Overseas Chinese Equities, Aequitas Research

Ming Lu

Overseas Chinese Equities

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>In 1Q24, Revenues of Xpeng, Tongcheng, Kanzhun, and Gaotu grew by 62% YoY, 50%, YoY, 43% YoY and 34% YoY.</li>
<li>KE’s revenue decreased by 20% YoY in 1Q24 due to the weak property market.</li>
<li>Bilibili’s value added services revenue grew by 17% YoY and advertising revenue grew by 31% YoY.</li>
</ul>


In 1Q24, Revenues of Xpeng, Tongcheng, Kanzhun, and Gaotu grew by 62% YoY, 50%, YoY, 43% YoY and 34% YoY.
KE’s revenue decreased by 20% YoY in 1Q24 due to the weak property market.
Bilibili’s value added services revenue grew by 17% YoY and advertising revenue grew by 31% YoY.


China Consumption Weekly (27 May 2024): Xpeng, Tongcheng, Kanzhun, Gaotu, KE, Bilibili, and Weibo

External broker reports(aggregated public sources), CMB International

CMB International

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

Incorporated in Hong Kong, supported by the mainland and targeting in global market, CMB International Capital Corporation Limited (“CMBI”) is an integrated financial institution providing comprehensive and professional services. As a wholly-owned subsidiary of China Merchants Bank ("CMB"), by leveraging on the Group’s synergy and coordination in domestic and overseas markets, as well as CMB’s strong resources and outstanding social reputation, CMBI and its subsidiaries have been actively implementing diversified business strategies and set up an overall layout of main business segments including Corporate Finance, Asset Management, Wealth Management, Global Markets and Structured Finance, etc. Adhering to the philosophy of “being clients oriented and increasing our own values by the way of creating value for clients”, CMBI endeavors to provide quality and integrated financial services to institutional, corporate and individual customers both domestic and overseas including Hong Kong IPO sponsorship and underwriting, share placement and rights issue for listed companies, financial advisors, bonds issuance services, asset management, direct investment, wealth management, equity sales and trading, etc.

<ul><li>Tongcheng Travel (“TC”) delivered a strong quarter in 1Q24, with revenue +50% YoY (3% above consensus) and adj. net profit +11% YoY (4% above consensus).</li><li>We see high visibility for TC to continuously gain share in 2Q24E, with healthy margin profile. For 2Q24E, we forecast total revenue +49% YoY, boosted by booming travel demand in multiple holidays and international business recovery.</li><li>Core OTA would grow 23.5%, in which hotel/transportation/others revenue +12%/17%/92% YoY, in our estimates. </li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Tongcheng Travel (“TC”) delivered a strong quarter in 1Q24, with revenue +50% YoY (3% above consensus) and adj. net profit +11% YoY (4% above consensus).We see high visibility for TC to continuously gain share in 2Q24E, with healthy margin profile. For 2Q24E, we forecast total revenue +49% YoY, boosted by booming travel demand in multiple holidays and international business recovery.Core OTA would grow 23.5%, in which hotel/transportation/others revenue +12%/17%/92% YoY, in our estimates. Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Tongcheng Travel (780 HK) - Resilient Travel Consumption to Continue

Asian Equities Analyst, Logistics & Transport, Tracking Traffic

Daniel Hellberg

Asian Equities Analyst, Logistics & Transport

Tracking Traffic

Focusing on Asian logistics, transportation, and travel companies

<ul>
<li>Outbound continues to improve, March load factor matched pre-Covid level</li>
<li>Appears Chinese tourists are "spreading their wings", travelling farther afield</li>
<li>Trip.com has been best YTD performer in the space; can airlines catch up?</li>
</ul>


Outbound continues to improve, March load factor matched pre-Covid level
Appears Chinese tourists are "spreading their wings", travelling farther afield
Trip.com has been best YTD performer in the space; can airlines catch up?


Monthly Chinese Tourism Tracker | Outbound Recovery Continues, but Some Regional Destinations Lag

HK/China Equity Long-Short

Osbert Tang, CFA

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tongcheng-travel-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27363:1" rel="noopener">Tongcheng Travel Holdings (780 HK)</a> has a solid FY23 and 4Q23 with massive net profit recovery. Earnings momentum for FY24 and FY25 look to stay impressive.</li>
<li>FY23 is a record year of profit, demonstrating its ability to gain market share after COVID-19 disruption. Further volume growth will lead to better operating leverage.</li>
<li>Net cash reached Rmb2.3bn, up 90.4% YoY, showcasing its cash-generating ability. The first-time dividend payout also reflected management's confidence on the outlook.</li>
</ul>



Tongcheng Travel Holdings (780 HK) has a solid FY23 and 4Q23 with massive net profit recovery. Earnings momentum for FY24 and FY25 look to stay impressive.
FY23 is a record year of profit, demonstrating its ability to gain market share after COVID-19 disruption. Further volume growth will lead to better operating leverage.
Net cash reached Rmb2.3bn, up 90.4% YoY, showcasing its cash-generating ability. The first-time dividend payout also reflected management's confidence on the outlook.


Tongcheng Travel (780 HK): Riding the High Tide

<ul><li>The three-day Qingming Festival holiday embraced booming demand, with domestic tourist trips +11.5% and tourism revenue +12.7% (both vs. the 2019 level), according to the Ministry of Culture and Tourism.</li><li>Tongcheng Travel (TC) kept its strong momentum during the Qingming Festival, with above-industry growth and solid ASP &amp; take rate trends.</li><li>Its domestic hotel room nights surged 70% YoY, and transportation ticketing volume was resilient at &gt;20% YoY.</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

The three-day Qingming Festival holiday embraced booming demand, with domestic tourist trips +11.5% and tourism revenue +12.7% (both vs. the 2019 level), according to the Ministry of Culture and Tourism.Tongcheng Travel (TC) kept its strong momentum during the Qingming Festival, with above-industry growth and solid ASP &amp; take rate trends.Its domestic hotel room nights surged 70% YoY, and transportation ticketing volume was resilient at &gt;20% YoY.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Tongcheng Travel (780 HK) - Continued Outperformance During Qingming

Hong Kong

Tongcheng Travel Holdings Limited is an investment holding company providing travel-related services in the People's Republic of China. It offers accommodation reservation, transportation ticketing, online advertising, hotel management, tourist attraction tickets, and packaged tours through its online platforms, mobile apps, and websites. The company was founded in 1999 and is headquartered in Suzhou, the People's Republic of China.

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Tongcheng Travel (780 HK)

China Consumption Weekly (27 May 2024): Xpeng, Tongcheng, Kanzhun, Gaotu, KE, Bilibili, and Weibo

In 1Q24, Xpeng, Tongcheng, Kanzhun, and Gaotu grew by 62% YoY, 50%, YoY, 43% YoY and 34% YoY. KE’s revenue decreased by 20% YoY in 1Q24 due to the...

Ming Lu