IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

Equity Capital Markets

Geekplus Technology / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/beijing-geekplus-technology-co-ltd-geek" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:35636:1" rel="noopener">Geekplus Technology (2590 HK)</a> is a leader in the global autonomous mobile robot (AMR) market. It is seeking to raise US$300 million.     </li>
<li>Geekplus has been the world’s largest warehouse fulfilment AMR solution provider in terms of revenue for the last six consecutive years.</li>
<li>The investment case is bearish due to declining growth, lower contract liabilities, hints of window dressing relating to reducing losses and ongoing cash burn.  </li>
</ul>



Geekplus Technology (2590 HK) is a leader in the global autonomous mobile robot (AMR) market. It is seeking to raise US$300 million.     
Geekplus has been the world’s largest warehouse fulfilment AMR solution provider in terms of revenue for the last six consecutive years.
The investment case is bearish due to declining growth, lower contract liabilities, hints of window dressing relating to reducing losses and ongoing cash burn.  


Geekplus Technology IPO (2590 HK): The Investment Case

APAC IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Nicholas Tan

APAC IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/beijing-geekplus-technology-co-ltd-geek" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:35636:1" rel="noopener">Geek+ (1678559D CH)</a> is looking to raise up to $300m in its upcoming Hong Kong IPO.</li>
<li>It is a leader in the global autonomous mobile robots (AMR) market.</li>
<li>In this note, we examine the IPO dynamics, and look at the firm’s valuation.</li>
</ul>



Geek+ (1678559D CH) is looking to raise up to $300m in its upcoming Hong Kong IPO.
It is a leader in the global autonomous mobile robots (AMR) market.
In this note, we examine the IPO dynamics, and look at the firm’s valuation.


Beijing Geekplus Pre-IPO: Expensive Valuation and Mark up from Previous Round

Covering IPOs, Healthcare and Technology Stocks

Andrei Zakharov

<ul>
<li>Geek+, AI &amp; robotics warehouse automation provider, has updated its filings and reported weak revenue growth in 2024.</li>
<li>Beijing based AMR solution unicorn’s revenue grew to RMB2,409m in 2024, up ~12% YoY. However, gross margins improved, operating losses narrowed, and cash burn rate decreased.</li>
<li>My IPO valuation analysis coalesces around initial valuation range between $2.3B and $2.7B for Geek+ upcoming offering.</li>
</ul>


Geek+, AI &amp; robotics warehouse automation provider, has updated its filings and reported weak revenue growth in 2024.
Beijing based AMR solution unicorn’s revenue grew to RMB2,409m in 2024, up ~12% YoY. However, gross margins improved, operating losses narrowed, and cash burn rate decreased.
My IPO valuation analysis coalesces around initial valuation range between $2.3B and $2.7B for Geek+ upcoming offering.


Geek+ IPO Valuation Update: Growth Cratered, High U.S. Revenue Exposure

<ul>
<li>Geek+, a Beijing-based autonomous mobile robots (AMRs) unicorn with focus on smart logistics, filed to go public in Hong Kong.</li>
<li>The AI &amp; robotics company was backed by Warburg Pincus, GGV Capital, D1 Capital Partners, Intel Capital, Vertex Ventures, and Gaorong Capital, among others.</li>
<li>Beijing Geekplus IPO comes after another robotics unicorn, a leading manufacturer of collaborative robots Shenzhen Dobot, raised ~HK$681M in its HK IPO in December.</li>
</ul>


Geek+, a Beijing-based autonomous mobile robots (AMRs) unicorn with focus on smart logistics, filed to go public in Hong Kong.
The AI &amp; robotics company was backed by Warburg Pincus, GGV Capital, D1 Capital Partners, Intel Capital, Vertex Ventures, and Gaorong Capital, among others.
Beijing Geekplus IPO comes after another robotics unicorn, a leading manufacturer of collaborative robots Shenzhen Dobot, raised ~HK$681M in its HK IPO in December.


Geek+ IPO Preview: Extending Leadership in Warehouse Automation Sector, New Robotic IPO in Hong Kong

Founder, BWS Financial Inc

Hamed Khorsand

Founder

Independent Stock Specific Research

BWS Financial Inc

BWS provides independent stock specific research focused on companies with distinct value that are going through a special situation where there is a tangible catalyst not priced in. The catalyst can be anything from new product, restructuring, M&A, management change, change in business strategy, etc. BWS’s focus is to understand the change and evaluate the potential return for investors.

BWS utilizes a self formed proprietary approach in discovering stocks by putting great emphasis on deep research. BWS does generate short recommendations following a similar criteria.

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>SYM reported fiscal fourth quarter results that at first glance were better than expected, but really included several accounting events that seem to hide how SYM had a poor quarter.</li>
<li>Along with the quarterly results, SYM disclosed a restatement of prior quarterly results where $39.1 million of high-margin revenue was transferred to the fourth quarter. </li>
<li>When we initiated coverage of SYM we were worried about the timing of revenue associated with Walmart (WMT) and not anticipating an accounting mess.</li>
</ul>


SYM reported fiscal fourth quarter results that at first glance were better than expected, but really included several accounting events that seem to hide how SYM had a poor quarter.
Along with the quarterly results, SYM disclosed a restatement of prior quarterly results where $39.1 million of high-margin revenue was transferred to the fourth quarter. 
When we initiated coverage of SYM we were worried about the timing of revenue associated with Walmart (WMT) and not anticipating an accounting mess.


United States

Symbotic Inc operates as an automation technology company. The Company specializes in supply chain with its end-to-end, AI-powered robotic, and software platform. Symbotic serves the retail, wholesale, and food companies worldwide.

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Symbotic (SYM US)

Geekplus Technology IPO (2590 HK): The Investment Case

Geekplus, a leader in the global autonomous mobile robot market, is seeking to raise US$300 million. In this note, I discuss the investment case.

Arun George

Beijing Geekplus Pre-IPO: Expensive Valuation and Mark up from Previous Round

Beijing Geekplus is looking to raise up to $300m in its upcoming Hong Kong IPO. In this note, we examine the IPO dynamics, and look at the firm’s...

Nicholas Tan

Geek+ IPO Valuation Update: Growth Cratered, High U.S. Revenue Exposure

Geek+ plans to go public in Hong Kong soon. In my insight, I discuss IPO valuation, update my financial model and dive deeper into the comps groups

Andrei Zakharov

Geek+ IPO Preview: Extending Leadership in Warehouse Automation Sector, New Robotic IPO in Hong Kong

Beijing-based Geek+, a leader in the global AMR market, applying advanced robotics and AI technologies to warehouse and factory operations, will go...

Andrei Zakharov

SYM: Celebrating an Accounting Nightmare

SYM transferred high-margin revenue to Q4. SYM also recognized $91.6 million in unbilled accounts receivable as revenue creating an illusion of...

BWS Financial Inc

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