Chart based progressive global trading strategies, Chart Partners

Thomas Schroeder

Chart based progressive global trading strategies

Chart Partners

Chart Partners objective is to discover medium-term cycle turns and profit opportunities before they unfold, within structural trends while preserving capital with clear degrees of risk. We have real return ideas. 

Markets are dynamic and trading systems must reflect this. It is crucial to determine underlying correlations and lead-lag relationships within global markets and the impact on linked instruments. Our weekly Chartonics product gives you short-term trading strategies that can be applied within the medium and longer term macro trends that are mapped out in our strategy updates. 

Our methodology fuses global market variables and isolates drivers in trends. We specialize in FX, index trade in NY and Asia with a focus on Asian stocks. 

Technical Analysis

Taiwan Stock Exchange Weighted Index / Technical Analysis

Taiwan Stock Exchange Weighted Index (TWSE INDEX)

<ul>
<li>Japan and Taiwan have been top bull bets in Asia and still a space we like adding. Dips to date have been shallow and must be factored into entry levels.</li>
<li>Japan and Taiwan have both shown impulsive rally structures as has India's Nifty (a bit tired amid overbought readings).</li>
<li>An SPX bull turn will be used as a long trigger for the Nikkei and Taiwan (Asia). Late June cycle peak approaching.</li>
</ul>


Japan and Taiwan have been top bull bets in Asia and still a space we like adding. Dips to date have been shallow and must be factored into entry levels.
Japan and Taiwan have both shown impulsive rally structures as has India's Nifty (a bit tired amid overbought readings).
An SPX bull turn will be used as a long trigger for the Nikkei and Taiwan (Asia). Late June cycle peak approaching.


Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>The Yuanta/P-shares Dividend Plus ETF (0056 TT) started to rebalance its holdings on Friday and will continue to do so for the next 4 trading days.</li>
<li>Stocks with buy flows dropped 0.8% on average on Friday while the stocks with sell flows rose 0.27%. On a flow weighted basis, the numbers were -0.63% vs +1.99%.</li>
<li>The stocks with outflows have outperformed stocks with inflows by a huge margin in the recent past and short interest has jumped on most stocks recently.</li>
</ul>


The Yuanta/P-shares Dividend Plus ETF (0056 TT) started to rebalance its holdings on Friday and will continue to do so for the next 4 trading days.
Stocks with buy flows dropped 0.8% on average on Friday while the stocks with sell flows rose 0.27%. On a flow weighted basis, the numbers were -0.63% vs +1.99%.
The stocks with outflows have outperformed stocks with inflows by a huge margin in the recent past and short interest has jumped on most stocks recently.


Yuanta/​P-Shares Taiwan Dividend Plus ETF: Day 1 Flows & Stock Moves

<ul>
<li>Taiwan has been a top long but losing bull energy. RSI second support break warns of a price break below pivotal trendline turning our stance from exhaustive to bearish.</li>
<li>Taiwan has been a good hiding place but appears over owned amid waning upside momentum and high conviction RSI bear divergence.</li>
<li>Bearish rising wedge amid divergence are the key chart components to focus on.</li>
</ul>


Taiwan has been a top long but losing bull energy. RSI second support break warns of a price break below pivotal trendline turning our stance from exhaustive to bearish.
Taiwan has been a good hiding place but appears over owned amid waning upside momentum and high conviction RSI bear divergence.
Bearish rising wedge amid divergence are the key chart components to focus on.


Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>Total short interest in Hong Kong is HK$435.1bn, marginally higher from end-December. Short notional has moved in line with the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hong-kong-hang-seng-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22899:1" rel="noopener">Hong Kong Hang Seng Index (HSI INDEX)</a>. </li>
<li>Total short notional of the KOSPI and KOSDAQ market has moved up since end-December and is in line with the move higher in the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/korea-stock-exchange-kospi-200-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26021:1" rel="noopener">KOSPI2 INDEX</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kosdaq-150-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:31077:1" rel="noopener">KOSDAQ 150 Index</a>.</li>
<li>Short notional in Taiwan is lower over the quarter even as the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/taiwan-stock-exchange-weighted-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26056:1" rel="noopener">TWSE INDEX</a> has moved higher over the period. There has been big short covering on some stocks.</li>
</ul>


Total short interest in Hong Kong is HK$435.1bn, marginally higher from end-December. Short notional has moved in line with the Hong Kong Hang Seng Index (HSI INDEX). 
Total short notional of the KOSPI and KOSDAQ market has moved up since end-December and is in line with the move higher in the KOSPI2 INDEX and KOSDAQ 150 Index.
Short notional in Taiwan is lower over the quarter even as the TWSE INDEX has moved higher over the period. There has been big short covering on some stocks.


Short Interest Movements (Q1 2023): HK, Korea, Taiwan, Australia

<ul>
<li>A tale of two very different tapes with the HSI our top short on this bounce and Taiwan holds firm with trendline buy support as our top long in Asia.</li>
<li>At this juncture Asia remains mixed but increasing downside pressure will emerge after the SPX bounce terminates and brings into play a harder down leg.</li>
<li>HSI 21k resistance to short. Taiwan trend, price and dual moving average support lies at 14,900/700 with RSI buy support to align.</li>
</ul>


A tale of two very different tapes with the HSI our top short on this bounce and Taiwan holds firm with trendline buy support as our top long in Asia.
At this juncture Asia remains mixed but increasing downside pressure will emerge after the SPX bounce terminates and brings into play a harder down leg.
HSI 21k resistance to short. Taiwan trend, price and dual moving average support lies at 14,900/700 with RSI buy support to align.


HSI Fresh Short Zone - Taiwan Bullish on Dip

Taiwan

The TWSE, or TAIEX, Index is capitalization-weighted index of all listed common shares traded on the Taiwan Stock Exchange. The index has a base value of 100 based on its 1966 level. The index is also known as the TSEC Index.

Taiwan Stock Exchange Weighted Index (TWSE INDEX)

Japan and Taiwan Add Levels

Japan and Taiwan have been top bull bets in Asia and still a space we like adding. Dips to date have been shallow and must be factored into entry...

Thomas Schroeder

Yuanta/P-Shares Taiwan Dividend Plus ETF: Day 1 Flows & Stock Moves

The 0056 TT ETF started rebalancing on Friday and that will continue for the next 4 trading days. The deletes and stocks with outflows have...

Brian Freitas

Taiwan Crack/Red Flag

Taiwan has been a top long but losing bull energy. RSI second support break warns of a price break below pivotal trendline turning our stance from...

Thomas Schroeder

Short Interest Movements (Q1 2023): HK, Korea, Taiwan, Australia

The Insight looks at movements in short interest across HK, Korea, Taiwan and Australia stocks over Q1 and highlights large increases/decreases in...

Brian Freitas

HSI Fresh Short Zone - Taiwan Bullish on Dip

A tale of two very different tapes with the HSI our top short on this bounce and Taiwan holds firm with trendline buy support as our top long in Asia.

Thomas Schroeder

Japan and Taiwan Add Levels

Japan and Taiwan have been top bull bets in Asia and still a space we like adding. Dips to date have been shallow and must be factored into entry...

Thomas Schroeder

Yuanta/​P-Shares Taiwan Dividend Plus ETF: Day 1 Flows & Stock Moves

The 0056 TT ETF started rebalancing on Friday and that will continue for the next 4 trading days. The deletes and stocks with outflows have...

Brian Freitas

Taiwan Crack/Red Flag

Taiwan has been a top long but losing bull energy. RSI second support break warns of a price break below pivotal trendline turning our stance from...

Thomas Schroeder

Short Interest Movements (Q1 2023): HK, Korea, Taiwan, Australia

The Insight looks at movements in short interest across HK, Korea, Taiwan and Australia stocks over Q1 and highlights large increases/decreases in...

Brian Freitas

HSI Fresh Short Zone - Taiwan Bullish on Dip

A tale of two very different tapes with the HSI our top short on this bounce and Taiwan holds firm with trendline buy support as our top long in Asia.

Thomas Schroeder

Yuanta/P-Shares Taiwan Dividend Plus ETF: Day 1 Flows & Stock Moves