Semiconductor & Technology Specialist, Ingenuity

William Keating

Semiconductor & Technology Specialist

Ingenuity

Our focus is exclusively on in-depth research & consulting in the broader semiconductor industry. We focus on the key players, namely Intel, Micron, Qualcomm, Apple, Samsung, NVIDIA, AMD, TSMC & Global Foundries - as well as some of the lesser known, but nonetheless critical, companies such as ASML (for EUV), Mellanox, Cavium, Xilinx etc. We specialise in their products, roadmaps, process technologies, competitive advantages & threats etc. We also help our clients understand the implications of new and emerging technologies, e.g. 3D X-Point, 3D NAND, Carbon Nanotubes, Autonomous Driving, Graphene, Silicon Photonics, Wafer-Level Optics, Artificial Intelligence, FPGA, GPU, ASIC etc. 

Semiconductor Analysis & Research

Equity Bottom-Up

Advanced Micro Devices / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Q324 revenues of $6.8 billion, $100 million above the guided midpoint, up 17% QoQ and up18% YoY.</li>
<li>Q424 forecast $7.5 billion, plus or minus $300 million. At the midpoint of the revenue range, this represents YoY growth of ~22% and sequential growth of ~10%.</li>
<li>AMD's share price is now roughly the same as it was at the start of 2022.</li>
</ul>


Q324 revenues of $6.8 billion, $100 million above the guided midpoint, up 17% QoQ and up18% YoY.
Q424 forecast $7.5 billion, plus or minus $300 million. At the midpoint of the revenue range, this represents YoY growth of ~22% and sequential growth of ~10%.
AMD's share price is now roughly the same as it was at the start of 2022.


Managing Director, Zero One, Zero One

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Managing Director, Zero One

Zero One

Founded in 2015, Zero One produces independent investment research and provides corporate finance advisory services with a focus on both listed and private technology companies. Founder Vincent Fernando has over 20 years of experience in US and Asia capital markets.

Independent Investment Research

<ul>
<li>We identify key Taiwan-based Apple suppliers that have underperformed recently, and highlight which suppliers' revenue growth will outpace Apple in 2025E.</li>
<li>Rise of India -- Latest Apple data shows massive iPhone production growth in the country.</li>
<li>Apple's next-generation M5 chip will continue using TSMC's 3nm node, launching 2H25E; Supports that TSMC's 3nm process is expected to maintain strong demand even with the arrival of 2nm.</li>
</ul>


We identify key Taiwan-based Apple suppliers that have underperformed recently, and highlight which suppliers' revenue growth will outpace Apple in 2025E.
Rise of India -- Latest Apple data shows massive iPhone production growth in the country.
Apple's next-generation M5 chip will continue using TSMC's 3nm node, launching 2H25E; Supports that TSMC's 3nm process is expected to maintain strong demand even with the arrival of 2nm.


Apple Supply Chain Monitor: Laggards to Outgrow Apple in 2025E; India's IPhone Surge; New IMacs W/AI

Podcast On the Business of Semiconductors, The Circuit

The Circuit

Podcast On the Business of Semiconductors

A Podcast On the Business of Semiconductors. With Jay Goldberg and Ben Bajarin

TSMC (Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing) - ADR / Equity Bottom-Up

TSMC (Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing) - ADR

<ul><li>Quarter results not good, guidance for next quarter negative, stock down</li><li>Intel and Samsung causing order push outs for ASML</li><li>ASML facing cyclical challenges in semiconductor industry, potential impact on future manufacturing partnerships with TSMC and Intel</li></ul><p><em>This content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only.</em></p>

Quarter results not good, guidance for next quarter negative, stock downIntel and Samsung causing order push outs for ASMLASML facing cyclical challenges in semiconductor industry, potential impact on future manufacturing partnerships with TSMC and IntelThis content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only.

Episode 90: TSMC/ASML Earnings Signals, X86 Consortium, Nuclear Trending

Asset Allocation & Fund Positioning, Copley Fund Research

Steven Holden

Asset Allocation & Fund Positioning

Copley Fund Research

Copley Fund Research provide research and data on asset allocation among Global and Emerging Market equity funds.  The analysis details absolute and relative positioning across countries, sectors and industries together with highly granular data on single stock and single fund allocations.  The data is updated monthly with time series going back to January 2011.

Global Research - Analysis of 165 prominent Global equity funds, combined AUM $335bn
GEM Research - Analysis of 127 prominent global EM equity funds, combined AUM $250bn

Asset Allocation - Global and GEM Equity

Cross Asset Strategy

<ul>
<li>As interest in the Emerging Markets Ex-China space grows, we have sourced data on 30 actively managed strategies that provide filings for us to analyse.</li>
<li>Combined AUM has gradually increased among all strategies to $1.67bn.  Remains a long behind the $17.6bn AUM of the iShares MSCI EM Ex-China ETF</li>
<li>Developed markets and Argentina O/W.  India, Saudi Arabia, and Taiwan U/W.  TSMC universally owned, SK Hynix and Samsung prominent.  POSCO unloved.</li>
</ul>


As interest in the Emerging Markets Ex-China space grows, we have sourced data on 30 actively managed strategies that provide filings for us to analyse.
Combined AUM has gradually increased among all strategies to $1.67bn.  Remains a long behind the $17.6bn AUM of the iShares MSCI EM Ex-China ETF
Developed markets and Argentina O/W.  India, Saudi Arabia, and Taiwan U/W.  TSMC universally owned, SK Hynix and Samsung prominent.  POSCO unloved.


EM Ex-China: First Look at Active Positioning

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the changes in foreign holdings of TWSE Stocks as of Oct 25th which has an aggregated holding worth USD1,046.5bn.</li>
<li>We estimate that foreign flows to be inflows of USD1,128mln. We tabulate the league table for top changes by value for 1W/4W/1Y and top stocks held by foreign institutions.</li>
<li>We highlight changes of foreign holdings in TSMC, Hon Hai Precision Industry, Wistron, Quanta Computer, Evergreen Marine Corp Taiwan, United Microelectronics.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the changes in foreign holdings of TWSE Stocks as of Oct 25th which has an aggregated holding worth USD1,046.5bn.
We estimate that foreign flows to be inflows of USD1,128mln. We tabulate the league table for top changes by value for 1W/4W/1Y and top stocks held by foreign institutions.
We highlight changes of foreign holdings in TSMC, Hon Hai Precision Industry, Wistron, Quanta Computer, Evergreen Marine Corp Taiwan, United Microelectronics.


TWSE Foreign Holding Weekly (Oct 25th): TSMC, Hon Hai Precision Industry, Wistron, Quanta Computer

Taiwan

Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company Ltd. manufactures integrated circuits based on its proprietary designs.  The Company offers a comprehensive set of integrated circuit fabrication processes to manufacture CMOS logic, mixed-mode, volatile and non-volatile memory and BiCMOS chips.  Taiwan Semiconductor is an affiliate of Philips Electronics N.V.

TSMC (Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing) - ADR (TSM US)

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TSMC (Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing) - ADR (TSM US)

AMD Q324 Earnings Review

Q324 revenue $6.8 billion, +17% QoQ, +18% YoY. Q424 forecast $7.5 billion, +10% QoQ, +22% YoY. Share fall 8% after hours, now trading back at early...

William Keating

Apple Supply Chain Monitor: Laggards to Outgrow Apple in 2025E; India's IPhone Surge; New IMacs W/AI

Underperforming suppliers expect revenue growth surpassing Apple in 2025E; India sees massive iPhone production growth; Apple's M5 chip...

Vincent Fernando, CFA

EM Ex-China: First Look at Active Positioning

India becomes key underweight among active Emerging Market Ex-China funds. Argentina, Mexico and Developed Markets strategic overweights.

Steven Holden

TWSE Foreign Holding Weekly (Oct 25th): TSMC, Hon Hai Precision Industry, Wistron, Quanta Computer

We analyzed TWSE foreign holding data for the past week and highlighted foreign holding changes in TSMC, Hon Hai Precision Industry, Wistron,...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

AMD Q324 Earnings Review

Q324 revenue $6.8 billion, +17% QoQ, +18% YoY. Q424 forecast $7.5 billion, +10% QoQ, +22% YoY. Share fall 8% after hours, now trading back at early...

William Keating

Apple Supply Chain Monitor: Laggards to Outgrow Apple in 2025E; India's IPhone Surge; New IMacs W/AI

​Underperforming suppliers expect revenue growth surpassing Apple in 2025E; India sees massive iPhone production growth; Apple's M5 chip...

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Episode 90: TSMC/ASML Earnings Signals, X86 Consortium, Nuclear Trending

ASML's stock price dropped due to poor quarter results attributed to delayed orders from Intel and Samsung, as well as soft orders from China,...

The Circuit

EM Ex-China: First Look at Active Positioning

India becomes key underweight among active Emerging Market Ex-China funds. Argentina, Mexico and Developed Markets strategic overweights.

Steven Holden

TWSE Foreign Holding Weekly (Oct 25th): TSMC, Hon Hai Precision Industry, Wistron, Quanta Computer

We analyzed TWSE foreign holding data for the past week and highlighted foreign holding changes in TSMC, Hon Hai Precision Industry, Wistron,...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Underperforming suppliers expect revenue growth surpassing Apple in 2025E; India sees massive iPhone production growth; Apple's M5 chip...