Global Materials | Industrials | Commodities

Rahul Jain

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Advantest (6857 JP) enjoys a near-monopoly in advanced SoC and memory testing, entrenched at TSMC, Samsung, and SK Hynix, making it the structural gatekeeper of the AI supply chain.</li>
<li>The company is scaling capacity by 70% in FY25 and investing in next-gen chiplet and system-level test platforms to capture future AI/HBM growth.</li>
<li>At ~35× P/E and ~23× EV/EBITDA, the stock trades at a premium that reflects record margins and 25%+ CAGR, risks include AI capex cyclicality, Taiwan/Korea dependence, China restrictions, and FX.</li>
</ul>


Advantest (6857 JP) enjoys a near-monopoly in advanced SoC and memory testing, entrenched at TSMC, Samsung, and SK Hynix, making it the structural gatekeeper of the AI supply chain.
The company is scaling capacity by 70% in FY25 and investing in next-gen chiplet and system-level test platforms to capture future AI/HBM growth.
At ~35× P/E and ~23× EV/EBITDA, the stock trades at a premium that reflects record margins and 25%+ CAGR, risks include AI capex cyclicality, Taiwan/Korea dependence, China restrictions, and FX.


Advantest Corp (6857 JP) – From Cyclical Tester OEM to Structural AI Bottleneck

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the changes in foreign holdings of TWSE Stocks as of Aug 29th. The aggregated holding was USD1,166.6bn.</li>
<li>We estimate that foreign flows to be inflows of USD427mln. We tabulate the league tables for top changes by value for 1W/4W/1Y and top stocks held by foreign institutions.</li>
<li>We highlight changes of foreign holdings in TSMC, Hon Hai Precision, Delta Electronics, Quanta Computer, Global Unichip, TSMC, Hon Hai Precision, Global Unichip, Delta Electronics, Quanta Computer.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the changes in foreign holdings of TWSE Stocks as of Aug 29th. The aggregated holding was USD1,166.6bn.
We estimate that foreign flows to be inflows of USD427mln. We tabulate the league tables for top changes by value for 1W/4W/1Y and top stocks held by foreign institutions.
We highlight changes of foreign holdings in TSMC, Hon Hai Precision, Delta Electronics, Quanta Computer, Global Unichip, TSMC, Hon Hai Precision, Global Unichip, Delta Electronics, Quanta Computer.


TWSE Foreign Holding Weekly (Aug 29th): TSMC, Hon Hai Precision, Delta Electronics, Quanta Computer

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the changes in short interest of TWSE Stocks as of Aug 29th. The aggregated short interest was USD25.7bn.</li>
<li>We tabulate league tables for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases &amp; decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.</li>
<li>We highlight short interest changes in Jentech Precision Industrial, Unimicron Technology, Pou Chen, Ruentex Development, Taishin Financial, Jentech Precision Industrial, Unimicron Technology, Pou Chen, Ruentex Development, Taishin Financial.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the changes in short interest of TWSE Stocks as of Aug 29th. The aggregated short interest was USD25.7bn.
We tabulate league tables for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases &amp; decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.
We highlight short interest changes in Jentech Precision Industrial, Unimicron Technology, Pou Chen, Ruentex Development, Taishin Financial, Jentech Precision Industrial, Unimicron Technology, Pou Chen, Ruentex Development, Taishin Financial.


TWSE Short Interest Weekly (Aug 29th): Jentech Precision Industrial, Unimicron Technology, Pou Chen

Managing Director, Zero One, Zero One

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Managing Director, Zero One

Zero One

Founded in 2015, Zero One produces independent investment research and provides corporate finance advisory services with a focus on both listed and private technology companies. Founder Vincent Fernando has over 20 years of experience in US and Asia capital markets.

Independent Investment Research

TSMC (Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing) - ADR / Equity Bottom-Up

TSMC (Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing) - ADR

<ul>
<li>Samsung’s potential Intel stake highlights need for packaging know-how, not customers, and provides a hedge if its 2nm yields or production slip.</li>
<li>TSMC extends lead with stable N3, on-track N2, AI packaging dominance, and customer migrations, while Samsung’s foundry share declines below 8%.</li>
<li>Implications: Positive for TSMC (2330 TT), negative signal for Samsung (005930 KS), validating for Intel (INTC US) though regulatory and governance constraints remain important.</li>
</ul>


Samsung’s potential Intel stake highlights need for packaging know-how, not customers, and provides a hedge if its 2nm yields or production slip.
TSMC extends lead with stable N3, on-track N2, AI packaging dominance, and customer migrations, while Samsung’s foundry share declines below 8%.
Implications: Positive for TSMC (2330 TT), negative signal for Samsung (005930 KS), validating for Intel (INTC US) though regulatory and governance constraints remain important.


Samsung’s Intel Gambit: A Signal of TSMC’s Widening Lead

<ul>
<li>TSMC: +21.8% Premium; Wait for Higher Premium Before Fresh Short of the Spread</li>
<li>UMC: -0.6% Discount; Wait for More Extreme ADR Spread Level</li>
<li>ASE: +0.4% Premium; Good Level to Go Long the ADR Spread</li>
</ul>


TSMC: +21.8% Premium; Wait for Higher Premium Before Fresh Short of the Spread
UMC: -0.6% Discount; Wait for More Extreme ADR Spread Level
ASE: +0.4% Premium; Good Level to Go Long the ADR Spread


Taiwan Dual-Listings Monitor: TSMC Premium Remains Elevated; ASE Drops Down to Near Parity

Taiwan

Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company Ltd. manufactures integrated circuits based on its proprietary designs.  The Company offers a comprehensive set of integrated circuit fabrication processes to manufacture CMOS logic, mixed-mode, volatile and non-volatile memory and BiCMOS chips.  Taiwan Semiconductor is an affiliate of Philips Electronics N.V.

TSMC (Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing) - ADR (TSM US)

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TSMC (Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing) - ADR (TSM US)

Advantest Corp (6857 JP) – From Cyclical Tester OEM to Structural AI Bottleneck

Advantest (6857 JP) dominates AI supply chain testing, expanding capacity and investing in next-gen platforms for future growth, but faces risks...

Rahul Jain

TWSE Foreign Holding Weekly (Aug 29th): TSMC, Hon Hai Precision, Delta Electronics, Quanta Computer

We analyzed TWSE foreign holding data for the past week and highlighted foreign holding changes in TSMC (2330 TT), Hon Hai Precision (2317 TT),...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

TWSE Short Interest Weekly (Aug 29th): Jentech Precision Industrial, Unimicron Technology, Pou Chen

We analyzed TWSE short interest report for the past week and highlighted short interest changes in Jentech Precision Industrial (3653 TT),...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Samsung’s Intel Gambit: A Signal of TSMC’s Widening Lead

Samsung's potential Intel stake underscores the importance of packaging know-how over customers, serving as a hedge for production issues, while...

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Taiwan Dual-Listings Monitor: TSMC Premium Remains Elevated; ASE Drops Down to Near Parity

We analyze the premium and discount levels of dual-listed Taiwan companies, suggesting potential spread trading levels based on historical trends.

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Advantest Corp (6857 JP) – From Cyclical Tester OEM to Structural AI Bottleneck

​Advantest (6857 JP) dominates AI supply chain testing, expanding capacity and investing in next-gen platforms for future growth, but faces risks...

Rahul Jain

TWSE Foreign Holding Weekly (Aug 29th): TSMC, Hon Hai Precision, Delta Electronics, Quanta Computer

We analyzed TWSE foreign holding data for the past week and highlighted foreign holding changes in TSMC (2330 TT), Hon Hai Precision (2317 TT),...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

TWSE Short Interest Weekly (Aug 29th): Jentech Precision Industrial, Unimicron Technology, Pou Chen

We analyzed TWSE short interest report for the past week and highlighted short interest changes in Jentech Precision Industrial (3653 TT),...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Samsung’s Intel Gambit: A Signal of TSMC’s Widening Lead

​Samsung's potential Intel stake underscores the importance of packaging know-how over customers, serving as a hedge for production issues, while...

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Taiwan Dual-Listings Monitor: TSMC Premium Remains Elevated; ASE Drops Down to Near Parity

We analyze the premium and discount levels of dual-listed Taiwan companies, suggesting potential spread trading levels based on historical trends.

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Advantest (6857 JP) dominates AI supply chain testing, expanding capacity and investing in next-gen platforms for future growth, but faces risks...

Samsung's potential Intel stake underscores the importance of packaging know-how over customers, serving as a hedge for production issues, while...