Smartkarma Research Team, Smartkarma

Smartkarma Research

Smartkarma Research Team

Smartkarma

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Research Reinvented

Event-Driven

<p>Our latest Webinar looks at news updates on Shinsei, Toa Oil, and Toyo Construction. To help us explore the implications for investors, we welcome Insight Provider <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/profiles/travis-lundy" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="accounts:25" rel="noopener">Travis Lundy</a> of Quiddity Advisors. </p><h3>The webinar will be hosted on Wednesday, 12 October 2022, 17:00 SGT/HKT.</h3><div><div class="content-highlight"><h2><a href="https://share.hsforms.com/1H9pFZOB-RF2J00kbvMmxcw2c5gj?zoom_webinar_id=85181403738" target="_blank" rel="noopener">Register for the Webinar here</a></h2></div></div><p>Travis Lundy has 20+ years of experience in Asia doing alternative strategies (i.e. non-delta1 non long-only) in fixed income, equity derivatives, and activist/catalyst/event-driven and long-short equity strategies, with most of that time spent managing money.</p>

Our latest Webinar looks at news updates on Shinsei, Toa Oil, and Toyo Construction. To help us explore the implications for investors, we welcome Insight Provider Travis Lundy of Quiddity Advisors. The webinar will be hosted on Wednesday, 12 October 2022, 17:00 SGT/HKT.Register for the Webinar hereTravis Lundy has 20+ years of experience in Asia doing alternative strategies (i.e. non-delta1 non long-only) in fixed income, equity derivatives, and activist/catalyst/event-driven and long-short equity strategies, with most of that time spent managing money.

Smartkarma Webinar | Shinsei, Toa Oil, and Toyo Construction Updates

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

Travis Lundy

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sbi-holdings-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:10928:1" rel="noopener">SBI Holdings (8473 JP)</a>'s subsidiary has <a href="https://www3.nhk.or.jp/news/html/20220930/k10013843881000.html" target="_blank" rel="noopener">reportedly</a> filed its application to become a Bank Holding Company, the definition being a company holding a 50% or greater stake in a bank.</li>
<li>The day after I last wrote, Shinsei <a href="https://www.shinseibank.com/corporate/en/news/pdf/pdf2022/221003_corporatenameLP_e.pdf" target="_blank" rel="noopener">announced</a> it had received approval to change its name to SBI Shinsei Bank as of 4 January 2023.</li>
<li>My expectation is the move above 50% happens sooner rather than later. And in that case, investors should think about their approach. Get your cowbells ready.</li>
</ul>



SBI Holdings (8473 JP)'s subsidiary has reportedly filed its application to become a Bank Holding Company, the definition being a company holding a 50% or greater stake in a bank.
The day after I last wrote, Shinsei announced it had received approval to change its name to SBI Shinsei Bank as of 4 January 2023.
My expectation is the move above 50% happens sooner rather than later. And in that case, investors should think about their approach. Get your cowbells ready.


Thinking Strategically About a Shinsei Position - Things To Do NOW

<ul>
<li>On Friday, post-close, there was a flurry of excitement as YFO put out a press release amending the start date of the planned Tender Offer to early November.</li>
<li>Not long after, there was another release by <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/toyo-construction-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:1176:1" rel="noopener">Toyo Construction (1890 JP)</a> itself. </li>
<li>You have to read both for what they are. And as they say.... Get your programs here!</li>
</ul>


On Friday, post-close, there was a flurry of excitement as YFO put out a press release amending the start date of the planned Tender Offer to early November.
Not long after, there was another release by Toyo Construction (1890 JP) itself. 
You have to read both for what they are. And as they say.... Get your programs here!


Toyo Construction (1890 JP) - There's Nuance in Them Thar Press Releases

<ul>
<li>Entities related to noted Japanese activist Murakami Yoshiaki have bought 11.5-15% of <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/jafco-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:8848:1" rel="noopener">Jafco Co Ltd (8595 JP)</a> in recent weeks; JAFCO has gotten upset and announced defensive measures.</li>
<li>Murakami wants JAFCO to sell its large stake in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nomura-research-institute-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:18129:1" rel="noopener">Nomura Research Institute Ltd (4307 JP)</a> and buy back shares. JAFCO is saving that stake for a rainy day.</li>
<li>The shares have popped. There is a poison pill EGM Record Date coming. It's worth thinking through the implications.</li>
</ul>


Entities related to noted Japanese activist Murakami Yoshiaki have bought 11.5-15% of Jafco Co Ltd (8595 JP) in recent weeks; JAFCO has gotten upset and announced defensive measures.
Murakami wants JAFCO to sell its large stake in Nomura Research Institute Ltd (4307 JP) and buy back shares. JAFCO is saving that stake for a rainy day.
The shares have popped. There is a poison pill EGM Record Date coming. It's worth thinking through the implications.


JAFCO (8595) Vs Murakami - It's On, So We Wait

David Blennerhassett

<ul>
<li>There is a risk that the ¥7,000/share bid for <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/toshiba-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:637:1" rel="noopener"><strong>Toshiba Corp (6502 JP)</strong></a> gets pulled/lowered in Round 2 because of due diligence, conditionality, market environment, etc.</li>
<li>
<strong><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hutchison-telecommunications-hong-kong-holdings-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:141:1" rel="noopener">Hutchison Telecommunications Hong Kong Holdings (215 HK)</a></strong>'s share price was up 33% month to date, on triple the average daily volume. Then promptly sheds 23% on an even larger volume. </li>
<li>Even if one assumes that Softbank, Baba, and Cornerstones won’t sell, there is still 45% of <strong><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sensetime-group-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:34319:1" rel="noopener">SenseTime Group (20 HK)</a></strong> of shares out, worth US$11bn, unlocking next week.</li>
</ul>


There is a risk that the ¥7,000/share bid for Toshiba Corp (6502 JP) gets pulled/lowered in Round 2 because of due diligence, conditionality, market environment, etc.

Hutchison Telecommunications Hong Kong Holdings (215 HK)'s share price was up 33% month to date, on triple the average daily volume. Then promptly sheds 23% on an even larger volume. 
Even if one assumes that Softbank, Baba, and Cornerstones won’t sell, there is still 45% of SenseTime Group (20 HK) of shares out, worth US$11bn, unlocking next week.


Last Week in Event SPACE: Toshiba, Hutch Tel, SenseTime, Giordano, DTAC/True, Toyo Const., ResApp

Japan

TOYO CONSTRUCTION CO., LTD. performs marine civil engineering works. The Company provides reclamation and ground improvement works. Toyo Construction also constructs infrastructure such as water purification systems.  The Company builds commercial and institutional buildings, operating real estate businesses.

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Toyo Construction (1890 JP)

Smartkarma Webinar | Shinsei, Toa Oil, and Toyo Construction Updates

Smartkarma is hosting a webinar with Analyst Travis Lundy, who will cover Shinsei, Toa Oil, and Toyo Construction News Updates

Smartkarma Research

Thinking Strategically About a Shinsei Position - Things To Do NOW

Shinsei Bank may be in its last throes of independence. Shareholders usually do not get the chance to pester the Board before a price is...

Travis Lundy