Technology / Semiconductor / Internet Research

Nicolas Baratte

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>US Government invests $9bn in Intel, Nvidia another $5bn, Softbank $2bn. This solves Intel’s most pressing problem: the risk of financial fragility</li>
<li>But neither USG, nor Nvidia have semi manufacturing expertise, so $-injections don’t solve Intel’s 2nd problem. Intel has to  demonstrate a very solid 14A in the next 12 months</li>
<li>USG 1:1 import: domestic rule is positive to GlobalFoundries that can get orders away from SMIC or UMC. Positive to Texas Instrument</li>
</ul>


US Government invests $9bn in Intel, Nvidia another $5bn, Softbank $2bn. This solves Intel’s most pressing problem: the risk of financial fragility
But neither USG, nor Nvidia have semi manufacturing expertise, so $-injections don’t solve Intel’s 2nd problem. Intel has to  demonstrate a very solid 14A in the next 12 months
USG 1:1 import: domestic rule is positive to GlobalFoundries that can get orders away from SMIC or UMC. Positive to Texas Instrument


Intel: Money Only Solves Half the Problem. The 1:1 Domestic-To-Import Ratio Not a Clear Positive

Asset Allocation & Fund Positioning, Copley Fund Research

Steven Holden

Asset Allocation & Fund Positioning

Copley Fund Research

Copley Fund Research provide research and data on asset allocation among Global and Emerging Market equity funds.  The analysis details absolute and relative positioning across countries, sectors and industries together with highly granular data on single stock and single fund allocations.  The data is updated monthly with time series going back to January 2011.

Global Research - Analysis of 165 prominent Global equity funds, combined AUM $335bn
GEM Research - Analysis of 127 prominent global EM equity funds, combined AUM $250bn

Asset Allocation - Global and GEM Equity

Cross Asset Strategy

<ul>
<li>Global funds remain structurally underweight Asia, with Japan and China &amp; HK widely held but still below index weight; India stands out as the clearest consensus underweight.</li>
<li>Taiwan Technology dominates sector positioning as the largest regional overweight, while Australian and Asian Financials are structural underweights; rotation shows China sectors and Japan Financials/Industrials gaining traction.</li>
<li>Stock leadership is highly concentrated in TSMC, now owned by 61% of funds; second-tier names stagnate while SK Hynix, BYD, and Sea Ltd attract rising investor participation.</li>
</ul>


Global funds remain structurally underweight Asia, with Japan and China &amp; HK widely held but still below index weight; India stands out as the clearest consensus underweight.
Taiwan Technology dominates sector positioning as the largest regional overweight, while Australian and Asian Financials are structural underweights; rotation shows China sectors and Japan Financials/Industrials gaining traction.
Stock leadership is highly concentrated in TSMC, now owned by 61% of funds; second-tier names stagnate while SK Hynix, BYD, and Sea Ltd attract rising investor participation.


Chief Executive Officer, Emmer Capital Partners Limited

Manishi Raychaudhuri

Chief Executive Officer

Emmer Capital Partners Limited

Emmer Capital Partners is an Asia Pacific focused financial advisory firm engaging in strategic financial asset allocation advice, bespoke thematic research and advising early-stage companies and connecting them to investors. Emmer Capital provides macro-economic and multi-asset investment strategy inputs to institutions, family offices, private wealth managers, private equity, and corporate boards directly and through independent research platforms. Emmer Capital also advises a wide range of startup companies on fund raising and business strategy. Emmer Capital's active engagement with the print and electronic media reaches a broad spectrum of investors across the globe.

<ul>
<li>In H1, Asia climbed several walls of worry. Valuations are slightly higher than long-term average. H2 could be more modest, as export driven growth moderates and trade agreements become contentious.</li>
<li>Our end-2025 targets are: MXASJ 850, SHCOMP 3760, Sensex 85000, HSI 26000, KOSPI 3400, TWSE 23500, Strait Times 4200, JCI 7450, SET 1150. Overweights on Korea, HK/China, India, continue.</li>
<li>Asian currencies should continue to appreciate, driving more FII flows. Benign inflation and headroom for monetary easing are key tailwinds. We expect two rate cuts by the Fed in 2025.</li>
</ul>


In H1, Asia climbed several walls of worry. Valuations are slightly higher than long-term average. H2 could be more modest, as export driven growth moderates and trade agreements become contentious.
Our end-2025 targets are: MXASJ 850, SHCOMP 3760, Sensex 85000, HSI 26000, KOSPI 3400, TWSE 23500, Strait Times 4200, JCI 7450, SET 1150. Overweights on Korea, HK/China, India, continue.
Asian currencies should continue to appreciate, driving more FII flows. Benign inflation and headroom for monetary easing are key tailwinds. We expect two rate cuts by the Fed in 2025.


H2 '25 Outlook: Modest H2 After Strong H1. Themes: Trade, Consumption, Tech Spending, Yields

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Equity Capital Markets

Tekscend Photomask / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tekscend-photomask-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:45819:1" rel="noopener">Tekscend Photomask (429A JP)</a>  (429A JP), a manufacturer and distributor of semiconductor photomasks, aims to raise around US$830m in its Japan IPO.</li>
<li>TP is a global provider of photomasks and related support services. It has been the leader in the merchant photomask market in terms of sales since 2016.</li>
<li>We have looked at the company's past performance in our previous note. In this note, we talk about valuations.</li>
</ul>



Tekscend Photomask (429A JP)  (429A JP), a manufacturer and distributor of semiconductor photomasks, aims to raise around US$830m in its Japan IPO.
TP is a global provider of photomasks and related support services. It has been the leader in the merchant photomask market in terms of sales since 2016.
We have looked at the company's past performance in our previous note. In this note, we talk about valuations.


Tekscend Photomask IPO - Thoughts on Valuation

Managing Director, Zero One, Zero One

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Managing Director, Zero One

Zero One

Founded in 2015, Zero One produces independent investment research and provides corporate finance advisory services with a focus on both listed and private technology companies. Founder Vincent Fernando has over 20 years of experience in US and Asia capital markets.

Independent Investment Research

TSMC (Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing) - ADR / Equity Bottom-Up

TSMC (Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing) - ADR

<ul>
<li>Latest Signals Continue to Indicate N2 Is Emerging as TSMC’s Blockbuster Node</li>
<li>N2 Commercialization Timing Aligns With Major AI HPC Platform Roadmaps</li>
<li>TSMC Market Share Over 70%... Could N2 Drive This Number Even Higher? Maintain Our Structural Long Rating for TSMC</li>
</ul>


Latest Signals Continue to Indicate N2 Is Emerging as TSMC’s Blockbuster Node
N2 Commercialization Timing Aligns With Major AI HPC Platform Roadmaps
TSMC Market Share Over 70%... Could N2 Drive This Number Even Higher? Maintain Our Structural Long Rating for TSMC


TSMC: New Signals Underscore N2’s Rise as a Blockbuster Node

Taiwan

Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company Ltd. manufactures integrated circuits based on its proprietary designs.  The Company offers a comprehensive set of integrated circuit fabrication processes to manufacture CMOS logic, mixed-mode, volatile and non-volatile memory and BiCMOS chips.  Taiwan Semiconductor is an affiliate of Philips Electronics N.V.

TSMC (Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing) - ADR (TSM US)

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TSMC (Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing) - ADR (TSM US)

Intel: Money Only Solves Half the Problem. The 1:1 Domestic-To-Import Ratio Not a Clear Positive

USG, Nvidia, and Softbank invest billions in Intel to address financial fragility, but Intel must still demonstrate solid 14A in next 12 months....

Nicolas Baratte

Global Fund Positioning in Asia

Global funds stay structurally underweight Asia, with Japan and China leading the way. Taiwan Tech dominates sector overweights, while TSMC tops...

Steven Holden

H2 '25 Outlook: Modest H2 After Strong H1. Themes: Trade, Consumption, Tech Spending, Yields

As we approach the last quarter of 2025, most Asian market indices are higher than our end-25 targets, except India. Of our focus investment themes...

Manishi Raychaudhuri

Tekscend Photomask IPO - Thoughts on Valuation

Tekscend Photomask (429A JP) (429A JP), a manufacturer and distributor of semiconductor photomasks, aims to raise around US$830m in its Japan IPO....

Sumeet Singh

TSMC: New Signals Underscore N2’s Rise as a Blockbuster Node

TSMC's N2 node is poised to be a game-changer in the AI HPC market, potentially increasing their market share beyond 70%.

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

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Intel: Money Only Solves Half the Problem. The 1:1 Domestic-To-Import Ratio Not a Clear Positive

​USG, Nvidia, and Softbank invest billions in Intel to address financial fragility, but Intel must still demonstrate solid 14A in next 12 months....

Nicolas Baratte

Global Fund Positioning in Asia

Global funds stay structurally underweight Asia, with Japan and China leading the way. Taiwan Tech dominates sector overweights, while TSMC tops...

Steven Holden

H2 '25 Outlook: Modest H2 After Strong H1. Themes: Trade, Consumption, Tech Spending, Yields

As we approach the last quarter of 2025, most Asian market indices are higher than our end-25 targets, except India. Of our focus investment themes...

Manishi Raychaudhuri

Tekscend Photomask IPO - Thoughts on Valuation

Tekscend Photomask (429A JP) (429A JP), a manufacturer and distributor of semiconductor photomasks, aims to raise around US$830m in its Japan IPO....

Sumeet Singh

TSMC: New Signals Underscore N2’s Rise as a Blockbuster Node

​TSMC's N2 node is poised to be a game-changer in the AI HPC market, potentially increasing their market share beyond 70%.

Vincent Fernando, CFA

USG, Nvidia, and Softbank invest billions in Intel to address financial fragility, but Intel must still demonstrate solid 14A in next 12 months....

TSMC's N2 node is poised to be a game-changer in the AI HPC market, potentially increasing their market share beyond 70%.