Technical Analyst, Vermilion Research

Joe Jasper

Technical Analyst

Technical and Quantitative Research

Vermilion Research

Vermilion’s objective is to deliver timely, actionable, and unique technical research to professional investors through the application of our various technical indicators.

Our research strategists seek to highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various technical and quantitative indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. Our unique research methodology, centered on relative strength, enables our strategists to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing the universe of actively traded stocks into discrete sectors, then into industry groups. We then apply our technical and quantitative tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sector or group, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. We provide a historical perspective that often reveals, through our long-term charts, how price patterns often repeat themselves over time.

Technical Analysis

<ul>
<li>We remain near-term bullish since our 4/22/25 Compass, and our intermediate-term outlook remains bullish as well (as of our 5/14/25 Compass).</li>
<li>SPX is pulling back after hitting all-time highs; the gap at 6750-6772 is short-term support, and it is a clear sign bulls remain in control if this gap remains unfilled.</li>
<li>We will stay near-term bullish as long as the 3+ month uptrend continues (currently at ~6675). Additional supports include 6550-6569, 6480-6520, 6450, 6400-6410, 6340-6360, 6290, 6200, and 6100-6150</li>
</ul>


We remain near-term bullish since our 4/22/25 Compass, and our intermediate-term outlook remains bullish as well (as of our 5/14/25 Compass).
SPX is pulling back after hitting all-time highs; the gap at 6750-6772 is short-term support, and it is a clear sign bulls remain in control if this gap remains unfilled.
We will stay near-term bullish as long as the 3+ month uptrend continues (currently at ~6675). Additional supports include 6550-6569, 6480-6520, 6450, 6400-6410, 6340-6360, 6290, 6200, and 6100-6150


Magnificent Seven's Turn to Shine; Buy Pullbacks to 3+ Month SPX Uptrend and 50-Day MA

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ather-energy" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:43903:1" rel="noopener">Ather Energy</a> raised around US$350m in its India IPO in May 2025. The lockup for its pre-IPO investors is set to expire soon.</li>
<li>Ather is a pure play electric vehicle company in India designing and developing E2Ws, battery packs, charging infrastructure, associated software and accessories, also manufacturing battery packs and assembling E2Ws in-house.</li>
<li>In this note, we will talk about the lockup dynamics and possible placement.</li>
</ul>



Ather Energy raised around US$350m in its India IPO in May 2025. The lockup for its pre-IPO investors is set to expire soon.
Ather is a pure play electric vehicle company in India designing and developing E2Ws, battery packs, charging infrastructure, associated software and accessories, also manufacturing battery packs and assembling E2Ws in-house.
In this note, we will talk about the lockup dynamics and possible placement.


Ather Energy IPO Lockup - US$1.3bn+ Lockup Release

Managing Director, Zero One, Zero One

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Managing Director, Zero One

Zero One

Founded in 2015, Zero One produces independent investment research and provides corporate finance advisory services with a focus on both listed and private technology companies. Founder Vincent Fernando has over 20 years of experience in US and Asia capital markets.

Independent Investment Research

Equity Bottom-Up

TSMC (Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing) - ADR / Equity Bottom-Up

TSMC (Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing) - ADR

<ul>
<li>MediaTek Joins Forces with NVIDIA on the GB10 Superchip -- Locally-Run AI Models Are Coming to Your Desktop</li>
<li>TSMC’s 2nm Price Hike Spurs Interest in Samsung, But Underscores Its Strength</li>
<li>Latest for Smartphone Demand 3Q25: A Little Bit Better, Just a Little </li>
</ul>


MediaTek Joins Forces with NVIDIA on the GB10 Superchip -- Locally-Run AI Models Are Coming to Your Desktop
TSMC’s 2nm Price Hike Spurs Interest in Samsung, But Underscores Its Strength
Latest for Smartphone Demand 3Q25: A Little Bit Better, Just a Little 


Taiwan Tech Weekly: Mediatek & Nvidia Announce GB10 Partnership; TSMC's Prices Spur Samsung Interest

Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/seres-group-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29951:1" rel="noopener">Seres Group (601127 CH)</a>, a Chinese NEV manufacturer, aims to raise around US$2bn in its H-share listing.</li>
<li>Seres Group (SG) is principally engaged in the research and development, manufacturing, sales and services of new energy vehicles (NEV) as well as core NEV components.</li>
<li>In this note, we look at its past performance and other deal dynamics that might impact the listing.</li>
</ul>



Seres Group (601127 CH), a Chinese NEV manufacturer, aims to raise around US$2bn in its H-share listing.
Seres Group (SG) is principally engaged in the research and development, manufacturing, sales and services of new energy vehicles (NEV) as well as core NEV components.
In this note, we look at its past performance and other deal dynamics that might impact the listing.


Seres Group A/H Listing - Rapid Growth but Its Partner’s Sanctions Risk Might Keep Some Away

Equity Research Analyst - Long-Short

Raj S, CA, CFA

<ul>
<li>
LiDAR adoption accelerating. The TAM remains larger than consensus implies for further years, driven by rising ADAS penetration and expanding Robotics use cases across China and Globally.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/robosense-technology-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:39903:1" rel="noopener">Robosense Technology (2498 HK)</a> lagged in 1H25 but recovering now. 1H25 execution issues reverse in 2H25 as EMX ramps and anchor customers penetration rises, bringing shipments back to consensus levels.</li>
<li>
Long-Term optionality intact. Robotics growth, overseas programs, and new fusion products position RoboSense for structural upside as global LiDAR adoption broadens through 2026–2030. Within LiDAR, We like both <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/robosense-technology-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:39903:1" rel="noopener">Robosense</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hesai-group" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36743:1" rel="noopener">Hesai</a>
</li>
</ul>



LiDAR adoption accelerating. The TAM remains larger than consensus implies for further years, driven by rising ADAS penetration and expanding Robotics use cases across China and Globally.

Robosense Technology (2498 HK) lagged in 1H25 but recovering now. 1H25 execution issues reverse in 2H25 as EMX ramps and anchor customers penetration rises, bringing shipments back to consensus levels.

Long-Term optionality intact. Robotics growth, overseas programs, and new fusion products position RoboSense for structural upside as global LiDAR adoption broadens through 2026–2030. Within LiDAR, We like both Robosense and Hesai



RoboSense Technology (2498.HK) – LiDAR Tech Challenger - Execution Reset, 2026e Recovery in Focus

United States

Tesla Inc. operates as a multinational automotive and clean energy company. The Company designs and manufactures electric vehicles, battery energy storage from home to grid-scale, solar panels and solar roof tiles, and related products and services. Tesla owns its sales and service network and sells electric power train components to other automobile manufacturers.

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Tesla (TSLA US)

Magnificent Seven's Turn to Shine; Buy Pullbacks to 3+ Month SPX Uptrend and 50-Day MA

Magnificent Seven's $MAGS Turn to Shine; Buy Pullbacks to 3+ Month $SPX Uptrend and 50-day MA, currently 6655-6680. Buys: $AAPL $TSLA $NVDA $GOOGL...

Vermilion Research

Ather Energy IPO Lockup - US$1.3bn+ Lockup Release

Ather Energy raised around US$350m in its India IPO in May 2025. The lockup for its pre-IPO investors is set to expire soon.

Sumeet Singh

Taiwan Tech Weekly: Mediatek & Nvidia Announce GB10 Partnership; TSMC's Prices Spur Samsung Interest

MediaTek partners with NVIDIA for GB10 Superchip, bringing locally-run AI models to desktops. TSMC's 2nm price hike boosts interest in Samsung....

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Seres Group A/H Listing - Rapid Growth but Its Partner’s Sanctions Risk Might Keep Some Away

Seres Group (601127 CH), a Chinese NEV manufacturer, aims to raise around US$1bn in its H-share listing. The company has now filed its PHIP and...

Sumeet Singh

RoboSense Technology (2498.HK) – LiDAR Tech Challenger - Execution Reset, 2026e Recovery in Focus

LiDAR adoption accelerating with Robosense Technology poised for recovery and long-term growth potential in expanding global market through 2030.

Raj S, CA, CFA

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Magnificent Seven's Turn to Shine; Buy Pullbacks to 3+ Month SPX Uptrend and 50-Day MA

Magnificent Seven's $MAGS Turn to Shine; Buy Pullbacks to 3+ Month $SPX Uptrend and 50-day MA, currently 6655-6680. Buys: $AAPL $TSLA $NVDA $GOOGL...

Vermilion Research

Ather Energy IPO Lockup - US$1.3bn+ Lockup Release

Ather Energy raised around US$350m in its India IPO in May 2025. The lockup for its pre-IPO investors is set to expire soon.

Sumeet Singh

Taiwan Tech Weekly: Mediatek & Nvidia Announce GB10 Partnership; TSMC's Prices Spur Samsung Interest

​MediaTek partners with NVIDIA for GB10 Superchip, bringing locally-run AI models to desktops. TSMC's 2nm price hike boosts interest in Samsung....

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Seres Group A/H Listing - Rapid Growth but Its Partner’s Sanctions Risk Might Keep Some Away

Seres Group (601127 CH), a Chinese NEV manufacturer, aims to raise around US$1bn in its H-share listing. The company has now filed its PHIP and...

Sumeet Singh

RoboSense Technology (2498.HK) – LiDAR Tech Challenger - Execution Reset, 2026e Recovery in Focus

​LiDAR adoption accelerating with Robosense Technology poised for recovery and long-term growth potential in expanding global market through 2030.

Raj S, CA, CFA

MediaTek partners with NVIDIA for GB10 Superchip, bringing locally-run AI models to desktops. TSMC's 2nm price hike boosts interest in Samsung....

LiDAR adoption accelerating with Robosense Technology poised for recovery and long-term growth potential in expanding global market through 2030.