beyond (BBBY) whose shares surged by more than 18% Thursday, a day after they missed a Feb. 1 interest payment and warned that it might file for bankruptcy within weeks.Other stocks like online car dealer Carvana and any company which has anything remotely associated with artificial intelligence (AI) have seen similar spikes.

Covering IPOs, Healthcare and Technology Stocks

Andrei Zakharov

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>In June 2025, Beijing Geekplus completed an initial public offering at fixed IPO offer price of HK$16.80, raising ~HK$2.8B of net proceeds in Hong Kong.</li>
<li>A Beijing-based AMRs company announced interim results for the six months ended Jun-25 and posted strong revenue growth of ~31% y/y coupled with improving profitability. </li>
<li>The stock peaked at HK$33.90 (~14x FY25 P/S) in October and fell ~38% over the next month. The company’s cornerstone lockup will expire on January 8, 2026.</li>
</ul>


In June 2025, Beijing Geekplus completed an initial public offering at fixed IPO offer price of HK$16.80, raising ~HK$2.8B of net proceeds in Hong Kong.
A Beijing-based AMRs company announced interim results for the six months ended Jun-25 and posted strong revenue growth of ~31% y/y coupled with improving profitability. 
The stock peaked at HK$33.90 (~14x FY25 P/S) in October and fell ~38% over the next month. The company’s cornerstone lockup will expire on January 8, 2026.


Geek+ (2590.HK): Buying on Weakness As We Enter 2026 and Cornerstone Lock-Up Expiry Approaches

United States

Symbotic Inc operates as an automation technology company. The Company specializes in supply chain with its end-to-end, AI-powered robotic, and software platform. Symbotic serves the retail, wholesale, and food companies worldwide.

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Symbotic (SYM US)

Downgrading Financials to Underweight; Growth Themes Galore; Health Care Breaking Out

Downgrading Financials $XLF to Underweight; Growth Themes Galore: quantum, nuclear, hydrogen, space, robotics, drones, data centers, solar,...

Vermilion Research

Weekly Stock Bullfinder - Week of 7/3

In any portfolio, it’s always good to have a listing of up and coming companies on hand which you may be interested in which may have recently...

Weekly Stock Bull Finder

SPAC Talk : SPACs and the AI Wave

YTD, there have been only 15 IPO pricings, of which six came in February, and only nine new S-1 registrations have been filed thus far.

Water Tower Research

Weekly Stock Bullfinder - Week of 2/6

According to BeSpoke investment firm research, the top 10% of the most heavily shorted stocks are up an average of 36.3% so far this year.

Weekly Stock Bull Finder

Geek+ (2590.HK): Buying on Weakness As We Enter 2026 and Cornerstone Lock-Up Expiry Approaches

I revised my 2025/2026 revenue estimates for Geek+ and see a compelling entry point for long-term investors as cornerstone lockup expiry...

Andrei Zakharov

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Market Cap (USDm)

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Downgrading Financials to Underweight; Growth Themes Galore; Health Care Breaking Out

Downgrading Financials $XLF to Underweight; Growth Themes Galore: quantum, nuclear, hydrogen, space, robotics, drones, data centers, solar,...

Vermilion Research

Weekly Stock Bullfinder - Week of 7/3

In any portfolio, it’s always good to have a listing of up and coming companies on hand which you may be interested in which may have recently...

Weekly Stock Bull Finder

SPAC Talk : SPACs and the AI Wave

YTD, there have been only 15 IPO pricings, of which six came in February, and only nine new S-1 registrations have been filed thus far.

Water Tower Research

Weekly Stock Bullfinder - Week of 2/6

According to BeSpoke investment firm research, the top 10% of the most heavily shorted stocks are up an average of 36.3% so far this year.

Weekly Stock Bull Finder

Geek+ (2590.HK): Buying on Weakness As We Enter 2026 and Cornerstone Lock-Up Expiry Approaches

​I revised my 2025/2026 revenue estimates for Geek+ and see a compelling entry point for long-term investors as cornerstone lockup expiry...

Andrei Zakharov

I revised my 2025/2026 revenue estimates for Geek+ and see a compelling entry point for long-term investors as cornerstone lockup expiry...