External broker reports(aggregated public sources), HDFC Securities

HDFC Securities

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

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Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul><li>The newly announced H-1B visa rule imposes a steep hike, requiring companies to pay USD100K per new application, a significant jump from the previous ~4-5K range</li><li>The new fee applies only to new applications (~22% of total applications) and existing H-1B renewals remain unaffected, providing some relief for the IT sector</li><li>However, increased visa costs are expected to gradually disrupt onsite effort mix, pushing companies to shift delivery to near-shore locations like Canada and Mexico and increase offshoring</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

The newly announced H-1B visa rule imposes a steep hike, requiring companies to pay USD100K per new application, a significant jump from the previous ~4-5K rangeThe new fee applies only to new applications (~22% of total applications) and existing H-1B renewals remain unaffected, providing some relief for the IT sectorHowever, increased visa costs are expected to gradually disrupt onsite effort mix, pushing companies to shift delivery to near-shore locations like Canada and Mexico and increase offshoringContent is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

IT Sector: H1B visa fee shock, shifts in delivery model

Index Rebal Trades & Special Situations, Quiddity Advisors

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Index Rebal Trades & Special Situations

Quiddity Advisors

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Index Rebalance

InterGlobe Aviation Ltd / Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>BSE SENSEX represents the 30 largest stocks listed in the Bombay Stock Exchange (BSE) of India.</li>
<li>In this insight, we take a look at the Potential ADDs/DELs for the BSE SENSEX Index in the December 2025 index rebal event.</li>
<li>As things stand, there will be no index changes for the BSE SENSEX index.</li>
</ul>


BSE SENSEX represents the 30 largest stocks listed in the Bombay Stock Exchange (BSE) of India.
In this insight, we take a look at the Potential ADDs/DELs for the BSE SENSEX Index in the December 2025 index rebal event.
As things stand, there will be no index changes for the BSE SENSEX index.


Quiddity Leaderboard BSE ​​​​SENSEX Dec25: Tech Mahindra Likely to Escape Sensex Deletion

Consumer Analyst / Channel Surveillance Specialist, Trudence Capital Advisors

Pranav Bhavsar

Consumer Analyst / Channel Surveillance Specialist

Trudence Capital Advisors

Trudence Capital Advisors Private Limited is a SEBI-registered Research Analyst, holding SEBI registration number INH000015747. Our firm is dedicated to providing independent and unbiased research on Indian mid to large-cap companies. Trudence Capital is known for its counter-consensus views, with a focus on forensic research and on-ground primary investigations. Our research approach is thorough, involving detailed analysis of accounting practices and governance, alongside extensive channel checks.

Independent & Unbiased Research

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Indian IT outperformed over 10 years, but recent underperformance and weak R&amp;D spending raise questions on innovation versus high dividend and buyback payouts.</li>
<li>AI disruption threatens coding demand and outsourcing models, risking productivity shocks, workforce layoffs, and urban consumption downturns if companies don’t adapt with innovation.</li>
<li>Boards must prioritize bold investments and acquisitions over capital returns, positioning Indian IT as innovation leaders rather than risk-averse cash generators.</li>
</ul>


Indian IT outperformed over 10 years, but recent underperformance and weak R&amp;D spending raise questions on innovation versus high dividend and buyback payouts.
AI disruption threatens coding demand and outsourcing models, risking productivity shocks, workforce layoffs, and urban consumption downturns if companies don’t adapt with innovation.
Boards must prioritize bold investments and acquisitions over capital returns, positioning Indian IT as innovation leaders rather than risk-averse cash generators.


Indian IT | Urge to the Boards – Stop the Buybacks

<ul><li>The IT sector is expected to post mixed revenue growth in Q1, with tier-1 reporting muted CC revenue growth while mid-tier is expected to deliver strong growth</li><li>There is a huge cross-currency tailwind in the quarter which will result in strong USD growth QoQ</li><li>The companies will maintain their full-year FY26E guidance amid the ongoing global economic uncertainty</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

The IT sector is expected to post mixed revenue growth in Q1, with tier-1 reporting muted CC revenue growth while mid-tier is expected to deliver strong growthThere is a huge cross-currency tailwind in the quarter which will result in strong USD growth QoQThe companies will maintain their full-year FY26E guidance amid the ongoing global economic uncertaintyContent is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

IT Sector (Q1FY26E Results Preview): Resilience Amidst Challenges

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Mazagon Dock Shipbuilders  / Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>There are 20 changes a side for the Nifty200 Momentum30 Index that will be implemented at the close on 27 June. We had correctly forecast 39 of the 40 changes.</li>
<li>Estimated one-way turnover is 68.4% resulting in a round-trip trade of INR 160bn (US$1.9bn). There are 22 stocks with over 1x ADV to trade.</li>
<li>The Financials sector has 9 net inclusions to the index while the Information Technology and Consumer Discretionary sectors have 2 net deletions each.</li>
</ul>


There are 20 changes a side for the Nifty200 Momentum30 Index that will be implemented at the close on 27 June. We had correctly forecast 39 of the 40 changes.
Estimated one-way turnover is 68.4% resulting in a round-trip trade of INR 160bn (US$1.9bn). There are 22 stocks with over 1x ADV to trade.
The Financials sector has 9 net inclusions to the index while the Information Technology and Consumer Discretionary sectors have 2 net deletions each.


NIFTY200 Momentum30 Index Rebalance: HUGE Turnover and Trade as Financials Shine

India

Tech Mahindra Ltd. develops and markets computer software.  The Company markets software for telecommunications equipment manufacturers, telecom service providers, software vendors, and systems integrators.

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Tech Mahindra (TECHM IN)

IT Sector: H1B visa fee shock, shifts in delivery model

The newly announced H-1B visa rule imposes a steep hike, requiring companies to pay USD100K per new application, a significant jump from the...

HDFC Securities

Quiddity Leaderboard BSE SENSEX Dec25: Tech Mahindra Likely to Escape Sensex Deletion

We continue to expect zero changes for the SENSEX index in December 2025 based on the latest ranks. InterGlobe Aviation continues to be the leading...

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Indian IT | Urge to the Boards – Stop the Buybacks

Indian IT industry faces challenges with underperformance and lack of innovation, must prioritize bold investments to adapt to AI disruption and...

Pranav Bhavsar

IT Sector (Q1FY26E Results Preview): Resilience Amidst Challenges

The IT sector is expected to post mixed revenue growth in Q1, with tier-1 reporting muted CC revenue growth while mid-tier is expected to deliver...

HDFC Securities

NIFTY200 Momentum30 Index Rebalance: HUGE Turnover and Trade as Financials Shine

The Nifty200 Momentum30 Index rebalances at the close tomorrow. Since announcement, the adds have outperformed the deletes (but only marginally)....

Brian Freitas

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IT Sector: H1B visa fee shock, shifts in delivery model

The newly announced H-1B visa rule imposes a steep hike, requiring companies to pay USD100K per new application, a significant jump from the...

HDFC Securities

Quiddity Leaderboard BSE ​​​​SENSEX Dec25: Tech Mahindra Likely to Escape Sensex Deletion

We continue to expect zero changes for the SENSEX index in December 2025 based on the latest ranks. InterGlobe Aviation continues to be the leading...

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Indian IT | Urge to the Boards – Stop the Buybacks

​Indian IT industry faces challenges with underperformance and lack of innovation, must prioritize bold investments to adapt to AI disruption and...

Pranav Bhavsar

IT Sector (Q1FY26E Results Preview): Resilience Amidst Challenges

The IT sector is expected to post mixed revenue growth in Q1, with tier-1 reporting muted CC revenue growth while mid-tier is expected to deliver...

HDFC Securities

NIFTY200 Momentum30 Index Rebalance: HUGE Turnover and Trade as Financials Shine

The Nifty200 Momentum30 Index rebalances at the close tomorrow. Since announcement, the adds have outperformed the deletes (but only marginally)....

Brian Freitas

Quiddity Leaderboard BSE SENSEX Dec25: Tech Mahindra Likely to Escape Sensex Deletion

Indian IT industry faces challenges with underperformance and lack of innovation, must prioritize bold investments to adapt to AI disruption and...