IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>A weekly summary of key developments across ECM and Event-Driven names tracked by us across Hong Kong, Australia, New Zealand, Singapore, Japan, Indonesia, Malaysia, Thailand, Korea, India and Chinese ADRs.</li>
<li>ECM developments: <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tokyo-metro-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:40930:1" rel="noopener">Tokyo Metro (9023 JP)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/rigaku-holdings-corporation" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:43950:1" rel="noopener">Rigaku Holdings (268A JP)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/k-bank-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36073:1" rel="noopener">K Bank (279570 KS)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/china-resources-beverage" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:41984:1" rel="noopener">China Resources Beverage (CRB HK)</a> IPOs.</li>
<li>Event-Driven developments: <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/asm-pacific-technology-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:15061:1" rel="noopener">ASM Pacific Technology (522 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/greatview-aseptic-packaging" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:10802:1" rel="noopener">Greatview Aseptic Packaging (468 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/samson-holding-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:2767:1" rel="noopener">Samson Holding (531 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/descente-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:8225:1" rel="noopener">Descente Ltd (8114 JP)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/t-gaia-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:8339:1" rel="noopener">T Gaia Corp (3738 JP)</a>. 
</li>
</ul>


A weekly summary of key developments across ECM and Event-Driven names tracked by us across Hong Kong, Australia, New Zealand, Singapore, Japan, Indonesia, Malaysia, Thailand, Korea, India and Chinese ADRs.
ECM developments: Tokyo Metro (9023 JP), Rigaku Holdings (268A JP), K Bank (279570 KS) and China Resources Beverage (CRB HK) IPOs.
Event-Driven developments: ASM Pacific Technology (522 HK), Greatview Aseptic Packaging (468 HK), Samson Holding (531 HK), Descente Ltd (8114 JP), T Gaia Corp (3738 JP). 



Weekly Deals Digest (06 Oct) - Tokyo Metro, Rigaku, CR Beverage, K Bank, ASMPT, Samson, T-Gaia

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

David Blennerhassett

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>I tally 44 - mostly firm, mostly Asia-Pac - transactions currently being discussed and analysed on Smartkarma. Inside is a timetable of upcoming key events for each deal.</li>
<li>Three new deals discussed this week: <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/t-gaia-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:8339:1" rel="noopener">T Gaia (3738 JP)</a>'s and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/shinsegae-eng-construction-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:11972:1" rel="noopener">Shinsegae E&amp;C (034300 KS)</a> Tender Offers, and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/mphb-capital-bhd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:8540:1" rel="noopener">MPHB (MPHB MK)</a>'s SCR. Plus <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/asm-pacific-technology-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:15061:1" rel="noopener">ASMPT (522 HK)</a> in the crosshairs. Again.</li>
<li>Key updates took place on: <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sigma-healthcare-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:15966:1" rel="noopener">Sigma Healthcare (SIG AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/descente-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:8225:1" rel="noopener">Descente Ltd (8114 JP)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/shin-kong-financial-holding" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:15351:1" rel="noopener">Shin Kong Financial Holding (2888 TT)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/pacific-smiles-group-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:2891:1" rel="noopener">Pacific Smiles (PSQ AU)</a>, and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/greatview-aseptic-packaging" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:10802:1" rel="noopener">Greatview Aseptic Packaging (468 HK)</a>.
</li>
</ul>


I tally 44 - mostly firm, mostly Asia-Pac - transactions currently being discussed and analysed on Smartkarma. Inside is a timetable of upcoming key events for each deal.
Three new deals discussed this week: T Gaia (3738 JP)'s and Shinsegae E&amp;C (034300 KS) Tender Offers, and MPHB (MPHB MK)'s SCR. Plus ASMPT (522 HK) in the crosshairs. Again.
Key updates took place on: Sigma Healthcare (SIG AU), Descente Ltd (8114 JP), Shin Kong Financial Holding (2888 TT), Pacific Smiles (PSQ AU), and Greatview Aseptic Packaging (468 HK).



(Mostly) Asia-Pac M&A: Descente, Shin Kong Financial, T Gaia, Shinsegae E&C, MPHB, Pacific Smiles

Travis Lundy

<ul>
<li>Today, just before the close, the Nikkei put out a scoop that Bain would buy <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/t-gaia-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:8339:1" rel="noopener">T Gaia Corp (3738 JP)</a> for ¥140bn. Sounds big. It was a 30% discount.</li>
<li>There is a three Tender Offer process whereby minorities, who could be squeezed out regardless, are offered the opportunity to block the deal by not tendering at ¥2,670.</li>
<li>This not-quite "majority of minority" of the super-minority is an interesting governance condition established by the Special Committee. It bears some study.</li>
</ul>


Today, just before the close, the Nikkei put out a scoop that Bain would buy T Gaia Corp (3738 JP) for ¥140bn. Sounds big. It was a 30% discount.
There is a three Tender Offer process whereby minorities, who could be squeezed out regardless, are offered the opportunity to block the deal by not tendering at ¥2,670.
This not-quite "majority of minority" of the super-minority is an interesting governance condition established by the Special Committee. It bears some study.


T-Gaia (3738 JP) - Potential Premium Takeout Story Turns To An Ugly Takeunder

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/t-gaia-corp" target="_blank" rel="noopener">T Gaia Corp (3738 JP)</a> disclosed a Bain tender offer at JPY2,670, a 35.9% premium to the undisturbed price but a 27.2% discount to the last close.</li>
<li>Bain has set the minimum number of shares to be purchased at a 12.67% ownership ratio to appease the Board, which has a neutral recommendation. </li>
<li>Bain hopes the offer’s harsh reality check will burst the share price bubble, nudging minorities to accept. An auction process suggests that the chance of a competing offer is low.   </li>
</ul>



T Gaia Corp (3738 JP) disclosed a Bain tender offer at JPY2,670, a 35.9% premium to the undisturbed price but a 27.2% discount to the last close.
Bain has set the minimum number of shares to be purchased at a 12.67% ownership ratio to appease the Board, which has a neutral recommendation. 
Bain hopes the offer’s harsh reality check will burst the share price bubble, nudging minorities to accept. An auction process suggests that the chance of a competing offer is low.   


T-Gaia (3738 JP): Reality Check as Bain Launches a Takeunder

Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/profiles/janaghan-jeyakumar-cfa" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="accounts:3173" rel="noopener">Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA</a> who does the predictions for this index got 10/10 of his high conviction names, 8/10 of his medium conviction, and 50% of low conviction ADDs.</li>
<li>This year, there are fewer caps but some big ones. Nearly ¥500bn of capping flow to sell. </li>
<li>I see just over $6.3bn in buying and selling to be done. A half dozen names with both high ADV impact to buy and decent size.</li>
</ul>



Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA who does the predictions for this index got 10/10 of his high conviction names, 8/10 of his medium conviction, and 50% of low conviction ADDs.
This year, there are fewer caps but some big ones. Nearly ¥500bn of capping flow to sell. 
I see just over $6.3bn in buying and selling to be done. A half dozen names with both high ADV impact to buy and decent size.


JPX-Nikkei 400 Rebal Aug 2024 - 44 IN, 41 OUT, ¥500bn of Capping, Just Under ¥1trn to Trade

Japan

T-GAIA CORPORATION sells cell-phone units and service contracts in Japan. The Company also offers high-speed internet connection service through sales agencies.

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T Gaia Corp (3738 JP)

Weekly Deals Digest (06 Oct) - Tokyo Metro, Rigaku, CR Beverage, K Bank, ASMPT, Samson, T-Gaia

Last week, notable developments occurred in Event-Driven (ASMPT, GA Pack, Samson, Descente, T Gaia) and ECM (Tokyo Metro, Rigaku, CR Beverage, K...

Arun George

(Mostly) Asia-Pac M&A: Descente, Shin Kong Financial, T Gaia, Shinsegae E&C, MPHB, Pacific Smiles

This insight provides a summary of gross/annualised spreads (on deals discussed on Smartkarma) across Asia-Pacific as at the last trading date, and...

David Blennerhassett

T-Gaia (3738 JP) - Potential Premium Takeout Story Turns To An Ugly Takeunder

After what was a far longer process than we knew, and a pretty strong governance condition, we still get a significant takeunder. A disappointment...

Travis Lundy

T-Gaia (3738 JP): Reality Check as Bain Launches a Takeunder

Bain hopes the offer’s harsh reality check will burst the share price bubble, nudging minorities to accept. An auction process suggests that the...

Arun George

JPX-Nikkei 400 Rebal Aug 2024 - 44 IN, 41 OUT, ¥500bn of Capping, Just Under ¥1trn to Trade

The JPX Nikkei 400 annual index rebal is upon us. Janaghan's predictions were good at the higher conviction levels. This is OK size (nearly ¥1trln...

Travis Lundy

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