Tracking developments across tech supply chains, Tech Supply Chain Tracker

Tech Supply Chain Tracker

Tracking developments across tech supply chains

Equity Bottom-Up

Luxshare Precision Industry / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul><li>TSMC ends partnership with PowerAIR in Singapore over Huawei worries, impacting supply chain in tech industry. </li><li>China retaliates against US with customs actions; CXMT starts manufacturing DDR5 chips, meeting demand for next-gen technology.</li><li>India plans display fabrication facility, offering growth potential but encountering challenges. Luxshare's purchase of Wingtech ODM to enhance design capabilities, reduce reliance on Apple, and boost tech industry prowess.</li></ul>

TSMC ends partnership with PowerAIR in Singapore over Huawei worries, impacting supply chain in tech industry. China retaliates against US with customs actions; CXMT starts manufacturing DDR5 chips, meeting demand for next-gen technology.India plans display fabrication facility, offering growth potential but encountering challenges. Luxshare's purchase of Wingtech ODM to enhance design capabilities, reduce reliance on Apple, and boost tech industry prowess.

Tech Supply Chain Tracker (14-Jan-2025): TSMC ends PowerAIR Huawei partnership.

Managing Director, Zero One, Zero One

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Managing Director, Zero One

Zero One

Founded in 2015, Zero One produces independent investment research and provides corporate finance advisory services with a focus on both listed and private technology companies. Founder Vincent Fernando has over 20 years of experience in US and Asia capital markets.

Independent Investment Research

TSMC (Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing) - ADR / Equity Bottom-Up

TSMC (Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing) - ADR

<ul>
<li>TSMC: +28.4% Premium; Near-All-Time High, Good Level to Short the Spread</li>
<li>UMC: -0.4% Discount; Fifth Consecutive Month of Increase in ADR Headroom</li>
<li>CHT: -0.9% Discount; Good Level to Go Long the Spread</li>
</ul>


TSMC: +28.4% Premium; Near-All-Time High, Good Level to Short the Spread
UMC: -0.4% Discount; Fifth Consecutive Month of Increase in ADR Headroom
CHT: -0.9% Discount; Good Level to Go Long the Spread


Taiwan Dual-Listings Monitor: TSMC Premium Near All-Time Highs; CHT Rare Discount Level

Taiwan Tech Focused Senior Analyst

Patrick Liao

<ul>
<li>Considering of current financial outcome of <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/intel-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:16764:1" rel="noopener">Intel Corp (INTC US)</a>, we cannot but favor <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/advanced-micro-devices-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:19009:1" rel="noopener">Advanced Micro Devices (AMD US).</a>
</li>
<li>Currently, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/advanced-micro-devices-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:19009:1" rel="noopener">Advanced Micro Devices (AMD US)</a> has a more favorable competitive landscape compared to <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/intel-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:16764:1" rel="noopener">Intel Corp (INTC US)</a>.</li>
<li>The competition in PC CPU emphasizes not only performance but also heat dissipation and other techniques related to supply management.    </li>
</ul>


Considering of current financial outcome of Intel Corp (INTC US), we cannot but favor Advanced Micro Devices (AMD US).

Currently, Advanced Micro Devices (AMD US) has a more favorable competitive landscape compared to Intel Corp (INTC US).
The competition in PC CPU emphasizes not only performance but also heat dissipation and other techniques related to supply management.    


Intel (INTC.US): Exploring a Tough Journey. (II)

<ul><li>Intel's Panther Lake chip set to drive growth in AI PC market and spark resurgence in semiconductor foundry industry by second half of 2025.</li><li>Rapidus to provide 2nm chip samples to Broadcom, highlighting advancements in semiconductor technology and potential for increased performance.</li><li>Taiwanese companies eye opportunities in expanding renewable energy market in the Philippines, showcasing interest in sustainable business practices. CES 2025 sees Nvidia unveiling robot collaborations while concerns emerge over South Korea's absence. Honda and Sony face uncertainty as Afeela 1 debuts, while Tata Elxsi and Qualcomm team up to develop virtual models of Snapdragon Digital Chassis solutions. UK-Taiwan tech partnerships strengthen as British Representative to Taiwan concludes term, reflecting deepening alliance between the two countries.</li></ul>

Intel's Panther Lake chip set to drive growth in AI PC market and spark resurgence in semiconductor foundry industry by second half of 2025.Rapidus to provide 2nm chip samples to Broadcom, highlighting advancements in semiconductor technology and potential for increased performance.Taiwanese companies eye opportunities in expanding renewable energy market in the Philippines, showcasing interest in sustainable business practices. CES 2025 sees Nvidia unveiling robot collaborations while concerns emerge over South Korea's absence. Honda and Sony face uncertainty as Afeela 1 debuts, while Tata Elxsi and Qualcomm team up to develop virtual models of Snapdragon Digital Chassis solutions. UK-Taiwan tech partnerships strengthen as British Representative to Taiwan concludes term, reflecting deepening alliance between the two countries.

Tech Supply Chain Tracker (11-Jan-2025): Intel's Panther Lake boosts AI PC growth, foundry recovery by 2H25.

United Microelectronics Corp / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/united-microelectron-sp-adr" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:11540:1" rel="noopener">United Microelectron Sp Adr (UMC US)</a> experiences approximately a 5-10% quarter-over-quarter (QoQ) decline in 1Q25. For the full year of 2025, we anticipate a modest year-over-year (YoY) decline of around 5%.</li>
<li>We have observed some strength from Taiwanese Fabless companies, which could support the 1Q25 demand for UMC.  </li>
<li>It has been noted that mature wafer demand is not solely driven by China and may help offset the impacts of the US-China Trade War, benefiting foundries outside of China.</li>
</ul>



United Microelectron Sp Adr (UMC US) experiences approximately a 5-10% quarter-over-quarter (QoQ) decline in 1Q25. For the full year of 2025, we anticipate a modest year-over-year (YoY) decline of around 5%.
We have observed some strength from Taiwanese Fabless companies, which could support the 1Q25 demand for UMC.  
It has been noted that mature wafer demand is not solely driven by China and may help offset the impacts of the US-China Trade War, benefiting foundries outside of China.


UMC (2303.TT; UMC.US): 1Q25 Outlook; Surprise Support of Taiwanese Fabless.

Taiwan

Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company Ltd. manufactures integrated circuits based on its proprietary designs.  The Company offers a comprehensive set of integrated circuit fabrication processes to manufacture CMOS logic, mixed-mode, volatile and non-volatile memory and BiCMOS chips.  Taiwan Semiconductor is an affiliate of Philips Electronics N.V.

TSMC (Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing) - ADR (TSM US)

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TSMC (Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing) - ADR (TSM US)

Tech Supply Chain Tracker (14-Jan-2025): TSMC ends PowerAIR Huawei partnership.

TSMC severs relationship with PowerAIR over Huawei worries, China responds to US with customs actions, CXMT starts DDR5 production; India plans...

Tech Supply Chain Tracker

Taiwan Dual-Listings Monitor: TSMC Premium Near All-Time Highs; CHT Rare Discount Level

We analyze the premium and discount levels of dual-listed Taiwan companies, suggesting potential spread trading levels based on historical trends.

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Intel (INTC.US): Exploring a Tough Journey. (II)

Intel Corp's financial outcome favors Advanced Micro Devices in the competition for PC CPU market due to a more favorable competitive landscape.

Patrick Liao

Tech Supply Chain Tracker (11-Jan-2025): Intel's Panther Lake boosts AI PC growth, foundry recovery by 2H25.

Intel's Panther Lake drives AI PC growth, Rapidus supplies 2nm chips to Broadcom, Taiwanese firms eye Philippines' renewable energy market,...

Tech Supply Chain Tracker

UMC (2303.TT; UMC.US): 1Q25 Outlook; Surprise Support of Taiwanese Fabless.

UMC expects a 5-10% QoQ decline in 1Q25, with a modest 5% YoY decline for 2025. Taiwanese Fabless companies may boost 1Q25 demand, while mature...

Patrick Liao

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Tech Supply Chain Tracker (14-Jan-2025): TSMC ends PowerAIR Huawei partnership.

TSMC severs relationship with PowerAIR over Huawei worries, China responds to US with customs actions, CXMT starts DDR5 production; India plans...

Tech Supply Chain Tracker

Taiwan Dual-Listings Monitor: TSMC Premium Near All-Time Highs; CHT Rare Discount Level

We analyze the premium and discount levels of dual-listed Taiwan companies, suggesting potential spread trading levels based on historical trends.

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Intel (INTC.US): Exploring a Tough Journey. (II)

​Intel Corp's financial outcome favors Advanced Micro Devices in the competition for PC CPU market due to a more favorable competitive landscape.

Patrick Liao

Tech Supply Chain Tracker (11-Jan-2025): Intel's Panther Lake boosts AI PC growth, foundry recovery by 2H25.

Intel's Panther Lake drives AI PC growth, Rapidus supplies 2nm chips to Broadcom, Taiwanese firms eye Philippines' renewable energy market,...

Tech Supply Chain Tracker

UMC (2303.TT; UMC.US): 1Q25 Outlook; Surprise Support of Taiwanese Fabless.

UMC expects a 5-10% QoQ decline in 1Q25, with a modest 5% YoY decline for 2025. Taiwanese Fabless companies may boost 1Q25 demand, while mature...

Patrick Liao

Intel Corp's financial outcome favors Advanced Micro Devices in the competition for PC CPU market due to a more favorable competitive landscape.