HK/China Equity Long-Short

Osbert Tang, CFA

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/lenovo-group-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:13359:1" rel="noopener">Lenovo (992 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/aac-technologies-holdings-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:6544:1" rel="noopener">AAC Technologies Holdings (2018 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/byd-electronic-international-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:1927:1" rel="noopener">BYD Electronics (285 HK)</a>, and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tcl-multimedia-technology" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:15654:1" rel="noopener">Tcl Multimedia Technology (1070 HK)</a> are the prime beneficiaries of Trump's tariff exemption.</li>
<li>On average, they have 24.5% of revenue from the US market, and their share price has collapsed 19.8% MTD. They are well set to have a decent rebound.</li>
<li>There will be speculations that more exemptions in other sectors will be granted, and the big losers will see a relief rally. </li>
</ul>



Lenovo (992 HK), AAC Technologies Holdings (2018 HK), BYD Electronics (285 HK), and Tcl Multimedia Technology (1070 HK) are the prime beneficiaries of Trump's tariff exemption.
On average, they have 24.5% of revenue from the US market, and their share price has collapsed 19.8% MTD. They are well set to have a decent rebound.
There will be speculations that more exemptions in other sectors will be granted, and the big losers will see a relief rally. 


China & HK Strategy: Tariff Exemption Beneficiaries

External broker reports(aggregated public sources), CMB International

CMB International

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

Incorporated in Hong Kong, supported by the mainland and targeting in global market, CMB International Capital Corporation Limited (“CMBI”) is an integrated financial institution providing comprehensive and professional services. As a wholly-owned subsidiary of China Merchants Bank ("CMB"), by leveraging on the Group’s synergy and coordination in domestic and overseas markets, as well as CMB’s strong resources and outstanding social reputation, CMBI and its subsidiaries have been actively implementing diversified business strategies and set up an overall layout of main business segments including Corporate Finance, Asset Management, Wealth Management, Global Markets and Structured Finance, etc. Adhering to the philosophy of “being clients oriented and increasing our own values by the way of creating value for clients”, CMBI endeavors to provide quality and integrated financial services to institutional, corporate and individual customers both domestic and overseas including Hong Kong IPO sponsorship and underwriting, share placement and rights issue for listed companies, financial advisors, bonds issuance services, asset management, direct investment, wealth management, equity sales and trading, etc.

<ul><li>Following our note last week, we received investor questions focused on 1) “20% US content rule” exemptions, 2) impact of China 34% tariff' on the US, 3) Vietnam proposed 0% tariff, 4) de-minimis rule removal, 5) bottom-fishing opportunities, and 6) company feedback/response on the new tariff. Below we offer perspectives on investor FAQs regarding the implications.</li><li>Despite sector valuation still being 15-20% away from the historical trough now, we would start to look for some quality names to accumulate on further weakness, including Xiaomi, AAC, Sunny Optical, BYDE and Q-tech.</li><li>“20% US content rule” exemptions in “Annex III” sub-document? The US White House published a sub-document, Annex II, for the US Reciprocal Tariffs.</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Following our note last week, we received investor questions focused on 1) “20% US content rule” exemptions, 2) impact of China 34% tariff' on the US, 3) Vietnam proposed 0% tariff, 4) de-minimis rule removal, 5) bottom-fishing opportunities, and 6) company feedback/response on the new tariff. Below we offer perspectives on investor FAQs regarding the implications.Despite sector valuation still being 15-20% away from the historical trough now, we would start to look for some quality names to accumulate on further weakness, including Xiaomi, AAC, Sunny Optical, BYDE and Q-tech.“20% US content rule” exemptions in “Annex III” sub-document? The US White House published a sub-document, Annex II, for the US Reciprocal Tariffs.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Technology - US Tariff Updates: Addressing FAQs After a Volatile Day

<ul>
<li>Our list of HK-listed industrial companies indicated that the US generated an average of 22.9% of sales. With diversified production bases, higher tariffs may only affect ~10% of revenue.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/vesync" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:31067:1" rel="noopener">Vesync (2148 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/chervon-holdings-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:35309:1" rel="noopener">Chervon Holdings (2285 HK)</a>, and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/aac-technologies-holdings-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:6544:1" rel="noopener">AAC Technologies Holdings (2018 HK)</a> are more exposed given their significant US sales yet most production is still in China. </li>
<li>While the US generated over 50% of the revenue of <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/techtronic-industries-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:4561:1" rel="noopener">Techtronic Industries (669 HK)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nexteer-automotive-group-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:15483:1" rel="noopener">Nexteer Automotive (1316 HK)</a>, they are less exposed given their worldwide manufacturing presence. </li>
</ul>


Our list of HK-listed industrial companies indicated that the US generated an average of 22.9% of sales. With diversified production bases, higher tariffs may only affect ~10% of revenue.

Vesync (2148 HK), Chervon Holdings (2285 HK), and AAC Technologies Holdings (2018 HK) are more exposed given their significant US sales yet most production is still in China. 
While the US generated over 50% of the revenue of Techtronic Industries (669 HK) and Nexteer Automotive (1316 HK), they are less exposed given their worldwide manufacturing presence. 


China & HK Strategy: Stocks Exposed to the US and Higher Tariffs

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

David Blennerhassett

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>Back on the 23 December 2022, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/skyworth-group-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:10941:1" rel="noopener">Skyworth Group (751 HK)</a> announced (another) partial buyback, at HK$3.80/share, a 20.25% premium to undisturbed. On the 28 March, terms were bumped to $5.00/share. </li>
<li>At the <a href="https://www1.hkexnews.hk/listedco/listconews/sehk/2023/0531/2023053101428.pdf" target="_blank" rel="noopener">close of the Offer</a>, the Wong Concert Group held 50.35%, and were no longer subject to the creeper rule. The Group now holds 56.04%</li>
<li>Yet another Partial Offer has been announced (HK$3.11/share, a 15.19% premium)), which will lift the Group's stake to 66.45%.  Minimum pro-ration is 37.84%. It is likely to go higher.</li>
</ul>


Back on the 23 December 2022, Skyworth Group (751 HK) announced (another) partial buyback, at HK$3.80/share, a 20.25% premium to undisturbed. On the 28 March, terms were bumped to $5.00/share. 
At the close of the Offer, the Wong Concert Group held 50.35%, and were no longer subject to the creeper rule. The Group now holds 56.04%
Yet another Partial Offer has been announced (HK$3.11/share, a 15.19% premium)), which will lift the Group's stake to 66.45%.  Minimum pro-ration is 37.84%. It is likely to go higher.


Skyworth Group (751 HK)'s Latest Partial Buyback. Thoughts On Proration

IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

<ul>
<li>On 27 March, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/skyworth-group-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:10941:1" rel="noopener">Skyworth Group Limited (751 HK)</a> launched a conditional buyback to acquire a maximum of 350.0m shares (15.67% of outstanding) at HK$3.11, a 15.2% premium to undisturbed price.</li>
<li>Unlike the previous buybacks, the controlling shareholder can vote. Therefore, while the buyback offer is unattractive, the shareholder vote will pass. </li>
<li>Based on the irrevocables, a 100% share minority participation rate implies a minimum proration of 37.84%. The actual proration was around twice the minimum proration for the previous two. </li>
</ul>


On 27 March, Skyworth Group Limited (751 HK) launched a conditional buyback to acquire a maximum of 350.0m shares (15.67% of outstanding) at HK$3.11, a 15.2% premium to undisturbed price.
Unlike the previous buybacks, the controlling shareholder can vote. Therefore, while the buyback offer is unattractive, the shareholder vote will pass. 
Based on the irrevocables, a 100% share minority participation rate implies a minimum proration of 37.84%. The actual proration was around twice the minimum proration for the previous two. 


Hong Kong

TCL Multimedia Technology Holdings Limited, through its subsidiaries, manufactures television sets, trades television related components, and manufactures audio visual products.  The Company also manufactures personal computers and peripheral products. In addition, TCL Intenational operates information technology and other business.

Price Gauge
52-week Range	0.00 - 0.00
Market Cap (USDm)	0.00
P/E	0.00
Dividend (Yield)	0.00

Tcl Multimedia Technology (1070 HK)

China & HK Strategy: Tariff Exemption Beneficiaries

Lenovo, AAC Technologies, BYD Electronics, and Tcl Multimedia are set to benefit from Trump's tariff exemption, with potential for a rebound in...

Osbert Tang, CFA

Technology - US Tariff Updates: Addressing FAQs After a Volatile Day

Following our note last week, we received investor questions focused on 1) “20% US content rule” exemptions, 2) impact of China 34% tariff' on the...

CMB International

China & HK Strategy: Stocks Exposed to the US and Higher Tariffs

With the Trump administration announcing global reciprocal tariffs, even companies with manufacturing presence in other countries will suffer...

Osbert Tang, CFA

Skyworth Group (751 HK)'s Latest Partial Buyback. Thoughts On Proration

If the price gets (even) closer to the tender price, assuming investors want to come out short and expect no surprise shift in proration, it's...

David Blennerhassett

Skyworth (751 HK): Another Buyback

The buyback is likely a precursor to an eventual privatisation offer. Although the offer is unattractive, the vote will pass. The minimum proration...

Arun George

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

China & HK Strategy: Tariff Exemption Beneficiaries

​Lenovo, AAC Technologies, BYD Electronics, and Tcl Multimedia are set to benefit from Trump's tariff exemption, with potential for a rebound in...

Osbert Tang, CFA

Technology - US Tariff Updates: Addressing FAQs After a Volatile Day

Following our note last week, we received investor questions focused on 1) “20% US content rule” exemptions, 2) impact of China 34% tariff' on the...

CMB International

China & HK Strategy: Stocks Exposed to the US and Higher Tariffs

With the Trump administration announcing global reciprocal tariffs, even companies with manufacturing presence in other countries will suffer...

Osbert Tang, CFA

Skyworth Group (751 HK)'s Latest Partial Buyback. Thoughts On Proration

If the price gets (even) closer to the tender price, assuming investors want to come out short and expect no surprise shift in proration, it's...

David Blennerhassett

Skyworth (751 HK): Another Buyback

The buyback is likely a precursor to an eventual privatisation offer. Although the offer is unattractive, the vote will pass. The minimum proration...

Arun George

Lenovo, AAC Technologies, BYD Electronics, and Tcl Multimedia are set to benefit from Trump's tariff exemption, with potential for a rebound in...