Taiwan Tech Focused Senior Analyst

Patrick Liao

Equity Bottom-Up

Semiconductor Manufacturing International Corp (SMIC) / Equity Bottom-Up

Semiconductor Manufacturing International Corp (SMIC)

<ul>
<li>It's an exciting 1Q24 result that revenue and GM beat the prior guidance.</li>
<li>The 2Q24 outlook appears to be better than 1Q24, with revenue expected to increase by 5% to 7% QoQ and GM by 9% to 11%.</li>
<li>We consider the primary bottleneck is the embargo of EUV machines to China from the Netherlands.</li>
</ul>


It's an exciting 1Q24 result that revenue and GM beat the prior guidance.
The 2Q24 outlook appears to be better than 1Q24, with revenue expected to increase by 5% to 7% QoQ and GM by 9% to 11%.
We consider the primary bottleneck is the embargo of EUV machines to China from the Netherlands.


SMIC (981.HK): 1Q24 Outlook Was Improved, and The 2Q24 Outlook Appears to Be Better than 1Q24.

Managing Director, Zero One, Zero One

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Managing Director, Zero One

Zero One

Founded in 2015, Zero One produces independent investment research and provides corporate finance advisory services with a focus on both listed and private technology companies. Founder Vincent Fernando has over 20 years of experience in US and Asia capital markets.

Independent Investment Research

TSMC (Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing) - ADR / Equity Bottom-Up

TSMC (Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing) - ADR

<ul>
<li>TSMC: Premium Fell and Then Rebounded, Now +15.6%; Can Consider Shorting Again</li>
<li>ASE: Falls to +12.3%; Wait for Higher Level Before Considering a New Short Again</li>
<li>ChipMOS: -0.6% Discount; Massing of Short Interest Right Ahead of Earnings</li>
</ul>


TSMC: Premium Fell and Then Rebounded, Now +15.6%; Can Consider Shorting Again
ASE: Falls to +12.3%; Wait for Higher Level Before Considering a New Short Again
ChipMOS: -0.6% Discount; Massing of Short Interest Right Ahead of Earnings


Taiwan Dual-Listings: TSMC Spread Slumps Then Fully Rebounds; Shorts Spiking Ahead of IMOS Results

<ul>
<li>1Q24 revenue and GM are in line, but operating income at 24.3% was 1% below consensus.</li>
<li>GlobalWafers anticipates revenue in 2024 will likely be similar to 2023, which means 1H24 revenue could account for 45% of the 2024 yearly revenue.</li>
<li>The planned dividend payout for 2024 is NT$19.0, with NT$8.0 from 1H23 and NT$11 from 2H23. </li>
</ul>


1Q24 revenue and GM are in line, but operating income at 24.3% was 1% below consensus.
GlobalWafers anticipates revenue in 2024 will likely be similar to 2023, which means 1H24 revenue could account for 45% of the 2024 yearly revenue.
The planned dividend payout for 2024 is NT$19.0, with NT$8.0 from 1H23 and NT$11 from 2H23. 


GlobalWafers (6488.TT): Demand Was Weaker in 1H24F, and We Hope It Will Be Better in 2H24F.

Tracking developments across tech supply chains, Tech Supply Chain Tracker

Tech Supply Chain Tracker

Tracking developments across tech supply chains

<ul><li>Samsung SDI exhibits confidence in future growth and innovation by increasing investments despite weak 1Q24 results.</li><li>UnaBiz boosts Sigfox 0G Technology by reducing device energy usage by up to 18 times, enhancing efficiency.</li><li>Sharp considers establishing a display plant in India, potentially boosting the country's electronics manufacturing sector.</li></ul>

Samsung SDI exhibits confidence in future growth and innovation by increasing investments despite weak 1Q24 results.UnaBiz boosts Sigfox 0G Technology by reducing device energy usage by up to 18 times, enhancing efficiency.Sharp considers establishing a display plant in India, potentially boosting the country's electronics manufacturing sector.

Tech Supply Chain Tracker (06-May-2024): Samsung SDI boosts investment despite weak 1Q24.

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the changes in foreign holdings of TWSE Stocks as of May 3rd which has an aggregated holding worth USD3,897.7bn.</li>
<li>We estimate that foreign flows to be inflows of USD3,975mln. We tabulate the league table for top changes by value for 1W/4W/1Y and top stocks held by foreign institutions.</li>
<li>We highlight foreign changes in TSMC, Hon Hai, Delta Elec, Yageo, Quanta Computer, Alchip Tech, King Yuan Elec, Wt, Accton Tech, Powertech.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the changes in foreign holdings of TWSE Stocks as of May 3rd which has an aggregated holding worth USD3,897.7bn.
We estimate that foreign flows to be inflows of USD3,975mln. We tabulate the league table for top changes by value for 1W/4W/1Y and top stocks held by foreign institutions.
We highlight foreign changes in TSMC, Hon Hai, Delta Elec, Yageo, Quanta Computer, Alchip Tech, King Yuan Elec, Wt, Accton Tech, Powertech.


TWSE Foreign Holding Weekly (May 3rd): TSMC, Hon Hai, Delta Elec, Yageo, Quanta Computer, Alchip

Taiwan

Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company Ltd. manufactures integrated circuits based on its proprietary designs.  The Company offers a comprehensive set of integrated circuit fabrication processes to manufacture CMOS logic, mixed-mode, volatile and non-volatile memory and BiCMOS chips.  Taiwan Semiconductor is an affiliate of Philips Electronics N.V.

TSMC (Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing) - ADR (TSM US)

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TSMC (Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing) - ADR (TSM US)

SMIC (981.HK): 1Q24 Outlook Was Improved, and The 2Q24 Outlook Appears to Be Better than 1Q24.

Exciting 1Q24 results show revenue and GM surpassing guidance, with optimistic 2Q24 outlook despite EUV machine embargo impacting China.

Patrick Liao

Taiwan Dual-Listings: TSMC Spread Slumps Then Fully Rebounds; Shorts Spiking Ahead of IMOS Results

Potential trades to consider in TSMC and CHT. Notable surge in short interest right ahead of IMOS earnings today; with the shorts be proven right?

Vincent Fernando, CFA

GlobalWafers (6488.TT): Demand Was Weaker in 1H24F, and We Hope It Will Be Better in 2H24F.

GlobalWafers' 1Q24 results is lower operating income than consensus. Anticipates steady revenue in 2024, with 1H24 accounting for 45% of yearly...

Patrick Liao

Tech Supply Chain Tracker (06-May-2024): Samsung SDI boosts investment despite weak 1Q24.

Samsung SDI remains confident in future growth, UnaBiz makes big strides in energy efficiency for devices, and questions arise over China's...

Tech Supply Chain Tracker

TWSE Foreign Holding Weekly (May 3rd): TSMC, Hon Hai, Delta Elec, Yageo, Quanta Computer, Alchip

We analyzed TWSE foreign holding data for the past week and highlighted foreign holding changes in TSMC, Hon Hai, Delta Elec, Yageo, Quanta...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

SMIC (981.HK): 1Q24 Outlook Was Improved, and The 2Q24 Outlook Appears to Be Better than 1Q24.

​Exciting 1Q24 results show revenue and GM surpassing guidance, with optimistic 2Q24 outlook despite EUV machine embargo impacting China.

Patrick Liao

Taiwan Dual-Listings: TSMC Spread Slumps Then Fully Rebounds; Shorts Spiking Ahead of IMOS Results

Potential trades to consider in TSMC and CHT. Notable surge in short interest right ahead of IMOS earnings today; with the shorts be proven right?

Vincent Fernando, CFA

GlobalWafers (6488.TT): Demand Was Weaker in 1H24F, and We Hope It Will Be Better in 2H24F.

​GlobalWafers' 1Q24 results is lower operating income than consensus. Anticipates steady revenue in 2024, with 1H24 accounting for 45% of yearly...

Patrick Liao

Tech Supply Chain Tracker (06-May-2024): Samsung SDI boosts investment despite weak 1Q24.

Samsung SDI remains confident in future growth, UnaBiz makes big strides in energy efficiency for devices, and questions arise over China's...

Tech Supply Chain Tracker

TWSE Foreign Holding Weekly (May 3rd): TSMC, Hon Hai, Delta Elec, Yageo, Quanta Computer, Alchip

We analyzed TWSE foreign holding data for the past week and highlighted foreign holding changes in TSMC, Hon Hai, Delta Elec, Yageo, Quanta...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Exciting 1Q24 results show revenue and GM surpassing guidance, with optimistic 2Q24 outlook despite EUV machine embargo impacting China.

GlobalWafers' 1Q24 results is lower operating income than consensus. Anticipates steady revenue in 2024, with 1H24 accounting for 45% of yearly...