Index Rebal/Special Situations, Quiddity Advisors

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Index Rebal/Special Situations

Quiddity Advisors

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>Quiddity's "Who is Ready" series of insights aims to objectively identify names listed on the Tokyo Stock Exchange that are potential additions to the TOPIX Index in future.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/furuya-metal-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:5196:1" rel="noopener">Furuya Metal (7826 JP)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/visional-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:32977:1" rel="noopener">Visional (4194 JP)</a> are expected to be included in the TOPIX index at the end of January 2024</li>
<li>There are couple of other pre-event names that we have been tracking for the past few months.</li>
</ul>


Quiddity's "Who is Ready" series of insights aims to objectively identify names listed on the Tokyo Stock Exchange that are potential additions to the TOPIX Index in future.

Furuya Metal (7826 JP) and Visional (4194 JP) are expected to be included in the TOPIX index at the end of January 2024
There are couple of other pre-event names that we have been tracking for the past few months.


TOPIX Inclusions: Who Is Ready (Jan 2024)

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Index Rebalance

Hong Kong Exchanges and Clearing / Index Rebalance

Hong Kong Exchanges and Clearing (388 HK)

<ul>
<li>The FRTIB benchmark switch from the EAFE Index to the ACWI IMI ex-USA ex-China ex-Hong Kong Index will result in a round trip trade of around US$56bn.</li>
<li>The changes for the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/shanghai-shenzhen-csi-300-inde" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22906:1" rel="noopener">CSI 300</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/csi-smallcap-500-index-shang" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:35347:1" rel="noopener">CSI 500</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sse-science-and-technology-innovation-board-50-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29279:1" rel="noopener">STAR50</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/shanghai-stock-exchange-sse-50-a-share-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:31073:1" rel="noopener">SSE50</a> and a bunch of other mainland China indices will be announced after market close on Friday.</li>
<li>Relatively quiet week for ETF flows with no major creations or redemptions during the week.</li>
</ul>


The FRTIB benchmark switch from the EAFE Index to the ACWI IMI ex-USA ex-China ex-Hong Kong Index will result in a round trip trade of around US$56bn.
The changes for the CSI 300, CSI 500, STAR50, SSE50 and a bunch of other mainland China indices will be announced after market close on Friday.
Relatively quiet week for ETF flows with no major creations or redemptions during the week.


Index Rebalance & ETF Flow Recap: FRTIB, Japan, CSI300, CSI500, STAR50, WuXi XDC, Asahi

Derivatives and Quantitative Strategist

Gaudenz Schneider

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>
Context: The <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/screen-holdings-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:5563:1" rel="noopener">SCREEN Holdings (7735 JP)</a> vs. <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tokyo-electron-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:280:1" rel="noopener">Tokyo Electron (8035 JP)</a>price ratio has deviated more than two standard deviations from its one-year average, presenting a potential relative value opportunity.</li>
<li>
 Highlight: Going long <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tokyo-electron-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:280:1" rel="noopener">Tokyo Electron (8035 JP)</a> and short <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/screen-holdings-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:5563:1" rel="noopener">SCREEN (7735 JP)</a> targets a 7% return.</li>
<li>
WhyRead: Essential for quantitative traders seeking mean-reversion opportunities, with detailed execution framework, risk management protocols, and historical simulation showing the statistical basis for this relative value play.</li>
</ul>



Context: The SCREEN Holdings (7735 JP) vs. Tokyo Electron (8035 JP)price ratio has deviated more than two standard deviations from its one-year average, presenting a potential relative value opportunity.

 Highlight: Going long Tokyo Electron (8035 JP) and short SCREEN (7735 JP) targets a 7% return.

WhyRead: Essential for quantitative traders seeking mean-reversion opportunities, with detailed execution framework, risk management protocols, and historical simulation showing the statistical basis for this relative value play.


Tokyo Electron (8035 JP) Vs SCREEN (7735 JP): 7% Return Target Pair Trade Ahead of Same-Day Earnings

<ul>
<li>
Context: The <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sojitz-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:14437:1" rel="noopener">Sojitz (2768 JP)</a> vs. <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/eneos-holdings-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:638:1" rel="noopener">ENEOS (5020 JP)</a> price ratio has deviated more than two standard deviations from its one-year average, presenting a potential relative value opportunity.</li>
<li>
Highlight: Going long <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sojitz-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:14437:1" rel="noopener">Sojitz (2768 JP)</a> and short <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/eneos-holdings-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:638:1" rel="noopener">ENEOS (5020 JP)</a> targets a 6% return.</li>
<li>
Why Read: Essential for quantitative traders seeking mean-reversion opportunities, with detailed execution framework, risk management protocols, and historical simulation showing the statistical basis for this relative value play.</li>
</ul>



Context: The Sojitz (2768 JP) vs. ENEOS (5020 JP) price ratio has deviated more than two standard deviations from its one-year average, presenting a potential relative value opportunity.

Highlight: Going long Sojitz (2768 JP) and short ENEOS (5020 JP) targets a 6% return.

Why Read: Essential for quantitative traders seeking mean-reversion opportunities, with detailed execution framework, risk management protocols, and historical simulation showing the statistical basis for this relative value play.


Sojitz (2768 JP) Vs ENEOS (5020 JP): Proven Cross-Sector Pair Hits Trade Trigger

Executive Director, Metrical Inc

Aki Matsumoto

Executive Director

Independent Leading Corporate Governance Research

Metrical Inc

METRICAL INC. is an independent leading Corporate Governance research firm in Japan where Corporate Governance is increasingly recognized as an important element on corporate management in these days. Thus, CG research and solutions would become an essential component of global capital markets and play important to contribute to transparency of the markets and maximize shareholders’ value in Japan. 

METRICAL INC. provides Corporate Governance research and analysis including rating services, and  also offers investment research and IR services with solutions and customized profound research on CG and IR issues.

<ul>
<li>With real household income failing to rise, the environment was far too harsh for women—who had traditionally been responsible for childcare and housework—to balance these duties with their careers.</li>
<li>It's clear that subsidy policies designed merely to create the appearance of action—and to disburse money—have failed to address the problems of declining birthrate, aging population, and population decline.</li>
<li>The same applies to corporate governance. Simply “improving” formal practices is not enough; unless management aligns with the diverse needs of consumers, it cannot create value.</li>
</ul>


With real household income failing to rise, the environment was far too harsh for women—who had traditionally been responsible for childcare and housework—to balance these duties with their careers.
It's clear that subsidy policies designed merely to create the appearance of action—and to disburse money—have failed to address the problems of declining birthrate, aging population, and population decline.
The same applies to corporate governance. Simply “improving” formal practices is not enough; unless management aligns with the diverse needs of consumers, it cannot create value.


How Much Longer Can This Policy of Handing Out Subsidies—designed to Resist Social Change—continue?

Japan

The TOPIX, also known as the Tokyo Stock Price Index, is a capitalization-weighted index of all companies listed on the First Section of the Tokyo Stock Exchange. The index is supplemented by the subindices of the 33 industry sectors. The index calculation excludes temporary issues and preferred stocks, and has a base value of 100 as of January 4, 1968.

TSE Tokyo Price Index TOPIX (TPX INDEX)

TOPIX Inclusions: Who Is Ready (Jan 2024)

There are currently 70 names that satisfy all 6 key Segment Transfer requirements based on current data. Another 78 names can satisfy 5 out of 6...

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Index Rebalance & ETF Flow Recap: FRTIB, Japan, CSI300, CSI500, STAR50, WuXi XDC, Asahi

This recap highlights Insights covering Asian index rebalances (announcements/ forecasts/ IPO Fast Entry/ M&A driven changes). We also highlight...

Brian Freitas

Tokyo Electron (8035 JP) Vs SCREEN (7735 JP): 7% Return Target Pair Trade Ahead of Same-Day Earnings

7% target return in a pair trade between Japanese chip-equipment peers ahead of same-day earnings. Essential for quantitative traders seeking mean...

Gaudenz Schneider

Sojitz (2768 JP) Vs ENEOS (5020 JP): Proven Cross-Sector Pair Hits Trade Trigger

6% target return as a fresh pair trade signal follows two previously successful signals in this cross-sector pair. Essential for quantitative...

Gaudenz Schneider

TOPIX Inclusions: Who Is Ready (Jan 2024)

There are currently 70 names that satisfy all 6 key Segment Transfer requirements based on current data. Another 78 names can satisfy 5 out of 6...

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Index Rebalance & ETF Flow Recap: FRTIB, Japan, CSI300, CSI500, STAR50, WuXi XDC, Asahi

This recap highlights Insights covering Asian index rebalances (announcements/ forecasts/ IPO Fast Entry/ M&A driven changes). We also highlight...

Brian Freitas

Tokyo Electron (8035 JP) Vs SCREEN (7735 JP): 7% Return Target Pair Trade Ahead of Same-Day Earnings

7% target return in a pair trade between Japanese chip-equipment peers ahead of same-day earnings. Essential for quantitative traders seeking mean...

Gaudenz Schneider

Sojitz (2768 JP) Vs ENEOS (5020 JP): Proven Cross-Sector Pair Hits Trade Trigger

6% target return as a fresh pair trade signal follows two previously successful signals in this cross-sector pair. Essential for quantitative...

Gaudenz Schneider

How Much Longer Can This Policy of Handing Out Subsidies—designed to Resist Social Change—continue?

I would like to discuss the issues on the June 7 Nikkei article titled “Halt the Sharp Decline in Births Through Social Reform.”

Metrical Inc