Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>Hang Seng Indexes has announced a change in the FreeFloat-Adjusted Factor (FAF) methodology for Secondary Listings that will be implemented from the next rebalance in June.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/netease-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29030:1" rel="noopener">NetEase (9999 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/baidu-inc-a55ca720-5968-48f0-8194-ac94390d065c" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:32212:1" rel="noopener">Baidu (9888 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/trip-com-group-ltd-23a341d0-4f63-4175-a8c5-ee990906cacd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36424:1" rel="noopener">Trip.com (9961 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nio-inc-2d526675-c878-4104-840f-87fed1735e85" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:35652:1" rel="noopener">NIO (9866 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/new-oriental-education-techn" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:32210:1" rel="noopener">New Oriental Education &amp; Techn (9901 HK)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/weibo-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:35280:1" rel="noopener">Weibo (9898 HK)</a> benefit; <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/gds-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:32157:1" rel="noopener">GDS Holdings (9698 HK)</a> loses out.</li>
<li>The FAF changes along with capping changes will result in a round-trip trade of HK$34.2bn (US$4.4bn) at the June rebalance with the largest turnover for the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hang-seng-tech-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:31367:1" rel="noopener">Hang Seng TECH Index</a>. </li>
</ul>


Hang Seng Indexes has announced a change in the FreeFloat-Adjusted Factor (FAF) methodology for Secondary Listings that will be implemented from the next rebalance in June.

NetEase (9999 HK), Baidu (9888 HK), Trip.com (9961 HK), NIO (9866 HK), New Oriental Education &amp; Techn (9901 HK) and Weibo (9898 HK) benefit; GDS Holdings (9698 HK) loses out.
The FAF changes along with capping changes will result in a round-trip trade of HK$34.2bn (US$4.4bn) at the June rebalance with the largest turnover for the Hang Seng TECH Index. 


Hang Seng Indexes: FAF Methodology Change for Secondary Listings; Over US$1bn to Buy in NetEase

Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal, Shenton Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China Biotech

DZT Research

DZT Research is an independent Asia Pacific equity specialist. Our quantitative research covers index rebalancing flows, alongside exchange data analytics accross Asia Pacific. On the equity capital markets side, we focus on Asia Pacific ECM, especially biotech and TMT. Our lead analyst is frequently cited by international media.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the latest HK SFC report for aggregate short position as of Mar 21st.</li>
<li>Top short increases and decreases were tabulated for one week and four week period. </li>
<li>We highlight short changes in Trip.Com, Zto Express, Wuxi Apptec, Anta Sports, Midea.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the latest HK SFC report for aggregate short position as of Mar 21st.
Top short increases and decreases were tabulated for one week and four week period. 
We highlight short changes in Trip.Com, Zto Express, Wuxi Apptec, Anta Sports, Midea.


HK Short Interest Weekly: Trip.Com, Zto Express, Wuxi Apptec, Anta Sports, Midea

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

Travis Lundy

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/profiles/janaghan-jeyakumar-cfa" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="accounts:3173" rel="noopener">Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA</a> put out June rebal predictions on <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/quiddity-leaderboard-hscei-jun25-large-price-swings-needed-to-trigger-index-changes" target="_blank" rel="noopener">HSCEI</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/quiddity-leaderboard-hstech-jun25-us-204mn-one-way-no-index-changes-likely" target="_blank" rel="noopener">HSTECH</a>, and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/quiddity-leaderboard-hsiii-jun25-sep25-capping-flows-in-june-and-index-changes-in-september" target="_blank" rel="noopener">Hang Seng Internet &amp; Infotech</a> on 17-Mar-25 (and 7 mainland indices 19-21 March) and...</li>
<li>...the Quiddity team put out its regular predictions of all 7 major HS indices and 11 mainland indices, but on 21-March after the close, the Hang Seng team updated methodology.</li>
<li>They changed the way float is calculated for Secondary Listings in Hang Seng indices. It affects only a few names, but this adds US$2.7bn of buying to three names.</li>
</ul>



Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA put out June rebal predictions on HSCEI, HSTECH, and Hang Seng Internet &amp; Infotech on 17-Mar-25 (and 7 mainland indices 19-21 March) and...
...the Quiddity team put out its regular predictions of all 7 major HS indices and 11 mainland indices, but on 21-March after the close, the Hang Seng team updated methodology.
They changed the way float is calculated for Secondary Listings in Hang Seng indices. It affects only a few names, but this adds US$2.7bn of buying to three names.


Changes to Hang Seng Methodology - Early Doors but $3bn a Side Across Major Indices

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the latest HK SFC report for aggregate short position as of Mar 14th.</li>
<li>Top short increases and decreases were tabulated for one week and four week period. </li>
<li>We highlight short changes in Trip.Com (9961 HK), ABC (1288 HK), BYD (1211 HK).</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the latest HK SFC report for aggregate short position as of Mar 14th.
Top short increases and decreases were tabulated for one week and four week period. 
We highlight short changes in Trip.Com (9961 HK), ABC (1288 HK), BYD (1211 HK).


HK Short Interest Weekly: Trip.Com, ABC, BYD

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the latest HK SFC report for aggregate short position as of Mar 7th.</li>
<li>Top short increases and decreases were tabulated for one week and four week period. </li>
<li>We highlight short changes in Trip.Com, Anta Sports, Sunac, China Tower, HKEx, CSOP HSTECH 2X ETF.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the latest HK SFC report for aggregate short position as of Mar 7th.
Top short increases and decreases were tabulated for one week and four week period. 
We highlight short changes in Trip.Com, Anta Sports, Sunac, China Tower, HKEx, CSOP HSTECH 2X ETF.


HK Short Interest Weekly: Trip.Com, Anta Sports, Sunac, China Tower, HKEx

Singapore

Trip.com Group is a leading global one-stop travel platform offering accommodation reservations, transportation ticketing, packaged tours, and corporate travel management services. It operates a portfolio of brands including Trip.com, Ctrip, Skyscanner, and Qunar. The company was founded in June 1999 and is headquartered in Shanghai, China.

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Trip.com Group (9961 HK)

Hang Seng Indexes: FAF Methodology Change for Secondary Listings; Over US$1bn to Buy in NetEase

The big buys are up in the last week: NetEase (+3.75%), Baidu (+2.1%), Trip.com (+1.8%) while the headline indices are down: HSI (-1.1%), HSCEI (...

Brian Freitas

HK Short Interest Weekly: Trip.Com, Zto Express, Wuxi Apptec, Anta Sports, Midea

We analyzed the latest HK SFC report for aggregate short position as of Mar 21st and highlight short interest changes in Trip.Com, Zto Express,...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Changes to Hang Seng Methodology - Early Doors but $3bn a Side Across Major Indices

A few days ago, the Hang Seng Index Team announced a rule change for counting float of Secondary Listings. Small beans perhaps but the top three...

Travis Lundy

HK Short Interest Weekly: Trip.Com, ABC, BYD

We analyzed the latest HK SFC report for aggregate short position as of Mar 14th and highlight short interest changes in Trip.Com (9961 HK), ABC...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

HK Short Interest Weekly: Trip.Com, Anta Sports, Sunac, China Tower, HKEx

We analyzed the latest HK SFC report for aggregate short position as of Mar 7th and highlight short interest changes in Trip.Com, Anta Sports,...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

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52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

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